2020 United States presidential election in Michigan

From Infogalactic: the planetary knowledge core
Jump to: navigation, search

<templatestyles src="Module:Hatnote/styles.css"></templatestyles>

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Michigan
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout %
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg 160x160px
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican


Elections in Michigan
Seal of Michigan.svg
This box:

The 2020 United States presidential election in Michigan is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Michigan voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Michigan is expected to be tightly contested in 2020, as it was the closest state by margin in the 2016 election, where President Trump became the first Republican to carry Michigan's electoral votes since 1988, when George H. W. Bush won in a national landslide against Michael Dukakis.

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Princeton Electoral Consortium[3] Safe D (flip) September 27, 2020
The Cook Political Report[4] Lean D (flip) September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Lean D (flip) September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Lean D (flip) July 14, 2020
Politico[7] Lean D (flip) September 8, 2020
RCP[8] Tossup August 3, 2020
Niskanen[9] Likely D (flip) July 26, 2020
CNN[10] Lean D (flip) August 3, 2020
The Economist[11] Likely D (flip) September 2, 2020
CBS News[12] Lean D (flip) August 16, 2020
270towin[13] Lean D (flip) August 2, 2020
ABC News[14] Lean D (flip) July 31, 2020
NPR[15] Lean D (flip) August 3, 2020
NBC News[16] Lean D (flip) August 6, 2020
538[17] Lean D (flip) September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

<templatestyles src="Graph:Chart/styles.css"></templatestyles>

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Other/
Undecided
[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
270 to Win September 10-22, 2020 September 22, 2020 48.6% 41.5% 10.0% Biden +7.2
Real Clear Politics September 1-20, 2020 September 22, 2020 48.7% 42.2% 9.1% Biden +6.5
FiveThirtyEight until September 20, 2020 September 22, 2020 49.8% 42.3% 7.9% Biden +7.5
Average 49.0% 42.0% 9.0% Biden +7.0

2020 polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian		 Howie
Hawkins
Green		 Other Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University Sep 9–22 1,001 (LV) – 42% 50% 1% 0% – –
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research
Center/Wisconsin State Journal		 Sep 10–21 641 (LV) – 45%[lower-alpha 3] 51% - - – –
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Sep 1–21 1,889 (RV) – 43% 53% - - – 3%
Change Research/CNBC Sep 18–20 568 (LV) – 43% 51% - - – –
MRG Sep 14–19 600 (LV) ± 4% 41% 46% - - 8%[lower-alpha 4] 5%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 11–16 637 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 49% - - 2%[lower-alpha 5] 4%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[upper-alpha 1] Sep 11–15 517 (RV) – 42% 53% - - 3%[lower-alpha 6] 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 12–14 930 (LV) ± 3.21% 39% 49% 2% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 7] 9%
EPIC-MRA Sep 10–15 600 (LV) ± 4% 40% 48% - - 5%[lower-alpha 8] 7%[lower-alpha 9]
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP Aug 28 – Sep 8 1,600 (LV) ± 2.5% 43% 50% - - – –
Morning Consult Aug 29 – Sep 7 1,455 (LV) ± (2%-4%) 42%[lower-alpha 10] 52% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Sep 4–6 876 (LV) – 43% 49% - - 7%[lower-alpha 11] –
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[1] Sep 2–3 1,000 (LV) ± 3% 44%[lower-alpha 12] 53% - - 3%[lower-alpha 13] –
Glengariff Group Sep 1–3 600 (LV) ± 4% 42% 47% - - 4%[lower-alpha 14] 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Aug 30 – Sep 3 967 (LV) ± 3.15% 40% 51% 1% 0% 1%[lower-alpha 15] 7%
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Aug 1–31 2,962 (RV) – 47% 49% - - – 4%
Morning Consult Aug 21–30 1,424 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 42% 52% - - – –
PPP/Progress Michigan[upper-alpha 2] Aug 28–29 897 (V) – 44% 48% 3% 1% – 3%
Change Research/CNBC Aug 21–23 809 (LV) – 44% 50% - - – –
Trafalgar Group Aug 14–23 1,048 (LV) ± 2.98% 47% 45% 3% - 1%[lower-alpha 16] 4%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies Aug 16–19 812 (LV) – 38% 50% 1% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 17] 9%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[upper-alpha 3] Aug 13–17 631 (RV) – 46% 49% - - 3%[lower-alpha 18] 1%
Morning Consult Aug 7–16 1,212 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 44% 50% - - – –
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 4] Aug 11–15 600 (LV) – 41% 52% - - – 7%
Change Research/CNBC Aug 7–9 413 (LV) – 43% 48% - - – –
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison Jul 27 – Aug 6 761 (RV) ± 5.1% 43% 47% - - 5%[lower-alpha 19] 6%
GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC[upper-alpha 5] Jul 30 – Aug 4 1,245 (LV) – 43% 52% - - – –
David Binder Research Jul 30–31 200 (LV) – 41% 51% - - – –
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Jul 1–31 3,083 (RV) – 47% 50% - - – 3%
EPIC-MRA Jul 25–30 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 51% 3% - - 6%
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[upper-alpha 6] Jul 28–29 876 (V) – 43% 49% - - 6%[lower-alpha 20] 3%
Change Research/CNBC[2] Jul 24–26 413 (LV) – 42% 46% - - – –
Morning Consult Jul 17–26 1,320 (LV) ± 2.7% 42% 52% - - – –
YouGov/CBS Jul 21–24 1,156 (LV) ± 3.4% 42% 48% - - 2%[lower-alpha 21] 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jul 19–24 811 (RV) – 37% 49% 1% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 22] 10%
CNN/SSRS Jul 18–24 927 (RV) ± 3.8% 40% 52% - - 5%[lower-alpha 23] 2%
Gravis Marketing[3] Jul 22 754 (RV) ± 3.6% 42% 51% - - – 7%
Fox News Jul 18–20 756 (RV) ± 3.5% 40% 49% - - 4%[lower-alpha 24] 7%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 7] Jul 13–16 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 53% - - – 7%
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[upper-alpha 8] Jul 11–16 600 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 45% - - – 5%
Change Research/CNBC Jul 10–12 824 (LV) – 42% 48% - - – –
Public Policy Polling/Giffords (D)[upper-alpha 9] Jul 9–10 1,041 (V) ± 3.2% 44% 51% - - – 5%
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Jun 8–30 1,238 (RV) – 44% 52% - - – 4%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 26–28 699 (LV)[lower-alpha 25] – 43% 48% - - – –
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan (D)[upper-alpha 10] Jun 26–27 1,237 (V) – 44% 50% - - 5%[lower-alpha 26] 1%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Jun 17–20 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 56% - - 2%[lower-alpha 27] 7%
Trafalgar Group Jun 16–18 1,101 (LV) ± 2.95% 45% 46% - - 5%[lower-alpha 28] 4%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Jun 8–17 610 (RV) ± 4.3% 36% 47% - - 8%[lower-alpha 29] 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jun 14–16 826 (LV) ± 3.41% 36% 47% 2% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 30] 12%
TargetPoint Jun 11–16 1,000 (A) – 33% 49% - - 4%[lower-alpha 31] 14%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 12–14 353 (LV)[lower-alpha 32] – 45% 47% - - 3%[lower-alpha 33] –
TIPP/American Greatness PAC[upper-alpha 11] Jun 9–12 859 (LV) – 38% 51% - - 4%[lower-alpha 34] 7%
Kiaer Research May 31 – Jun 7 543 (LV) ± 6.4% 35% 50% - - 6%[lower-alpha 35] 8%
EPIC-MRA May 31 – Jun 4 600 (LV) ± 4% 39% 55% - - – –
EPIC-MRA May 30 – Jun 3 600 (LV) ± 4% 41% 53% - - – 6%[lower-alpha 36]
Change Research/CNBC May 29–31 620 (LV)[lower-alpha 37] – 46% 48% - - 3% 3%
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[upper-alpha 12] May 29–30 1,582 (V) ± 2.5% 44% 50% - - 4%[lower-alpha 38] 2%
Morning Consult May 17–26 1,325 (LV) – 42% 50% - - – –
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care[upper-alpha 13] May 18–19 1,234 (V) ± 2.8% 45% 51% - - – 5%
Change Research/Crooked Media May 11–17 3,070 (LV) – 46% 49% - - – –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies May 10–14 970 (LV) ± 3.2% 39% 47% - - 3%[lower-alpha 39] 11%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) May 1–5 600 (LV) ± 3% 42% 50% - - – 8%
Public Policy Polling[upper-alpha 14] Apr 28–29 1,270 (V) – 42% 50% - - – 8%
Public Policy Polling[upper-alpha 15] Apr 20–21 1,277 (RV) – 44% 51% - - – 5%
Fox News Apr 18–21 801 (RV) ± 3.5% 41% 49% - - 3% 6%
Ipsos/Reuters Apr 15–20 612 (RV) ± 5.0% 38% 46% - - – –
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Apr 9–11 600 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 49% - - – –
Hart Research/CAP Action[upper-alpha 16] Apr 6–8 303 (RV) – 41% 50% - - 4% 5%
Public Policy Polling Mar 31 – Apr 1 1,019 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 48% - - – 7%
SPRY Strategies Mar 30 – Apr 1 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 46% - - – 8%
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes Mar 17–25 997 (RV) ± 3.7% 42% 47% - - – 11%
Change Research Mar 21–23 510 (LV) – 47% 48% - - 5%
Marketing Resource Group Mar 16–20 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 44% - - 9%[lower-alpha 40] 6%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Mar 12–16 600 (RV) – 44% 50% - - – –
AtlasIntel Mar 7–9 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 44% - - 10% –
YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 6–8 566 (RV) – 41% 45% - - 6%[lower-alpha 41] 7%
Monmouth University Mar 5–8 977 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 48% - - 2% 9%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 5–7 550 (RV) ± 5.3% 46% 44% - - – –
YouGov Feb 11–20 1,249 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 47% - - – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18 845 (RV) ± 3.4% 43% 47% - - 6%[lower-alpha 42] 3%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18 500 (RV) – 43% 43% - - – 14%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press[4] Jan 9–12 600 (LV) ± 4% 44% 50% - - – 6%
Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7 600 (LV) ± 4% 43% 50% - - – 5%

2017–2019 polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Other Undecided
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 41% 8% [lower-alpha 43] 5% [lower-alpha 44]
Emerson College Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 1,051 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 56% – –
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–25, 2019 501 (LV) ± 5.1% 44% 45% – –
Target Insyght Sep 24–26, 2019 800 (LV) – 35% 54% – –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 529 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 42% 17% –
EPIC-MRA Aug 17–21, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 51% – 8%
Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 (RV) ± 4.0% 36% 49% 5%[lower-alpha 45] 10%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 587 (LV) ± 4.2% 43% 46% 11% –
EPIC-MRA Jun 8–12, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 52% – 7%
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 53% – 4%
WPA Intelligence Apr 27–30, 2019 200 (LV) ± 6.9% 42% 45% – 12%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 530 (LV) ± 4.5% 46% 45% 4% –
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 54% – –
Glengariff Group Jan 24–26, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 53% – 5%
EPIC-MRA Apr 28–30, 2018 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 52% – 9%
Zogby Analytics Sep 2017 800 (V) – 35% 52% – 13%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michael
Bloomberg (D)		 Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ±3.4% 42% 47% 7%[lower-alpha 46] 4%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 41% 46% – 13%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press[5] Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 42% 49% – 9%
Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 41% 47% – 10%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 37% 8% [lower-alpha 47] 7% [lower-alpha 48]

Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Cory
Booker (D)		 Other Undecided
Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 (RV) ± 4.0% 37% 39% 7%[lower-alpha 49] 16%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Other Undecided
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,249 (RV) ±4.0% 41% 47% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ±3.4% 44% 45% 8%[lower-alpha 50] 3%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 40% 44% – 15%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press[6] Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 43% 47% – 10%
Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 43% 45% – 10%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 37% 8% [lower-alpha 51] 6% [lower-alpha 52]
Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 (RV) ± 4.0% 37% 39% 7%[lower-alpha 53] 16%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 587 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 40% 16% –
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 47% – 11%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Kamala
Harris (D)		 Other Undecided
EPIC-MRA Aug 17–21, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 46% – 11%
Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 41% 6%[lower-alpha 54] 14%
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 47% – 9%
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 51% – –
Glengariff Group Jan 24–26, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 47% – 10%

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Amy
Klobuchar (D)		 Other Undecided
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,249 (RV) ±4.0% 41% 44% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ±3.4% 44% 45% 6%[lower-alpha 55] 4%
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 47% 53% – –

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Other Undecided
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 530 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 39% 8% –

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Other Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes Mar 17–25, 2020 997 (RV) ± 3.7% 42% 45% – 13%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Mar 12–16, 2020 600 (RV) – 44% 49% – –
AtlasIntel Mar 7–9, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 46% 11% –
YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 6–8, 2020 566 (RV) – 42% 43% 7%[lower-alpha 56] 8%
Monmouth University Mar 5–8, 2020 977 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 46% 2% 9%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 5–7, 2020 550 (RV) ± 5.3% 48% 41% – –
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,249 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 48% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ± 3.4% 43% 48% 7%[lower-alpha 57] 3%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 42% 46% – 12%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press[7] Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 45% 50% – 5%
Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 45% 49% – 5%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 42% 6% [lower-alpha 58] 5% [lower-alpha 59]
Emerson College Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 1,051 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 57% – –
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–25, 2019 501 (LV) ± 5.1% 42% 46% – –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 529 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 40% 17% –
EPIC-MRA Aug 17–21, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 48% – 8%
Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 47% 4%[lower-alpha 60] 11%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 587 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 44% 12% –
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 53% – 5%
Tulchin Research (D)[upper-alpha 17] Apr 14–18, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 41% 52% – –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 530 (LV) ± 4.5% 46% 45% 6% –
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 47% 52% – –
Glengariff Group Jan 24–26, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 52% – 6%
Zogby Analytics Sep 2017 800 (V) – 36% 54% – 10%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Other Undecided
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,249 (RV) ±4.0% 43% 46% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ±3.4% 43% 45% 7%[lower-alpha 61] 4%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press[8] Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 45% 48% – 7%
Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 44% 46% – 8%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 38% 8% [lower-alpha 62] 6% [lower-alpha 63]
Emerson College Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 1,051 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 54% – –
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–25, 2019 501 (LV) ± 5.1% 45% 40% – –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 529 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 41% 17% –
EPIC-MRA Aug 17–21, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 49% – 8%
Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 44% 6%[lower-alpha 64] 12%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 587 (LV) ± 4.2% 43% 41% 16% –
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 47% – 9%
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 51% – –
Glengariff Group Jan 24–26, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 46% – 10%
Zogby Analytics Sep 2017 800 (V) – 37% 46% – 17%
Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 803 (LV) ± 3.5% 35% 51% – 14%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Justin Amash

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Justin
Amash (L)		 Undecided
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 45% 10% 6%

with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Howard Schultz

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Howard
Schultz (I)		 Undecided
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 52% 4% –

with Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Schultz

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Howard
Schultz (I)		 Undecided
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 49% 6% –

with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Generic
Democrat (D)		 Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University Mar 17–25, 2020 997 (RV) ± 3.7% 43.2%[lower-alpha 65] 54.0% 2.9%[lower-alpha 66]
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 38% 50% 11%
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University Jan 8-20, 2020 1,023 (RV) ± 3.1% 36.4%[lower-alpha 67] 50.3% 13.3%
KFF/Cook Political Report Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 767 (RV) ± 4% 27% 39% 25%

with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Generic
Opponent		 Undecided
EPIC-MRA Jul 25 - 30, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 37% 49%[lower-alpha 68] 14%
EPIC-MRA May 31 – Jun 4, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 33% 51%[lower-alpha 69] 13%[lower-alpha 70]
EPIC-MRA[9] May 30 – Jun 3, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 38% 51%[lower-alpha 71] 8%[lower-alpha 72]
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press[10] Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 34% 44%[lower-alpha 73] 22%[lower-alpha 74]
EPIC-MRA Jun 8–12, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4% 32% 45%[lower-alpha 75] 23%[lower-alpha 76]
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Mar 3–7, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4% 31% 49%[lower-alpha 77] 20%[lower-alpha 78]
Glengariff Group/WDIV/Detroit News[11] Jan 24–26, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4% 31% 53% 15%[lower-alpha 79]

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Michigan[18]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Democratic Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Green Howie Hawkins and Angela Walker
Taxpayers Don Blankenship and William Mohr
Natural Law Rocky De La Fuente and Darcy Richardson
Total votes

Primary elections

The primary elections were on March 10, 2020.

Republican primary

<templatestyles src="Module:Hatnote/styles.css"></templatestyles>

This section is transcluded from 2020 Michigan Republican primary. (edit | history)

2020 Michigan Republican primary

Democratic primary

Bernie Sanders and former Vice President Joe Biden were the two major declared Democratic candidates.[19]

<templatestyles src="Module:Hatnote/styles.css"></templatestyles>

This section is transcluded from 2020 Michigan Democratic primary. (edit | history)
2020 Michigan Democratic primary[20]
Candidate Votes  % Delegates
Joe Biden 838,555 52.9 73
Bernie Sanders 576,754 36.4 52
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn†) 73,175 4.6
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn†) 26,051 1.6
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†) 22,424 1.4
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†) 10,969 0.7
Tulsi Gabbard 9,458 0.6
Andrew Yang (withdrawn†) 2,381 0.2
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†) 1,732 0.1
Michael Bennet (withdrawn†) 1,533 0.1
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 871 0.1
Joe Sestak (withdrawn) 785 0.0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 728 0.0
John Delaney (withdrawn†) 466 0.0
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 315 0.0
Uncommitted 19,034 1.2
Total 1,585,231 125

†Candidate withdrew after early voting started.

See also

Notes

Partisan clients
  1. ↑ Rust Belt Rising is affiliated with the Democratic Party
  2. ↑ Progress Michigan is a non-profit that primarily supports Democratic candidates
  3. ↑ Rust Belt Rising campaigns exclusively for Democratic candidates
  4. ↑ The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
  5. ↑ Unite the Country PAC has endorsed Biden's presidential campaign
  6. ↑ Progress Michigan is a non-profit that primarily supports Democratic candidates
  7. ↑ The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
  8. ↑ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
  9. ↑ Poll sponsored by Giffords, whose head - Gabby Giffords - had endorsed Biden prior to the sampling period
  10. ↑ Progress Michigan is a non-profit that primarily supports Democratic candidates
  11. ↑ This poll's sponsor, the American Greatness PAC, is pro-Trump
  12. ↑ Progress Michigan is a non-profit that primarily supports Democratic candidates
  13. ↑ Protect Our Care is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  14. ↑ Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, the Michigan branch of Progress Now, a progressive advocacy organisation
  15. ↑ Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  16. ↑ CAP Action is a political advocacy group that exclusively supports Democratic candidates
  17. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Sanders campaign
Voter samples and additional candidates
  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ↑ 2.00 2.01 2.02 2.03 2.04 2.05 2.06 2.07 2.08 2.09 2.10 2.11 2.12 2.13 2.14 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  4. ↑ "Someone else" with 7%; "Refused" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  5. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
  6. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%
  7. ↑ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 0%
  8. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 5%
  9. ↑ Includes "Refused"
  10. ↑ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  11. ↑ "Other/not sure" with 7%
  12. ↑ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  13. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 3%
  14. ↑ "Refused" with 3%; "Third party" with 1%
  15. ↑ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
  16. ↑ "Another party candidate" with 1%
  17. ↑ "Another third party/write-in" 1%
  18. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%
  19. ↑ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  20. ↑ "Third party" with 6%
  21. ↑ "Someone else/third party" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
  22. ↑ "Another Third Party/Write-In" with 2%
  23. ↑ "Other" with 1%; "Neither" with 4%
  24. ↑ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
  25. ↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  26. ↑ "Would vote third party" with 5%
  27. ↑ "Refused" with 2%
  28. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 5%
  29. ↑ Would not vote with 5%; "Another candidate" with 3%
  30. ↑ "other" with 2%
  31. ↑ "Refused/no answer" with 4%
  32. ↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  33. ↑ "Libertarian Party candidate/Green Party candidate" with 3%
  34. ↑ "Other" with 4%; "prefer not to answer" with 0%
  35. ↑ "A different candidate" with 6%
  36. ↑ Includes "refused"
  37. ↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  38. ↑ "Third party" with 4%
  39. ↑ "Third party/write-in" with 3%
  40. ↑ "Someone else" with 6%; "Refused" and would not vote with 1%
  41. ↑ "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  42. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 4%
  43. ↑ A third party candidate with 5%; would not vote with 3%
  44. ↑ Includes "refused"
  45. ↑ Would not vote with 5%
  46. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 4%
  47. ↑ A third party candidate with 5%; would not vote with 3%
  48. ↑ Includes "refused"
  49. ↑ Would not vote with 7%
  50. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 5%
  51. ↑ A third party candidate with 4%; would not vote with 4%
  52. ↑ Includes "refused"
  53. ↑ Would not vote with 7%
  54. ↑ Would not vote with 6%
  55. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 4%
  56. ↑ "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
  57. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 4%
  58. ↑ A third party candidate with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  59. ↑ Includes "refused"
  60. ↑ Would not vote with 4%
  61. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 5%
  62. ↑ A third party candidate with 3%; would not vote with 5%
  63. ↑ Includes "refused"
  64. ↑ Would not vote with 6%
  65. ↑ Figures for each candidate in this poll include undecided voters who were reported to lean towards that candidate at the time of polling.
  66. ↑ "It depends on who the Democrats nominate" with 1.9%; "unsure" with 1%
  67. ↑ Figures for each candidate in this poll include undecided voters who were reported to lean towards that candidate at the time of polling.
  68. ↑ Listed as "Would vote to replace Trump"
  69. ↑ Listed as "Would vote to replace Trump"
  70. ↑ Listed as "would consider voting for someone other than Trump"
  71. ↑ Listed as "Would vote to replace Trump"
  72. ↑ Listed as "would consider voting for someone other than Trump"
  73. ↑ Listed as "Would vote to replace Trump"
  74. ↑ 19% listed as "would consider voting for someone other than Trump"; 3% as "undecided/refused"
  75. ↑ "Vote to replace Trump" with 45%
  76. ↑ "Consider voting for someone else" with 19%; "Undecided/refused" with 4%
  77. ↑ "Vote to replace Trump" with 49%
  78. ↑ "Consider voting for someone else" with 16%; "Don't know/refused" with 4%
  79. ↑ "Depends on who the Democratic nominee is" with 15%

References

  1. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  2. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  3. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  4. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  5. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  6. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  7. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  8. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  9. ↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  10. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  11. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  12. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  13. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  14. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  15. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  16. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  17. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  18. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  19. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  20. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

Further reading

External links

  • Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
Retrieved from "https://infogalactic.com/w/index.php?title=2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Michigan&oldid=726167342"