2020 Florida Democratic primary
From Infogalactic: the planetary knowledge core
|
|||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||
|
248 Democratic National Convention delegates (219 pledged, 29 unpledged) The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote |
|||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|||||||||||||||||||
|
350px Election results by county
Joe Biden
|
|||||||||||||||||||
Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
The 2020 Florida Democratic primary took place on Tuesday, March 17, 2020, one of three states voting on the same day in the Democratic Party presidential primaries for the 2020 presidential election. The Florida primary is a closed primary, with the state awarding 248 delegates, of which 219 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.
At 8:00pm eastern time, the Associated Press declared Joe Biden the winner of the Florida primary.[1] Biden won every county in the state, significantly extending his delegate lead.
Procedure
Florida is one of three states which held primaries on March 17, 2020, the others being Arizona and Illinois.[2]
Voting took place throughout the state from 7:00 a.m. until 7:00 p.m. local time. In the closed primary, candidates must meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 219 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention will be allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 219 pledged delegates, between three and seven are allocated to each of the state's 27 congressional districts and another 29 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 47 at-large pledged delegates. These delegate totals do not account for pledged delegate bonuses or penalties from timing or clustering.[3]
Following the primary, post-primary congressional district caucuses will convene on Saturday, May 2, 2020, to designate national convention district delegates, and the state convention will subsequently be held on Saturday, May 30, 2020, to vote on the 47 pledged at-large and 29 PLEO delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention. The 219 pledged delegates Florida sends to the national convention will be joined by 29 unpledged PLEO delegates (14 members of the Democratic National Committee; 13 members of Congress, of which all are U.S. Representatives; and former DNC chairs Kenneth M. Curtis and Debbie Wasserman Schultz).[3]
Polling
| Polling Aggregation | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
|
| 270 to Win | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 5–16, 2020 | 65.5% | 23.0% | 1.8% | 9.7% | |
| RealClear Politics | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 64.7% | 25.7% | 2.0% | 7.6% | |
| FiveThirtyEight | Mar 17, 2020 | until Mar 16, 2020 [lower-alpha 2] | 63.8% | 24.7% | 1.4% | 10.1% | |
| Average | 64.7% | 24.5% | 1.7% | 9.1% | |||
| Polling from February 12, 2020 to March 17, 2020 | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 3] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Un- decided |
||
| Swayable | Mar 16, 2020 | 4,035 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 64% | – | – | – | 25% | – | 12%[lower-alpha 4] | – | ||
| AtlasIntel | Mar 14–16, 2020 | 532 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 67% | – | – | – | 27% | – | 4%[lower-alpha 5] | 2% | ||
| Point Blank Political | Mar 11–13, 2020 | 3,165 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 61%[lower-alpha 6] | – | – | – | 32%[lower-alpha 6] | – | – | 7% | ||
| 57% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 29% | 4% | 1%[lower-alpha 7] | 5% | ||||||
| Emerson College/Nexstar | Mar 11–12, 2020 | 434 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 65% | – | – | – | 27% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 8] | 6% | ||
| Gravis Marketing | Mar 10–12, 2020 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 66% | – | – | – | 25% | – | – | 9% | ||
| ROI Rocket | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 877 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 67% | – | – | – | 27% | – | –[lower-alpha 9] | –[lower-alpha 9] | ||
| Latino Decisions/Univision | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 531 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 67%[lower-alpha 6] | – | – | – | 32%[lower-alpha 6] | – | – | 2% | ||
| 63% | – | – | – | 25% | – | 8%[lower-alpha 10] | 4% | ||||||
| University of North Florida | Mar 5–10, 2020 | 1,502 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 66% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 2% | 1%[lower-alpha 11] | 7% | ||
| St Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics.com | Mar 6–8, 2020 | 2,480 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 69% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 14% | 1% | 0%[lower-alpha 12] | 9% | ||
| Point Blank Political | Mar 6–8, 2020 | 3,376 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 61%[lower-alpha 6] | – | – | – | 32%[lower-alpha 6] | – | – | 7% | ||
| 55% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 29% | 4% | 2%[lower-alpha 13] | 7% | ||||||
| Florida Atlantic University | Mar 5–7, 2020 | 399 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 61% | – | – | – | 25% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 14] | 10% | ||
| Bloomberg and Warren withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||
| St Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics.com | Mar 4, 2020 | 1,882 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 61% | 14% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 5% | 0%[lower-alpha 15] | 6% | ||
| Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||
| St Pete Polls | Feb 25–26, 2020 | 2,788 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 34% | 25% | 8% | 4% | 13% | 5% | 1%[lower-alpha 16] | 10% | ||
| Saint Leo University | Feb 17–22, 2020 | 342 (LV) | – | 25% | 25% | 11% | 5% | 17% | 7% | 4%[lower-alpha 17] | 7% | ||
| Florida Southern College | Feb 17–21, 2020 | 313 (LV) | ± 5.54% | 22% | 23% | 9% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 1%[lower-alpha 18] | 9% | ||
| St Pete Polls | Feb 18–19, 2020 | 2,412 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 27% | 32% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 2%[lower-alpha 19] | 10% | ||
| Tel Opinion Research/Politico/ Let’s Preserve the American Dream |
Feb 13–18, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 20% | 26% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 5%[lower-alpha 20] | 16% | ||
| St Pete Polls | Feb 12–13, 2020 | 3,047 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 26% | 27% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 1%[lower-alpha 21] | 11% | ||
| Polling before February 11, 2020 | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 3] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Un- decided |
| New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||||
| St. Pete Polls | Jan 27–28, 2020 | 2,590 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 41% | 17% | – | 6% | – | 5% | – | 9% | 7% | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 22] | 10% |
| Tel Opinion Research/Let’s Preserve the American Dream/Politico | Jan 21–23, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41%[lower-alpha 23] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21% | 18% | – | – | 20% |
| 29% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 4% | – | 17% | 12% | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 24] | 28% | ||||
| Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
| Florida Atlantic University | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 494 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 3% | – | 6% | – | 16% | 10% | 5% | 5%[lower-alpha 25] | 4%[lower-alpha 26] |
| Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
| Bloomberg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
| Siena College/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 650 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 27% | – | 0% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 13% | 19% | 0% | 1%[lower-alpha 27] | 29% |
| Tel Opinion Research | Sep 15–18, 2019 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.54% | 43% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 26% | – | – | 18% |
| 37% | – | – | 5% | 6% | – | – | 9% | 18% | 2% | – | 20% | ||||
| 24% | – | – | 2% | 3% | – | – | 5% | 11% | 1% | 3%[lower-alpha 28] | 49% | ||||
| Florida Atlantic University | Sep 12–15, 2019 | 407 | ± 4.9% | 34% | – | 1% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 14% | 24% | 2% | 8%[lower-alpha 29] | 6% |
| St. Pete Polls | Jun 22–23, 2019 | 2,022 | ± 2.2% | 47% | – | 3% | 8% | 6% | – | 2% | 8% | 12% | – | 7% | 6% |
| Change Research | Jun 16–17, 2019 | 1,130 | ± 2.9% | 33% | – | 2% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 20% | 15% | 3% | 2%[lower-alpha 30] | – |
| Quinnipiac University | Jun 12–17, 2019 | 417 | ± 5.8% | 41% | – | 1% | 8% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 14% | 12% | <1% | 1%[lower-alpha 31] | 12% |
| Climate Nexus | Jun 7–11, 2019 | 676 | ± 2.6% | 32% | – | 2% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 16% | 10% | 2% | 9%[lower-alpha 32] | 14% |
| Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 228 | ± 6.5% | 34% | – | 2% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 7% | 1% | 6%[lower-alpha 33] | – |
| Florida Atlantic University | May 16–19, 2019 | 403 | ± 4.9% | 39% | – | 1% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 12% | 1% | 14%[lower-alpha 34] | – |
| Tel Opinion Research* | May 8, 2019 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 39% | – | 1% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 5% | – | – | 28% |
| Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| Tel Opinion Research* | Mar 21, 2019 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 37% | – | 2% | – | 4% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 6% | – | – | 31% |
| O'Rourke announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| Bendixen & Amandi International | Mar 1–4, 2019 | 300 | – | 26% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 0%[lower-alpha 35] | 46% |
| Sanders announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| Warren announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| Booker announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| Harris announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| Saint Leo University | May 25–31, 2018 | – | – | 21% | – | 3% | – | 4% | – | – | 11% | 7% | – | 34%[lower-alpha 36] | 17% |
Results
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[5] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 1,077,116 | 61.95 | 162 |
| Bernie Sanders | 397,091 | 22.84 | 57 |
| Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) | 146,539 | 8.43 | 0 |
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | 39,879 | 2.29 | 0 |
| Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) | 32,843 | 1.89 | 0 |
| Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | 17,269 | 0.99 | 0 |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 8,711 | 0.50 | 0 |
| Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 5,286 | 0.30 | 0 |
| Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 4,244 | 0.24 | 0 |
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | 2,510 | 0.14 | 0 |
| Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 1,744 | 0.10 | 0 |
| John Delaney (withdrawn) | 1,583 | 0.09 | 0 |
| Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 1,506 | 0.09 | 0 |
| Julián Castro (withdrawn) | 1,036 | 0.06 | 0 |
| Joe Sestak (withdrawn) | 664 | 0.04 | 0 |
| Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | 661 | 0.04 | 0 |
| Total | 1,738,682 | 100% | 219 |
Notes
- Additional candidates
- ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ↑ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 10%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 2%
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 In a two-person race
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%
- ↑ 9.0 9.1 Not yet released
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 6%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; Yang with <1%
- ↑ Steyer with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%
- ↑ Steyer with 0%
- ↑ Steyer with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; Steyer with 1%; "None of these" with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard, Bennet, and Yang with 1%
- ↑ Steyer with 1%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%
- ↑ If only Biden, Sanders and Warren remained as candidates
- ↑ Steyer with 2%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Delaney, and Gabbard 1%; Patrick with 0%
- ↑ Listed as "someone else/unsure"
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; others with 0%
- ↑ Listed as others
- ↑ Messam with 3%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Gabbard and Ryan with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Castro and Messam with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with <1%; others with 1%
- ↑ Delaney with 2%; Bennet, de Blasio, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, and Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard and Gillibrand with 2%; Castro, and Inslee with 1%; Delaney and Hickenlooper with 0%
- ↑ Castro with 2%; Gillibrand, Gravel, and Moulton with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 9%
- ↑ Brown, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 0%
- ↑ Winfrey with 17%; Holder with 5%; Brown with 3%; Cuomo, Gillibrand, and Murphy with 2%; Bullock, Landrieu, Patrick, and McAuliffe with 1%; others with 2%
References
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
.jpg){kind=link}
