Montenegrin parliamentary election, 2016

Montenegrin parliamentary election, 2016

Before 21 October 2016
All 81 seats of the Parliament of Montenegro 41 seats needed for a majority

Parliamentary elections will be held in Montenegro on or before 21 October 2016.

Electoral system

The 81 seats of the Parliament of Montenegro are elected in a single nationwide constituency by closed list proportional representation. Seats are allocated using the d'Hondt method with a 3% electoral threshold. However, minority groups that account for at least 15% of the population in a district are given an exemption that lowers the electoral threshold to 0.7% if their list fails to cross the 3% threshold. For ethnic Croats, if no list representing the population passes the 0.7% threshold, the list with the most votes will win one seat if it receives more than 0.35% of the vote.

Opinion polls

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty. The threshold for a party to elect members is 3%.

Date	Polling Firm/Source	DPS	SDP	DF	SNP	DEMOS	URA	DCG	SD	PCG	BS	Others	Lead
Apr 2016	Ipsos	45	6	8	6	15	4	7	<2	2	2	9	30
22 Feb 2016	DAMAR	40.9	4.3	11.9	6.4	12.2	6.1	6.8	2.2	1.9	3.6	3.7	28.7
9–18 Dec 2015	Ipsos	45	4	8	6	13	8	6		2	2	6	32
14–19 Nov 2015	DAMAR	41.7	4	11.5	6.4	11.4	4	7.4	2.4	3	4.5	3.7	30.2
30 Oct–8 Nov 2015	CEDEM	45.1	4.6	8.7	9.1	10.2	4.2	6.7	2.5	1.8	3.3	3.8	34.9
8–16 Oct 2015	Ipsos	45	4	8	7	13	7	6	1	1	3	5	32
1–6 Sep 2015	DAMAR	40.3	3.8	9.4	6.9	10.2	3.5	10.1	2.4	3.6	5	4.8	30.1
12-24 July 2015	CEDEM	42.7	5.2	5.8	8.5	14.4	5.5	9.2	2.2	1.6	2.1	2.8	28.3
5 May 2015	Ipsos	42	3	7	7	16	5	7		2.9	3	7.1	26
14 Oct 2012	Parliamentary elections	45.6		22.8	11.1	Did not exist				8.2	4.17	8.1	22.8

*blue-DPS-led coalition; red-opposition