Alaska gubernatorial election, 2014
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November 4, 2014 |
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The 2014 Alaska gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Alaska, concurrently with the election of Alaska's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Governor Sean Parnell ran for re-election to a second full term in office, but incumbent Lieutenant Governor Mead Treadwell did not; he ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. Senate. Primary elections were held on August 19, 2014, to determine party nominees for the office, with separate primaries held for governor and lieutenant governor and the winners running together on the same ticket.
Parnell was renominated; his running mate was Anchorage Mayor Dan Sullivan.[1] The Democrats nominated businessman and former executive director of the Alaska Permanent Fund Byron Mallott, whose running mate was State Senator Hollis French. Also running as an Independent was former Republican Mayor of Valdez Bill Walker, whose running mate was Craig Fleener, the former Deputy Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Fish and Game.
On September 2, 2014, Walker and Mallott merged their campaigns to appear on the November ballot as a single independent ticket, which the Alaska Democratic Party endorsed. On this ticket, Walker is running for governor with Mallott as his running mate. Both candidates' former running mates withdrew.[2] Parnell was considered vulnerable, as reflected in his low approval ratings. The consensus among The Cook Political Report, Governing, The Rothenberg Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup. Former Republican Governor Sarah Palin, who had praised Parnell as her successor when she resigned in 2009, endorsed Walker and Mallott, taking issue with Parnell's tax cuts for the oil and gas industry.
On November 7, Walker and Mallott held a 3,165-vote lead,[3] which on November 11 had grown to 4,004 out of some 244,000 votes cast, or 1.6%.[4] Walker began preparing for a transition but the race remained officially uncalled and Parnell refused to concede.[5][6][7][8][9] On November 14, after Walker and Mallott extended their lead to 4,634 votes,[10] multiple media outlets called the race.[11][12] Parnell conceded the following day.[13] His loss–coupled with Democrat Mark Begich's defeat in the U.S. Senate election–marked just the fifth time in the last 50 years in which gubernatorial and U.S. Senate incumbents from different political parties have been defeated in the same state.[14]
Background
Republican Sean Parnell was elected lieutenant governor on a ticket with Sarah Palin in 2006, ascending to the office of governor on July 26, 2009, after she resigned. He was then elected to a full term in 2010.
Republican primary
Governor
Candidates
Declared
Withdrew
Polling
Hypothetical polling
|
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Sean
Parnell |
Bill
Walker |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
July 25–28, 2013 |
507 |
± 4.4% |
60% |
22% |
18% |
|
Results
Republican primary results[20] |
Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
% |
|
Republican |
Sean Parnell |
80,903 |
75.86 |
|
Republican |
Russ Millette |
11,296 |
10.59 |
|
Republican |
Brad Snowden |
10,594 |
9.93 |
|
Republican |
Gerald L. "Tap" Heikes |
3,855 |
3.61 |
Total votes |
106,648 |
100 |
Lieutenant Governor
Candidates
Declared
Withdrew
Results
Republican primary results[20] |
Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
% |
|
Republican |
Dan Sullivan |
74,758 |
70.70 |
|
Republican |
Kelly Wolf |
30,985 |
29.30 |
Total votes |
105,743 |
100 |
Democratic-Libertarian-Independence primary
Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.
Governor
Democratic candidates
Declared
Withdrew
Declined
Libertarian candidates
Declared
- Carolyn Clift, Treasurer of the Alaska Libertarian Party[15]
Results
Democratic-Libertarian-Independence primary results[20] |
Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
% |
|
Democratic |
Byron Mallott |
42,327 |
66.89 |
|
Democratic |
Phil Stoddard |
10,514 |
16.62 |
|
Libertarian |
Carolyn Clift |
10,436 |
16.49 |
Total votes |
63,277 |
100 |
Lieutenant Governor
Democratic candidates
Declared
Libertarian candidates
Declared
- Andrew C. Lee, gold miner[33]
Results
Democratic-Libertarian-Independence primary results[20] |
Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
% |
|
Democratic |
Hollis French |
40,271 |
62.08 |
|
Democratic |
Bob Williams |
16,358 |
25.22 |
|
Libertarian |
Andrew C. Lee |
8,238 |
12.70 |
Total votes |
64,867 |
100 |
Others
Constitution Party
-
- Running mate: Maria Rensel[35]
Independent
-
General election
Campaign
Parnell drew criticism during his re-election campaign over his support of billions in tax reductions for the petrochemical industry as well an exploding scandal featuring five years of alleged cover ups with regard to rampant sexual abuse, cronyism, corruption and whistleblower suppression, in the Alaska National Guard.[37][38][39]
In October 2014, former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin endorsed Walker and Mallott. The endorsement was prompted by Parnell's oil and gas industry tax cuts, which dismantled her administration's "Alaska's Clear and Equitable Share" (ACES) plan. She had previously supported a referendum to repeal the tax cuts, which was narrowly defeated in August 2014. Walker and Mallott made the repeal of the tax cuts a centerpiece of their campaign.[40]
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Sean
Parnell (R) |
Byron
Mallott (D) |
Bill
Walker (I) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
November 1–2, 2014 |
1,052 |
± 3% |
45% |
— |
46% |
4%[41] |
5% |
47% |
— |
48% |
— |
6% |
Rasmussen Reports |
October 27–30, 2014 |
887 |
± 4% |
43% |
— |
50% |
— |
7% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov |
October 16–23, 2014 |
561 |
± 9% |
42% |
— |
39% |
0% |
20% |
Hellenthal & Associates |
October 15–21, 2014 |
403 |
± 4.88% |
44.3% |
— |
42.5% |
4.6%[42] |
8.6% |
Rasmussen Reports |
October 8–12, 2014 |
700 |
± 4% |
41% |
— |
50% |
2% |
7% |
Fox News |
October 4–7, 2014 |
706 |
± 3.5% |
42% |
— |
37% |
8%[43] |
13% |
CNN/ORC |
October 1–6, 2014 |
704 LV |
± 3.5% |
45% |
— |
51% |
— |
3% |
875 RV |
± 3.4% |
46% |
— |
49% |
1% |
5% |
Hickman Analytics |
September 26–October 2, 2014 |
400 |
± 4.9% |
46% |
— |
38% |
7%[44] |
10% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov |
September 20–October 1, 2014 |
593 |
± 5% |
40% |
— |
45% |
1% |
14% |
Rasmussen Reports |
September 23–24, 2014 |
713 |
± 4% |
42% |
— |
47% |
5% |
6% |
Public Policy Polling |
September 18–21, 2014 |
880 |
± 3.3% |
41% |
— |
42% |
5%[45] |
13% |
41% |
— |
45% |
— |
14% |
Hays Research/AFL-CIO |
September 13–14, 2014 |
500 |
± 4.38% |
30% |
— |
37% |
33% |
Hays Research* |
August 20–22, 2014 |
474 |
± 4.5% |
40% |
— |
43% |
— |
15% |
Rasmussen Reports |
August 20–21, 2014 |
750 |
± 4% |
47% |
36% |
— |
11% |
6% |
Public Policy Polling |
July 31–August 1, 2014 |
673 |
± 3.8% |
37% |
22% |
20% |
5%[46] |
16% |
48% |
37% |
— |
— |
14% |
41% |
— |
40% |
— |
19% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov |
July 5–24, 2014 |
450 |
± 5.2% |
55% |
29% |
— |
6% |
8% |
Public Policy Polling |
May 8–11, 2014 |
582 |
± 4.1% |
37% |
27% |
17% |
4%[47] |
15% |
Public Policy Polling |
January 30–February 1, 2014 |
850 |
± 3.4% |
41% |
25% |
16% |
3%[47] |
15% |
- * Internal poll for Bill Walker campaign
Hypothetical polling
|
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Sean
Parnell (R) |
Ethan
Berkowitz (D) |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
July 25–28, 2013 |
890 |
± 3.3% |
51% |
38% |
12% |
Public Policy Polling |
February 4–5, 2013 |
1,129 |
± 2.9% |
50% |
41% |
9% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Sean
Parnell (R) |
Hollis
French (D) |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
July 25–28, 2013 |
890 |
± 3.3% |
54% |
33% |
13% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Sean
Parnell (R) |
Les
Gara (D) |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
July 25–28, 2013 |
890 |
± 3.3% |
53% |
33% |
14% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Sean
Parnell (R) |
Scott
McAdams (D) |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
February 4–5, 2013 |
1,129 |
± 2.9% |
52% |
34% |
15% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Sean
Parnell (R) |
Mike
Navarre (D) |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
February 4–5, 2013 |
1,129 |
± 2.9% |
51% |
29% |
20% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Sean
Parnell (R) |
Joe
Paskvan (D) |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
February 4–5, 2013 |
1,129 |
± 2.9% |
51% |
25% |
24% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Sean
Parnell (R) |
Bill
Wielechowski (D) |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
July 25–28, 2013 |
890 |
± 3.3% |
52% |
33% |
15% |
|
Results
See also
- Elections in Alaska
References
- ↑ Not to be confused with former Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Natural Resources Dan Sullivan who ran as the Republican nominee in the U.S. Senate election which was held at the same time.
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- ↑ Parnell defends handling alaska national guard dysfunction, plans more firings, Alaska Dispatch News, Jill Burke and Richard Mauer, October 2, 2014. Retrieved 3 October 2014.
- ↑ Parnell waited years to take direct action on National Guard misconduct, Alaska Dispatch News, Jill Burke and Richard Mauer, October 1, 2014. Retrieved 3 October 2014.
- ↑ Debate draws standing-room-only crowd, KTUU, Caslon Hatch. July 23, 2014. Retrieved 3 October 2014.
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- ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 2%, J.R. Myers (I) 2%
- ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 3.8%, J.R. Myers (I) 0.8%
- ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 4%, J.R. Myers (I) 1%, Other 3%
- ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 5%, J.R. Myers (I) 2%
- ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 3%, J.R. Myers (I) 2%
- ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 3%, J.R. Myers (C) 2%
- ↑ 47.0 47.1 J.R. Myers (C)
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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