United States Senate election in Missouri, 2016
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2016 United States Senate election in Missouri will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Missouri, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries will be held on August 2.
Incumbent Republican Senator Roy Blunt is running for re-election to a second term in office.[1]
Contents
Republican primary
Despite being considered an "establishment" Republican, Blunt is considered to be unlikely to face serious Tea Party opposition. Blunt's efforts to cultivate relationships with activists in Missouri, his effectiveness at "thread[ing] the needle" by keeping conservative and establishment Republicans fairly satisfied, and the open gubernatorial election, which is attracting the most attention from Republicans.[2]
Candidates
Declared
- Roy Blunt, incumbent Senator[1][3]
- Bernie Mowinski, retired Army sergeant and perennial candidate[4]
- Kristi Nichols, sales manager, tea party activist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[4]
Withdrawn
- Christopher Batsche, businessman (running for MO-07)[4][5][6]
Declined
- Todd Akin, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[7][8]
- John Brunner, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012 (running for Governor)[9]
- John Lamping, former State Senator[10][11]
Polling
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Hypothetical polling |
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Cori Bush, pastor and co-director of the Truth Telling Project[12][13]
- Wana Dubie, activist[14]
- Jason Kander, Secretary of State of Missouri[15][16]
Declined
- Jay Nixon, Governor of Missouri[17]
- Mike Sanders, Jackson County Executive, former Jackson County Prosecuting Attorney and former Chairman of the Missouri Democratic Party[18][19]
- Clint Zweifel, State Treasurer of Missouri[20][21]
Third party and independent candidates
Constitution Party
- Fred Ryman[4]
Libertarian Party
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Likely R | March 25, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[23] | Likely R | April 4, 2016 |
| Roll Call[24] | Likely R | April 4, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] | Leans R | April 7, 2016 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Roy Blunt (R) |
Jason Kander (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri Scout | March 25–26, 2016 | 927 | ± 3.2% | 44% | 37% | — | 19% |
| DFM Research | March 17–24, 2016 | 674 | ± 3.8% | 49% | 35% | 2% | 14% |
| Missouri Scout | October 30–31, 2015 | 783 | ± 3.5% | 43% | 33% | — | 23% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 7–9, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 35% | — | 25% |
| Remington Research | February 19, 2015 | 957 | ± 3.2% | 49% | 36% | — | 14% |
See also
References
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External links
- Official campaign websites
