2020 United States Senate election in Alaska

Not to be confused with 2020 Alaska Senate election.

2020 United States Senate election in Alaska

November 3, 2020

x150px Nominee Dan Sullivan Al Gross Party Republican Independent

Incumbent U.S. senator Dan Sullivan Republican

The 2020 United States Senate election in Alaska will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alaska, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan is running for re–election to a second term in office, while independent candidate Al Gross, son of Avrum Gross, is running with the support of the Democratic Party.

Both primaries took place on August 18, 2020.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Dan Sullivan, incumbent U.S. Senator

Withdrawn

• Adam Master Newman

Endorsements

Dan Sullivan
U.S. federal officials Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Dan Sullivan (incumbent)	65,257	100.0%
Total votes			65,257	100.0%

Libertarian-Democratic-Independence primary

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination. In October 2017, the Alaska Democratic Party sued for the right to allow non-Democrats to compete for and win the Democratic nomination, which was ultimately decided in their favor in April 2018.

Democratic candidates

Nominee

• Al Gross (Independent), orthopedic surgeon, commercial fisherman and son of Avrum Gross

Eliminated in primary

• Edgar Blatchford (Democratic), Democratic candidate in the 2016 election for the U.S. Senate, founder and former editor and publisher of Alaska Newspapers, Inc., former Mayor of Seward (1999–2003) and former commissioner of the Alaska Department of Commerce, Community and Economic Development
• Chris Cumings (Independent), Democratic candidate in the 2018 election for Alaska's at-large congressional district and ex-bank employee

Disqualified from the ballot

• Larry N. Barnes (Independent)

Withdrawn

• David Darden (Independent), nonpartisan candidate for Anchorage Assembly District 3 Seat E in the 2018 special election

Alaskan Independence candidates

Nominee

• John Howe (Alaskan Independence), machinist

Endorsements

Al Gross

Local officials Pete Buttigieg, 2020 Democratic presidential candidate and former Mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020) Individuals Andrew Yang, Presidential Ambassador for Global Entrepreneurship (2015-17), 2020 Democratic Presidential candidate Organizations 314 Action Alaska Center Alaska Democratic Party DSCC End Citizens United Humanity Forward J Street PAC Jewish Democratic Council of America Orthopaedic PAC Planned Parenthood Action Fund The Lincoln Project Union Communications Workers of America

Primary results

Democratic-Libertarian-Independence primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Independent	Al Gross	50,047	79.87%
	Democratic	Edgar Blatchford	5,463	8.72%
	Alaskan Independence	John Howe	4,165	6.65%
	Independent	Christopher Cumings	2,989	4.77%
Total votes			62,664	100.0%

Other candidates

Green Party

General Election write-in candidate

• Jed Whittaker, Green nominee in the 1996 United States Senate election in Alaska and salvage company owner

Independents

Declared

• Sidney "Sid" Hill, independent write-in candidate for the 2018 election in Alaska's at-large congressional district and independent write-in candidate for the 2014 United States Senate election in Alaska and LaRouche activist (as a write-in candidate)

Withdrawn

• David Matheny, wildfire technician

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Likely R	August 17, 2020
Inside Elections	Likely R	September 18, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Likely R	August 5, 2020
Daily Kos	Likely R	August 31, 2020
Politico	Likely R	September 9, 2020
RCP	Likely R	September 17, 2020
Niskanen	Tossup	September 15, 2020
DDHQ	Lean R	September 16, 2020
538	Likely R	September 18, 2020

Endorsements

Dan Sullivan (R)
U.S. Federal Officials Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States U.S. Senators Lisa Murkowski, U.S. Senator for Alaska (2002-present) Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator for Texas (2013-present) Organizations Calista Corporation Bering Straits Native Corporation United States Chamber of Commerce Labor Unions IUOE

Al Gross (I)

U.S. Senators Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator from California (2017-present), Democratic Party's nominee for Vice President in the 2020 election, Attorney General of California (2011-2017) and Attorney General of San Francisco (2004-2011) Local Officials Pete Buttigieg, 2020 Democratic presidential candidate and former Mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020) Individuals Andrew Yang, Presidential Ambassador for Global Entrepreneurship (2015-17), 2020 Democratic Presidential candidate Organizations 314 Action Alaska Center Alaska Democratic Party Democratic Majority for Israel DSCC End Citizens United Humanity Forward J Street PAC Jewish Democratic Council of America Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund Orthopaedic PAC Patriotic Millionaires Planned Parenthood Action Fund The Lincoln Project Unions Communications Workers of America

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Dan Sullivan (R)	Al Gross (I)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[1]	August 27–28, 2020	638 (V)	± 3.9%	43%	43%	–	14%
Public Policy Polling	July 7–8, 2020	1,081 (V)	± 3.0%	39%	34%	–	27%
Alaska Survey Research	June 23 – July 7, 2020	663 (LV)	± 3.8%	53%	40%	–	7%

Hypothetical polling

with Forrest Dunbar Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Dan Sullivan (R) Forrest Dunbar (D) Undecided Patinkin Research Strategies May 28 – Jun 4, 2019 500 (LV) – 39% 39% 22% with Forrest Dunbar as an independent Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Dan Sullivan (R) Forrest Dunbar (I) Undecided Patinkin Research Strategies May 28 – June 4, 2019 500 (LV) – 42% 40% 19%

Results

United States Senate election in Alaska, 2020

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Dan Sullivan (incumbent)
	Independent	Al Gross			{{{change}}}
	Alaskan Independence	John Howe			{{{change}}}
	Write-in
Total votes				100.0%

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

• Al Gross (I) for Senate
• John Howe (AI) for Senate
• Dan Sullivan (R) for Senate