2016 United States presidential election in Arizona

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Main article: 2016 United States presidential election
2016 United States presidential election in Arizona
← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout 74.17% Increase
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 11 0
Popular vote 1,252,401 1,161,167
Percentage 48.08% 44.58%
300px
County results
Trump:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Clinton:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

 Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican
File:Arizona 2016 presidential results by county.png
Results by county showing number of votes by size, and candidates by color
File:United States presidential election in Arizona, 2016.svg
Treemap of the popular vote by county

The 2016 United States presidential election in Arizona was won by Donald Trump on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 general election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Arizona voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On March 22, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Arizona voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, and Green parties' respective nominees for president. (The Libertarian Party uses a privately funded caucus to select its presidential delegates and does not allow independents to vote in its primary.[1]) Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote, except in presidential elections.

Primary elections

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Main article: 2016 Arizona presidential primary

Democratic primary

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Main article: 2016 Arizona Democratic primary
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton at a campaign rally at Carl Hayden High School in Phoenix on March 21, 2016.
Senator Bernie Sanders at a campaign rally at the Phoenix Convention Center in Phoenix on March 15, 2016.
File:Bill Clinton by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Former President Bill Clinton at a campaign rally for his wife at Central High School in Phoenix on March 20, 2016.

Six candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[2]

Opinion polling

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See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries § Arizona

Results

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See also: Results of the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries


e • d Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Arizona, 2016
– Summary of results –
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 262,459 56.29% 42 5 47
Bernie Sanders 192,962 41.39% 33 2 35
Others 10,814 2.32%
Uncommitted N/A 3 3
Total 465,675 100% 75 10 85
Source: Arizona Secretary of StateThe Green Papers
Detailed results per congressional district
Detailed results for the Arizona Democratic primary, April 5, 2016[3][4]
District Total Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Votes Delegates Votes  % Delegates Votes  % Delegates
1st district 63,863 6 35,445 55.50% 3 26,267 41.13% 3
2nd district 78,237 8 42,797 54.70% 4 33,891 43.32% 4
3rd district 51,520 5 30,298 58.81% 3 20,091 39.00% 2
4th district 37,273 4 15,289 55.43% 2 20,662 41.02% 2
5th district 40,847 5 22,973 56.24% 3 16,982 41.57% 2
6th district 50,465 6 29,266 57.99% 4 20,259 40.14% 2
7th district 42,199 5 24,245 57.45% 3 17,173 40.70% 2
8th district 46,491 5 27,672 59.52% 3 17,651 37.97% 2
9th district 55,340 6 29,101 52.59% 3 25,359 45.82% 3
At-large delegates 466,235 16 262,459 56.29% 9 192,962 41.39% 7
Pledged PLEOs 466,235 9 262,459 56.29% 5 192,962 41.39% 4
Total 466,235 75 262,464 56.29% 42 192,965 41.39% 33

Republican primary

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Main article: 2016 Arizona Republican primary
File:Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore 5.jpg
Businessman Donald Trump at a campaign rally at Fountain Park in Fountain Hills on March 19, 2016.
File:Ted Cruz by Gage Skidmore 10.jpg
Senator Ted Cruz at a campaign rally at Arizona Christian University in Phoenix on March 18, 2016.

Fourteen candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[5]

Arizona Republican primary, March 22, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump 286,743 45.95% 58 0 58
Ted Cruz 172,294 27.61% 0 0 0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn) 72,304 11.59% 0 0 0
John Kasich 65,965 10.57% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 14,940 2.39% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 4,393 0.70% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 2,269 0.36% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 1,300 0.21% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 1,270 0.20% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 988 0.16% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 523 0.08% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 498 0.08% 0 0 0
George Pataki (withdrawn) 309 0.05% 0 0 0
Timothy Cook (withdrawn) 243 0.04% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 624,039 100.00% 58 0 58
Source: The Green Papers

Green primary

Green Party candidate Jill Stein at a campaign rally at the Mesa Public Library in Mesa on March 12, 2016.

The Arizona Green Party held its primary on March 22. Jill Stein won with 82% of the vote, and the overall number of voters that took place in the primary saw an increase from 561 in 2012 to 770 in 2016.[6] Only two candidates qualified for the primary:[7]

Arizona Green Party presidential primary, March 22, 2016[8]
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
America Symbol.svg Jill Stein 666 82% 5
Kent Mesplay 151 18% 1
Write-in/Blank 18 2% -
Total 817 100.00% 6

Alleged voter suppression

Within a day after the primary election on March 22, 2016, a petition went viral on the White House petitions site asking the Department of Justice to investigate election irregularities in Arizona.[9] The Department of Justice has since launched a federal investigation into the primary.[10]

Polling

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See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § Arizona

General election

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Arizona as of Election Day.

  1. Los Angeles Times: Leans Clinton[11]
  2. CNN: Battleground[12]
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Trump[13]
  4. NBC: Tossup[14]
  5. RealClearPolitics: Toss-up[15]
  6. Fox News: Leans Republican[16]
  7. ABC: Tossup[17]

Statewide results

Template:Election box runningmate majority begin

 |- class="vcard"

| style="background-color: #FF3333; width: 5px;" | | class="org" | Republican | class="fn" | Donald Trump of New York | class="fn" | Mike Pence of Indiana | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 1,252,401 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 48.08% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 11 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 100.00% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | Decrease5.40% |- |- class="vcard" | style="background-color: #3333FF; width: 5px;" | | class="org" | Democratic | class="fn" | Hillary Clinton of New York | class="fn" | Tim Kaine of Virginia | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 1,161,167 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 44.58% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.00% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | Increase0.13% |- |- class="vcard" | style="background-color: #FED105; width: 5px;" | | class="org" | Libertarian | class="fn" | Gary Johnson of New Mexico | class="fn" | Bill Weld of Massachusetts | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 106,327 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 4.08% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.00% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | Increase2.69% |- |- class="vcard" | style="background-color: #0BDA51; width: 5px;" | | class="org" | Green | class="fn" | Jill Stein of Massachusetts | class="fn" | Ajamu Baraka of Illinois | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 34,345 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 1.32% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.00% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | Increase0.98% |- |- class="vcard" | style="background-color: Template:Write-in/meta/color; width: 5px;" | | class="org" | Write-in | class="fn" | Various of Various | class="fn" | Various of Various | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 31,662 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 1.22% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.00% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | Increase0.90% |- |- class="vcard" | style="background-color: #DDDDDD; width: 5px;" | | class="org" | Independent | class="fn" | Evan McMullin (write-in) of Utah | class="fn" | Nathan Johnson of California | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 17,449 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.67% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.00% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | Increase0.67% |- |- class="vcard" | style="background-color: #AA55AA; width: 5px;" | | class="org" | Constitution | class="fn" | Darrell Castle (write-in) of Tennessee | class="fn" | Scott Bradley of Utah | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 1,058 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.04% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.00% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | Increase0.03% |- |- class="vcard" | style="background-color: #DDDDDD; width: 5px;" | | class="org" | Independent | class="fn" | Tom Hoefling (write-in) of Iowa | class="fn" | Steve Schulin of South Carolina | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 85 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.00% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.00% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | Steady |- |- class="vcard" | style="background-color: #DDDDDD; width: 5px;" | | class="org" | Independent | class="fn" | Mike Smith (write-in) of Tennessee | class="fn" | Daniel L. White of | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 62 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.00% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.00% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | Steady |- |- class="vcard" | style="background-color: #DDDDDD; width: 5px;" | | class="org" | Independent | class="fn" | Laurence Kotlikoff (write-in) of Massachusetts | class="fn" | Edward E. Leamer of California | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 52 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.00% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.00% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | Steady |- |- class="vcard" | style="background-color: #6A287E; width: 5px;" | | class="org" | Reform | class="fn" | Rocky De La Fuente (write-in) of California | class="fn" | Michael Steinberg of Florida | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 29 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.00% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.00% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | Steady |- |- class="vcard" | style="background-color: #DDDDDD; width: 5px;" | | class="org" | Independent | class="fn" | Joseph Allen Maldonado (write-in) of | class="fn" | Douglas Terranova of | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 20 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.00% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0 | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 0.00% | style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | Steady |- |- style="background-color:#F6F6F6" | colspan="4" style="text-align:center;" |Total | style="text-align:right;" | 2,604,657 | style="text-align:right;" | 100.00% | style="text-align:right;" | 11 | style="text-align:right;" | 100.00% |-

|}

Results by county

County Trump# Trump% Clinton# Clinton% Others# Others% Total Votes
Apache 8,240 30.50% 17,083 63.24% 1,783 6.58% 27,106
Cochise 28,092 57.41% 17,450 35.66% 23,833 7.76% 49,375
Coconino 21,108 36.45% 32,404 56.44% 4,919 8.42% 58,431
Gila 14,182 63.88% 7,003 31.55% 1,123 5.03% 22,308
Graham 8,025 67.22% 3,301 27.65% 806 6.64% 12,132
Greenlee 1,892 58.34% 1,092 33.67% 286 8.75% 3,270
La Paz 4,003 68.29% 1,575 26.87% 296 5.04% 5,874
Maricopa 747,361 47.67% 702,907 44.83% 98,813 6.38% 1,567,834
Mohave 58,282 73.67% 17,455 22.06% 3,607 4.55% 79,344
Navajo 20,577 52.56% 16,459 42.04% 2,609 6.58% 39,645
Pima 167,428 40.45% 224,661 54.28% 24,297 5.84% 416,386
Pinal 72,819 57.25% 47,892 37.65% 7,524 5.87% 128,235
Santa Cruz 3,897 24.45% 11,690 71.58% 700 4.30% 16,287
Yavapai 71,330 63.40% 35,590 31.63% 6,224 5.50% 113,144
Yuma 25,165 48.12% 24,605 47.05% 2,641 5.04% 52,411

By congressional district

Trump won 5 of 9 congressional districts, including one represented by a Democrat. Clinton also carried a district represented by a Republican.[18]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 48% 47% Ann Kirkpatrick
Tom O'Halleran
2nd 44% 49% Martha McSally
3rd 32% 62% Raúl Grijalva
4th 66% 27% Paul Gosar
5th 56% 36% Matt Salmon
Andy Biggs
6th 52% 42% David Schweikert
7th 22% 71% Ruben Gallego
8th 57% 36% Trent Franks
9th 38% 54% Kyrsten Sinema

Turnout

Voter Turnout was 77.17% with 2,661,497 ballots cast out of 3,588,466 voters.[19]

Analysis

Donald Trump won Arizona with a margin of 3.5%, a reduced margin from Mitt Romney's 9.03% margin in 2012.[20] Arizona was among the eleven states in which Hillary Clinton outperformed Barack Obama's margin in 2012,[21] primarily due to an increase in Hispanic voter turnout in southern Arizona, including heavily populated Maricopa County. Maricopa County in particular, went from a 10.69% margin of victory for Romney in 2012 to a 2.84% margin of victory for Trump–one of only three times that a Democrat has come closer to carrying the county since 1964. Indeed, the only closer margin since that time came in 1996, when Bill Clinton lost it by only 2.7%.

Clinton also came close to winning Yuma County, and would have been the first Democrat to do so since the county was separated from La Paz County in the 1980s. Other rural counties that had been won by Bill Clinton in the 1990s continued to trend in a Republican direction.

In terms of percentage of the vote, Trump's strongest support was in the northwest of the state whereas Clinton did best in the southern-central region.

Electors

Arizona had 11 electors in 2016. All of them voted for Donald Trump for president and Mike Pence for vice president.

The electors were

See also

References

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  3. ↑ The Green Papers
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  17. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  18. ↑ https://www.cookpolitical.com/introducing-2017-cook-political-report-partisan-voter-index
  19. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  20. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  21. ↑ http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2016&def=swg&datatype=national&f=0&off=0&elect=0

External links

Template:State results of the 2016 U.S. presidential election

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