Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016
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Leading presidential 2016 candidate by electoral vote count. States in gray have no polling data. Polls from lightly shaded states are older than September 1, 2016. This map only represents the most recent statewide polling data; it is not a prediction for the 2016 election. |
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*No margin of error recorded for Nebraska's congressional districts. Maine and Nebraska both award 1 electoral vote per congressional district and 2 statewide electoral votes. Trump leads in Nebraska's 1st and 3rd congressional districts, while Clinton leads in Maine's 1st congressional district. Nebraska's 2nd congressional district could possibly be within the margin of error and Maine's 2nd congressional district is within the margin of error. |
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. This article is a collection of statewide polls for the United States presidential election, 2016. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, the Libertarian candidate, and the Green candidate. Prior to the parties' conventions, presumptive candidates were included in the polls. Not all states will conduct polling for the election due to various factors. States that are considered swing states usually put out more polls as more attention is given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate. This article displays each candidate's potential electoral vote total and is not a prediction of the current state of the election.
Contents
- 1 Most recent polling
- 2 Alabama
- 3 Alaska
- 4 Arizona
- 5 Arkansas
- 6 California
- 7 Colorado
- 8 Connecticut
- 9 Delaware
- 10 District of Columbia
- 11 Florida
- 12 Georgia
- 13 Hawaii
- 14 Idaho
- 15 Illinois
- 16 Indiana
- 17 Iowa
- 18 Kansas
- 19 Kentucky
- 20 Louisiana
- 21 Maine
- 22 Maryland
- 23 Massachusetts
- 24 Michigan
- 25 Minnesota
- 26 Mississippi
- 27 Missouri
- 28 Montana
- 29 Nebraska
- 30 Nevada
- 31 New Hampshire
- 32 New Jersey
- 33 New Mexico
- 34 New York
- 35 North Carolina
- 36 North Dakota
- 37 Ohio
- 38 Oklahoma
- 39 Oregon
- 40 Pennsylvania
- 41 Rhode Island
- 42 South Carolina
- 43 South Dakota
- 44 Tennessee
- 45 Texas
- 46 Utah
- 47 Vermont
- 48 Virginia
- 49 Washington
- 50 West Virginia
- 51 Wisconsin
- 52 Wyoming
- 53 See also
- 54 Notes
- 55 References
Most recent polling
Hillary Clinton has a vote lead among states recently polled. State polls with results outside the margin of error presently show 213 potential electoral votes for Clinton and 162 potential electoral votes for Donald Trump. In 14 states and two congressional districts (150 electoral votes), results for Clinton and Trump are within the margin of error. For the two states and one district without recent polling, one state (6 electoral votes) voted for Mitt Romney in the 2012 election, while one state and district (7 electoral votes) voted for Barack Obama. Third party candidates, such as Jill Stein and Gary Johnson, are also included in many statewide polls. They have not received support in statewide polling that surpasses the two main party nominees. Independent candidate Evan McMullin is presently tied with Donald Trump in the state of Utah, but has only been included on a very limited number of statewide polls.
State | Date | Hillary Clinton |
Donald Trump |
Gary Johnson |
Jill Stein |
Evan McMullin |
Margin of error |
Lead | Clinton potential EVs |
Trump potential EVs |
Tied potential EVs |
Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nationwide[lower-alpha 1] | National polling | 213 | 178 | 134 | ||||||||
Alabama | September 27, 2016 | 32% | 48% | 2.0% | 16 | 9 | 28 | |||||
Alaska | October 21–26, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 7% | 3% | 4.9% | 4 | 3 | 15 | |||
Arizona | November 4–6, 2016 | 45% | 47% | 5% | 2% | 4.9% | 2 | 11 | 4 | |||
Arkansas | October 18–25, 2016 | 36% | 59% | 4.1% | 23 | 6 | 27 | |||||
California | November 4–6, 2016 | 58% | 35% | 3% | 2% | 4.9% | 28 | 55 | 29 | |||
Colorado | November 3–4, 2016 | 48% | 43% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3.7% | 5 | 9 | 2 | ||
Connecticut | September 2–5, 2016 | 50% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 3.0% | 15 | 7 | 12 | |||
Delaware | September 16–28, 2016 | 51% | 30% | 7% | 2% | 4.1% | 21 | 3 | 12 | |||
Florida | November 6, 2016 | 46% | 50% | 2% | 1% | 3.3% | 4 | 29 | 2 | |||
Georgia | November 6, 2016 | 45% | 52% | 2% | 2.8% | 7 | 16 | 6 | ||||
Idaho | October 23–24, 2016 | 29% | 48% | 6% | 10% | 4.0% | 19 | 4 | 32 | |||
Illinois | October 27–30, 2016 | 53% | 41% | 2% | 0% | 4.3% | 12 | 20 | 16 | |||
Indiana | November 1–3, 2016 | 37% | 48% | 9% | 4.0% | 11 | 11 | 20 | ||||
Iowa | November 1–4, 2016 | 39% | 46% | 6% | 1% | 3.5% | 7 | 6 | 10 | |||
Kansas | November 1–3, 2016 | 34% | 58% | 5.5% | 24 | 6 | 21 | |||||
Kentucky | October 25–30, 2016 | 37% | 54% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4.0% | 17 | 8 | 30 | ||
Louisiana | October 19–21, 2016 | 35% | 50% | 5% | 4.4% | 15 | 8 | 20 | ||||
Maine | October 28–30, 2016 | 46% | 42% | 12% | 2% | 3.5% | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | ||
Maryland | September 27–30, 2016 | 63% | 27% | 4% | 2% | 4.0% | 36 | 10 | 25 | |||
Massachusetts | October 23 – November 2, 2016 | 56% | 26% | 8% | 3% | 5.0% | 30 | 11 | 27 | |||
Michigan | November 6, 2016 | 47% | 49% | 3% | 1% | 2.8% | 2 | 16 | 0.3 | |||
Minnesota | October 22–26, 2016 | 49% | 39% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 3.9% | 10 | 10 | 2 | ||
Missouri | November 4–5, 2016 | 41% | 47% | 7% | 2% | 3.5% | 6 | 10 | 19 | |||
Montana | October 10–12, 2016 | 36% | 46% | 11% | 3.2% | 10 | 3 | 21 | ||||
Nebraska | September 25–27, 2016 | 29% | 56% | 7% | 1% | 3.6% | 27 | 4 | 1 | 27 | ||
Nevada | November 4–6, 2016 | 46% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 4.9% | Tied | 6 | 2 | |||
New Hampshire | November 3–6, 2016 | 49% | 38% | 6% | 1% | 3.7% | 11 | 4 | 0.4 | |||
New Jersey | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 51% | 40% | 3% | 1% | 3.8% | 11 | 14 | 12 | |||
New Mexico | November 6, 2016 | 46% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 1.8% | 2 | 5 | 8 | |||
New York | November 3–4, 2016 | 51% | 34% | 5% | 2% | 4.5% | 17 | 29 | 21 | |||
North Carolina | November 4–6, 2016 | 44% | 44% | 3% | 3.5% | Tied | 15 | 3 | ||||
North Dakota | September 12–17, 2016 | 32% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 4.9% | 11 | 3 | 35 | |||
Ohio | October 27 – November 5, 2016 | 39% | 46% | 7% | 3% | 3.2% | 7 | 18 | 9 | |||
Oklahoma | October 18–20, 2016 | 30% | 60% | 5% | 4.3% | 30 | 7 | 37 | ||||
Oregon | October 24–29, 2016 | 41% | 34% | 4% | 2% | 4.4% | 7 | 7 | 10 | |||
Pennsylvania | November 3–6, 2016 | 46% | 40% | 7% | 2% | 2.8% | 6 | 20 | 1 | |||
Rhode Island | October 2–4, 2016 | 52% | 32% | 5% | 5% | 3.4% | 20 | 4 | 18 | |||
South Carolina | October 30–31, 2016 | 36% | 47% | 3% | 1% | 4.4% | 11 | 9 | 14 | |||
South Dakota | October 24–26, 2016 | 35% | 49% | 7% | 4.0% | 14 | 3 | 30 | ||||
Tennessee | October 14–17, 2016 | 34% | 44% | 7% | 2% | 4.4% | 10 | 11 | 27 | |||
Texas | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | 35% | 49% | 5% | 4% | 3.6% | 14 | 38 | 9 | |||
Utah | November 3–5, 2016 | 30% | 40% | 4% | 25% | 2.7% | 10 | 6 | 19 | |||
Vermont | October 24–26, 2016 | 52% | 26% | 5% | 2% | 3.0% | 26 | 3 | 29 | |||
Virginia | November 1–6, 2016 | 48% | 42% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3.6% | 6 | 13 | 5 | ||
Washington | November 4–6, 2016 | 55% | 39% | 4.9% | 16 | 12 | 17 | |||||
West Virginia | September 13–17, 2016 | 28% | 60% | 5.0% | 32 | 5 | 42 | |||||
Wisconsin | November 1–2, 2016 | 49% | 41% | 3% | 1.9% | 8 | 10 | 1 | ||||
Wyoming | October 5–11, 2016 | 20% | 58% | 9% | 2% | 3.6% | 38 | 3 | 46 | |||
No recent polling | 13 |
Alabama
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 60%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–38%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 34.5% | 54.5% | N/A | 20.0 | |
Huffpost Pollster | 36.9% | 56.1% | 19.2 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 32% | 48% | 16 | |||
Votamatic | 39.4% | 60.6% | 21.4 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 31% | 53% | 8% | N/A | 22 |
FiveThirtyEight | 37.3% | 56.8% | 4.8% | 19.5 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 31% | 53% | 8% | 2% | 22 |
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
News-5/Strategy Research [1] | September 27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 32% | Donald Trump | 48% | 16 | 3,000 | ± 2.0% |
Alaska
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 37.3% | 40% | N/A | 2.3 | |
Election Projection | 35.5% | 50.0% | 14.5 | |||
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated | |||||
TPM Polltracker | 35.3% | 37% | N/A | 1.7 | ||
Votamatic | 46.6% | 53.4% | 6.9 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 31% | 36% | 18% | N/A | 5 |
FiveThirtyEight | 40.6% | 45.4% | 12.4% | 4.8 | ||
HuffPost Pollster | 32.9% | 40% | 11.2% | 7.1 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 33.7% | 36.7% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 3 |
Election Projection | 32.5% | 37.5% | 14.5% | 4.5% | 5 | |
TPM Polltracker | 35.3% | 37% | 8% | 2.7% | 1.7 |
Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska Survey Research[2] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 46% | 4 | 660 | ± 3.8% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carciun Research[3] | October 21–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 4 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Lake Research Partners[4] | October 11–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Moore Information[5] | October 5–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 34% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 | 500 | ± 4% |
Alaska Survey Research[2] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 31% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 18% | Jill Stein | 6% | 5 | 660 | ± 3.8% |
Arizona
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 20, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 42.2% | 40.7% | N/A | 1.5 | |
Election Projection | 40.4% | 40.8% | 0.4 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 42.3% | 43.8% | 1.5 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 42.5% | 41% | 1.5 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 41.5% | 40.5% | 1.0 | |||
Votamatic | 50.6% | 49.4% | 1.2 | |||
Three-way | FiveThirtyEight | 46.4% | 45.5% | 6.8% | N/A | 0.9 |
TPM Polltracker | 39.5% | 37.6% | 5.7% | 1.9 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 41.2% | 40.2% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 1.0 |
Election Projection | 43.5% | 40.0% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 3.5 | |
Real Clear Politics | 41.8% | 40.5% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 1.3 | |
TPM Polltracker | 39.3% | 37.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 2.1 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] | October 30 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 46% | 5 | 719 | ± 3.7% |
CNN/ORC[7] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 51% | 5 | 769 | ± 3.5% |
Ipsos/Reuters[8] | October 6–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 45% | 7 | 1,538 | ± 2.8% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 42% | 1 | 649 | ± 3.8% |
- Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Orbital[10] | October 11–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 1 | 550 | ± 4.12% |
Data Orbital[11] | September 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 2 | 550 | ± 4.12% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West[12] | November 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 392 | ± 4.9% |
Data Orbital[13] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 8 | 550 | ± 4.12% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] | October 30 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 | 719 | ± 3.7% |
CNN/ORC[7] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 769 | ± 3.5% |
Saguaro Strategies[14] | October 29–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 1 | 2,229 | ± 3% |
Emerson College[15] | October 29–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 700 | ± 3.6% |
Data Orbital[16] | October 29–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 550 | ± 4.12% |
CBS News/YouGov[17] | October 26–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 994 | ± 4.3% |
Data Orbital[18] | October 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 550 | ± 4.12% |
Saguaro Strategies[19] | October 21–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 2,385 | ± 3% |
Monmouth University[20] | October 21–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 1 | 401 | ± 4.9% |
Data Orbital[21] | October 17–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | Tied | 550 | ± 4.12% |
Ipsos/Reuters[8] | October 6–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 1,538 | ± 2.8% |
Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News[22] | October 10–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 713 | ± 3.8% |
Highground[23] | October 14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 | 400 | ±4.88% |
Emerson College[24] | October 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 600 | ±3.90% |
OH Predictive Insights[25] | September 28–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | Tied | 718 | ±3.66% |
Insights West[26] | September 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 484 | ± 4.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 | 649 | ± 3.8% |
Arkansas
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 38.5% | 50.5% | N/A | 12.0 | |
Huffpost Pollster | 35.3% | 50% | 14.7 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 31.5% | 56% | 24.5 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 32.3% | 55.7% | 23.4 | |||
Votamatic | 40.9% | 59.1% | 18.2 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 32% | 56% | 4 | N/A | 24 |
FiveThirtyEight | 38.1% | 54.7% | 5.4 | 16.6 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 31.5% | 56% | 4% | 24.5 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 32.3% | 55.7% | 3.7% | 23.4 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 31.5% | 56% | 4% | 2% | 24.5 |
Real Clear Politics | 31.5% | 56% | 4% | 2% | 24.5 | |
TPM Polltracker | 32.3% | 55.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 23.4 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Arkansas[27] | October 18–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 59% | 23 | 800 | ± 4.1% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Talk Business/Hendrix College[28] | October 21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 33% | Donald Trump | 56% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 23 | 463 | ± 4.6% |
Talk Business/Hendrix College[29] | September 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 34% | Donald Trump | 55% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 21 | 831 | ± 3.4% |
Emerson College[30] | September 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 29% | Donald Trump | 57% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 3% | 28 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
California
55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 57.5% | 30.5% | N/A | 27 | |
HuffPost Pollster | 54.5% | 28.6% | 25.9 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 51% | 31.3% | 19.7 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 62.2% | 25.9% | 36.3 | |||
Votamatic | 63.8% | 36.2% | 27.7 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 56% | 30% | 4% | N/A | 26 |
FiveThirtyEight | 59.2% | 34.3% | 4.9% | 24.9 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 51% | 31.3% | 6.3% | 19.7 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 57% | 31% | 3.7% | 26 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 51.5% | 30.5% | 7% | 3.5% | 20.5 |
Real Clear Politics | 51% | 31.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 19.7 | |
TPM Polltracker | 57% | 31% | 3.7% | 2% | 26 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[31] | October 22–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Donald Trump | 32% | 26 | 1,365 | ± 2.3% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[32] | September 1–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Donald Trump | 33% | 25 | 4,212 | ± 2.0% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West[12] | November 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 2% | 23 | 401 | ± 4.9% |
KABC/SurveyUSA[33] | October 28–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 56% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 21 | 747 | ± 3.6% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[31] | October 22–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 30% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 26 | 1,365 | ± 2.3% |
Field Research[34] | October 25–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 20 | 1,498 | ±% |
Public Policy Institute of California[35] | October 14–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 28% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 5% | 26 | 1,704 | ± 3.4% |
KABC/SurveyUSA[36] | October 13–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 56% | Donald Trump | 30% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 26 | 725 | ± 3.7% |
Hoover Institution/YouGov[37] | October 4–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 30% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 24 | 1,250 | ± 3.28% |
Sacramento State University[38] | October 7–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 61% | Donald Trump | 25% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 36 | 622 | ± 7.0% |
KABC/SurveyUSA[39] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 59% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 2% | 26 | 732 | ± 3.6% |
Public Policy Institute of California[40] | September 9–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 31% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 5% | 16 | 1,055 | ± 4.5% |
Insights West[26] | September 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 62% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 1% | 28 | 515 | ± 4.3% |
Field Research[41] | September 7–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 6% | 17 | 1,426 | ±% |
SurveyUSA[42] | September 8–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 57% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 25 | 678 | ± 3.8% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[32] | September 1–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 29% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 6% | 20 | 4,212 | ± 2.0% |
Colorado
9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 46.8% | 37.4% | N/A | 9.4 | |
Election Projection | 44.3% | 39.4% | 4.9 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 46% | 38% | 8 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 46.8% | 38.9% | 7.9 | |||
Votamatic | 53.8% | 46.2% | 7.6 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 45% | 37% | 11% | N/A | 8 |
FiveThirtyEight | 48.8% | 41.5% | 9.3% | 7.3 | ||
HuffPost Pollster | 42.1% | 36.9% | 8.3% | 5.2 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 44.5% | 37.3% | 8.8% | 7.2 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 44.4% | 36% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 8.4 |
Election Projection | 44.5% | 37.3% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 7.2 | |
Real Clear Politics | 44.5% | 37.3% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 7.2 | |
TPM Polltracker | 41.3% | 38% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 3.3 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[43] | November 3–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 45% | 5 | 704 | ± 3.7% |
University of Denver[44] | October 29–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 41% | 1 | 550 | ± 4.2% |
Quinnipiac University[45] | October 10–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 40% | 11 | 685 | ± 3.7% |
Public Policy Polling[46] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 44% | 7 | 694 | ± 3.7% |
CNN/ORC[47] | September 20–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 47% | 2 | 784 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[48] | September 13–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 47% | Tied | 644 | ± 3.9% |
Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS[49] | September 14–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 35% | 9 | 540 | ± 5.3% |
- Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[50] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 1 | 1,863 | ± 2.27% |
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[51] | October 23–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 1 | 952 | ± 3.17% |
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[52] | October 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 2 | 1,581 | ± 2.46% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group[53] | October 31 – November 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 4% | 1 | 1,150 | ± 3.20% |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[54] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 4% | Tied | 1,125 | ± 2.9% |
Magellan Strategies[55] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 500 | ± 4.38% |
University of Denver[44] | October 29–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 4% | Tied | 550 | ± 4.2% |
Emerson College[15] | October 28–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 4% | 3 | 750 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[45] | October 10–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 8 | 685 | ± 3.7% |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[56] | October 12–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 1,226 | ± 2.8% |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[57] | October 3–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | Tied | 1,246 | ± 2.8% |
Monmouth University[58] | September 29 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 11 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Keating Research[59] | September 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 11 | 602 | ± 4.0% |
Public Policy Polling[46] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 694 | ± 3.7% |
CNN/ORC[47] | September 20–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 13% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 784 | ± 3.5% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[60] | September 22–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 6% | 4 | 799 | ± 3.5% |
CBS News/YouGov[61] | September 21–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 | 991 | ± 4.4% |
Quinnipiac University[48] | September 13–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 644 | ± 3.9% |
Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS[49] | September 14–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 3% | 7 | 540 | ± 5.3% |
Emerson College[30] | September 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 13% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
- Five-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Independent | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[43] | November 3–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | Evan McMullin | 1% | 5 | 704 | ± 3.7% |
Keating Research[62] | November 2–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | Evan McMullin | 1% | 5 | 605 | ± 4.0% |
CBS News/YouGov[63] | October 26–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | Evan McMullin | 1% | 3 | 997 | ± 4.1% |
Connecticut
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 48% | 39.5% | N/A | 8.5 | |
HuffPost Pollster | 49.6% | 36.4% | 13.2 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 50% | 35% | 15 | |||
Votamatic | 57.4% | 42.6% | 14.8 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 50% | 35% | 9% | N/A | 15 |
FiveThirtyEight | 53.7% | 38.9% | 5.9% | 14.8 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 47% | 34% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 13.0 |
TPM Polltracker | 50% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 15 |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[64] | September 2–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 15 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
Delaware
3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 59%–40%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 26, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 46% | 34% | N/A | 12 | |
Huffpost Pollster | 49.8% | 33.8% | 16 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 46.5% | 31% | 15.5 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 51% | 30% | 21 | |||
Votamatic | 59.2% | 40.8% | 18.4 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 51% | 30% | 7% | N/A | 21 |
FiveThirtyEight | 54.3% | 37.6% | 6.6% | 16.7 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 46.5% | 31% | 8% | 15.5 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 51% | 30% | 7% | 21 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 47% | 31.5% | 9.5% | 3% | 15.5 |
TPM Polltracker | 51% | 30% | 7% | 2% | 21 |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Delaware[65] | September 16–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 30% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 21 | 762 | ± 4.1% |
District of Columbia
3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%
(Democratic in 2012) 91%–7%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 26, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Electoral Vote | 66% | 20% | N/A | 46 |
Three-way | FiveThirtyEight | 83% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 72.4 |
No polling has been conducted post August 1, 2016
Florida
29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 26, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 47.4% | 44.4% | N/A | 3 | |
Election Projection | 47.6% | 44.3% | 3.3 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 46.2% | 43% | 3.2 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 47.6% | 44.3 | 3.3 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 47% | 44.3 | 2.7 | |||
Votamatic | 51.4% | 48.6% | 2.8 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 48% | 44% | 3% | N/A | 4 |
Election Projection | 45% | 42% | 6.0% | 3 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 49.2% | 45.8% | 3.7% | 3.4 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 47% | 43.9% | 2.9% | 3.1 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 46.8% | 43.8 | 2.9% | 3 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 46.4% | 43.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 2.6 |
Election Projection | 47% | 43.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 3.1 | |
Real Clear Politics | 47% | 43.9% | 3% | 1.3% | 3.1 | |
TPM Polltracker | 47.2% | 42.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 4.4 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University[66] | November 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 46% | Tied | 884 | ± 3.3% |
CNN/ORC[67] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 49% | 1 | 773 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[68] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 45% | 2 | 626 | ± 3.9% |
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[69] | October 31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 49% | 2 | 1,995 | ± 2.2% |
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[70] | October 25–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 48% | 3 | 814 | ± 3.4% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[71] | October 25–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 46% | Tied | 779 | ± 3.5% |
University of North Florida[72] | October 20–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | 836 | ± 3.4% |
Bloomberg/Selzer[73] | October 21–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 46% | 1 | 953 | ± 3.2% |
Quinnipiac University[45] | October 10–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 45% | 4 | 660 | ± 3.8% |
Public Policy Polling[74] | October 12–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 44% | 5 | 985 | ± 3.1% |
Ipsos/Reuters[75] | October 5–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 40% | 2 | 1,532 | ± 2.9% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] | October 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | 700 | ± 3.7% |
University of North Florida[77] | September 27 – October 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | 7 | 696 | ± 3.8% |
Quinnipiac University[78] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 44% | 5 | 545 | ± 4.2% |
Public Policy Polling[46] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 45% | 3 | 826 | ± 3.4% |
Florida Chamber Political Institute[79] | September 15–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 42% | 3 | 617 | ± 4.0% |
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[80] | September 10–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 43% | Tied | 867 | ± 3.3% |
CNN/ORC[81] | September 7–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 50% | 4 | 788 | ± 3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[82] | September 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 46% | 1 | 744 | ± 3.6% |
- Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[83] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 2% | 3 | 2,352 | ± 2.02% |
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies[84] | October 23–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 2% | 4 | 989 | ± 3.11% |
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[85] | October 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Tied | 1,646 | ± 2.41% |
Florida Chamber Political Institute[79] | September 15–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 2 | 617 | ± 4.0% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group[86] | November 6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 50% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 1,100 | ± 2.89% |
Quinnipiac University[66] | November 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 1% | 1 | 884 | ± 3.3% |
CBS News/YouGov[87] | November 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | Tied | 1,188 | ± 3.6% |
Breitbart News/Gravis Marketing[88] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 0% | 4 | 1,220 | ± 2.8% |
Fox 13/Fox 35/Opinion Savvy[89] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 603 | ± 4.0% |
CNN/ORC[67] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 773 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[68] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 | 626 | ± 3.9% |
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[69] | October 31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 1% | 3 | 1,995 | ± 2.2% |
Trafalgar Group[90] | October 27–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 1,150 | ± 2.9% |
TargetSmart/William & Mary[91] | October 25–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 2% | 8 | 718 | N/A |
Emerson College[92] | October 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 0% | 1 | 500 | ± 4.3% |
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[70] | October 25–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 814 | ± 3.4% |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News Network[93] | October 25–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 1% | Jill Stein | 0% | 1 | 1,301 | ± 2.7% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[71] | October 25–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 | 779 | ± 3.5% |
Dixie Strategies[94] | October 25–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 698 | ± 3.7% |
Saint Leo University[95] | October 22–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 13 | 1,028 | ± 3.0% |
University of North Florida[72] | October 20–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 3% | 4 | 836 | ± 3.4% |
Bloomberg/Selzer[73] | October 21–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 953 | ± 3.2% |
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13[96] | October 20–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 1% | 3 | 1,251 | ± 2.8% |
Florida Atlantic University[97] | October 21–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 | 500 | ± 4.3% |
CBS News/YouGov[98] | October 20–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 | 1,042 | ± 3.6% |
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/Fox 35[99] | October 20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 538 | ± 4.2% |
Florida Chamber Political Institute[100] | October 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 507 | ± 4.4% |
Quinnipiac University[45] | October 10–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 660 | ± 3.8% |
Public Policy Polling[74] | October 12–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 985 | ± 3.1% |
Ipsos/Reuters[75] | October 5–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 1,532 | ± 2.9% |
Opinion Savvy[101] | October 10–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 3 | 533 | ± 4.2% |
Florida Atlantic University[102] | October 5–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 1% | Jill Stein | 0% | 6 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] | October 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 3% | 3 | 700 | ± 3.7% |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[103] | October 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 821 | ± 3.4% |
Emerson College[24] | October 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 600 | ± 3.90% |
University of North Florida[77] | September 27 – October 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 3% | 3 | 696 | ± 3.8% |
Quinnipiac University[78] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 545 | ± 4.2% |
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/Fox 35[104] | September 28–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 | 619 | ± 4.0% |
Mason-Dixon[105] | September 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 820 | ± 3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[46] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 826 | ± 3.4% |
Suffolk University[106] | September 19–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 1 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Monmouth University[107] | September 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Saint Leo University[108] | September 10–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 502 | ± 4.5% |
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[80] | September 10–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 | 867 | ± 3.3% |
CNN/ORC[81] | September 7–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 3 | 788 | ± 3.5% |
CBS News/YouGov[109] | September 7–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 1,193 | ± 3.5% |
JMC Analytics[110] | September 7–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 781 | ± 3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[82] | September 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 1 | 744 | ± 3.6% |
Georgia
16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 44.8% | 46.5% | N/A | 1.7 | |
Election Projection | 41.6% | 46.1% | 4.5 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 45.4% | 48.7% | 3.4 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 42.3% | 46.3% | 4 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 44.2% | 46.4% | 2.2 | |||
Votamatic | 49.6% | 50.4% | 0.8 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 44% | 47% | 6% | N/A | 3 |
Election Projection | 43.7% | 47% | 5.7% | 3.3 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 45.4% | 47.9% | 6.7% | 2.5 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 42.3% | 46.3% | 5.5% | 4 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 43.4% | 46.8% | 4.9% | 2.2 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 43.6% | 46% | 6% | 2% | 2.4 |
Election Projection | 40.0% | 42.5% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 2.5 | |
TPM Polltracker | 39.7% | 45% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 5.3 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] | October 30 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 47% | 1 | 707 | ±3.7% |
Quinnipiac University[111] | October 20–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 46% | Tied | 707 | ± 3.7% |
Quinnipiac University[48] | September 13–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 50% | 6 | 638 | ± 3.9% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 46% | 3 | 625 | ± 3.9% |
- Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone[112] | November 6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 3% | 3 | 1,200 | ± 2.8% |
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone[113] | November 2–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 2 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
Opinion Survey/Fox 5 Atlanta[114] | November 2–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 4 | 538 | ± 4.2% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] | October 30 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 1 | 707 | ±3.7% |
WXIA-TV/SurveyUSA[115] | October 25–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 3% | 7 | 593 | ± 4.2% |
Quinnipiac University[111] | October 20–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 1 | 707 | ± 3.7% |
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone[116] | October 20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 4 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta[117] | October 20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 50% | Gary Johnson | 3% | 4 | 570 | ± 4.1% |
Atlantic Journal Constitution[118] | October 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 2 | 839 | ± 4.3% |
Clout Research[119] | October 15–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 2% | 3 | 627 | ± 3.9% |
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone[120] | October 11–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 6 | 1,400 | ± 2.7% |
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone[121] | September 21–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 4 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
JMC Analytics[122] | September 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 6 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Quinnipiac University[48] | September 13–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 7 | 638 | ± 4.9% |
Monmouth University[123] | September 15–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 3 | 401 | ± 4.9% |
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta[124] | September 14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 4 | 568 | ± 4.1% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 2 | 625 | ± 3.9% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group[125] | November 6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 52% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 0% | 7 | 1,250 | ± 2.76% |
Emerson College[15] | October 29–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 51% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 3% | 9 | 650 | ± 3.8% |
Emerson College[30] | September 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 3% | 6 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
Hawaii
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%
(Democratic in 2012) 71%–28%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 26, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 54% | 29.5% | N/A | 24.5 | |
Votamatic | 67% | 33% | 44 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 51% | 25% | 7% | N/A | 26 |
FiveThirtyEight | 60.1% | 32.4% | 5.5% | 27.7 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 51% | 25% | 7% | 7% | 26 |
No polls conducted yet
Idaho
4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 26, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Evan McMullin Independent |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 26.5% | 46% | N/A | 19.5 | ||
Election Projection | 34% | 49% | 15 | ||||
Huffpost Pollster | 28.3% | 48% | 19.7 | ||||
TPM Polltracker | 25.3% | 48% | 22.7 | ||||
Votamatic | 35.2% | 64.8% | 29.5 | ||||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 23% | 52% | 4% | N/A | 29 | |
FiveThirtyEight | 34.5% | 54.9% | 8.7% | 20.4 | |||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 26.5% | 46% | 7% | 3% | N/A | 19.5 |
Election Projection | 27.5% | 42% | 14.5% | 5% | 20 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 27.7% | 41.3% | 11% | 2.7% | 13.6 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 23% | 52% | 4% | N/A | 10% | 13.6 |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Other | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat Street/Rasmussen Reports[126] | October 23–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 29% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Evan McMullin | 10% | 19 | 750 | ± 4.0% |
Emerson College[127] | October 21–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 23% | Donald Trump | 52% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Evan McMullin | 10% | 29 | 1,023 | ± 3.0% |
Dan Jones & Associates[128] | September 28 – October 9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 30% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 10 | 608 | ± 3.97% |
Illinois
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 26, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 52% | 32% | N/A | 20 | |
Election Projection | 51% | 36.5% | 14.5 | |||
Huffpost Pollster | 51% | 32.7% | 18.3 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 48.3% | 33.3% | 15 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 54.5% | 31.1% | 23.2 | |||
Votamatic | 59.7% | 40.3% | 19.4 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 51% | 36% | 6% | N/A | 15 |
FiveThirtyEight | 55.1% | 38.5% | 5.1% | 16.6 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 52% | 32% | 5.5% | 2% | 20 |
Election Projection | 49% | 33.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 15.5 | |
Real Clear Politics | 47% | 32.3% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 14.3 | |
TPM Polltracker | 50.7% | 34.7% | 6% | 1.7% | 16 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Loras College[129] | October 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 37% | 11 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Loras College[130] | September 13–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 33% | 14 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green Party | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[131] | October 27–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 0% | 12 | 500 | ± 4.3% |
Loras College[129] | October 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 11 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Victory Research[132] | October 16–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 15 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% |
Illinois Public Opinion Strategies[133] | October 13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 18 | 664 | ± 3.5% |
Southern Illinois University[134] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Donald Trump | 28% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 25 | 865 | ± 3.3% |
Victory Research[135] | September 21–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 14 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% |
Emerson College[136] | September 19–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 3% | 6 | 700 | ± 3.6% |
Loras College[130] | September 13–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 30% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 13 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
We Ask America[137] | September 12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 18 | 955 | ± 3.17% |
Indiana
11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 54%–44%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 38.7% | 43.7% | N/A | 5 | |
Election Projection | 37% | 48.5% | 11.5 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 38.5% | 45% | 6.5 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 36.8% | 49.4% | 12.6 | |||
Votamatic | 44.7% | 55.3% | 10.6 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Projection | 38.7% | 45.7% | 7.7% | N/A | 7 |
Electoral Vote | 39% | 44% | 9% | 5 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 41.8% | 49.8% | 8.3% | 8 | ||
HuffPost Pollster | 36.1% | 45.4% | 8.6% | 9.3 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 38.5% | 45% | 8.5% | 6.5 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 37% | 48.7% | 7.7% | 11.7 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 38.7% | 43.7% | 9.7% | - | 5 |
Electoral Projection | 30% | 46% | 13% | 5% | 16 | |
TPM Polltracker | 35% | 48% | 13% | 1% | 13 |
- Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/
Third-party candidate |
% | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana[138] | November 1–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 11 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Gravis Marketing[139] | October 30 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 10 | 399 | ± 4.9% |
Monmouth University[140] | October 27–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 50% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 11 | 402 | ± 4.9% |
Gravis Marketing[141] | October 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 11 | 596 | ± 2.3% |
WISH-TV/Ball State University[142] | October 10–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 6 | 544 | ± 4.8% |
Monmouth University[143] | October 11–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 4 | 402 | ± 4.9% |
WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana[144] | October 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 5 | 600 | ± 4% |
WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana[145] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 7 | 600 | ± 4% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lucid/The Times-Picayune[146] | October 7–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 8 | 1,313 | ± % |
Iowa
6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 41.5% | 46% | N/A | 4.5 | |
Election Projection | 45.7% | 41% | 4.7 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 41.7% | 45% | 3.3 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 41.3% | 45.4% | 4.1 | |||
Votamatic | 48% | 52% | 4 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 40% | 45% | 10% | N/A | 5 |
FiveThirtyEight | 46.3% | 45.7% | 6.8% | 0.6 | ||
HuffPost Pollster | 38.5% | 40.3% | 7.8% | 2.2 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 39.7% | 43.7% | 8% | 4 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 39.5% | 44% | 8% | 2% | 4.5 |
Election Projection | 38.5% | 40.5% | 7.5% | 1.5% | 2 | |
Real Clear Politics | 38% | 41.7% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 0.2 | |
TPM Polltracker | 39.7 | 43.7% | 8% | 3.3% | 4 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Simpson College/RABA Research[147] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 46% | 2 | 1,076 | ± 3.0% |
Quinnipiac University[111] | October 20–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 47% | 1 | 791 | ± 3.5% |
Loras College[148] | September 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 42% | Tied | 491 | ± 4.4% |
Quinnipiac University[48] | September 13–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 50% | 6 | 612 | ± 4% |
Simpson College/RABA Research[149] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 43% | 1 | 1,054 | ± 3.0% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co.[150] | November 1–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 7 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Emerson College[151] | November 1–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 4% | 3 | 700 | ± 3.6% |
Loras College[152] | November 1–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Quinnipiac University[111] | October 20–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | Tied | 791 | ± 3.5% |
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co.[153] | October 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Loras College[148] | September 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 1% | Tied | 491 | ± 4.4% |
Quinnipiac University[48] | September 13–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 2% | 7 | 612 | ± 4% |
Monmouth University[154] | September 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 8 | 404 | ± 4.9% |
Simpson College/RABA Research[149] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 1,054 | ± 3.0% |
- Five-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Independent | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Simpson College/RABA Research[147] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | Evan McMullin | 2% | 3 | 1,076 | ± 3.0% |
Kansas
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 32% | 46.5% | N/A | 14.5 | |
HuffPost Pollster | 34.7% | 46.5% | 11.8 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 36% | 47.7% | 11.7 | |||
Votamatic | 43.3% | 56.7% | 13.4 | |||
Three-way | Election Projection | 33% | 44% | 7.5% | N/A | 11 |
Electoral Vote | 36% | 47% | 7% | 11 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 40.4% | 49.9% | 8% | 9.5 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 36% | 47.7% | 9.7% | 11.7 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 33% | 45% | 12% | 3% | 12 |
TPM Polltracker | 36% | 47.7% | 9.7% | 2% | 11.7 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fort Hays State University[155] | November 1–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 34% | Donald Trump | 58% | 24 | 313 | ± 5.5% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA/KSN News[156] | October 26–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 11 | 624 | ± 4.0% |
SurveyUSA/KSN News[157] | October 11–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 11 | 581 | ± 4.1% |
SurveyUSA/KSN News[158] | September 6–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 12 | 595 | ± 4.1% |
Kentucky
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 34.5% | 53% | N/A | 18.5 | |
Huffpost Pollster | 37.3% | 58.3% | 21 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 32.3% | 57.7% | 25.4 | |||
Votamatic | 39.5% | 60.5 | 21 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 29% | 52% | 7% | N/A | 23 |
FiveThirtyEight | 39.2% | 53.2% | 5.8% | N/A | 14 | |
Four-way | Election Projection | 29% | 52% | 7% | 5% | 23 |
TPM Polltracker | 29% | 60% | 7% | 2% | 31 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RunSwitch PR[159] | October 26–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 32% | Donald Trump | 56% | 24 | 811 | ± 3.44% |
- Five-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Independent | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Western Kentucky University[160] | October 25–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 54% | Gary Johnson | 1% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 1% | 17 | 602 | ± 4.0% |
Louisiana
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 35.7% | 49.7% | N/A | 14 | |
Election Projection | 35.5% | 52% | 16.5 | |||
Huffpost Pollster | 36.5% | 49.5% | 13.5 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 35.7% | 49.7% | 24.7 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 36.7% | 53.3% | 16.6 | |||
Votamatic | 42.9% | 57.1% | 14.2 | |||
Three-way | Election Projection | 34% | 47% | 7% | N/A | 13 |
Electoral Vote | 35% | 52% | 4% | 17 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 40% | 54.5% | 3.8% | 14.5 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 36.7% | 53.3% | 4% | 16.6 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 36% | 49.5% | 3% | 1% | 13.5 |
Election Projection | 36% | 49.5% | 3% | 1% | 13.5 | |
Real Clear Politics | 35.7% | 49.7% | 3.7% | - | 24 | |
TPM Polltracker | 36.7% | 53.3% | 4% | 1.7% | 16.6 |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/
Third-party candidate |
% | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Southern Media & Opinion Research[161] | October 19–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 35% | Donald Trump | 50% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 15 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Southern Media & Opinion Research[162] | September 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 33% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 16 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Orleans[163] | October 15–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 35% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 14 | 603 | ± 4.0% |
Mason-Dixon[164] | October 17–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 34% | Donald Trump | 54% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 1% | 20 | 625 | ± 4.0% |
JMC Analytics[165] | October 11–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 7 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
JMC Analytics[166] | September 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 35% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 10 | 905 | ± 3.3% |
Maine
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4 electoral votes (Statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st and 2nd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 46% | 39.5% | N/A | 7.5 | |
HuffPost Pollster | 47.8% | 37.7% | 10.1 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 43.8% | 37.5% | 6.3 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 50.3% | 36.3% | 14 | |||
Votamatic | 55.8% | 44.2% | 11.6 | |||
Three-way | Election Projection | 43.8% | 41.2% | 7.3% | N/A | 2.6 |
Electoral Vote | 43% | 36% | 9% | 7 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 50.6% | 40.3% | 7.7% | 10.3 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 42.7% | 36.7% | 10% | 6 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 41% | 36.5% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 4.5 |
Real Clear Politics | 42% | 36.8% | 10.5 | 3.5% | 5.2 | |
TPM Polltracker | 51% | 35% | 6% | 4% | 16 |
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maine People's Resource Center[167] | October 24–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | 7 | 812 | ± 3.4% |
Maine People's Resource Center[168] | October 14–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 39% | 10 | 890 | ± 3.3% |
Maine People's Resource Center[169] | October 7–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 40% | 9 | 892 | ± 3.3% |
Maine People's Resource Center[170] | September 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | 5 | 835 | ± 3.4% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[131] | October 28–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 750 | ± 3.5% |
Maine People's Resource Center[167] | October 24–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 5 | 812 | ± 3.4% |
University of New Hampshire[171] | October 20–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 3% | 11 | 670 | ± 3.8% |
Maine People's Resource Center[168] | October 14–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 6 | 890 | ± 3.3% |
Maine People's Resource Center[169] | October 7–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 8 | 892 | ± 3.3% |
University of New Hampshire[172] | September 15–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 3% | 4 | 513 | ± 4.3% |
Maine People's Resource Center[170] | September 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 5% | Tied | 835 | ± 3.4% |
Colby College/Boston Globe[173] | September 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 5% | 3 | 779 | ± 3.6% |
Emerson College[64] | September 2–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 2% | 9 | 800 | ± 3.4% |
Maryland
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 56% | 32% | N/A | 24 | |
HuffPost Pollster | 57.7% | 27.9% | 29.8 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 58.3% | 25.7% | 32.6 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 61.7% | 27% | 34.7 | |||
Votamatic | 67.7% | 32.3% | 35.5 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 63% | 27% | 4% | N/A | 36 |
FiveThirtyEight | 62% | 32.1% | 4.2% | 29.9 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 60.5% | 26% | 5% | 2% | 34.5 |
Real Clear Politics | 58.3% | 25.7% | 5.3% | 2% | 32.6 | |
TPM Polltracker | 61.7% | 27% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 34.7 |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington Post/University of Maryland[174] | September 27–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 63% | Donald Trump | 27% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 36 | 706 | ± 4.0% |
Goucher Poll[175] | September 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Donald Trump | 25% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 33 | 514 | ± 4.3% |
Massachusetts
11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 62.5% | 30.5% | N/A | 32 | |
Election Projection | 53% | 33% | 20 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 56% | 31.3% | 24.7 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 57.8% | 25.7% | 32.1 | |||
Votamatic | 64% | 36% | 28 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 54% | 28% | 7% | N/A | 26 |
FiveThirtyEight | 59.6% | 32.8% | 6% | 26.8 | ||
Huffpost Pollster | 52.3% | 28.1% | 6.6% | 24.2 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 56% | 27% | 8% | 4% | 29 |
Election Projection | 56% | 27% | 7% | 3.5% | 20 | |
Real Clear Politics | 52.7% | 29% | 7.3% | 3% | 23.7 | |
TPM Polltracker | 58.3% | 26% | 4.7% | 3% | 32.3 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Western New England University[176] | September 24 – October 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 65% | Donald Trump | 30% | 35 | 403 | ± 5.0% |
WBUR/MassINC[177] | September 7–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 60% | Donald Trump | 31% | 29 | 506 | ± 4.4% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Western New England University[178] | October 23 – November 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 56% | Donald Trump | 26% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 30 | 417 | ± 5.0% |
Suffolk University[179] | October 24–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 57% | Donald Trump | 25% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 32 | 500 | ±4.4% |
WBUR/MassINC[180] | October 13–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 28% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 26 | 502 | ±4.4% |
Western New England University[176] | September 24 – October 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Donald Trump | 26% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 4% | 32 | 403 | ± 5.0% |
UMass Amherst/WBZ Poll[181] | September 15–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 13 | 700 | ± 4.3% |
WBUR/MassINC[177] | September 7–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 28% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 26 | 500 | ± 4.3% |
Emerson College[64] | September 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 2% | 17 | 500 | ± 4.3% |
Michigan
16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 47% | 38.2% | N/A | 8.8 | |
Election Projection | 46.7% | 35.3% | 11.4 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 47.5% | 39.8% | 7.7 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 45.7% | 38.7% | 7 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 47.8% | 40.4% | 7.4 | |||
Votamatic | 54.9% | 45.1% | 9.8 | |||
Three-way | Election Projection | 37% | 33% | 12% | N/A | 4 |
Electoral Vote | 43% | 37% | 9% | 6 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 49.4% | 42.7% | 6.6% | 6.7 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 44.1% | 39.9% | 8.9% | 4.2 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 44.5% | 39.6% | N/A | 4.6% | 4.9 | |
Four-way | 270 to Win | 43.4% | 36% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 7.4 |
Election Projection | 44% | 36% | 6.7% | 3% | 8 | |
Real Clear Politics | 43.3% | 37.3% | 7% | 2.7% | 6 | |
TPM Polltracker | 44.5% | 39.6% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 4.9 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[43] | November 3–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 44% | 6 | 957 | ± 3.2% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[182] | November 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 45% | 5 | 1,007 | ± 3.1% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[183] | November 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 46% | 5 | 1,150 | ± 2.89% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[184] | November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 44% | 5 | 887 | ± 3.29% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[185] | October 31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 45% | 6 | 737 | ± 3.61% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[186] | October 30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 42% | 9 | 953 | ± 3.17% |
Michigan State University[187] | September 1 – October 30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 32% | 20 | 746 | ± 3.6% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[188] | October 25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 44% | 6 | 1,030 | ± 2.78% |
EPIC-MRA[189] | October 22–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 37% | 8 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[190] | October 23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 43% | 8 | 1,241 | ± 2.78% |
MRG[191] | October 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 38% | 8 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[192] | October 18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Donald Trump | 41% | 12 | 1,102 | ± 2.59% |
Ipsos/Reuters[193] | October 6–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 36% | 4 | 1,370 | ± 3.0% |
Detroit News[194] | October 10–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 33% | 14 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[195] | September 27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 44% | 5 | 1,956 | ± 2.2% |
EPIC-MRA[196] | September 10–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 38% | 4 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[197] | September 6–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | 940 | ± 3.2% |
- Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target Insyght[198] | September 18–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 5 | 600 | ± 4% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group[199] | November 6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 1,200 | ± 2.77% |
Public Policy Polling[43] | November 3–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 957 | ± 3.2% |
Strategic National[200] | November 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | Tied | 573 | ± 4.09% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[182] | November 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 | 1,007 | ± 3.1% |
EPIC-MRA[201] | November 1–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[183] | November 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 3 | 1,150 | ± 2.89% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[184] | November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 3 | 887 | ± 3.29% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[185] | October 31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 7 | 737 | ± 3.61% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[186] | October 30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 953 | ± 3.17% |
Strategic National[202] | October 29–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Michigan State University[187] | September 1 – October 30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 28% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 4% | 19 | 746 | ± 3.6% |
Emerson College[203] | October 25–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 3% | 7 | 500 | ± 4.3% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[188] | October 25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 6 | 1,030 | ± 2.78% |
EPIC-MRA[189] | October 22–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 7 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[190] | October 23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 8 | 1,241 | ± 2.78% |
MRG[191] | October 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[192] | October 18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 13 | 1,102 | ± 2.95% |
Ipsos/Reuters[193] | October 6–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 1,370 | ± 3.0% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[204] | October 11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 4% | 10 | 1,429 | ± 2.59% |
Detroit News[194] | October 10–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 31% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 5% | 11 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
EPIC-MRA[205] | October 1–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 11 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
The Detroit News/WDIV-TV[206] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 7 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[195] | September 27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 1,956 | ± 2.2% |
EPIC-MRA[196] | September 10–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 4% | 3 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[197] | September 6–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 6 | 940 | ± 3.2% |
Minnesota
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10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 45.3% | 41.3% | N/A | 4 | |
HuffPost Pollster | 45.3% | 38.5% | 6.8 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 46.3% | 41.7% | 4.6 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 47% | 37% | 10 | |||
Votamatic | 54.9% | 45.1% | 9.8 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 47% | 39% | 6% | N/A | 8 |
FiveThirtyEight | 50.2% | 42.7% | 5.8% | 7.5 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 45% | 41% | 5% | 1.5% | 4 |
Real Clear Politics | 45.3% | 40.3% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 5.3 | |
TPM Polltracker | 47% | 37% | 8% | 3.7% | 10 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV[207] | October 22–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Donald Trump | 42% | 11 | 656 | ± 3.9% |
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV[208] | September 16–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 43% | 6 | 625 | ± 4% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV[207] | October 22–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 10 | 656 | ± 3.9% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[209] | September 23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | Tied | 906 | ± 3.3% |
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV[208] | September 16–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 7 | 625 | ± 4% |
Star Tribune[210] | September 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 625 | ± 4% |
- Five-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Independent | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon[211] | October 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 1% | 8 | 625 | ± 4.0% |
Mississippi
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 42.5% | 51% | N/A | 8.5 | |
Huffpost Pollster | 42.7% | 51.4% | 8.7 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 42% | 50% | 8 | |||
Votamatic | 45.1% | 54.9% | 9.8 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 43% | 46% | 4% | N/A | 3 |
FiveThirtyEight | 42.6% | 53% | 2.9% | N/A | 11.4 | |
Four-way | Election Projection | 41% | 49% | 3.5% | 2% | 8 |
TPM Polltracker | 42% | 50% | 4% | 2% | 8 |
No polling conducted post September 1, 2016
Missouri
10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 40.7% | 46.7% | N/A | 6 | |
Election Projection | 36.7% | 47.3% | 10.6 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 38.3% | 46% | 7.7 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 40.7% | 46.7% | 6 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 37.4% | 48.7% | 11.3 | |||
Votamatic | 45.1% | 54.9% | 9.8 | |||
Three-way | Election Projection | 42.5% | 44% | 6.5% | N/A | 1.5 |
Electoral Vote | 39% | 47% | 5% | 8 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 42.7% | 49.9% | 5.9% | 7.2 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 39.8% | 46.5% | 4.8% | 6.7 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 37.3% | 48.6% | 7.7% | 11.3 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 39.7% | 47.3% | 5% | 2% | 7.6 |
Election Projection | 40.7% | 46.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 6 | |
Real Clear Politics | 39.7% | 47.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 8 | |
TPM Polltracker | 36.1% | 49.5% | 8.2% | 3% | 13.4 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[212] | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 52% | 11 | 1,083 | ± 3.0% |
MO Scout/BK Strategies[213] | October 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 53% | 14 | 1,698 | ± 2.38% |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[214] | September 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 10 | 1,279 | ± 3% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[215] | November 4–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 750 | ± 3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[216] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 50% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 13 | 871 | ± 3.3% |
Remington Research Group[217] | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 51% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 12 | 1,722 | ± 2.36% |
DHM Research[218] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 9 | 508 | ± 4.4% |
Emerson College[15] | October 28–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 52% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 15 | 650 | ± 3.8% |
Monmouth University[219] | October 28–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 52% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 14 | 405 | ± 4.9% |
Mason-Dixon[220] | October 24–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 625 | ± 4% |
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[221] | October 23–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 50% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 11 | 2,559 | ± 1.94% |
Emerson College[222] | October 17–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 8 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[223] | October 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 2,171 | ± 2.1% |
Monmouth University[224] | October 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 406 | ± 4.9% |
CBS News/YouGov[225] | September 21–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 9 | 1,087 | ± 3.9% |
Emerson College[30] | September 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 34% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 6% | 13 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[226] | September 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 9 | 1,275 | ± 3% |
Montana
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3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–42%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 37% | 48% | N/A | 11 | |
TPM Polltracker | 35.3% | 50% | 14.7 | |||
Votamatic | 41.9% | 58.1% | 16.2 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 32% | 45% | 9% | N/A | 13 |
FiveThirtyEight | 38.8% | 50.3% | 9.4% | 11.5 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 35.3% | 50% | 9% | 14.7 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 31.5% | 44.5% | 9% | 2% | 13 |
TPM Polltracker | 32.3% | 49% | 7.7% | 1.3% | 16.7 |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon[227] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 10 | 1,003 | ± 3.2% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Montana State University Billings[228] | October 3–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 27% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 16 | 590 | ± 4.0% |
Nebraska
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5 electoral votes (Statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st, 2nd, and 3rd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 36.5% | 48.5% | N/A | 12 | |
Huffpost Pollster | 36.5% | 53% | 16.5 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 31.7% | 53.3% | 21.6 | |||
Votamatic | 39.2% | 60.8% | 21.6 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 29% | 56% | 7% | N/A | 27 |
FiveThirtyEight | 36% | 53.8% | 8.4% | 17.8 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 30.5% | 49% | 11% | 3% | 18.5 |
TPM Polltracker | 31.7% | 53.3% | 9% | 3% | 21.6 |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[229] | September 25–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 29% | Donald Trump | 56% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 27 | 700 | ± 3.6% |
Nevada
6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
Aggregate polls Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Darrell Castle IAPN (Constitution) |
Rocky de la Fuente Unafilliated (ADP/ Reform) |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 46.2% | 43.5% | N/A | 2.7 | |||
Election Projection | 45% | 43.7% | 1.3 | |||||
Real Clear Politics | 45.8% | 43.8% | 2 | |||||
TPM Polltracker | 45.6% | 43.9% | 1.7 | |||||
Votamatic | 50.7% | 49.3% | 1.4 | |||||
Three-way | Election Projection | 45.4 | 42.3 | 5.9 | N/A | 3.1 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 47.5% | 44.6% | 6.6% | 2.9 | ||||
HuffPost Pollster | 44.4% | 42% | 5.2% | 2.4 | ||||
Real Clear Politics | 45.3% | 43.3% | 6.3% | 2 | ||||
TPM Polltracker | 45.8% | 43.4% | 6.5% | 2.4 | ||||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 44.7% | 42.8% | 6.8% | 5% | N/A | 1.9 | |
Election Projection | 41% | 41% | 9.3% | 4.5% | - | |||
TPM Polltracker | 43.7% | 43.7% | 9.7% | 1.3% | - | |||
Five-way | TPM Polltracker | 44% | 38% | 7% | N/A | 1% | 1% | 6 |
Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[212] | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 45% | 3 | 688 | ± 3.7% |
CNN/ORC[230] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 51% | 6 | 790 | ± 3.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[231] | October 20–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 45% | Tied | 707 | ±3.7% |
CNN/ORC[232] | October 10–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 46% | 4 | 698 | ± 3.5% |
Clarity Campaign Labs[233] | October 10–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 43% | Tied | 1,010 | ± 3.1% |
Public Policy Polling[234] | October 10–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 43% | 4 | 986 | ± 3.1% |
Fox News[235] | September 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 46% | 4 | 704 | ± 3.5% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[236] | September 10–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 46% | 3 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | 1 | 627 | ± 3.9% |
Public Policy Polling[237] | September 6–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 42% | 3 | 815 | ± 3.4% |
Three-way
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[238] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 3% | 1 | 1,793 | ± 2.31% |
JMC Analytics/8 News NOW[239] | October 28 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Tied | 600 | ± 4.0% |
CNN/ORC[230] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 6 | 790 | ± 3.5% |
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies[240] | October 23–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 4 | 787 | ± 3.49% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[231] | October 20–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Tied | 707 | ±3.7% |
Las Vegas Review-Journal/Bendixen & Amandi International[241] | October 20–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 7 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[242] | October 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 3 | 1,332 | ± 2.68% |
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports[243] | October 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 4 | 826 | ± 3.5% |
Monmouth University[244] | October 14–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 7 | 413 | ± 4.8% |
CNN/ORC[232] | October 10–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 2 | 698 | ± 3.5% |
CBS News/YouGov[245] | October 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 6 | 996 | ± 4.5% |
JMC Analytics/8 News NOW[246] | October 10–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 2 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Public Opinion Strategies[247] | October 11–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 6 | 600 | ± 4% |
UNLV/Hart Research[248] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 3 | 700 | ± 3.8% |
Las Vegas Review-Journal/Bendixen & Amandi International[249] | September 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 1 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Fox News[235] | September 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 3 | 704 | ± 3.5% |
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports[250] | September 16–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 3 | 800 | ± 4% |
Insights West[26] | September 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 3 | 398 | ± 4.9% |
Monmouth University[251] | September 11–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 2 | 406 | ± 4.9% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West[12] | November 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | Tied | 387 | ± 4.9% |
Gravis Marketing[252] | November 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 | 1,158 | ± 2.9% |
Emerson College[215] | November 4–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 1 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
Trafalgar Group[253] | November 1–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 50% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 1,100 | ± 3.02% |
Emerson College[92] | October 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 0% | 2 | 550 | ± 4.1% |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News Network[254] | October 25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | Tied | 875 | ± 3.3% |
Emerson College[24] | October 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | Tied | 700 | ± 3.6% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[236] | September 10–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | Tied | 400 | ± 4.9% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 627 | ± 3.9% |
Five-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | IAPN | % | Unaffiliated | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University[255] | September 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Darrell Castle | 1% | Rocky De La Fuente | 1% | 6 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
New Hampshire
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 45.4% | 37.6% | N/A | 7.8 | |
Election Projection | 44.5% | 38.5% | 6 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 45.7% | 38.7% | 7 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 47.3% | 38.6% | 8.6 | |||
Votamatic | 54.4% | 45.6% | 8.7 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 45% | 38% | 9% | N/A | 7 |
FiveThirtyEight | 49.2% | 41.9% | 7.6% | 7.2 | ||
HuffPost Pollster | 43.2% | 37.1% | 8% | 6.1 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 44.6% | 37.8% | 8.6% | 6.8 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 46.9% | 40.6% | 7.9% | 6.3 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 45% | 37% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 8 |
Election Projection | 44.7% | 37.6% | 9% | 3% | 7.1 | |
Real Clear Politics | 43.3% | 37.3% | 7% | 2.7% | 6 | |
TPM Polltracker | 46.9% | 40.6% | 7.9% | 1.4% | 6.3 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UMass Lowell/7News[256] | October 28 – November 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 45% | 1 | 695 | ± 4.28% |
Public Policy Polling[212] | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | 5 | 781 | ± 3.5% |
MassInc/WBUR[257] | October 29 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
InsideSources/NH Journal[258] | October 26–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 47% | 1 | 408 | ± 5.1% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[231] | October 20–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 39% | 8 | 768 | ±3.5% |
MassInc/WBUR[259] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | 501 | ± 4.4% |
Public Policy Polling[260] | October 7–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 37% | 11 | 600 | ± 4% |
MassInc/WBUR[261] | September 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 38% | 9 | 502 | ± 4.4% |
GBA Strategies[262] | September 25–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | 6 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 41% | 1 | 737 | ± 3.6% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[263] | November 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 11 | 701 | ± 3.7% |
Emerson College[215] | November 4–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[264] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 1,001 | ± 2.1% |
American Research Group[265] | October 31 – November 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe[266] | October 31 – November 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | Tied | 500 | ± 4.4% |
UMass Lowell/7News[256] | October 28 – November 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | Tied | 695 | ± 4.28% |
MassInc/WBUR[257] | October 29 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
University of New Hampshire/WMUR[267] | October 26–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 7 | 641 | ± 3.9% |
Emerson College[203] | October 23–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
Monmouth University[268] | October 22–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 401 | ± 4.9% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[231] | October 20–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 4% | 9 | 768 | ± 3.5% |
UMass Amherst/WBZ Poll[269] | October 17–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 | 772 | ± 4.5% |
Emerson College[222] | October 17–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 6% | 8 | 900 | ± 3.2% |
University of New Hampshire[270] | October 11–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 15 | 770 | ± 3.5% |
MassInc/WBUR[259] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 3% | 3 | 501 | ± 4.4% |
UMass Lowell/7News[271] | October 7–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 517 | ± 4.9% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe[272] | October 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
MassInc/WBUR[261] | September 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 13% | Jill Stein | 4% | 7 | 502 | ± 4.4% |
GBA Strategies[262] | September 25–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 4% | 7 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
American Research Group[273] | September 20–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 522 | ± 4.2% |
Monmouth University[274] | September 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 1% | 9 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 15% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 | 737 | ± 3.6% |
Emerson College[64] | September 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 14% | Jill Stein | 4% | 5 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
- Five-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Independent | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
InsideSources/NH Journal[258] | October 26–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | Evan McMullin | 1% | 2 | 408 | ± 5.1% |
New Jersey
14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 52% | 38.3% | N/A | 13.7 | |
Election Projection | 48.5% | 40% | 8.5 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 48.1% | 35% | 13.1 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 50.8% | 39.5% | 11.3 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 50.3% | 38% | 12.3 | |||
Votamatic | 56.6% | 43.4% | 13.2 | |||
Three-way | Election Projection | 44% | 32% | 9% | N/A | 12 |
Electoral Vote | 49% | 35% | 6% | 14 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 54.3% | 40.1% | 4.1% | 14.2 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 47% | 43% | 5% | 4 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 48.7% | 35.3% | 6.3% | 3% | 13.4 |
Real Clear Politics | 48.5% | 36% | 5.5% | 3% | 12.5 | |
TPM Polltracker | 47% | 43% | 5% | 2% | 4 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fairleigh Dickinson University[275] | October 12–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 40% | 11 | 579 | ± 4.3% |
Stockton College[276] | September 22–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | 6 | 638 | ± 3.9% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stockton University[277] | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 11 | 678 | ± 3.75% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University[275] | October 12–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 4% | 14 | 293 | ± 5.7% |
Rutgers-Eagleton[278] | September 6–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 29% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 4% | 21 | 735 | ± 3.8% |
Emerson College[64] | September 2–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 800 | ± 3.4% |
New Mexico
5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 46.7% | 35.3% | N/A | 11.4 | |
Election Projection | 45% | 33.5% | 11.5 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 45% | 33.5% | 11.5 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 48.7% | 38% | 9.3 | |||
Votamatic | 55.7% | 44.3% | 11.4 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 41% | 33% | 18% | N/A | 8 |
FiveThirtyEight | 47.8% | 36.6% | 14.3% | 11.2 | ||
HuffPost Pollster | 40.7% | 31.7% | 13.5% | 9 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 46% | 35% | 12.7% | 11 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 40.7% | 32.3% | 18.7% | 3% | 8.4 |
Election Projection | 40.5% | 32% | 19% | 2% | 8.5 | |
Real Clear Politics | 40.5% | 32% | 19% | 2% | 8.5 | |
TPM Polltracker | 46% | 35% | 12.7% | 2% | 11 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research & Polling Inc[279] | September 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 34% | 10 | 501 | ± 4.4% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zia Poll[280] | November 6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 8,439 | ± 1.8% |
Research & Polling Inc[281] | November 1–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 | 504 | ± 4.4% |
Breitbart News/Gravis Marketing[282] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 3% | 8 | 1,327 | ± 2.7% |
Zia Poll[283] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 3 | 1,102 | ± 3.0% |
Zia Poll[284] | October 24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 1,899 | ± 2.25% |
Zia Poll[285] | October 11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 2% | 10 | 1,536 | ± 2.5% |
SurveyUSA[286] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 14% | Jill Stein | 2% | 13 | 594 | ± 4.1% |
Research & Polling Inc[279] | September 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 35% | Donald Trump | 31% | Gary Johnson | 24% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 501 | ± 4.4% |
New York
29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 55.5% | 31.5% | N/A | 24 | |
Election Projection | 55% | 35.5% | 19.5 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 53.2% | 31.9% | 21.3 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 52.7% | 31.7% | 21 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 53.4% | 29.4% | 24 | |||
Votamatic | 63.1% | 36.9% | 26.2 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 54% | 30% | 5% | N/A | 24 |
FiveThirtyEight | 57.7% | 36.1% | 4.5% | 11.6 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 53% | 30.5% | 6% | 4.5% | 22.5 |
Election Projection | 53% | 30.5% | 6% | 4.5% | 22.5 | |
Real Clear Politics | 52.7% | 31.7% | 6.7% | 4% | 21 | |
TPM Polltracker | 53.3% | 30.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 23 |
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist[287] | September 21–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 57% | Donald Trump | 33% | 24 | 676 | ± 3.8% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian Independence |
% | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College[288] | November 3–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 17 | 617 | ± 4.5% |
Siena College[289] | October 13–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 30% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 4% | 24 | 611 | ± 4.6% |
NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist[287] | September 21–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 31% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 5% | 21 | 676 | ± 3.8% |
Siena College[290] | September 11–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 30% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 21 | 600 | ± 5.0% |
North Carolina
15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 48.6% | 45.2% | N/A | 3.4 | |
Election Projection | 44.2% | 43.7% | 0.5 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 47.5% | 44.8% | 2.7 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 48.1% | 45.4% | 7.1 | |||
Votamatic | 51.5% | 48.5% | 3 | |||
Three-way | Election Projection | 45.5% | 43.3% | 5.9% | N/A | 2.3 |
Electoral Vote | 46% | 43% | 6% | 3 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 48.6% | 45.7% | 5.7% | 2.9 | ||
HuffPost Pollster | 45.4% | 43.1% | 5.9% | 2.3 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 46% | 43.7% | 5.5% | 2.3 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 46.2% | 45.3% | 3.5% | 0.9 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 46.4% | 43.6% | 5.6% | 2% | 3 |
Election Projection | 43% | 42.7% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.3 | |
TPM Polltracker | 46% | 42% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 4 |
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University[66] | November 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 45% | 3 | 870 | ± 3.3% |
Public Policy Polling[212] | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 47% | 2 | 1,169 | ± 2.9% |
Quinnipiac University[68] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 46% | 2 | 602 | ± 4.0% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[291] | October 25–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 44% | 6 | 780 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[111] | October 20–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 44% | 6 | 702 | ± 3.7% |
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[292] | October 20–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 41% | 8 | 792 | ± 3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[293] | October 21–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 46% | 3 | 875 | ± 3.3% |
Ipsos/Reuters[294] | October 6–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | 2 | 1,233 | ± 3.2% |
Time Warner Cable News/SurveyUSA[295] | October 14–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 46% | 2 | 651 | ± 3.9% |
CNN/ORC[296] | October 10–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 48% | 2 | 788 | ± 3.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[297] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | 5 | 743 | ± 3.6% |
Bloomberg/Selzer[298] | September 29 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 45% | 1 | 805 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[78] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 46% | 3 | 507 | ± 4.4% |
Public Policy Polling[46] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 45% | 4 | 861 | ± 3.3% |
Fox News[299] | September 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 47% | 5 | 734 | ± 3.9% |
Public Policy Polling[300] | September 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 47% | Tied | 1,024 | ± 3.1% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[236] | September 10–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 45% | 3 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/
Third-party candidate |
% | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[301] | November 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Tied | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[66] | November 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 3% | 2 | 870 | ± 3.3% |
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[302] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 3% | 3 | 2,596 | ± 1.92% |
Quinnipiac University[68] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 3% | 3 | 602 | ± 4.0% |
WRAL-TV News/SurveyUSA[303] | October 28–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 51% | Gary Johnson | 3% | 7 | 659 | ±3.9% |
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies[304] | October 23–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 2% | 2 | 1,176 | ± 2.85% |
Emerson College[92] | October 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 3 | 650 | ± 3.8% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[291] | October 25–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 6 | 780 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[111] | October 20–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 4 | 702 | ± 3.7% |
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[292] | October 20–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 7 | 792 | ± 3.5% |
Monmouth University[305] | October 20–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 1 | 402 | ± 4.9% |
Public Policy Polling[293] | October 21–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 3 | 875 | ± 3.3% |
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[306] | October 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 3% | 3 | 1,746 | ± 2.33% |
Civitas[307] | October 14–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 2 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Time Warner Cable News/SurveyUSA[295] | October 14–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 2 | 651 | ± 3.9% |
CNN/ORC[296] | October 10–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 1 | 788 | ± 3.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[297] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 4 | 743 | ± 3.6% |
Suffolk University[308] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 2 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
High Point University[309] | October 1–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 1 | 479 | ± 4.5% |
WRAL-TV/SurveyUSA[310] | September 29 – October 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 2 | 656 | ± 3.9% |
Quinnipiac University[78] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 3 | 507 | ± 4.4% |
Public Policy Polling[46] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 2 | 861 | ± 3.3% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[311] | September 23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 1 | 694 | ± 3.7% |
Meredith College[312] | September 18–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 3 | 487 | ± 4.43% |
High Point University[313] | September 17–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 1 | 404 | ± 4.9% |
Fox News[299] | September 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 5 | 734 | ± 3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[300] | September 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 2 | 1,024 | ± 3.1% |
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[314] | September 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Tied | 782 | ± 3.6% |
Civitas[315] | September 11–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Tied | 600 | ± 4% |
Suffolk University[316] | September 5–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 3 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Breitbart News/Gravis Marketing[317] | November 1–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 | 1,250 | ± 2.8% |
Trafalgar Group[318] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 0% | 5 | 1,154 | ± 2.88% |
CBS News/YouGov[319] | October 26–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 0% | 3 | 992 | ± 4.1% |
Elon University[320] | October 23–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 1 | 710 | ± 3.7% |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News Network[321] | October 25–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 1% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 1,273 | ± 2.8% |
Ipsos/Reuters[294] | October 6–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 1,233 | ± 3.2% |
Emerson College[322] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 3% | 4 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
Bloomberg/Selzer[298] | September 29 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 | 805 | ± 3.5% |
Elon University[323] | September 27–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 0% | 6 | 660 | ± 3.81% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[236] | September 10–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 4 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Elon University[324] | September 12–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 0% | 1 | 644 | ± 3.86% |
North Dakota
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–39%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 20, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 34% | 52% | N/A | 18 | |
HuffPost Pollster | 34.1% | 54.1% | 20 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 32% | 43% | 11 | |||
Votamatic | 39.2% | 60.8% | 21.6 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 32% | 43% | 8% | N/A | 11 |
FiveThirtyEight | 37.6% | 52.6% | 8.5% | 15 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 29% | 47% | 12% | 1.5% | 18 |
TPM Polltracker | 32% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 11 |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green Party | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DFM Research[325] | September 12–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 32% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 1% | 11 | 400 | 4.9% |
Ohio
18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 20, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 46.1% | 45.3% | N/A | 0.8 | |
Election Projection | 43.2% | 45% | 1.7 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 45.8% | 46.2% | 0.4 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 45.6% | 46% | 0.4 | |||
Votamatic | 50.5% | 49.5% | 0.5 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 43% | 43% | 8% | N/A | - |
FiveThirtyEight | 47.4% | 45.4% | 6% | 2 | ||
HuffPost Pollster | 44.1% | 42.4% | 5.5% | 1.7 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 43.9% | 43.7% | 3.1% | 0.2 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 43.4% | 43% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.4 |
Election Projection | 44.1% | 43.6% | 5.9% | 2% | 0.5 | |
Real Clear Politics | 44% | 44.6% | 5.6% | 2% | 0.6 | |
TPM Polltracker | 43.9% | 43.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2 |
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Columbus Dispatch[326] | October 27 – November 5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 47% | 1 | 1,151 | ±2.9% |
Quinnipiac University[68] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 47% | 3 | 589 | ± 4.0% |
Quinnipiac University[45] | October 10–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 48% | 1 | 624 | ± 3.9% |
CNN/ORC[327] | October 10–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 50% | 3 | 774 | ± 3.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[297] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 45% | Tied | 724 | ± 3.6% |
Ipsos/Reuters[328] | October 6–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | 3 | 1,200 | ±3.2% |
Baldwin Wallace University[329] | October 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 38% | 10 | 1,152 | ± 3% |
Public Policy Polling[330] | October 5–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 47% | 1 | 872 | ± 3.5% |
TargetSmart/William and Mary[331] | October 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | 812 | ± % |
Anzalone Liszt Grove[332] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | 800 | ± 3.46% |
Quinnipiac University[78] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 49% | 3 | 497 | ± 4.4% |
Target Smart/William & Mary[333] | September 15–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 40% | 3 | 652 | ± % |
Fox News[334] | September 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 45% | 5 | 737 | ± 3.5% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[236] | September 10–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 46% | Tied | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Bloomberg/Selzer[335] | September 9–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 48% | 5 | 802 | ± 3.5% |
CNN/ORC[336] | September 7–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 50% | 4 | 769 | ± 3.5% |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[337] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 1 | 2,557 | ± 1.94% |
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies[338] | October 23–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 3% | 5 | 1,187 | ± 2.84% |
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[339] | October 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 4 | 1,971 | ± 2.2% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[215] | November 4–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 7 | 900 | ± 3.2% |
CBS News/YouGov[340] | November 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 | 1,189 | ± 4.1% |
TargetSmart/William and Mary[341] | October 31 – November 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 3 | 844 | ± % |
Quinnipiac University[68] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 589 | ± 4.0% |
Emerson College[92] | October 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | Tied | 800 | ± 3.4% |
Quinnipiac University[45] | October 10–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | Tied | 624 | ± 3.9% |
CNN/ORC[327] | October 10–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 774 | ± 3.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[297] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 1 | 724 | ± 3.6% |
Emerson College[322] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
Ipsos/Reuters[328] | October 6–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 1,200 | ± 3.2% |
Baldwin Wallace University[329] | October 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 9 | 1,152 | ± 3% |
CBS News/YouGov[342] | October 5–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 997 | ± 3.9% |
Public Policy Polling[330] | October 5–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 | 872 | ± 3.5% |
TargetSmart/William and Mary[331] | October 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 812 | ± % |
Monmouth University[343] | October 1–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 405 | ± 4.9% |
Anzalone Liszt Grove[332] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 800 | ± 3.46% |
Quinnipiac University[78] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 497 | ± 4.4% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[344] | September 22–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 1 | 850 | ± 3.4% |
Target Smart/William & Mary[333] | September 15–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 | 652 | ± % |
Fox News[334] | September 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 737 | ± 3.5% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[236] | September 10–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 4% | 2 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Bloomberg/Selzer[335] | September 9–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 | 802 | ± 3.5% |
CNN/ORC[336] | September 7–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 769 | ± 3.5% |
CBS News/YouGov[345] | September 7–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 7 | 994 | ± 3.9% |
Five-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Independent | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University[346] | October 17–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 1% | Richard Duncan | 1% | Tied | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Suffolk University[347] | September 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | Richard Duncan | 1% | 3 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Oklahoma
7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 20, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 33.5% | 52.5% | N/A | 19 | |
HuffPost Pollster | 30.9% | 53.6% | 22.7 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 36% | 51% | 15 | |||
Votamatic | 38.6% | 61.4% | 22.8 | |||
Three-way | Election Projection | 36% | 51% | 6% | N/A | 15 |
Electoral Vote | 36% | 51% | 6% | 15 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 37.8% | 55.9% | 6.3% | 18.1 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 36% | 51% | 6% | 15 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 26% | 49% | 13% | 7% | 23 |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/
Third-party candidate |
% | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll[348] | October 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 30% | Donald Trump | 60% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 30 | 530 | ± 4.26% |
SoonerPoll[349] | September 13–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 51% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 15 | 515 | ± 4.32% |
Oregon
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 20, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 45.5% | 35.8% | N/A | 9.7 | |
Election Projection | 50% | 36% | 14 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 45.8% | 36.5% | 9.3 | |||
Votamatic | 56.5% | 43.5% | 13 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 43% | 39% | 10% | N/A | 4 |
FiveThirtyEight | 52.3% | 40.3% | 6% | 12 | ||
HuffPost Pollster | 44.8% | 35% | 6.7% | 9.8 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 45.5% | 35.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 9.7 |
Election Projection | 45.8% | 36.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 9.3 | |
Real Clear Politics | 45.8% | 36.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 9.3 |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox 12/Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall, Inc.[350] | October 24–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 7 | 504 | ± 4.4% |
Riley Research/KGW[351] | October 4–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 5% | 10 | 608 | ± 3.97% |
DHM Research[352] | October 6–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 5% | 7 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
KATU-TV/SurveyUSA[353] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 4% | 10 | 654 | ± 3.9% |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[354] | October 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 8 | 1,248 | ± 2.8% |
Hoffman Research[355] | September 29 – October 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 12 | 605 | ± 4% |
iCitizen[356] | September 2–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 28% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 3% | 15 | 610 | ± 4.0% |
DHM Research[357] | September 1–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 25% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 13 | 517 | ± 4.3% |
Pennsylvania
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 48.2% | 42.4% | N/A | 5.8 | |
Election Projection | 47.6% | 41.8% | 5.8 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 46.8% | 41.8% | 5 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 47.6% | 42% | 5.6 | |||
Votamatic | 52.5% | 47.5% | 5 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 46% | 40% | 5% | N/A | 6 |
FiveThirtyEight | 50.3% | 44.1% | 4.3% | 7.4 | ||
HuffPost Pollster | 46% | 39.5% | 5.2% | 6.5 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 47.1% | 42.1% | 5.7% | 5 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 45.8% | 40.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 5.2 |
Election Projection | 46.2% | 40.4% | 5.4% | 3% | 5.8 | |
Real Clear Politics | 45.8% | 40.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 5 | |
TPM Polltracker | 48% | 42% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 6 |
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[358] | October 30 – November 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 42% | 6 | 420 | ± 5.5% |
Public Policy Polling[212] | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 44% | 4 | 1,050 | ± 3.0% |
CNN/ORC[359] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 46% | 5 | 799 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[68] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 44% | 6 | 612 | ± 4.0% |
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[360] | October 31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 49% | 2 | 2,606 | ± 1.9% |
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[361] | October 20–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | 420 | ± 5.5% |
Ipsos/Reuters[362] | October 6–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | 6 | 1,467 | ±2.9% |
Quinnipiac University[45] | October 10–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 45% | 6 | 660 | ± 3.8% |
Bloomberg/Selzer[363] | October 7–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 42% | 9 | 806 | ± 3.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] | October 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 39% | 12 | 709 | ± 3.7% |
Quinnipiac University[78] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | 5 | 535 | ± 4.2% |
Public Policy Polling[46] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 44% | 5 | 886 | ± 3.3% |
CNN/ORC[364] | September 20–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 47% | 3 | 771 | ± 3.5% |
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[365] | September 19–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | 3 | 486 | ± 5.0% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[236] | September 10–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 42% | 9 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[366] | September 12–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 38% | 9 | 405 | ± 5.5% |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[367] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 1 | 2,683 | ± 1.89% |
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies[368] | October 23–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 3% | 2 | 1,249 | ± 2.77% |
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[369] | October 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 3 | 1,997 | ± 2.19% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[370] | November 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 1,220 | ± 2.8% |
Trafalgar Group[371] | November 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 1% | 1 | 1,300 | ± 2.68% |
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[358] | October 30 – November 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 405 | ± 5.5% |
Harper Polling[372] | November 2–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 1% | Tied | 504 | ± 4.4% |
Breitbart News/Gravis Marketing[373] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 1,016 | ± 3.1% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc[374] | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 681 | ± 3.76% |
Monmouth University[375] | October 29 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 403 | ± 4.9% |
CNN/ORC[359] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 3% | 4 | 799 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[68] | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 | 612 | ± 4.0% |
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[360] | October 31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 | 2,606 | ± 1.9% |
Franklin & Marshall College[376] | October 26–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 11 | 652 | ± 5.1% |
Breitbart News/Gravis Marketing[377] | October 25–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 | 3,217 | ± 1.7% |
CBS News/YouGov[378] | October 26–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 8 | 1,091 | ± 3.7% |
Emerson College[203] | October 25–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 0% | 5 | 550 | ± 4.1% |
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[361] | October 20–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 420 | ± 5.5% |
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[379] | October 23–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 3% | 7 | 824 | ± 3.4% |
Emerson College[222] | October 17–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 4% | 4 | 800 | ± 3.4% |
Ipsos/Reuters[362] | October 6–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 7 | 1,467 | ± 2.9% |
Quinnipiac University[45] | October 10–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 6 | 660 | ± 3.8% |
Bloomberg/Selzer[363] | October 7–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 4% | 9 | 806 | ± 3.5% |
Lucid/The Times-Picayune[380] | October 7–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 7 | 1,747 | ± % |
Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc[381] | October 4–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 764 | ± 3.5% |
CBS News/YouGov[342] | October 5–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 8 | 997 | ± 4.2% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] | October 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 4% | 12 | 709 | ± 3.7% |
Monmouth University[382] | September 30 – October 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 10 | 402 | ± 4.9% |
Franklin & Marshall College[383] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 0% | 9 | 496 | ± 6.1% |
Quinnipiac University[78] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 535 | ± 4.2% |
Public Policy Polling[46] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 886 | ± 3.3% |
CNN/ORC[364] | September 20–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 771 | ± 3.5% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[384] | September 23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 3% | 3 | 949 | ± 3.2% |
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[365] | September 19–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 | 486 | ± 5.0% |
Mercyhurst University[385] | September 12–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 420 | ± 4.8% |
Harper Polling[386] | September 21–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[236] | September 10–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 8 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[366] | September 12–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 14% | Jill Stein | 5% | 8 | 405 | ± 5.5% |
Rhode Island
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 48.5% | 38% | N/A | 10.5 | |
TPM Polltracker | 50% | 35.3% | 14.7 | |||
Votamatic | 57.2% | 42.8% | 14.4 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 52% | 32% | 5% | N/A | 20 |
FiveThirtyEight | 55.7% | 38.2% | 4.4% | 17.5 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 46.5% | 32.5% | 10% | 6% | 14 |
TPM Polltracker | 50% | 35.3% | 7% | 4.3% | 14.7 |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[24] | October 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 5% | 20 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
Emerson College[64] | September 2–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 4% | 3 | 800 | ± 3.4% |
South Carolina
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 39.5% | 47.5% | N/A | 8 | |
HuffPost Pollster | 39.9% | 44.8% | 4.9 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 39.3% | 47% | 7.7 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 41.3% | 44% | 2.7 | |||
Votamatic | 46.7% | 53.3% | 6.7 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 38% | 42% | 6% | N/A | 5 |
FiveThirtyEight | 44.3% | 50.3% | 4.5% | 6 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 41.3% | 44% | 6.7% | 2.7 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 38% | 47.5% | 4.5% | 2% | 9.5 |
Real Clear Politics | 37.7% | 45.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 7.6 | |
TPM Polltracker | 41.3% | 44% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 2.7 |
- Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Starboard Communications[387] | September 7–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 35% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 13 | 600 | ± 4.8% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Independent | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Starboard Communications[388] | October 30–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Evan McMullin | 1% | 11 | 600 | ± 4.4% | ||
Winthrop University[389] | September 18–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 3% | 4 | 475 | ± 4.5% | ||
Trafalgar Group[390] | September 6–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 53% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 15 | 1,247 | ± 2.77% |
South Dakota
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–40%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 34.5% | 49% | N/A | 14.5 | |
Votamatic | 43% | 57% | 14 | |||
Three-way | Election Projection | 37% | 44% | 7% | N/A | 7 |
Electoral Vote | 37% | 44% | 7% | 7 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 39.4% | 52% | 7% | 12.6 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 29% | 43% | 19% | 3% | 14 |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon[391] | October 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 7 | 400 | 5.0% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Other candidate | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nielson Brothers Polling[392] | October 24–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 35% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Darrell Castle | 1% | 14 | 600 | 4% |
Remington Research Group[393] | October 19–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Darrell Castle | 2% | 11 | 1,115 | 2.93% |
Tennessee
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 59%–39%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 34.5% | 46% | N/A | 11.5 | |
Election Projection | 35.5% | 52% | 16.5 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 34.8% | 47.8% | 13 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 36.7% | 47.3% | 10.6 | |||
Votamatic | 42.1% | 57.9% | 15.8 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 35% | 46% | 6% | N/A | 11 |
FiveThirtyEight | 40.7% | 53.3% | 4.3% | 12.6 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 34.5% | 46% | 5.5% | 1% | 11.5 |
Election Projection | 35.5% | 47% | 6% | 1% | 11.5 | |
TPM Polltracker | 36.7% | 47.3% | 7% | 2% | 10.6 |
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MTSU[394] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 50% | 10 | 472 | ± 5.0% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
iCitizen[395] | October 14–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 34% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 10 | 508 | ± 4.4% |
MTSU[394] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 50% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 12 | 472 | ± 5.0% |
Vanderbilt University[396] | September 19 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 33% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 11 | 1000 | ± 3.4% |
Texas
38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Evan McMullin Independent |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 41.4% | 45% | N/A | 3.6 | ||
Election Projection | 40.8% | 44.8% | 4 | ||||
HuffPost Pollster | 41.5% | 46.8% | 5.3 | ||||
Real Clear Politics | 41% | 45.7% | 4.7 | ||||
TPM Polltracker | 40.7% | 45.8% | 5.1 | ||||
Votamatic | 46.5% | 53.5% | 7 | ||||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 41% | 45% | 6% | N/A | 4 | |
FiveThirtyEight | 43.4% | 49.9 | 5.2% | 6.5 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 40.8% | 44.8 | 5.2% | 4 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 39% | 45.3% | 7.2% | 6.3 | |||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 40.6% | 44.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% | N/A | 3.6 |
Election Projection | 40.8% | 44.8% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 4 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 41% | 45.7% | 5.7% | - | 4.7 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 41.7% | 46% | 6.7% | 2% | 4.3 |
Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] | October 30 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 49% | 8 | 679 | ± 3.8% |
Texas Lyceum[397] | September 1–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 42% | 6 | 502 | ± 4.37% |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Austin American-Statesman/Crosswind[398] | October 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 7 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[399] | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 35% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 4% | 14 | 700 | ± 3.6% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] | October 30 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 9 | 679 | ± 3.8% |
KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll[400] | October 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 52% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 0% | 13 | 980 | ± 3.13% |
Texas Tribune/University of Texas[401] | October 14–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 | 959 | ± 3.16% |
CBS News/YouGov[402] | October 20–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 3 | 1,031 | ± 4.4% |
University of Houston[403] | October 7–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 3 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
SurveyUSA/TEGNA[404] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 638 | ± 4.0% |
KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll[405] | September 29 – October 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 7 | 780 | ± 3.5% |
Texas Lyceum[397] | September 1–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 32% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 7 | 502 | ± 4.37% |
Emerson College[406] | September 7–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 6% | 6 | 700 | ± 3.6% |
Utah
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Darrell Castle Constitution |
Evan McMullin Independent |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 25% | 32% | N/A | 7 | |||
Election Projection | 34% | 45.5% | 11.5 | |||||
Real Clear Politics | 25.5% | 40.8% | 15.3 | |||||
TPM Polltracker | 28.2% | 33.2% | 5 | |||||
Votamatic | 43.1% | 56.9% | 13.8 | |||||
Three-way | Election Projection | 26% | 29% | 16% | N/A | 3 | ||
Electoral Vote | 26% | 30% | 5% | 4 | ||||
TPM Polltracker | 28.3% | 33.1% | 5.2% | 4.8 | ||||
Four-way | Election Projection | 24.5% | 36.5% | 13% | - | N/A | 12 | |
FiveThirtyEight | 28.1% | 35.4% | 6.3% | N/A | 28% | 7.3 | ||
HuffPost Pollster | 25% | 34.4% | 8.3% | N/A | 20.7% | 9.4 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 23.3% | 37.3% | 11.3% | 0.7 | N/A | 14 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 26.7% | 31% | 6.3% | 0.7% | 4.3 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 28.6% | 32.9% | 4.9% | N/A | 28.7% | 4.2 | ||
Five-way | 270 to Win | 25% | 32% | 5.8% | 1% | N/A | 25.8% | 6.2 |
Election Projection | 25.2% | 31% | 7.3% | 1% | N/A | 25.2% | 5.8 | |
Real Clear Politics | 25.2% | 31% | 7.3% | 0.8% | N/A | 25.2% | 5.8 | |
TPM Polltracker | 26.7% | 31% | 6.3% | 0.7% | N/A | 29.7% | 1.3 | |
Six-way | TPM Polltracker | 24.7% | 33% | 7.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 22.3% | 15 |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Independent | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group[407] | November 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 30% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Evan McMullin | 25% | 10 | 1,352 | ± 2.67% |
Rasmussen Reports[408] | October 29–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 31% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Evan McMullin | 21% | 11 | 750 | ± 4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports[409] | October 23–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 28% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Evan McMullin | 29% | 3 | 750 | ± 4.0% |
- Five-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Independent | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Y2 Analytics[410] | November 1–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 24% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 3% | Evan McMullin | 28% | 5 | 500 | ± 4.38% |
Emerson College[399] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 20% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 2% | Evan McMullin | 28% | 12 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
Monmouth University[411] | October 30 – November 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 31% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 24% | 6 | 402 | ± 4.9% |
Gravis Marketing[412] | October 30–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 29% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 24% | 6 | 1,424 | ± 2.6% |
Dan Jones & Associates[413] | October 20–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 24% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 30% | 2 | 823 | ± 3.42% |
Emerson College[222] | October 17–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 24% | Donald Trump | 27% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 0% | Evan McMullin | 31% | 4 | 700 | ± 3.6% |
Rasmussen Reports[414] | October 15–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 28% | Donald Trump | 30% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 29% | 1 | 750 | ± 4.0% |
CBS News/YouGov[415] | October 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 20% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 20% | 17 | 951 | ± 5.7% |
Monmouth University[416] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 28% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 20% | 6 | 403 | ± 4.9% |
Y2 Analytics[417][418] | October 10–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 26% | Donald Trump | 26% | Gary Johnson | 14% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 22% | Tied | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Dan Jones & Associates[419] | September 12–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 25% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 13% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 12% | 9 | 820 | ± 3.4% |
- Six-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Constitution | % | Independent | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates[420] | October 12–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 25% | Donald Trump | 30% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | Darrell Castle | 1% | Evan McMullin | 29% | 1 | 818 | ± 3.97% |
Dan Jones & Associates[421] | September 1–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 24% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 13% | Jill Stein | 0% | Darrell Castle | 2% | Evan McMullin | 9% | 15 | 605 | ± 3.98% |
Vermont
3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
(Democratic in 2012) 67%–31%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 52.5% | 30% | N/A | 22.5 | |
HuffPost Pollster | 49% | 22.7% | 26.3 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 51% | 21% | 30 | |||
Votamatic | 67.8% | 32.2% | 35.6 | |||
Three-way | Election Projection | 39% | 17% | 5% | N/A | 22 |
Electoral Vote | 50% | 22% | 7% | 28 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 60.1% | 31.9% | 6.2% | 28.2 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 51% | 21% | 8.7% | 30 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 47.5% | 19.5% | 5.5% | 4% | 28 |
TPM Polltracker | 51% | 21% | 8.7% | 7% | 30 |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RRH Elections[422] | October 24–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 26% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 26 | 1,052 | ± 3.0% |
WCAX[423] | October 19–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 22% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 5% | 28 | 603 | ± 3.99% |
Castleton University/Vermont Public Radio[424] | September 29 – October 14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 17% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 28 | 650 | ± 3.9% |
Emerson College[64] | September 2–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 26% | Gary Johnson | 13% | Jill Stein | 7% | 21 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
Virginia
13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 49.6% | 40.2% | N/A | 9.4 | |
Election Projection | 48% | 39.8% | 8.2 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 49% | 40.7% | 8.3 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 49.7% | 39.2% | 10.5 | |||
Votamatic | 54.5% | 45.5% | 9 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 48% | 36% | 6% | N/A | 12 |
FiveThirtyEight | 51% | 42.8% | 5% | 7.8 | ||
HuffPost Pollster | 46.5% | 38.2% | 4.4% | 8.3 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 48.2% | 42% | 6.7% | 6.2 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 48% | 39.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 8.8 |
Election Projection | 47.3% | 39.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 8 | |
Real Clear Politics | 48% | 40% | 4% | 1.5% | 8 | |
TPM Polltracker | 46% | 35% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 11 |
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[43] | November 3–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 45% | 6 | 1,238 | ± 2.8% |
Roanoke College[425] | October 29 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 40% | 9 | 654 | ± 3.8% |
Washington Post/Schar School[426] | October 27–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 45% | 6 | 1,024 | ± 3.5% |
Hampton University[427] | October 26–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 44% | 3 | 802 | ± 4.57% |
Winthrop University[428] | October 23–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 43% | 6 | 712 | ± 3.6% |
Quinnipiac University[111] | October 20–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Donald Trump | 40% | 13 | 749 | ± 3.6% |
Hampton University[429] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 34% | 12 | 800 | ± 4.4% |
Public Policy Polling[46] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 43% | 6 | 811 | ± 3.4% |
Christopher Newport University[430] | September 15–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 38% | 10 | 1,003 | ± 3.9% |
Quinnipiac University[48] | September 13–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 43% | 7 | 659 | ± 3.8% |
Roanoke College[431] | September 11–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 40% | 11 | 841 | ± 3.4% |
University of Mary Washington[432] | September 6–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | 685 | ± 4.4% |
Public Policy Polling[433] | September 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 42% | 8 | 878 | ± 3.3% |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/
Third-party candidate |
% | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[434] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 2 | 3,076 | ± 1.77% |
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[435] | October 23–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 3% | 5 | 1,106 | ± 2.94% |
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[436] | October 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 3% | 5 | 1,787 | ± 2.31% |
Emerson College[322] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 3 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Breitbart News/Gravis Marketing[437] | November 1–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 1,362 | ± 2.7% |
Emerson College[131] | October 28–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 800 | ± 3.4% |
Washington Post/Schar School[426] | October 27–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 1,024 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[111] | October 20–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 12 | 749 | ± 3.6% |
Public Policy Polling[46] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 6 | 811 | ± 3.4% |
CBS News/YouGov[438] | September 21–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 8 | 1,237 | ± 3.3% |
Quinnipiac University[48] | September 13–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 1% | 6 | 659 | ± 3.8% |
Roanoke College[431] | September 11–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 1% | 7 | 841 | ± 3.4% |
Public Policy Polling[433] | September 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 878 | ± 3.3% |
Five-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Independent | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Christopher Newport University[439] | November 1–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | <1% | Evan McMullin | 2% | 6 | 1,193 | ± 3.6% |
Public Policy Polling[43] | November 3–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 1% | 5 | 1,238 | ± 2.8% |
Roanoke College[425] | October 29 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | Evan McMullin | 1% | 7 | 654 | ± 3.8% |
Winthrop University[428] | October 23–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | Evan McMullin | 2% | 5 | 712 | ± 3.6% |
Christopher Newport University[440] | October 23–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 1% | 7 | 814 | ± 4.2% |
Christopher Newport University[441] | October 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 3% | 12 | 834 | ± 3.9% |
Tarrance Group[442] | October 12–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 2% | 9 | 500 | ± 4.1% |
Christopher Newport University[443] | October 11–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 29% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 2% | Evan McMullin | 3% | 15 | 809 | ± 3.6% |
Roanoke College[444] | October 2–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 1% | 9 | 814 | ± 3.4% |
Christopher Newport University[445] | September 27–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 2% | 7 | 892 | ± 3.7% |
Christopher Newport University[430] | September 15–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 15% | Jill Stein | 3% | Evan McMullin | 3% | 6 | 1,003 | ± 3.9% |
University of Mary Washington[432] | September 6–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 3% | 3 | 685 | ± 4.4% |
Washington
12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 50.3% | 34.3% | N/A | 16 | |
Election Projection | 50.5% | 35% | 15.5 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 46.2% | 33.6% | 12.6 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 48.3% | 35.3% | 13 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 49.3% | 32.8% | 16.5 | |||
Votamatic | 58.3% | 41.7% | 16.6 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 48% | 31% | 1% | N/A | 17 |
FiveThirtyEight | 53.5% | 39.5% | 5.6% | 14 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 47.5% | 31% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 16.5 |
Election Projection | 47.5% | 31% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 16.5 | |
Real Clear Politics | 46.3% | 33.3% | 6% | 3.3% | 13 | |
TPM Polltracker | 50% | 33% | 7% | 1.7% | 17 |
Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West[12] | November 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Donald Trump | 39% | 16 | 402 | ± 4.9% |
KCTS 9/YouGov[446] | October 6–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Donald Trump | 39% | 14 | 750 | ± 4.4% |
Strategies 360[447] | September 29 – October 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 33% | 17 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA[448] | October 31 – November 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 12 | 681 | ± 3.8% |
Elway Poll[449] | October 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 31% | Gary Johnson | 1% | Jill Stein | 1% | 17 | 502 | ± 4.5% |
Strategies 360[447] | September 29 – October 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 31% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 4% | 16 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Emerson College[229] | September 25–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 5% | 6 | 700 | ± 3.6% |
Insights West[26] | September 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 16% | Jill Stein | 6% | 12 | 505 | ± 4.4% |
West Virginia
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5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 30.5% | 56.5% | N/A | 26.5 | |
HuffPost Pollster | 30.0% | 54.7% | 24.7 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 28.7% | 60.7% | 32 | |||
Votamatic | 33.3% | 66.7% | 33.4 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 29% | 51% | 11% | N/A | 22 |
FiveThirtyEight | 34.1% | 59.2% | 4.9% | 25.1 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 29% | 61% | 6% | 32 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 29% | 50.5% | 11% | 4% | 21.5 |
TPM Polltracker | 29% | 61% | 6% | 3% | 32 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Garin-Hart-Yang[450] | September 13–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 28% | Donald Trump | 60% | 32 | 500 | ± 5.0% |
- Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/
Third-party candidate |
% | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Just Win Strategies[451] | September 8–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 30% | Donald Trump | 57% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 27 | 600 | ± 4% |
Wisconsin
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 47.6% | 40.4% | N/A | 7.2 | |
Election Projection | 46.5% | 40.5 | 6 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 46.5% | 40.9% | 5.6 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 46.5% | 40.5% | 6 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 47.3% | 40.3% | 7 | |||
Votamatic | 53.5% | 46.5% | 6.9 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 47% | 39% | 5% | N/A | 8 |
FiveThirtyEight | 50% | 43.6% | 5.1% | 6.4 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 44% | 41% | 8.3% | 3 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 45.4% | 39% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 6.4 |
Election Projection | 46% | 39.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 6.7 | |
Real Clear Politics | 46% | 39.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 6.7 | |
TPM Polltracker | 44.3% | 40.7% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 3.6 |
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[212] | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 41% | 7 | 891 | ± 3.3% |
Loras College[452] | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | 2 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Public Policy Polling[453] | October 18–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 38% | 12 | 804 | ± 3.9% |
Marquette University[454] | October 6–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | 4 | 878 | ± 3.9% |
Marquette University[455] | September 15–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | 2 | 677 | ± 4.8% |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[456] | November 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 3% | 8 | 2,720 | ± 1.88% |
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[457] | October 23–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 4 | 1,172 | ± 2.86% |
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[458] | October 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 5 | 1,795 | ± 2.31% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Loras College[452] | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Marquette University[459] | October 26–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 6 | 1,190 | ± 3.5% |
Emerson College[92] | October 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
McLaughlin & Associates[460] | October 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Monmouth University[461] | October 15–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 7 | 403 | ± 4.9% |
St Norbert College[462] | October 13–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 1% | Jill Stein | 3% | 8 | 664 | ± 3.8% |
Marquette University[454] | October 6–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 7 | 878 | ± 3.9% |
Loras College[463] | October 5–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 8 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
CBS News/YouGov[342] | October 5–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 993 | ± 4.3% |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[464] | October 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 8 | 1,102 | ± 3.0% |
Emerson College[136] | September 19–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 2% | 7 | 700 | ± 3.6% |
Marquette University[455] | September 15–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 | 677 | ± 4.8% |
Wyoming
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3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
(Republican in 2012) 69%–28%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 26% | 62% | N/A | 36 | |
TPM Polltracker | 23.3% | 58.7% | 35.4 | |||
Votamatic | 29.5% | 70.5% | 41 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 20% | 58% | 9% | N/A | 38 |
FiveThirtyEight | 28.4% | 61.4% | 8% | 31 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 21% | 57% | 15% | 3% | 36 |
TPM Polltracker | 23.3% | 58.7% | 9% | 2% | 35.4 |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green Party | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wyoming Survey and Analysis Center[465] | October 5–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 20% | Donald Trump | 58% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 2% | 38 | 722 | ± 3.6% |
DFM Research[466] | September 6–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 19% | Donald Trump | 54% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 2% | 35 | 402 | ± 4.9% |
See also
- General election polling
- Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016
- Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election by demographics, 2016
- International opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016
- Democratic primary polling
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2016 presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
- Republican primary polling
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2016 presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
- Older polling
Notes
- ↑ These results reflect only polls done on or after September 1, 2016.
References
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.6 9.7 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 12.0 12.1 12.2 12.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 15.0 15.1 15.2 15.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 24.0 24.1 24.2 24.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 26.0 26.1 26.2 26.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 30.0 30.1 30.2 30.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 31.0 31.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 32.0 32.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 43.0 43.1 43.2 43.3 43.4 43.5 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 44.0 44.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 45.0 45.1 45.2 45.3 45.4 45.5 45.6 45.7 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 46.0 46.1 46.2 46.3 46.4 46.5 46.6 46.7 46.8 46.9 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 47.0 47.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 48.0 48.1 48.2 48.3 48.4 48.5 48.6 48.7 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 49.0 49.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 64.0 64.1 64.2 64.3 64.4 64.5 64.6 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 66.0 66.1 66.2 66.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 67.0 67.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 68.0 68.1 68.2 68.3 68.4 68.5 68.6 68.7 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 69.0 69.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 70.0 70.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 71.0 71.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 72.0 72.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 73.0 73.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 74.0 74.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 75.0 75.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 76.0 76.1 76.2 76.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 77.0 77.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 78.0 78.1 78.2 78.3 78.4 78.5 78.6 78.7 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 79.0 79.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 80.0 80.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 81.0 81.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 82.0 82.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 92.0 92.1 92.2 92.3 92.4 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 111.0 111.1 111.2 111.3 111.4 111.5 111.6 111.7 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 129.0 129.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 130.0 130.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 131.0 131.1 131.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 136.0 136.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 147.0 147.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 148.0 148.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 149.0 149.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 167.0 167.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 168.0 168.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 169.0 169.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 170.0 170.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 176.0 176.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 177.0 177.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 182.0 182.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 183.0 183.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 184.0 184.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 185.0 185.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 186.0 186.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 187.0 187.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 188.0 188.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 189.0 189.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 190.0 190.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 191.0 191.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 192.0 192.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 193.0 193.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 194.0 194.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 195.0 195.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 196.0 196.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 197.0 197.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 203.0 203.1 203.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 207.0 207.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 208.0 208.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 212.0 212.1 212.2 212.3 212.4 212.5 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 215.0 215.1 215.2 215.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 222.0 222.1 222.2 222.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 229.0 229.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 230.0 230.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 231.0 231.1 231.2 231.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 232.0 232.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 235.0 235.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 236.0 236.1 236.2 236.3 236.4 236.5 236.6 236.7 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 256.0 256.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 257.0 257.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 258.0 258.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 259.0 259.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 261.0 261.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 262.0 262.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 275.0 275.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 279.0 279.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 287.0 287.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 291.0 291.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 292.0 292.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 293.0 293.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 294.0 294.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 295.0 295.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 296.0 296.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 297.0 297.1 297.2 297.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 298.0 298.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 299.0 299.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 300.0 300.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 322.0 322.1 322.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 327.0 327.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 328.0 328.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 329.0 329.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 330.0 330.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 331.0 331.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 332.0 332.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 333.0 333.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 334.0 334.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 335.0 335.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 336.0 336.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 342.0 342.1 342.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 358.0 358.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 359.0 359.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 360.0 360.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 361.0 361.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 362.0 362.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 363.0 363.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 364.0 364.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 365.0 365.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 366.0 366.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 394.0 394.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 397.0 397.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 399.0 399.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 425.0 425.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 426.0 426.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 428.0 428.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 430.0 430.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 431.0 431.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 432.0 432.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 433.0 433.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 447.0 447.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 452.0 452.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 454.0 454.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 455.0 455.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.