2020 United States presidential election in Colorado

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2020 United States presidential election in Colorado

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout %
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg 160x160px 160x160px
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden Jo Jorgensen
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Home state Florida Delaware South Carolina
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris Spike Cohen

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican



Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2020 United States presidential election in Colorado is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Colorado voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Colorado has 9 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

The Democratic National Committee proposed Denver as finalist to host the 2020 Democratic National Convention, but the city declined, citing conflicts.[3] The DNC ultimately decided to hold the convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.

Republican primary

The Republican primary was due to be canceled until Robert Ardini, a retired advertising executive, decided to submit his name for the ballot. Several others subsequently joined him. Lua error in Module:TNT at line 159: Missing JsonConfig extension; Cannot load https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Data:I18n/Module:Excerpt.tab.

Democratic primary

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Libertarian nominee

  • Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Likely D September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Lean D September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Likely D July 14, 2020
Politico[7] Likely D September 8, 2020
RCP[8] Lean D August 3, 2020
Niskanen[9] Safe D July 26, 2020
CNN[10] Lean D August 3, 2020
The Economist[11] Likely D September 2, 2020
CBS News[12] Lean D August 16, 2020
270towin[13] Likely D August 2, 2020
ABC News[14] Safe D July 31, 2020
NPR[15] Likely D August 3, 2020
NBC News[16] Likely D August 6, 2020
538[17] Likely D September 23, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

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Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
270 to Win August 21 – September 5, 2020 September 19, 2020 51.3% 40.7% 8.0% Biden +10.6
FiveThirtyEight until September 7, 2020 September 19, 2020 51.1% 41.2% 7.7% Biden +9.9

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
Morning Consult Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 657 (LV) ± (2%-4%) 43%[lower-alpha 3] 49% - -
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP[1] Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 800 (LV) ± < 4% 40% 50% - -
Global Strategy Group/Progress Colorado[upper-alpha 1] Aug 28 – Sep 1, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 39% 50% 4% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 4] 4%
Morning Consult[2] Aug 21–30, 2020 638 (LV) ± 4% 41%[lower-alpha 5] 51% - -
Morning Consult Aug 16–25, 2020 ~600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 51% - -
Morning Consult[3] Aug 7–16, 2020 601 (LV) ± 4% 41%[lower-alpha 6] 51% - -
Morning Consult Aug 6–15, 2020 ~600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 51% - -
Morning Consult Jul 7 – Aug 5, 2020 ~600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 52% - -
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 616 (LV) ± 4.0% 39%[lower-alpha 7] 52% - -
Morning Consult Jul 13–22, 2020 ~600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 51% - -
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[upper-alpha 2] Jul 23–24, 2020 891 (V) 41% 54% - - 5%
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United Jun 29–30, 2020 840 (V) ± 3.4% 39% 56% - - 5%
Morning Consult May 17-26, 2020 572 (LV) 42% 50% - -
Global Strategy Group (D) May 7–11, 2020 700 (RV) ± 3.5% 40% 53% - - 7%
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson/Colorado Politics May 1–3, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 36% 55% - - 3%[lower-alpha 8] 6%
Montana State University Bozeman Apr 10–19, 2020 379 (LV) 35% 53% - - 3% 8%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 485 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 46% - - 11%
Emerson College Aug 16–19, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 55% - -
Fabrizio Ward/AARP Jul 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 51% - - 1%[lower-alpha 9] 5%
Former candidates
Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Undecided
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 485 (RV) ± 4.5% 42% 45% 13%
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 485 (RV) ± 4.5% 42% 45% 13%
Emerson College Aug 16–19, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 55%
with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
Emerson College Aug 16–19, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 51%
Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Undecided
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 485 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 43% 14%
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 485 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 48% 9%
Emerson College Aug 16–19, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 55%
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 485 (RV) ± 4.5% 45% 44% 11%
Emerson College Aug 16–19, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 54%
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies Jul 15–17, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 32% 44% 15% 9%
Magellan Strategies Mar 11–13, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 33% 40% 16% 10%
Global Strategy Group Jan 31 – Feb 4, 2019 818 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 52% 8%
DFM Research Jan 2–5, 2019 550 (A) ± 4.2% 36% 50% 14%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Colorado[18]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Democratic Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Green Howie Hawkins and Angela Walker
Constitution Don Blankenship and William Mohr
style="background-color: Template:Alliance Party (United States)/meta/color; width: 5px;" | [[Alliance Party (United States)|Template:Alliance Party (United States)/meta/shortname]] Rocky De La Fuente and Darcy Richardson
style="background-color: Template:American Solidarity Party/meta/color; width: 5px;" | [[American Solidarity Party|Template:American Solidarity Party/meta/shortname]] Brian Carroll and Amar Patel
style="background-color: Template:Approval Voting Party/meta/color; width: 5px;" | [[Approval Voting Party|Template:Approval Voting Party/meta/shortname]] Blake Huber and Frank Atwood
Independent American Kyle Kopitke and Nathan Sorenson
Progressive Dario Hunter and Dawn Neptune Adams
Prohibition Phil Collins and Billy Joe Parker
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva and Sunil Freeman
Socialist Equality Joseph Kishore and Norissa Santa Cruz
Socialist Workers Alyson Kennedy and Malcolm Jarrett
Unity Bill Hammons and Eric Bodenstab
Independent Brock Pierce and Karla Ballard
Independent Joe McHugh and Elizabeth Storm
Independent Jordan "Cancer" Scott and Jennifer Tepool
Independent Kanye West and Michelle Tidball
Independent Mark Charles and Adrian Wallace
Independent Princess Khadijah Jacob-Fambro and Khadijah Jacob Sr.
Total votes

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. West (B) with 1%
  5. Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  6. Overlapping sample with the previous and subsequent Morning Consult polls, but more information available regarding sample size
  7. Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  8. "Other candidate" with 3%
  9. Would not vote/would not vote for president with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  2. This poll's sponsor, AFSCME, had endorsed Biden prior to the sampling period

See also

References

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  9. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
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External links

  • Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
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