United States Senate election in California, 2018

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United States Senate election in California, 2018
← 2012 November 6, 2018 2024 →
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Incumbent U.S. senator

Dianne Feinstein
Democratic


Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2018 United States Senate election in California will take place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of California, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Under California's non-partisan blanket primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. In the California system, the top two finishers—regardless of party—advance to the general election in November, even if a candidate receives a majority of the votes cast in the primary election. Washington, Louisiana and Mississippi have similar "jungle primary" style processes for U.S. Senators.

The candidate filing deadline was March 8, 2018, and the primary election will be held on June 5, 2018.[1]

Four-term Democratic incumbent Dianne Feinstein won reelection in 2012 with 63% of the vote, taking the record for the most popular votes in any U.S. Senate election in history with 7.86 million votes.[2] Feinstein is the ranking member of the Senate Judiciary Committee. She will be 85 years old in 2018, leading to speculation that she would retire in January 2019,[3][4] as her long-time colleague Barbara Boxer did in January 2017. A poll from 2017 conducted by Berkeley IGS found that a slim majority of California voters would prefer her to retire due to her advanced age, with individual interviews citing a desire to let younger politicians stand for election instead.[5][6] Despite these concerns, she has declared that she will run for re-election to a fifth full term.[7]

Candidates

Democratic Party

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Republican Party

Declared

  • Arun K. Bhumitra, businessman[8]
  • James P. Bradley, businessman[31]
  • Jack Crew, bus driver[31]
  • Erin Cruz, podcaster[32]
  • Rocky De La Fuente, entrepreneur and perennial candidate[33]
  • Jerry Joseph Laws, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[31]
  • Patrick Little, former U.S. marine[34][35]
  • Kevin Mottus[8]
  • Mario Nabliba, scientist[8]
  • Tom Palzer, activist, retired city planner and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[31]
  • Paul Allen Taylor, businessman[36]

Withdrawn

  • Donald R. Adams, businessman[37]
  • Gary Coson[38]
  • John Estrada[39]
  • Timothy Charles Kalemkarian, perennial candidate[40]
  • Caren Lancona, businesswoman[41]
  • Jazmina Saavedra, businesswoman and activist[42]
  • Stephen James Schrader, veteran[43]

Declined

Libertarian Party

Declared

  • Derrick Michael Reid, retired attorney and engineer and candidate for President in 2016[50]

Peace and Freedom Party

Declared

  • John Thompson Parker[31]

No party preference

Declared

Withdrawn

Notes

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 No ballot access: Constitution Party and Socialist Equality Party. Appears on ballot as "No party preference".[31]

Primary election

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 23, 2018
Candidate Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand
Dianne Feinstein (D) $9,441,041 $1,512,994 $10,352,401
Kevin de León (D) $1,012,004 $339,672 $672,330
Pat Harris (D) $638,184 $353,336 $263,027
Alison Hartson (D) $298,296 $189,652 $108,643
Douglas Howard Pierce (D) $15,215 $62,392 $11,200
Erin Cruz (R) $16,923 $10,324 $6,599
Paul Allen Taylor (R) $8,493 $6,100 $2,392
David Hildebrand (D) $24,806 $22,590 $2,216
Tom Palzer (R) $0 $45 $45
David Moore (SEP) $3,480 $3,480 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[115]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 James P.
Bradley
(R)		 Erin
Cruz
(R)		 Rocky De
La Fuente
(R)		 Kevin
de León
(D)		 Dianne
Feinstein
(D)		 Alison
Hartson
(D)		 Patrick
Little
(R)		 Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing May 4–5, 2018 525 ± 4.3% 19% 13% — 8% 32% 6% — 5%[116]. 16%
SurveyUSA April 19–23, 2018 520 ± 5.5% — — 8% 8% 38% 4% 18% 6%[117] 17%
UC Berkeley April 16–22, 2018 1,738 ± 3.5% 10% — — 11% 28% — — 14%[118] 35%
Public Policy Institute of California March 4–13, 2018 1,706 ± 3.4% — — — 16% 42% — — 2% 39%
Public Policy Institute of California January 21–30, 2018 1,705 ± 3.2% — — — 17% 46% — — 3% 33%
UC Berkeley December 7–16, 2017 672 ± 3.8% — — — 27% 41% — — 32%
Public Policy Institute of California November 10–19, 2017 1,070 ± 4.3% — — — 21% 45% — — 1% 33%
Sextant Strategies & Research September 2017 1,197 ± 3.4% — — — 15% 38% — — 29%[119] 17%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[123] Solid D November 14, 2017
Rothenberg Political Report[124] Solid D November 14, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[125] Safe D November 15, 2017

Polling

with Feinstein and de León
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Kevin
de León (D)		 Dianne
Feinstein (D)		 Not
voting		 Other Undecided
Probolsky Research (R) April 16–18, 2018 900 ± 3.3% 27% 38% — — 35%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times October 27 – November 6, 2017 949[126] ± 4.0% 31% 58% 31%[126] 10% —
Sextant Strategies & Research September 2017 1,197 ± 3.4% 17% 36% 28% — 19%

References

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  8. ↑ 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.7 http://lavote.net/Apps/CandidateList/Index?id=3793
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  31. ↑ 31.0 31.1 31.2 31.3 31.4 31.5 31.6 31.7 31.8 31.9 http://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/pdf/complete-vig.pdf
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  33. ↑ http://www.sdvote.com/content/dam/rov/en/election/2018June/Candidate_List.pdf
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  91. ↑ 91.00 91.01 91.02 91.03 91.04 91.05 91.06 91.07 91.08 91.09 91.10 91.11 91.12 91.13 91.14 91.15 91.16 91.17 91.18 91.19 91.20 91.21 91.22 91.23 91.24 91.25 91.26 91.27 91.28 91.29 91.30 91.31 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  111. ↑ 111.00 111.01 111.02 111.03 111.04 111.05 111.06 111.07 111.08 111.09 111.10 111.11 111.12 111.13 111.14 111.15 111.16 111.17 111.18 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  116. ↑ John Melendez* (D) 3%, David Hildebrand (D) 2%. *Withdrawn
  117. ↑ John Melendez* (D) 4%, Other 2%. *Withdrawn.
  118. ↑ Other Republicans 8%, Other non-Republicans 6%
  119. ↑ 29% not voting
  120. ↑ David Hildebrand (D) 2%; Donald Adams (R), Jerry Leon Carroll (NPP), Pat Harris (D), Richard Mead (NPP), Douglas Howard Pierce (D), Steve Stokes (D), and Michael Ziesing (G) with 1%; Clifton Roberts (H) 0%; Other 1%.
  121. ↑ Pat Harris (D), David Hildebrand (D), Clifton Roberts (H), Steve Stokes (D), and Michael Ziesing (G) with 1%; Donald Adams (R), Jerry Leon Carroll (NPP), Michael Eisen (NPP), Tim Gildersleeve (NPP), Charles Junior Hodge (NPP), Richard Mead (NPP), and Douglas Howard Pierce with 0%
  122. ↑ Stephen Schrader (R) 4%; Pat Harris (D), John Melendez (D), and Michael Ziesing (G) with 2%; David Hildebrand (D) and Steve Stokes (D) with 1%; Donald Adams (R), Jery Leon Carroll (NPP), Michael Eisen (NPP), Tim Gildersleeve, Charles Junior Hodge (NPP), Richard Mead (NPP), Douglas Howard Pierce (D), and Clifton Roberts (H) with 0%
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  126. ↑ 126.0 126.1 126.2 126.3 949 likely primary voters out of 1,504. MoE out of 1,504: ± 3.0. 31% out of 1,504 not voting.

External links

Official campaign websites
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