2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut

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Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout %
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg 160x160px
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican


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The 2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Connecticut voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Connecticut has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the state's primary elections were postponed until August 11, 2020, marking the first time that the modern presidential primary season has extended into August. By that time, incumbent President Donald Trump of the Republican Party and former Vice President Joe Biden of the Democratic Party had already clinched enough delegates to become the presumptive nominees of their respective parties. Furthermore, both the Democratic and Republican National Conventions were scheduled one and two weeks afterwards, respectively, essentially making the Connecticut primary races pro forma.

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[3] Safe D September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[4] Safe D September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] Safe D July 14, 2020
Politico[6] Safe D September 8, 2020
RCP[7] Lean D August 3, 2020
Niskanen[8] Safe D July 26, 2020
CNN[9] Safe D August 3, 2020
The Economist[10] Safe D September 2, 2020
CBS News[11] Likely D August 16, 2020
270towin[12] Safe D August 2, 2020
ABC News[13] Safe D July 31, 2020
NPR[14] Likely D August 3, 2020
NBC News[15] Likely D August 6, 2020
538[16] Likely D September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

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Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided[lower-alpha 1] Margin
FiveThirtyEight until May 24, 2020 September 12, 2020 55.0% 34.0% 11.0% Biden +21.0

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Other Undecided
SurveyUSA May 19–24, 2020 808 (RV) ± 4.5% 33% 52% 7%[lower-alpha 3] 8%
Quinnipiac University Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 945 (RV) ± 3.2% 33% 56% 3%[lower-alpha 4] 7%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Mar 24 – Apr 3, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 34% 47% – –
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Feb 24 – Mar 12, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 36% 52% – –
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 32% 52% – 16%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 33% 52% – 15%
Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Undecided
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant/Institute for Public Policy Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 1000 (A) ± 3.% 33% 47% 20%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 34% 46% 20%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Kamala
Harris (D)		 Undecided
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 34% 47% 19%

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Undecided
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Mar 24 – Apr 3, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 37% 48% –
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Feb 24 – Mar 12, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 38% 50% –
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 35% 52% 13%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 35% 51% 14%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Undecided
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant/Institute for Public Policy Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 1000 (A) ± 3.0% 36% 49% 16%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 35% 49% 16%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut[17]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Democratic Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Green Howie Hawkins and Angela Walker
Total votes 100.00%

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020. On March 19, they were moved to June 2 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[18] Then on April 17, they were further pushed back to August 11.[19]

Republican primary

The state had 28 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention, all going to Trump.[20]

2020 Connecticut Republican presidential primary
Candidate Votes  % Delegates
Donald Trump 69,807 79.0% 28
Uncommitted 12,147 13.7% 0
Rocky De La Fuente (withdrawn) 6,438 7.3% 0
Total 88,392 100% 28 (of 28)

Democratic primary

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See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ↑ 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ "Someone else" with 7%
  4. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 1%

References

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  8. ↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
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