2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey

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2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout %
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg 160x160px
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican



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The 2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] New Jersey voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the state's primary elections were postponed until July 7, 2020. By that time, incumbent President Donald Trump of the Republican Party and former Vice President Joe Biden of the Democratic Party had already clinched enough delegates to become the presumptive nominees of their respective parties. Chris Christie, the former governor of New Jersey and Republican primary candidate in 2016 declined to run against Trump. Phil Murphy, the current governor of New Jersey, also declined to run in the Democratic presidential primary.[3] Cory Booker, one of New Jersey's current senators, ran for the presidential bid but has since suspended his presidential campaign.[4]

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for June 2, 2020. In April, they were moved to July 7 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[5] On May 15, 2020, Governor Phil Murphy signed an executive order declaring that the primary election to become a primarily vote-by-mail election. Democratic and Republican voters will automatically receive a vote-by-mail ballot while unaffiliated and inactive voters will get a vote-by-mail application. Unaffiliated voters must declare their party in the application and send in to their respective county board of elections in order to vote and receive their primary election ballot. A limited number of polling stations in each county will be available on primary day for those who prefer to vote in person (including with provisional ballots if they're unable to obtain one) and for voters with disabilities.[6]

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary.[7] The state has 49 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[8]

2020 New Jersey Republican primary
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Donald Trump 404,212 100 49
Total 404,212 100.00 49

Democratic primary

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Green primary

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Results of the 2020 Green Party presidential primaries

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Safe D September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[10] Safe D September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe D July 14, 2020
Politico[12] Safe D September 8, 2020
RCP[13] Likely D August 3, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe D July 26, 2020
CNN[15] Safe D August 3, 2020
The Economist[16] Safe D September 2, 2020
CBS News[17] Likely D August 16, 2020
270towin[18] Safe D August 2, 2020
ABC News[19] Safe D July 31, 2020
NPR[20] Likely D August 3, 2020
NBC News[21] Likely D August 6, 2020
538[22] Likely D September 9, 2020

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Other Undecided
Emerson College Sep 4–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 40%[lower-alpha 1] 58% 2%[lower-alpha 2]
DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler Aug 5–13, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.383% 33% 52% 15%[lower-alpha 3]
Pollfish/DKC Analytics Jul 7–12, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.383% 33% 51% 7%[lower-alpha 4] 8%
Quinnipiac Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 941 (RV) ± 3.2% 35% 54% 3%[lower-alpha 5] 8%
Rutgers-Eagleton Apr 22 – May 2, 2020 689 (RV) ± 4.2% 33% 56% 5%[lower-alpha 6] 7%
Monmouth University Apr 16–19, 2020 635 (RV) ± 3.9% 38% 54% 2% 6%
Fairleigh Dickinson University Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) 35% 53%
Former candidates
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) 36% 53%
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) 36% 50%
Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) 32% 56%
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) 36% 48%
Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) 36% 47%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey[23]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Democratic Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Green Howie Hawkins and Angela Walker
Constitution Don Blankenship and William Mohr
style="background-color: Template:Alliance Party (United States)/meta/color; width: 5px;" | [[Alliance Party (United States)|Template:Alliance Party (United States)/meta/shortname]] Rocky De La Fuente and Darcy Richardson
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva and Sunil Freeman
Unity Bill Hammons and Eric Bodenstab
Total votes

Notes

  1. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  2. "Someone else" with 2%
  3. "Another candidate or unsure" with 15%
  4. "For another candidate" with 7%
  5. "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 1%
  6. "Neither" with 4%; "someone else" with 1%
Partisan clients

See also

References

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  6. https://www.nj.com/coronavirus/2020/05/njs-july-7-primary-election-will-be-mostly-vote-by-mail-during-coronavirus-pandemic-murphy-says.html
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  14. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
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