2012 Kazakh legislative election

2012 Kazakh legislative election

15 January 2012
All 107 seats to the Mazhilis 54 seats needed for a majority
Turnout	75.44% 7.04 pp
First party Second party Third party   130x130px 130x130px 130x130px Leader Nursultan Nazarbayev Azat Peruashev Vladislav Kosarev Party Nur Otan Ak Zhol QKHP Leader since 1 March 1999 2 July 2011 6 June 2004 Last election 98 - - Seats won 83 8 7 Seat change 15 8 7 Popular vote 5,621,436 518,405 498,788 Percentage 80.99% 7.47% 7.19% Swing 7.41% 4.37% 5.89%
Chair before election Oral Muhamedjanov Nur Otan Elected Chair Nurlan Nigmatulin Nur Otan

Legislative elections were held in Kazakhstan on 15 January 2012. The result was a victory for the Nur Otan party, which won 83 of the 98 seats in the Mazhilis. However, the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) stated that the election "did not meet fundamental principles of democratic elections." The elections marked the first time that the second-placed party would gain parliamentary seats irrespective of whether it cleared the 7% electoral threshold. Due to the Zhanaozen massacre and the resulting state of emergency there, the election was not planned to be held in Zhanaozen. However, this decision was overturned on 10 January 2012.

Background

Main articles: 2007 Kazakh legislative election and 2011 Kazakh presidential election

In the 2007 Kazakh legislative elections, the pro-presidential party Nur Otan won all the 98 contested seats in the Mazhilis, which eliminated any form of opposition, bringing the Parliament under a single-party control. This received criticism and pressure from international and opposition groups in the country. In an interview to Reuters, Prime Minister of Kazakhstan Karim Massimov expressed his support of having opposition in the Parliament as in a way of that the democratic reforms match an economic growth. Following President Nursultan Nazarbayev's reelection in the 2011 presidential election, he announced the promise of bringing a "new era of democratic reforms." Nazarbayev's advisor Ermukhamet Ertysbayev stated that the next Mazhilis convocation have a two-party system in which he used comparison with the United States and United Kingdom as an example. Opposition activist Vladimir Kozlov criticized the move, saying that the authorities wouldn't let real opposition groups enter the Parliament.

Dissolution of the 4th Mazhilis

Main article: 4th Mazhilis

On 9 November 2011, Ermukhamet Ertysbayev, in an interview with the Vremya newspaper, expressed his opinion that “theoretically, it can be assumed” that the Mazhilis MP's at the plenary come up with an initiative to dissolve the Parliament. At the same time, Ertysbayev said that “Kazakhstan should enter the third decade of independence with at least a two-party Parliament." That same day, Mazhilis Chair Oral Muhamedjanov dismissed claims of the Parliament's dissolution as rumors. At the same time, a number of MP's said that they expected the issue of self-dissolution to be raised.

The following day on 10 November, members of the Mazhilis Nurtai Sabilianov and Viktor Rogalev announced to the media representatives an appeal to Nursultan Nazarbayev with a request to adopt a decree on the dissolution of the 5th Mazhilis and mäslihats. 53 Mazhilis MP's signed the appeal. The proposal was substantiated by several reasons: the expectation of a second wave of the global financial and economic crisis in 2012 and the expediency of focusing on overcoming a possible crisis, without being distracted by the electoral cycle, and the need to form a Parliament of at least two political parties.

On 16 November 2011, the President Nursultan Nazarbayev signed a decree "On the dissolution of the Mazhilis of the Parliament of the Republic of Kazakhstan of the fourth convocation and the appointment of early elections of deputies of the Mazhilis of the Parliament of the Republic of Kazakhstan", according to which the Mazhilis was dissolved, and the elections of MP's elected by party lists were scheduled for 15 January 2012, and the MP's elected from the Assembly of People of Kazakhstan for January 16. This dissolution of Parliament was marked as the 4th time since Kazakhstan's independence in 1991.

Electoral system

The 98 directly-elected members of the Mazhilis were elected from a single nationwide constituency by proportional representation with a 7% electoral threshold. Seats were allocated using the largest remainder method. If parties had an equal largest remainder, the party that was registered first was awarded the seat. If only one party crossed the threshold, the party with the second highest number of votes was to be awarded at least two seats. A further nine seats were elected by the Assembly of People, a body selected by the President.

Results

The nine nominees were: Sauytbek Abdrahmov, Vladimir Bozhko, Natalya Zhumadildayeva, Roman Kim, Narine Mikaelyan, Ahmet Muradov, Shaimardan Nurumov, Yury Tymochenko and Shakir Khakhazov.

Popular vote
Nur Otan			80.99%
Ak Zhol			7.47%
QKHP			7.19%
NSDP			1.68%
Auyl			1.19%
QPP			0.83%
DPA			0.66%

Seat distribution
Nur Otan			84.69%
Ak Zhol			8.16%
QKHP			7.14%

Reactions

The opposition claimed there was widespread irregularities and fraud. The OSCE and US Department of State did not recognise the elections as democratic.

Miklos Haraszti, the head of the OSCE's long-term election-observation mission, criticized what he called a "tightly controlled campaign environment in which the electoral rights of the citizens were seriously limited." "There was limited public debate and the media, the mass media operates in an environment characterized by self-censorship and in which there is no room for editorial independence in the broadcast media." Haraszti said the "results of the election, including the presence of two parties apart from the state party, can be described as an orchestrated election."