2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

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2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout %
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg 160x160px 160x160px
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden Jo Jorgensen
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Home state Florida Delaware South Carolina
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris Spike Cohen

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican



The 2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Oklahoma voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oklahoma has 7 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.

Republican primary

Donald Trump and Bill Weld were among the declared Republican candidates.

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Democratic primary

Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and former Vice President Joe Biden were the major declared Democratic candidates.[3]

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Libertarian nominee

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  • Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University

General election

Independent candidates

Three unaffiliated candidates filed to be on the Oklahoma presidential ballot, all by paying a $35,000 fee. Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins has filed a lawsuit challenging the amount of the filing fee.[4]

Ballot order

Oklahoma determines ballot order by lot, with unaffiliated candidates listed below candidates of recognized parties. The drawing was held on July 16th, with the resulting order for political parties being Republican, Libertarian, Democrat.[8] The unaffiliated candidates for president will be listed in this order: Jade Simmons, Kanye West, Brock Pierce [9]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Safe R September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[11] Safe R September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe R July 14, 2020
Politico[13] Safe R September 8, 2020
RCP[14] Safe R August 3, 2020
Niskanen[15] Safe R July 26, 2020
CNN[16] Safe R August 3, 2020
The Economist[17] Safe R September 2, 2020
CBS News[18] Likely R August 16, 2020
270towin[19] Safe R August 2, 2020
ABC News[20] Safe R July 31, 2020
NPR[21] Likely R August 3, 2020
NBC News[22] Safe R August 6, 2020
538[23] Safe R September 9, 2020

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Other Undecided
SoonerPoll/News9[1] Sep 2–8, 2020 486 (LV) ± 4.45% 60% 35% 1%[lower-alpha 2] 4%
DFM Research/Abby Broyles for US Senate[lower-alpha 3] Jul 29–30, 2020 572 (LV) ± 4.1% 56% 36% 5%[lower-alpha 4] 3%
Amber Integrated Jun 3–4, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 55% 36% 4%[lower-alpha 5] 5%
Amber Integrated Mar 5–8, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4 % 57% 33% 4% 5%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass
& Associates/OK Sooner
Feb 10–13, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.3% 62% 34% 4%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
Amber Integrated Mar 5–8, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4 % 59% 30% 5% 5%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass
& Associates/OK Sooner
Feb 10–13, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.3% 63% 34% 3%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Other Undecided
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass
& Associates/OK Sooner
Feb 10–13, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.3% 61% 35% 3%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma[24]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Democratic Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Independent Brock Pierce and Karla Ballard
Independent Jade Simmons and Claudeliah Roze
Independent Kanye West and Michelle Tidball
Total votes

By congressional district

District Trump Biden Representative
1st Kevin Hern
2nd Markwayne Mullin
3rd Frank Lucas
4th Tom Cole
5th Kendra Horn

Electors

  • Republican Party electors

Ronda Vuillemont-Smith, Lonnie Lu Anderson, Chris Martin, Steve Fair, Linda Huggard, A. J. Ferate, Carolyn McLarty [25]

  • Libertarian Party electors

Erin Adams, Danny Chabino, Drew Cook, Kevin Hobbie, Rex Lawhorn, Jay Norton, Victoria Whitfield [26]

  • Democratic Party electors

Judy Eason McIntyre, Eric Proctor, Jeff Berrong, Christine Byrd, Demetrios Bereolos, Pamela Iron, Shevonda Steward[27]

  • Electors for Jade Simmons

Shanda Carter, Terrence Stephens, Hope Stephens, Elizabeth Stephens, Dakota Hooks, Phalanda Boyd, Quincy Boyd[28]

  • Electors for Kanye West

April Anderson, Craig Alan Weygandt, Will Flanagan, Tom Krup, Megan Krup, Gretchen Schrupp, David Schrupp[29]

  • Electors for Brock Pierce

Robert Murphy, Susan Darlene Murphy, Richard Prawdzienski, Jessy Artman, David Selinger, Shane Wayne Howell, Angela McCaslin[30]

Notes

  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. West (B) with 1%; Pierce (I) and Simmons (I) with 0%
  3. Poll sponsored by Broyles' campaign
  4. "Other candidate" with 5%
  5. "Neither" with 3%; "refused" with 1%

See also

References

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  4. http://ballot-access.org/2020/07/16/howie-hawkins-files-federal-lawsuit-against-amount-of-oklahoma-presidential-filing-fee/
  5. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/Simmons,%20Jade_Statement%20of%20Candidacy.pdf
  6. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/Pierce,%20Brock_Statement%20of%20Candidacy.pdf
  7. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/West,%20Kanye_Statement%20of%20Candidacy.pdf
  8. https://www.ok.gov/triton/modules/newsroom/newsroom_article.php?id=196&article_id=59980
  9. https://mccarvillereport.com/archives/53255
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  15. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
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  25. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/Republican%20Certification%20Letter_Presidential%20Electors_072020_Redacted.pdf
  26. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/Libertarian%20Certification%20Letter_Electors-President%20and%20Vice%20President_2020_Redacted.pdf
  27. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/Democratic%20Certification%20Letter_Presidential%20Electors_072020_Redacted.pdf
  28. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/Simmons,%20Jade_Statement%20of%20Candidacy.pdf
  29. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/West,%20Kanye_Statement%20of%20Candidacy.pdf
  30. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/Pierce,%20Brock_Statement%20of%20Candidacy.pdf