United States Senate election in Maine, 2012

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United States Senate election in Maine, 2012

← 2006 November 6, 2012 2018 →
  Angus King, official portrait, 113th Congress.jpg x150px x150px
Nominee Angus King Charlie Summers Cynthia Dill
Party Independent Republican Democratic
Popular vote 368,724 214,114 91,635
Percentage 52.92% 30.73% 13.15%

200px
County results

U.S. senator before election

Olympia Snowe
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Angus King
Independent

The 2012 United States Senate election in Maine was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Despite initially being in the race early on and poised to easily win, popular Republican U.S. Senator Olympia Snowe suddenly decided to retire instead of running for re-election to a fourth term. Former Independent Governor Angus King won the open seat.

Background

Incumbent Olympia Snowe won re-election to a third term in 2006 with 74.01% of the vote over Democrat Jean Hay Bright and independent Bill Slavick. Due to the unpopularity of some of Snowe's votes among conservative voters, namely for the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 and initial support of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, there was speculation that she would face competition in the 2012 Republican primary from more conservative challengers.[1] The Tea Party Express had promised to aid in a primary against Snowe.[2] There had also been speculation that Snowe would switch parties, though she has always denied this.[3][4][5] By June 2011, Snowe had officially entered her name with signatures to run in the Republican primary, saying, she "would never switch parties".

However on February 28, 2012, Snowe announced that she would be retiring from the U.S. Senate at the end of her term, citing the "atmosphere of polarization and 'my way or the highway' ideologies has become pervasive in campaigns and in our governing institutions" as the reason for her retirement.[6] Her announcement opened the door for candidates from all parties and creating a much more contested 2012 election.[7]

The primary election was held on June 12.[8]

Republican primary

Candidates

On ballot

Withdrew

  • Andrew Ian Dodge, conservative activist (ran as an independent)[13]
  • Olympia Snowe, incumbent U.S. senator (retiring)[7]

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Bennett
Scott
D'Amboise
Debra
Plowman
Bruce
Poliquin
William
Schneider
Charlie
Summers
Other Undecided
MPRC March 31–April 2, 2012 318 ±5.49% 7.1% 3.9% 5.7% 12% 3.9% 27.6% 39.7%

Results

Republican primary results[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Charlie Summers 20,578 29.46
Republican Bruce Poliquin 15,973 22.86
Republican Rick Bennett 12,544 17.96
Republican Scott D'Amboise 7,735 11.07
Republican William Schneider 6,784 9.71
Republican Deborah Plowman 6,244 8.94
Total votes 69,098 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

On the ballot

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Cynthia
Dill
Matthew
Dunlap
Jon
Hinck
Benjamin
Pollard
Other Undecided
Maine People's Resource Center March 31 – April 2, 2012 415 ± 4.8% 20.3% 16.7% 6.2% 1.9% 54.8%

Results

Democratic primary results[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cynthia Dill 22,629 44.31
Democratic Matt Dunlap 18,202 35.64
Democratic Jon Hinck 6,302 12.34
Democratic Benjamin Pollard 3,945 7.72
Total votes 51,078 100

General election

Candidates

Debates

The second debate was held September 17, 2012. Topics included President Barack Obama’s health care overhaul, energy policy, gun control, capital gains taxes and whether the Senate is broken.[33]

Campaign

The group Maine People's Alliance called on Charles Summers to resign his position as Secretary of State of Maine, stating that it was a conflict of interest for the secretary of state to oversee their own election to another office. They also had concerns over past actions in sending letters to college students about voter registration requirements. A spokesperson for Summers said that he had turned over all election oversight to a deputy Secretary of State, and Summers himself stated that he was not going to resign.[34] No Secretary of State or Maine Attorney General who was seeking higher office in the last 30 years has resigned.[35]

Steve Woods announced on August 1 that, if elected, he would donate his entire Senate salary to Maine charities chosen by an independent committee of business and nonprofit leaders he would appoint. He encouraged Angus King to make a similar pledge; King responded through his spokesperson that he and his wife would continue to donate money to charities, and that all candidates should do so in "the best way they feel they can."[36]

Anti-spoiler proposal

Steve Woods met with Angus King on June 13 to discuss a proposal by Woods for either man to leave the race if it appeared one or the other was not going to win, in order to avoid being a spoiler candidate. Woods specifically cited the 2010 Maine Gubernatorial election as well as the 2000 presidential election as examples of what could result from a fragmented electorate. King stated that while he had not fully considered Woods' proposal, he didn't think he was a spoiler, in that "If I thought that, I wouldn't be running." Woods said that regardless of whether or not King accepted the proposal, he likely would abide by it and endorse King in late October if it appeared he would not win.[37] Woods did indeed drop out and endorsed King on November 4, stating that King had the "highest degree of integrity to represent all Mainers". Woods' name, however, remained on the ballot.[38]

Campaign spending issues

On June 13, Angus King held a press conference and stated that he would discourage campaign spending by outside groups if his opponents would agree to do the same. King criticized such spending as "a tidal wave of anonymous campaign expenditures that distort our political process." His proposed agreement is modeled on a similar agreement between Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown and his opponent Elizabeth Warren, which requires them, if outside money is spend on their behalf, to donate an equivalent amount of money to the charity of their opponent's choice. Democrat Cynthia Dill criticized the proposal as lacking "detail or substance" but added that she "looked forward to seeing a proposed agreement." Republican Charles Summers did not state whether he would accept King's proposal or not but criticized King for discussing campaign finance instead of issues like the economy and government spending.[39] Andrew Ian Dodge called such an agreement "unworkable", while Steve Woods said he would abide by such an agreement.[40]

In a letter to King, Dill again stated that she was open to an agreement on limiting outside spending in the race, but she also called on King to support measures the candidates can take themselves to limit campaign spending. These include pledging to not finance their campaigns themselves and limiting contributions to $500. Dill also called on King to take stands on a variety of campaign finance legislation, such as the DISCLOSE Act. King told the Bangor Daily News the prior week that he does support increased disclosure requirements for super-PACs, but did not specifically say he supports the DISCLOSE Act. King is so far the only candidate to benefit from super-PAC money, as a group called icpurple Inc. spent $24,000 making an online advertisement for King. King stated that as part of his proposal, he would ask the group to take the ads down.[40]

Danny Dalton stated on June 14 that he would not accept any campaign donations whatsoever, in order to assure constituents that he will represent everyone equally.[41]

Steve Woods pledged to not spend more than $1.3 million on his campaign, or roughly $1 per Maine resident, including campaign donations and his own money. He stated, "If I can't get my message out and if the public isn't interested in that message, to spend more would be egregious."[42]

On July 18, King was criticized for attending a fundraiser in Washington, D.C., where he raised money from PACs and other donors. Republicans said King's actions were "the height of hypocrisy" for speaking out against PAC money and raising it at the same time, while Cynthia Dill criticized King as an "insider who is working the system". King defended his actions by stating that he "took no joy" in them but that it was necessary for him to raise money to defend himself in the "dogfight" he expects. King also reiterated his support of changing campaign finance laws and said that he was making no promises to donors.[43]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Angus King (I) $937,694 $434,250 $503,444 $37,742
Charlie Summers (R) $294,081 $174,082 $119,289 $55,000
Cynthia Dill (D) $104,512 $75,988 $28,521 $5,698
Source: Federal Election Commission[57][58][59]

Top contributors by employer

[60]

Angus King Contribution Charlie Summers Contribution Cynthia Dill Contribution
Lee Auto Mall $15,000 Alamo PAC $10,000 Auto Europe $2,500
Bernstein Shur $13,300 Kelly PAC $10,000 Thornton Academy $2,500
Bowdoin College $11,500 Making Business Excel PAC $5,000 Southern Maine Community College $2,500
Elevation Partners $10,000 Royal Shell Real Estate $5,000 Jones Day $2,000
Lee Auto Mall-Auburn $10,000 White Rock Distilleries $5,000 Quimby Foundation $2,000
International Union of Operating Engineers $10,000 D&G Machine Products $3,000 City of Middletown Connecticut $1,000
Spectrum Health $8,950 3M Co. $2,500 Mill to the Hill PAC $1,000 $1,000
Pierce Atwood LLP $8,500 Doyle Group $2,500
Martin's Point Health Care $8,250 Speedway Motorsports, Inc. $2,500
Eaton Peabody $6,000 Moulison North $2,500

Top industries

[62]

Angus King Contribution Charlie Summers Contribution Cynthia Dill Contribution
Retired $117,500 Leadership PACs $25,000 Lawyers/Law Firms $3,850
Lawyers/Law Firms $56,600 Misc Business $23,500 Retired $2,550
Financial Institutions $37,250 Retired $12,000 Health Professionals $2,500
Real Estate $26,600 Real Estate $6,000 Non-Profit Institutions $2,000
Automotive Industry $25,000 Manufacturing & Distributing $5,500 Women's Issues $1,500
Misc Finance $24,750 Alcohol industry $5,000 Civil Servants/Public Officials $1,250
Education $20,960 General Contractors $3,000 Leadership PACs $1,000
Misc Business $20,750 Business Services $2,750 Misc Business $500
Health Professionals $19,450 Telecommunications industry $2,500 Construction Industry $500
Insurance $16,750 Insurance $2,500 Food Industry $350

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Charlie
Summers (R)
Cynthia
Dill (D)
Angus
King (I)
Other Undecided
Maine People's Resource Center November 1–3, 2012 905 ± 3.26% 34% 10.7% 47.6% 4.5% 3.3%
Public Policy Polling November 1–2, 2012 1,633 ± 2.4% 36% 12% 50% 2%
Portland Press Herald/Critical Insights October 30–31, 2012 613 ± 4% 33% 11% 49% 7%
Pan Atlantic SMS September 24–28, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 24% 12% 50% 14%
Rasmussen Reports September 25, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 33% 14% 45% 1% 7%
Public Policy Polling September 17–18, 2012 804 ± 3.5% 35% 14% 43% 8%
Maine People's Resource Center September 15–17, 2012 856 ± 3.35% 28% 15% 44% 6% 7%
Portland Press Herald/Critical Insights September 12–16, 2012 618 ± 4% 28% 12% 50% 3% 8%
Moore Consulting August 5–6, 2012 500 ± n/a 28% 8% 46%
Portland Press Herald/Critical Insights June 20–25, 2012 615 ± 4% 27% 7% 55% 1% 9%
WBUR TV/MassInc Polling Group June 13–14, 2012 506 ± 4.4% 23% 9% 50% 1% 17%

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Hypothetical polling
Republican primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
D'Amboise
Andrew
Dodge
Olympia
Snowe
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 28–31, 2011 250 ± 6.2% 10% 7% 62% 20%
Public Policy Polling March 3–6, 2011 434 ± 4.7% 18% 10% 43% 28%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Olympia
Snowe
"More
conservative
challenger"
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 28–31, 2011 250 ± 6.2% 46% 47% 6%
Public Policy Polling March 3–6, 2011 434 ± 4.7% 33% 58% 9%
Public Policy Polling September 2–6, 2010 584 ± 4.1% 29% 63% 8%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Olympia
Snowe
Chandler
Woodcock
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 2–6, 2010 584 ± 4.1% 33% 38% 29%
with Olympia Snowe
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Olympia
Snowe (R)
Emily
Cain (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 3–6, 2011 1,246 ± 2.8% 64% 20% 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Olympia
Snowe (R)
Matt
Dunlap (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 28–31, 2011 673 ± 3.8% 64% 22% 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Olympia
Snowe (R)
Jon
Hinck (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 28–31, 2011 673 ± 3.8% 65% 18% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Olympia
Snowe (R)
Mike
Michaud (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 28–31, 2011 673 ± 3.8% 54% 37% 9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Olympia
Snowe (R)
Chellie
Pingree (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 28–31, 2011 673 ± 3.8% 55% 36% 9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Olympia
Snowe (R)
Rosa
Scarcelli (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 3–6, 2011 1,246 ± 2.8% 66% 18% 17%
with John Baldacci
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Bennett (R)
John
Baldacci (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2012 1,256 ± 2.8% 41% 43% 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
D'Amboise (R)
John
Baldacci (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2012 1,256 ± 2.8% 36% 48% 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bruce
Poliquin (R)
John
Baldacci (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2012 1,256 ± 2.8% 35% 50% 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Schneider (R)
John
Baldacci (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2012 1,256 ± 2.8% 36% 47% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Charlie
Summers (R)
John
Baldacci (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2012 1,256 ± 2.8% 39% 48% 13%
with Emily Cain
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
D'Amboise (R)
Emily
Cain (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 3–6, 2011 1,246 ± 2.8% 33% 33% 34%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Andrew Ian
Dodge (R)
Emily
Cain (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 3–6, 2011 1,246 ± 2.8% 30% 32% 37%
with Matt Dunlap
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
D'Amboise (R)
Matt
Dunlap (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 28–31, 2011 673 ± 3.8% 23% 31% 47%
with Rosa Scarcelli
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
D'Amboise (R)
Rosa Scarcelli (D) Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 3–6, 2011 1,246 ± 2.8% 36% 29% 35%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Andrew Ian
Dodge (R)
Rosa Scarcelli (D) Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 3–6, 2011 1,246 ± 2.8% 33% 29% 38%
with Pingree
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Bennett (R)
Chellie
Pingree (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2012 1,256 ± 2.8% 39% 52% 9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
D'Amboise (R)
Chellie
Pingree (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2012 1,256 ± 2.8% 36% 53% 12%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bruce
Poliquin (R)
Chellie
Pingree (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2012 1,256 ± 2.8% 33% 54% 12%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Schneider (R)
Chellie
Pingree (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2012 1,256 ± 2.8% 35% 53% 12%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Charlie
Summers (R)
Chellie
Pingree (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2012 1,256 ± 2.8% 37% 53% 10%
Three-way matchups
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
D'Amboise (R)
Emily
Cain (D)
Olympia
Snowe (I)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 3–6, 2011 1,246 ± 2.8% 21% 17% 54% 7%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Andrew Ian
Dodge (R)
Emily
Cain (D)
Olympia
Snowe (I)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 3–6, 2011 1,246 ± 2.8% 19% 15% 56% 10%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
D'Amboise (R)
Rosa
Scarcelli (D)
Olympia
Snowe (I)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 3–6, 2011 1,246 ± 2.8% 20% 15% 56% 9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Charlie
Summers (R)
Chellie
Pingree (D)
Andrew Ian
Dodge (I)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2012 1,256 ± 2.8% 33% 49% 9% 8%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Charlie
Summers (R)
Chellie
Pingree (D)
Angus
King (I)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2012 1,256 ± 2.8% 28% 31% 36% 5%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Charlie
Summers (R)
Matthew
Dunlap (D)
Angus
King (I)
Other Undecided
Maine People's Resource Center March 31–April 2, 2012 996 ± 3.11% 21.8% 12.2% 56% 9.9%

Results

United States Senate election in Maine, 2012
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Independent Angus King 368,724 52.92% +47.55%
Republican Charlie Summers 211,114 30.73% -43.28%
Democratic Cynthia Dill 91,635 13.15% -7.44%
Independent Steve Woods 10,321 1.48% n/a
Independent Danny Dalton 6,450 0.93% n/a
Libertarian Andrew Ian Dodge 5,543 0.80% n/a
Independent gain from Republican Swing

See also

References

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  25. http://www.maine.gov/sos/cec/elec/2012/nonpartylisting.pdf
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  45. http://www.cynthiadill.com/news.php?id=105
  46. http://www.cynthiadill.com/news.php?id=99
  47. 47.0 47.1 http://www.cynthiadill.com/news.php?id=55
  48. 48.00 48.01 48.02 48.03 48.04 48.05 48.06 48.07 48.08 48.09 48.10 48.11 48.12 48.13 48.14 48.15 48.16 48.17 48.18 48.19 48.20 48.21 48.22 48.23 48.24 48.25 48.26 48.27 48.28 48.29 48.30 48.31 48.32 48.33 48.34 http://angus2012.com/endorsements/ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "kingendorsements" defined multiple times with different content
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  50. http://www.summersformaine.com/former-president-george-h-w-bush-endorses-charlie-summers/
  51. 51.0 51.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  52. http://www.nrapvf.org/news-alerts/2012/10/nra-pvf-endorses-charlie-summers-for-us-senate-in-maine.aspx
  53. http://www.summersformaine.com/charlie-summers-receives-u-s-chamber-of-commerce-endorsement/
  54. 54.0 54.1 54.2 http://www.summersformaine.com/summers-receives-trio-of-key-small-business-endorsements/
  55. http://www.summersformaine.com/national-defense-pac-endorses-summers/
  56. 56.0 56.1 http://dodgeforsenate.com/endorsements/
  57. Dill Campaign Finances
  58. []
  59. King Campaign Finances
  60. [http://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=MES1 Center for Responsive Politics
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  62. Donors by Industry (opensecrets.org)

External links

Official campaign websites