Bavarian state election, 2013

Bavarian state election, 2013

15 September 2013
All 180 seats in the Landtag of Bavaria 91 seats needed for a majority
First party Second party   Leader Horst Seehofer Christian Ude Party CSU SPD Last election 92 seats, 43.4% 39 seats, 18.6% Seats won 101 42 Seat change 9 3 Percentage 47.7% 20.6% Swing 4.3% 2.0%   Third party Fourth party   Leader Hubert Aiwanger Theresa Schopper Party FW Green Last election 21 seats, 10.2% 19 seats, 9.4% Seats won 19 18 Seat change 2 1 Percentage 9.0% 8.6% Swing 1.2% 0.8%
Composition of the Landtag of Bavaria
Minister-President before election Horst Seehofer CSU Minister-President designate Horst Seehofer CSU

The 2013 Bavarian state election was held on 15 September 2013 to elect the 180 members of the 17th Landtag of Bavaria. It was held one week before the 2013 German federal election. The CSU won an absolute majority, while the FDP, a coalition party in the outgoing Bavarian government, did not receive enough votes to enter the new parliament.

Political parties

• Christian Social Union in Bavaria (CSU)
• Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD)
• Free voters (Freie Wähler)
• Alliance 90 / The Greens (Die Grünen)
• Free Democratic Party (FDP)
• The left (Die Linke)
• Ecological Democratic Party (ÖDP)
• The Republicans (REP)
• Bavaria Party (BP)
• Pirate Party Germany (Piraten)

Election result

Summary of the 15 September 2013 election results for the Landtag of Bavaria

Party		Ideology	Vote (change)		Vote % (change)		Seats (change)		Seats %
	Christian Social Union (CSU)	Christian democracy, centre-right	5,632,272	+1,028,312	47.7%	+4.3	101	+9	56.1%
	Social Democratic Party (SPD)	Social democracy, centre-left	2,436,515	+464,078	20.6%	+2.0	42	+3	23.3%
	Free Voters (FW)	Various, lean right	1,062,244	-23,652	9.0%	-1.2	19	-2	10.6%
	Alliance '90/The Greens (Grünen)	Environmental, centre-left	1,018,652	+19,541	8.6%	-0.8	18	-1	10.0%
	Free Democratic Party (FDP)	Liberalism	389,584	-457,643	3.3%	-4.7	-	-16	-
	The Left (Die Linke)	Democratic socialism, left-wing	251,086	-210,669	2.1%	-2.2	-	-	-
	Bavaria Party (BP)	Secessionism, centre-right	247,282	+130,818	2.1%	+1.0	-	-	-
	Ecological Democratic Party (ÖDP)	Environmental, centre-right	239,235	+27,035	2.0%	+0.0	-	-	-
	Pirate Party (Piraten)	Pirate politics	234,221	n/a	2.0%	n/a	-	-	-
	The Republicans (REP)	National conservatism, eurosceptic, right-wing	117,633	-28,440	1.0%	−0.4	-	-	-
	Party for Franconia (Die Franken)	Regionalist	87,237	n/a	0.7%	n/a	-	-	-
	National Democratic Party (NPD)	Far-right, fascist	74,895	-48,504	0.6%	-0.6	-	-	-
	All Others		22,019	n/a	0.2%	n/a	-	-	-
	Total		11,812,965		100.0%		180	-7

The CSU regained an absolute majority of the seats, which they lost 5 years ago after about 50 years of one party government. The FDP fell below the 5% threshold for obtaining seats. SPD, Grünen and FW stayed in opposition. A record number of 14.1% of the votes cast are not represented in the Landtag because of the 5% threshold.

Opinion polls

Pollster	Date	CSU	SPD	FW	Greens	FDP	Left	Pirates	Others
2008 election	28 September 2008	43.4 %	18.6 %	10.2 %	9.4 %	8.0 %	4.3 %	–	6.1 %
Emnid	12 September 2013	47%	18%	8%	12%	4%	4%	3%	4%
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	6 September 2013	48%	20%	8%	10%	4%	–	–	7%
Infratest dimap	5 September 2013	47%	21%	7%	11%	3%	3%	–	8%
GMS	3 September 2013	47%	18%	8%	13%	5%	3%	2%	4%
Emnid	28 August 2013	48%	18%	8%	13%	4%	3%	3%	3%
Infratest dimap	17 July 2013	47%	18%	8%	15%	3%	3%	–	6%
GMS	11 July 2013	47%	19%	10%	11%	5%	2%	2%	4%
Emnid	10 July 2013	47%	19%	9%	11%	5%	3%	3%	3%
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	14 June 2013	46%	20%	10%	13%	4%	–	–	7%
GMS	11 June 2013	46%	20%	9%	11%	4%	3%	2%	5%
Forsa	28 May 2013	46%	20%	9%	12%	4%	3%	2%	5%
GMS	2 May 2013	47%	20%	8%	13%	3%	2%	2%	5%
INSA	22 April 2013	49%	18%	9%	16%	2%	2%	–	4%
GMS	6 March 2013	48%	21%	8%	12%	3%	3%	2%	3%
TNS Infratest	12 February 2013	46%	19%	8%	15%	3%	2%	3%	4%
Emnid	10 February 2013	48%	20%	9%	12%	3%	2%	3%	3%
Emnid	15 January 2013	48%	20%	8%	12%	3%	3%	3%	3%
Forsa	10 January 2013	46%	18%	9%	13%	3%	4%	2%	5%
Infratest dimap	9 January 2013	47%	19%	9%	14%	3%	2%	3%	3%
GMS	15 December 2012	49%	22%	8%	10%	4%	–	4%	–
GMS	20 November 2012	48%	20%	8%	10%	5%	2%	4%	–
GMS	19 October 2012	48%	20%	8%	10%	5%	–	4%	5%
Emnid	14 October 2012	48%	21%	8%	10%	4%	2%	4%	3%
Emnid	18 September 2012	47%	21%	9%	10%	3%	2%	5%	3%
Emnid	13 August 2012	46%	20%	8%	12%	3%	2%	6%	3%
GMS	17 July 2012	47%	19%	8%	10%	4%	–	7%	–
Forsa	4 July 2012	43%	23%	9%	11%	2%	2%	6%	4%
Emnid	24 June 2012	44%	22%	6%	13%	3%	1%	7%	4%
Emnid	20 April 2012	46%	20%	7%	12%	2%	2%	8%	3%
Emnid	24 March 2012	46%	20%	8%	13%	2%	2%	5%	4%
Infratest dimap	4 January 2012	44%	21%	8%	14%	3%	2%	4%	4%
GMS	4 January 2012	42%	22%	9%	12%	2%	2%	5%	6%
Emnid	21 December 2011	44%	21%	9%	13%	2%	2%	5%	-
Forsa	11 December 2011	41%	24%	9%	10%	3%	3%	6%	4%