Roy Amara

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Roy Amara
Born Roy Charles Amara
(1925-04-07)7 April 1925
Died 31 December 2007(2007-12-31) (aged 82)

Roy Charles Amara (born 7 April 1925[1] - 31 December 2007[2]), was a researcher, scientist and past president of the Institute for the Future, he has also worked at Stanford Research Institute. He held a BS in Management, an MS in the Arts and Sciences, and a Ph.D. in Systems Engineering.[3]

Amara's Law

He is possibly best known for the quotation, paraphrased by Robert X. Cringely, is sometimes known as Amara's Law:

We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.[4]

Selected bibliography

Books

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  • Amara, Roy; Lipinski, Andrew J. (1983). Business planning for an uncertain future: scenarios & strategies. New York: Pergamon Press. ISBN 9780080275451.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  • Amara, Roy; Morrison, J. Ian; Schmid, Gregory (1988). Looking ahead at American health care. Washington, D.C.: McGraw-Hill, Healthcare Information Center. ISBN 9780070013841.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  • Amara, Roy; Institute for the future (2003). Health and health care 2010: the forecast, the challenge (2nd ed.). Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons. ISBN 9780470932513.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>

Reports

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  • Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Identifiers at line 47: attempt to index field 'wikibase' (a nil value). Published in Conference proceedings 1978 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC 1978). Pdf.
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References

  1. "Amara, Roy". Library of Congress. Retrieved 18 February 2015. data sheet (Amara, Roy Charles, b. 4/7/25)<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  2. Pescovitz, David (3 January 2008). "Roy Amara, forecaster, RIP". BoingBoing. Retrieved 18 February 2015.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  3. "Roy Amara (biography)". University of Arizona: Anticipating the future (course), Futures Thinkers. Retrieved 18 February 2015.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  4. "Encyclopedia: Definition of: Amara's law". PC Magazine. Retrieved 18 February 2015.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>

External links