Nipissing—Timiskaming

Nipissing—Timiskaming

Ontario electoral district
Nipissing—Timiskaming in relation to the other Ontario ridings
Federal electoral district
Legislature	House of Commons
MP	Anthony Rota Liberal
District created	2003
First contested	2004
Last contested	2015
District webpage	profile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)	90,996
Electors (2015)	70,342
Area (km²)	15,313
Pop. density (per km²)	5.9
Census divisions	Nipissing District, Parry Sound District
Census subdivisions	North Bay, Temiskaming Shores, East Ferris, Powassan, Callander, Bonfield, Mattawa

Nipissing—Timiskaming is a federal electoral district in Ontario, Canada, that has been represented in the Canadian House of Commons since 2004. The riding was formed by the amalgamation of the former Nipissing riding with the southeastern portion of the former Timiskaming—Cochrane riding. The 2011 electoral results in this riding were challenged in court on the grounds that there were "irregularities, fraud or corrupt or illegal practices that affected the result of the election".

Nipissing—Timiskaming consists of:

• the Territorial District of Nipissing, excluding:
  • the Municipality of West Nipissing;
  • the southeast part of the district;
  • the Town of Kearney;
• in the Territorial District of Parry Sound, the Town of Powassan and the townships of Nipissing and North Himsworth; and
• the part of the Territorial District of Timiskaming lying south and east of a line drawn from the eastern limit of the district west along the northern border of the Townships of Harris, Dymond, Hudson, Lundy, Auld and Speight, south along the western border of the townships of Speight, Van Nostrand, Leo and Medina to the southern limit of the district.

This riding lost small portions of territory to Timmins—James Bay and gained a small portion from Nickel Belt during the 2012 electoral redistribution.

Demographics

Ethnic groups: 91.8% White, 6.6% Native Canadian
Languages: 76.7% English, 18.0% French
Average income: $23,848

Member of Parliament

This riding has elected the following member of the Canadian House of Commons:

Parliament	Years	Member		Party
Nipissing—Timiskaming Riding created from Nipissing and Timiskaming—Cochrane
38th	2004–2006		Anthony Rota	Liberal
39th	2006–2008
40th	2008–2011
41st	2011–2015		Jay Aspin	Conservative
42nd	2015–Present		Anthony Rota	Liberal

Election results

Canadian federal election, 2015
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Anthony Rota	25,357	51.9	+15.41	–
	Conservative	Jay Aspin	14,325	29.3	-7.11	–
	New Democratic	Kathleen Jodouin	7,936	16.2	-4.93	–
	Green	Nicole Peltier	1,257	2.6	-3.37	–
Total valid votes/Expense limit			48,875	100.0		$217,533.50
Total rejected ballots			224	0.45	-0.05
Turnout			49,099	69.32	+8.82
Eligible voters			70,820
	Liberal notional hold		Swing		+11.26
Source: Elections Canada

Despite the fact that 99% of this riding stays the same after the 2012 redistribution, based on the results of the 2011 election — in which Aspin defeated Rota by a margin of just 18 votes — the minor boundary changes were enough to make the seat a notional Liberal riding. The riding loses two Conservative voting areas in the north (Hudson Township and Harris Township) while gaining the Nipissing 10 Indian Reserve, where the Tories finished third.

2011 federal election redistributed results
Party		Vote	%
	Liberal	15,405	36.49
	Conservative	15,369	36.41
	New Democratic	8,919	21.13
	Green	2,520	5.97

Canadian federal election, 2011
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Jay Aspin	15,495	36.7	+4.4	–
	Liberal	Anthony Rota	15,477	36.6	-8.0	–
	New Democratic	Rona Eckert	8,781	20.8	+5.0	–
	Green	Scott Daley	2,518	6.0	-0.8	–
Total valid votes/Expense limit			42,271	100.0	–
Total rejected ballots			225	0.5	+0.1
Turnout			42,496	60.5	+6.8
Eligible voters			70,244	–	–
	Conservative gain from Liberal		Swing		+6.2

Note: This vote was subject to mandatory recount because of the margin of win being less than 1/1000 of the total votes.

Canadian federal election, 2008
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Anthony Rota	18,510	44.6	–0.1	$77,997
	Conservative	Joe Sinicrope	13,432	32.3	–2.2	$81,801
	New Democratic	Dianna Allen	6,582	15.8	–1.5	$8,409
	Green	Craig Bridges	2,808	6.8	+3.3	$10,803
	Canadian Action	Andrew Moulden	204	0.5	–
Total valid votes/Expense limit			41,536	100.0	$87,383
Total rejected ballots			167	0.4	0.0
Turnout			41,703	~58.2	-9.4
	Liberal hold		Swing		+2.1

Canadian federal election, 2006
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Liberal	Anthony Rota	21,393	44.7	+2.4
	Conservative	Peter Chirico	16,511	34.5	–2.6
	New Democratic	Dave Fluri	8,268	17.3	+0.3
	Green	Meg Purdy	1,698	3.5	+0.4
Total valid votes			47,870	100.0
Total rejected ballots			211	0.4	-0.1
Turnout			48,081	67.6	+5.2
	Liberal hold		Swing		+2.5

Canadian federal election, 2004
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Liberal	Anthony Rota	18,254	42.3
	Conservative	Al McDonald	16,001	37.1
	New Democratic	Dave Fluri	7,354	17.0
	Green	Les Wilcox	1,329	3.1
	Canadian Action	Ross MacLean	204	0.5
Total valid votes			43,142	100.0
Total rejected ballots			222	0.5
Turnout			43,364	62.4

See also

• List of Canadian federal electoral districts
• Past Canadian electoral districts

References

• Riding history from the Library of Parliament
• 2011 results from Elections Canada
• Campaign expense data from Elections Canada