Affordability of housing in the United Kingdom

From Infogalactic: the planetary knowledge core
Jump to: navigation, search

Housing tenure in the UK can be broadly divided into three categories: Owner-occupied; Private Rented Sector (PRS); and Social Rented Sector (SRS).[1] The affordability of housing in the UKvaries widely on a regional basis – house prices and rents will differ as a result of market factors such as the state of the local economy, transport links and the supply of housing. For owner-occupied property key determinants of affordability are: house prices; income; interest rates; and purchase costs. For rented property, PRS rents will largely be a reflection of house prices, while SRS rents are set by Local Authorities, Housing Associations or similar on the basis of what lower income groups can afford.

House prices

Growth of house prices

Land Registry figures for England and Wales show that house prices tripled in the 20 years between 1995 and 2015. Growth was almost continuous during the period, save for a two-year period of decline around 2008 as a result of the banking crisis.[2]

Deteriorating affordability

United Kingdom housing affordability as described by mortgage payments as a percentage of take home pay from 1983 to 2015
United Kingdom housing affordability as described by house price to earnings ratio from 1984 to 2015

The gap between income and house prices has changed in the last 20 years such that even in the most affordable regions of England and Wales buyers have to spend six times their income, while in London the median house now costs 12 times the median London income. In comparison, in 1995 where a homebuyer earning the median salary for their region would have had to spend between 3.2 times and 4.4 times their salary on a house, depending on where they lived.

In London in 1995, the median income was £19,000 and the median house price was £83,000, meaning that people were spending 4.4 times their income on buying a property. By 2012-13, the median income in London had increased to £24,600 and the median London house price had increased to £300,000, thus people were forced to spend 12.2 times their income on a house.[3]

However, in 1995 the Bank Base Rate was 6%, but was cut to 0.5% in March 2009, where it has remained to date (November 2015).[4] The resultant cheap mortgages have partially ameliorated the affordability issues, but only in a small way.

Impact of planning restrictions on house prices

A house for sale.

Some economists and pressure groups such as Shelter argue that planning restrictions are a major factor behind the rise in prices as 70% of the cost of building new houses is the purchase of the land (up from 25% in the late 1950s).[5] An analysis by the LSE and the CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis found that house prices in England would have been 35% cheaper without regulatory constraints.[6] A report by the Adam Smith Institute found that by using 4% of London's green belt, one million homes could be built within 10 minutes walk of a railway station.[7]

The Economist has criticised green belt policy, saying that unless more houses are built through reforming planning laws and releasing green belt land, then housing space will need to be rationed out. It noted that if general inflation had risen as fast as housing prices had since 1971, a chicken would cost £51; and that Britain is "building less homes today than at any point since the 1920s".[8] According to the independent Institute of Economic Affairs, there is "overwhelming empirical evidence that that planning restrictions have a substantial impact on housing costs" and are the main reason why housing is two and a half times more expensive in 2011 than it was in 1975.[9]

However, the Campaign to Protect Rural England has stated that "Green Belt land is important for our wider environment, providing us with the trees and the undeveloped land which reduce the effect of the heat generated by big cities. Instead of reducing this green space, we should be using it to its best effect. We know from our research that three quarters (79%) of the population would like to see more trees planted and more food grown in the areas around towns and cities."[10]

Valuation of land and impact on house prices

Property companies state that land values follow house prices and that a developer assesses what new build house price is achievable in any particular location with reference to prices and sales rates in the second hand market and on nearby comparable new build sites. At a basic level (assuming no affordable housing, S106 or CIL), they then multiply that new build house price by the number of homes to be built on the land and to arrive at the gross development value (GDV) of the site. The underlying value of the land is then the GDV less the cost of development and less an appropriate allowance for profit.[11]

Moving costs

Moving day in London.
A removal van in London.

The principal costs are Stamp Duty Land Tax, estate agent fees, legal fees (conveyancing), mortgage arrangement fees (where applicable), surveys and removals. Some have argued that the costs of moving depress house sales.[12]

Stamp Duty Land Tax

Stamp Duty Land Tax is payable by the buyer of a property as a percentage of the purchase price.

From December 2014, Stamp Duty was changed to a graduated system which eliminates the big jumps in stamp duty at the threshold values. For instance a property of £600,000 under the old system would pay 4% tax of the whole asking price i.e. £24,000. Under the new system no tax is paid on the first £125,000, the next £125-250,000 is charged at 2% i.e. £2500 plus the portion (£350,000) in the £250,000-£925,000 tax band at 5% i.e. £17,500. This gives a total tax of £20,000. This change was said to be beneficial to 98% of property purchases[13] but caused a collapse in sales at the upper end of the market.[14][15][16][17]

Purchase price of property Rate of SDLT on portion of purchase price
0 - £125,000 0%
£125,001 to £250,000 2%
£250,001 to £925,000 5%
£925,001 to £1,500,000 10%
over £1,500,000 12%

Estate Agent fees

In 2011, Which? magazine found the national average estate agents fees to be 1.8%,[18] although fees vary widely.

Empty homes

There are approximately 250,000 homes in the UK which have been empty for more than six months (long-term empty homes). This is mainly due to financial reasons, such as the owner being unable to sell the house or raise enough money to renovate the property.[19] Empty Dwelling Management Orders (EMDOs) allow councils to take over the management of long-term empty properties but these are generally seen as a last resort and only 43 EDMOs were successful from 2006 to 2011. Government statistics show that long-term empty homes are generally concentrated in the North of England and in seaside towns, where property prices are generally lower, with the lowest percentage in London which had 20,795 long-term empty properties.[19]

The charity Empty Homes argued that empty homes were helping contribute to the housing crisis, saying in a report "The longer a property is empty the more our housing assets are being wasted. Also, the longer a property lies empty, the more likely it is to deteriorate; the more it is likely to cost to bring back into use; and the more it is likely to be seen as a blight by the neighbours."[20]

The percentage of empty homes in England has fallen from 3.5% in 2008 to 2.6% in 2014, partially because housing transactions have picked up since the financial crisis and because of government efforts to reduce the number of empty homes. The number of empty homes includes homes where the previous occupier is in prison, in care, in hospital or recently deceased.[20]

"Buy-to-leave"

In the UK, particularly in London, there is a phenomenon known as 'buy-to-leave' where investors buy properties and leave them empty in order to benefit from rising house prices and the premium that some buyers will pay for houses which have not been lived in by anyone else. Nationally 'buy-to-leave' accounts for a small percentage of vacant properties according to the charity Empty Homes,[19] but Kensington and Chelsea council estimated in 2015 that as many as one in four houses in certain parts of their neighbourhood are affected, driving up prices while restricting the number of households that actually live there.[21] Overall long-term empty houses account for 2% of properties in Kensington and Chelsea.[22] In north London, Camden council managed to reduce the number of empty homes by charging a surcharge of 50% on council tax on homes left empty for more than two years.[22]

See also

References

  1. https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/467800/Bulletin_12Aug2015_FINAL.pdf
  2. "Land Registry - search the house price index". Landregistry.data.gov.uk. Retrieved 2016-01-06. 
  3. "The widening gulf between salaries and house prices". Theguardian.com. Retrieved 2016-01-06. 
  4. "Bank of England Statistical Interactive Database | Interest & Exchange Rates | Official Bank Rate History". Bankofengland.co.uk. Retrieved 2016-01-06. 
  5. It's Land, stupid, Inside Housing, retrieved 2016-01-06 
  6. "Why UK house prices have grown faster than anywhere else". Telegraph.co.uk. Retrieved 2016-01-06. 
  7. "Green belt a "green noose", claims Adam Smith Institute". Environmentsite.com. Retrieved 2016-01-06. 
  8. "Build on the green belt or introduce space rationing: your choice", Economist.com, retrieved 2016-01-06 
  9. Kristian Niemietz (April 2012). "Abundance of land, shortage of housing : IEA Discussion Paper No. 38" (PDF). Iea.org.uk. Retrieved 2016-01-06. 
  10. "Green Belts: breathing spaces for people and nature - Campaign to Protect Rural England". Cpre.org.uk. Retrieved 2016-01-06. 
  11. "Savills UK | The value of land". Savills.co.uk. Retrieved 2016-01-06. 
  12. Simon Lambert (2012-01-27). "Cost of moving home rockets by 70% to almost £9,000 as estate agency fees and stamp duty rises put strain on families | Mail Online". Dailymail.co.uk. Retrieved 2012-09-23. 
  13. "Stamp Duty Land Tax". GOV.UK. 2015-12-11. Retrieved 2015-12-29. 
  14. Watkins, Simon. "Tax haul falls as stamp duty rise hits sales of top homes". Dailymail.co.uk. Retrieved 2016-01-06. 
  15. Hawkes, Alex (2015-11-21). "Hopes rise that top rate of stamp duty may be cut as sales of upmarket homes collapse". This is Money. Retrieved 2016-01-06. 
  16. "Stamp duty: has London finally lost its status as the luxury property hotspot of the world?". Telegraph. 2015-11-30. Retrieved 2016-01-06. 
  17. Jonathan Prynn; Joanna Bourke (2015-07-24). "Stamp duty rise hits London home prices with fastest fall since the crash". Standard.co.uk. Retrieved 2016-01-06. 
  18. "Estate agents' fees exposed - March - 2011 - Which? News". Which.co.uk. 2011-03-31. Retrieved 2012-09-23. 
  19. 19.0 19.1 19.2 "Why are so many British homes empty?". Bbc.co.uk. Retrieved 2016-01-06. 
  20. 20.0 20.1 "Empty Homes in England" (PDF). Emptyhomes.com. Retrieved 2016-01-06. 
  21. Ruth Bloomfield (2015-09-23). "Knightsbridge billionaires told to live in their empty London homes — or leave | Property news". Homes and Property. Retrieved 2016-01-06. 
  22. 22.0 22.1 "‘It’s like a ghost town’: lights go out as foreign owners desert London homes". Theguardian.com. Retrieved 2016-01-06.