Steve Sailer

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Steve Sailer
Steve Sailer
Born (1958-12-20) December 20, 1958 (age 64)
United States
Nationality American
Alma mater Rice University
Occupation Journalist, columnist, blogger
Home town Studio City, Los Angeles

Steven Ernest Sailer (born December 20, 1958) is an American journalist, a movie critic for The American Conservative, a blogger, a Taki's Magazine and columnist, and a former correspondent for UPI. He writes about race relations, gender issues, politics, immigration, IQ, genetics, movies, and sports. As of 2014, Sailer stopped publishing his personal blog on his own website and shifted it to The Unz Review, an online publication by Ron Unz that is described as an "alternative media selection".[1]

Sailer is a prolific author and blogger who has written more than 400 articles for Taki's Magazine and has more than 16,000 blog entries over more than 20 years at The Unz Review.

Sailer has generally held that nature versus nurture debates have worked out scientifically that the two sides are "about equally important: maybe fifty-fifty" such that the "glass is roughly half-full and half-empty."[2] He has written often on issues of race and intelligence as well as on gender and intelligence issues, arguing that social groups face inborn advantages and disadvantages but that conservative socio-economic policies can improve things for all.

Personal life

Sailer grew up in Studio City, Los Angeles.[3] As a child, Sailer appeared alongside four other grade school students on the "Kids Say the Darndest Things" segment of Art Linkletter's House Party. He majored in economics, history, and management at Rice University (BA, 1980).[4] He earned an MBA from UCLA in 1982 with two concentrations: Finance and Marketing.[5] In 1982 he moved from Los Angeles to Chicago,[6] and from then until 1985 he managed BehaviorScan test markets for Information Resources, Inc.[7] In 1996, he was diagnosed with non-Hodgkin lymphoma, and in February 1997, he was treated with Rituxan. He has been in remission since those treatments.[8] He became a full-time journalist in 2000[9] and left Chicago for California.[10]

Writing career

From 1994 to 1998, Sailer worked as a columnist for the conservative magazine National Review, in which he has since been sporadically published.[11]

In August 1999 he debated Steve Levitt at, calling into question Levitt's hypothesis, which would appear in the 2005 book Freakonomics, that legalized abortion in America reduced crime.[12]

Sailer, along with Charles Murray and John McGinnis, was described as an "evolutionary conservative" in a 1999 National Review cover story by John O'Sullivan.[13] Sailer's work frequently appears at Taki's Magazine[14] and Alternative Right,[15] while Sailer's analyses have been cited by newspapers such as The Washington Times,[16] The New York Times,[17] the San Francisco Chronicle and The Times of London.[18][19] He has been a featured guest on The Political Cesspool.[20]

Sailer's January, 2003 article, "Cousin Marriage Conundrum", published in The American Conservative, argued that nation-building in Iraq would likely fail because of the high degree of consanguinity among Iraqis due to the common practice of cousin marriage. This article has been republished in The Best American Science and Nature Writing 2004, and in One World, Many Cultures.

After the 2004 US election, Sailer discovered a very strong correlation between voting patterns and fertility rates. He described the fertility link in an article in The American Conservative: "Among the 50 states plus Washington, D.C., white total fertility correlates at a remarkably strong 0.86 level with Bush’s percentage of the 2004 vote. (In 2000, the correlation was 0.85.)"[21] Writing in the New York Times, pundit David Brooks referred to this article as showing the "surprising political correlations" of what he dubbed "natalism".[22] Sailer later discovered a slightly stronger correlation between marriage rates and voting, and dubbed his theory of modern American voting as "Affordable Family Formation": "a state’s voting proclivities are now dominated by the relative presence or absence of affordable family formation."[23] The correlation between home prices, marriage rates, and voting was verified by George Hawley at the University of Houston, using county-level data for the 2000 election.[24]

In 2008, Sailer published his only book, America's Half-Blood Prince, an analysis of Barack Obama based on Obama's memoir, Dreams from My Father.

A 2014 survey of expert opinion on intelligence found that Sailer's blog was the most accurate media source for intelligence research.[25]

Sailer is the founder of an online discussion forum called Human Biodiversity Discussion Group, whose members he has described as "top scientists and public intellectuals".[26][27][28]

Views and criticism

Sailer cites studies that say, on average, that blacks and Mexicans in America have lower IQs than whites,[29][30] and that Ashkenazi Jews and Northeast Asians have higher IQs than whites.[31][32] He says that prosperity helped blacks close the IQ gap. He suggests that a problem with mass immigration of non-white Mestizo Mexicans into America is that native-born whites in the US will become a master caste to a non-white servant caste.[33] He also considers that "for at least some purposes—race actually is a highly useful and reasonable classification,"[34] such as providing a very rough rule-of-thumb for the fact that various population groups may inherit differences in body chemistry that affect how the body uses certain pharmaceutical products,[35] for "finessing" Affirmative Action when that's economically convenient,[36] and for political gerrymandering. Sailer has also argued that Hispanic immigration is "recreating the racial hierarchy of Mexico" in California:[37]

While upwardly mobile Mexican-Americans marry blonde Anglos, downwardly mobile white men wed Mexicans. Now, there is no doubt plenty to be said for getting hitched to a Mexican lady. They probably tend to make better mothers, homemakers, and cooks than the leggy blonde careerists who, however, are so much more in demand in Southern California. But sadly, there is a big social cost to Anglo-Hispanic marriages—which raises severe doubts about America's ability to assimilate Latino immigrants. As pro-immigration/pro-assimilation researcher Gregory Rodriguez admits, "Surprisingly, in most homes headed by an Anglo/Latino couple, Spanish becomes the household language."

Thus, those L.A. blue-collar whites who don't flee to Utah will tend to assimilate genetically and culturally into Latino culture."

Rodolfo Acuña, a Chicano studies professor, regards Sailer's statements on this subject as providing "a pretext and a negative justification for discriminating against US Latinos in the context of US history." Acuña claimed that listing Latinos as non-white gives Sailer and others "the opportunity to divide Latinos into races, thus weakening the group by setting up a scenario where lighter-skinned Mexicans are accepted as Latinos or Hispanics and darker-skinned Latinos are relegated to an underclass."[38] Sailer considers Hispanic a non-racial characterization,[39] identifying non-Hispanic White Americans as second-class citizens because of affirmative action, which he claims has caused and will cause more and more "anti-white pogroms".[39]

During the United States presidential election, 2004, Sailer estimated that based on the intelligence tests from military records of candidates George W. Bush and John Kerry, Bush probably had a higher IQ by about 4 IQ points.[17][40] In a report on the findings for The New York Times, journalist John Tierney called Sailer "a veteran student of presidential IQ's", and cited the judgment of Professor Linda Gottfredson, an IQ expert at the University of Delaware, that Sailer's study was a "creditable analysis".[17] Although citing Bush as having a higher IQ, Sailer has condemned Bush as "irresponsible" and "uninterested in proficiency and honesty".[41]

Sailer summed up his view on nature and nurture in October 2012 as:

If you analyze a host of real world outcomes using adoption studies, fraternal v. identical twin studies, twins-raised-apart studies, the history of early childhood intervention research, naturally-occurring experiments, differences between societies, changes over history, and so forth, you tend to come up with nature and nurture as being about equally important: maybe fifty-fifty. The glass is roughly half-full and half-empty.[2]

Sailer's article on Hurricane Katrina was followed by accusations of racism from left-wing organizations Media Matters for America and the Southern Poverty Law Center.[42][43] In reference to the New Orleans slogan "let the good times roll", Sailer commented:

What you won’t hear, except from me, is that "Let the good times roll" is an especially risky message for African-Americans. The plain fact is that they tend to possess poorer native judgment than members of better-educated groups. Thus they need stricter moral guidance from society.[41]

Conservative columnist John Podhoretz, responded in the National Review Online blog by calling Sailer's statement "shockingly racist and paternalistic" as well as "disgusting".[44]

Media Matters criticized Sailer for writing 'for the right-wing website -- which publishes the work of "white nationalists,"' among other things.[45]

Sailer describes his personal ideology as "Citizenism", which he explains as:

I believe Americans should be biased in favor of the welfare of our current fellow citizens over that of the six billion foreigners... [since] Americans grasp that we are lucky to be American citizens and they want to pass on their good fortune to their posterity undiluted.[46]

He views this as an antithesis of racism, and he argues that African-Americans, Jewish-Americans, European-Americans, and other groups can rally behind this. He has also stated that "White Nationalism is worse than a crime, it's a mistake" and argued that the ideology, if widely adopted, would actually hurt white Americans rather than help them.[46]

A survey of psychometricians by Rindermann, Coyle and Becker found that Sailer's blog was the most accurate when it came to "news sources relating [to] intelligence testing."[47]


Sailer is responsible for coining terms for several concepts that have been popularly adopted and are often seen in the media.

Invade the world, invite the world

Sailer may have coined this term in 2010 as "invite the world, invade the world" when he said "Because we must invite the world (it’s unthinkable not to), we therefore must invade the world to be safe..."[48]

It subsequently changed to the more pithy "invade the world, invite the world."[49]


Sailer's concept of Citizenism is that Americans are "willing to make sacrifices for the overall good of their fellow American citizens rather than for the advantage of either six billion foreigners or of the special interests within our own country."[50]

The primary concern of female journalists

Sailer's First Law of Female Journalism states that "The most heartfelt articles by female journalists tend to be demands that social values be overturned in order that, Come the Revolution, the journalist herself will be considered hotter-looking."[51]

Tragic dirt

In November 2015, perhaps riffing on Vox Day's magic dirt meme, Sailer coined the Tragic Dirt meme when referring to an article on terrorist attacks in the following countries: Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Nigeria, and Syria.[52]

The baby gap

The "Baby Gap" is a reference to Sailer's 2004 observation that white voters are picking their parties "based on differing approaches to the most fundamentally important human activity: having babies." [53]

Zeroth Amendment

The "Zeroth Amendment"[54] is an observation that unrestricted immigration policies in the USA are justified by a hypothetical amendment to the United States Constitution. The Statue of Liberty pedestal plaque poem The New Colossus has been mockingly cited as the text of the hypothetical Zeroth Amendment.

Coalition of the fringes

In an article written in 2012, Sailer pointed out that far from uniting Americans, Barack Obama's coalition of the fringes "in American society is united by one main driving force: resentment of the core groups in American society..."[55]

Sailer’s Law of Inequality Journalism

In an article written in 2019, Sailer pointed out that journalists writing in the prestige press about the "causes of inequality or stagnating wages" in America "will not include the text string 'migra,' as in 'immigration' or 'migrants.'[56]

White liberals and gun control

Sailer has also written numerous articles on the real reason white liberals support gun control: fear of armed and "dangerous urban minorities who depress their property values." Moreover, they are generally aware of "black and Hispanic crime rates" but are averse to mentioning hatestats.[57]

Sailer also pointed out that "blue-region white liberals actually want [is for] the government to disarm the dangerous urban minorities that threaten their children’s safety."[58]

The Sailer Strategy

In November 2000 Steve Sailer first articulated an approach the Republicans could use to win the US presidency.[59]

The approach has since become widely known as The Sailer Strategy and consists of pointing out to the Republicans that they could win by "increasing their share of the white electorate."[59] In the recent 2016 presidential election it is suggested that Donald Trump won by adopting the Sailer Strategy[60] and news reports before and after the election suggest that the Mainstream Media agrees while not using the same term.[61] [62][63][64]

Race is an extremely extended family

Sailer has also written on the biological concept of race a number of times and likens race to "an extremely extended family."[65][66]

Recognition by the mainstream media

In a largely critical article published in the New York Magazine, the mainstream media finally recognized Sailer as a legitimate alt-right intellectual. They actually quote Sailer's views while at the same time labeling it as reactionary:

Perhaps the Sailerist idea most closely echoed by the Trump movement is “citizenism,” which he describes as the philosophy that a nation should give overwhelming preference to the interests of its current citizens over foreigners, in the same way as a corporation prioritizes the interests of its current shareholders over everyone else. ... Most liberals would take issue with citizenism as reactionary, and perhaps see it as a closeted form of the white nationalism openly championed by many bloggers on the alt-right.

— Park MacDougald and Jason Willick, New York Magazine[67]

See also


  1. "Steve Sailer Blog Posts". Retrieved September 27, 2014.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  2. 2.0 2.1 Sailer, Steve (October 25, 2012). "A Short, Stylized Dialogue On Epigenetics". Retrieved October 27, 2012.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  3. "Yeah, Yeah, Diversity Is Strength. It's Also Secession".<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  4. "The paradox of majoring in economics".<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  5. "College rankings".<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  6. "The Chicago Way".<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  7. Popper is my homeboy: a manifesto | Economics | The American Scene
  8. Steve Sailer (May 7, 2007). "Presidential candidates with cancer". Retrieved August 1, 2012.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  9. "Canada Doesn't Want Me".<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  10. The Jewish Factor in Blue States – Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
  11. "Steve Sailer on Stephen Jay Gould on National Review Online". 2002-05-22. Retrieved 2009-06-12.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles> "Archived here".<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  12. "Does Abortion Prevent Crime?".<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  13. Types of RightNational Review "Archived here".<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  14. Taki's Magazine, "Steve Sailer," (retrieved on May 27th, 2011).
  15. Alternative Right, "Steve Sailer," (retrieved on May 27th, 2011).
  16. Galupo, Scott (June 16, 2007). "You go, Guv". The Washington Times.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  17. 17.0 17.1 17.2 Tierney, John (October 24, 2004). "Secret Weapon for Bush?". The New York Times. The New York Times Company.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  18. Stillwell, Cinnamon (August 3, 2005). "Racism Rears Its Ugly Head in Mexico". San Francisco Chronicle.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  19. Hunt, Tristram (June 20, 2008). "Barack Obama should swap Chicago for Phoenix". The Times.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  20. "The Political Cesspool: Guest List". The Political Cesspool. Retrieved Feb 1, 2012.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  21. Baby Gap: How birthrates color the electoral mapThe American Conservative
  22. The New Red-Diaper BabiesNew York Times
  23. Value Voters: The best indicator of whether a state will swing Red or Blue? The cost of buying a home and raising a family.The American Conservative
  24. Home affordability, female marriage rates and vote choice in the 2000 US presidential election: Evidence from US counties – Party Politics
  25. Rindermann, Heiner; Becker, David; Coyle, Thomas (Jan–Feb 2020). "Survey of expert opinion on intelligence: Intelligence research, experts' background, controversial issues, and the media". Intelligence. 78 (101496). doi:10.1016/j.intell.2019.101406. Retrieved 18 February 2021.CS1 maint: date format (link)<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  26. "Steve Sailer".<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles> "I'm a [...] founder of the Human Biodiversity Institute, which runs the invitation-only Human Biodiversity discussion group for top scientists and public intellectuals."
  27. Alice Dreger (April 23, 2008). "The Controversy Surrounding The Man Who Would Be Queen: A Case History of the Politics of Science, Identity, and Sex in the Internet Age". Archives of Sexual Behavior. Retrieved December 25, 2016. Bailey indeed does belong to the HBI ‘‘private cyber-discussion group’’—the sort of online discussion group usually referred to by the less thrilling name ‘‘listserv’’—and Bailey acknowledges that some of the most active members of the HBI list could legitimately be called right-wing (Bailey, 2006a); this would include the list’s founder, Steve Sailer.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  28. The Human Biodiversity email discussion group
  29. Sailer, Steve (2006-08-15). "Steve Sailer's iSteve Blog: The black-white IQ gap—has it narrowed?". Retrieved 2009-06-12.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  30. Sailer, Steve (2005-06-07). "Steve Sailer's iSteve Blog: Aversion to "Acting White" Worse Problem for Hispanics than Blacks". Retrieved 2009-06-12.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  31. Steve Sailer's iSteve Blog: Peter Frost's explanation for high average Ashkenazi Jewish IQs
  32. Steve Sailer's iSteve Blog: New York Times on IQ
  33. "Pondering Patterson [II]: OK, How White Are Hispanics? By Steve Sailer". 2001-05-25. Retrieved 2009-06-12.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  34. "06/08/01 – Pondering Patterson [IV]: Why We Can't Get Beyond Race". 2001-06-08. Retrieved 2009-06-12.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  35. "Implications of correlations between skin color and genetic ancestry for biomedical research". Nature Genetics (Issue 36, S54–S60 (2004)). Retrieved 2011-04-13.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  36. "Who Wants To Be A Minority?". Retrieved 2011-04-13.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  37. "America's Imported Caste System". Retrieved 2011-04-13.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  38. Acuña, Rodolfo. U.S. Latino issues. Westport: Greenwood Press, 2003.
  39. 39.0 39.1 "06/28/01 – Pondering Patterson [VI]: Responding To The Reality Of Race". 2001-06-28. Retrieved 2009-06-12.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  40. "10/21/04 – This Just In—Kerry's IQ Likely Lower than Bush's!". Retrieved 2009-06-12.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  41. 41.0 41.1 Sailer, Steve (September 3, 2005). "Racial Reality And The New Orleans Nightmare". Retrieved October 30, 2012.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  42. —S.S.M. "American Conservative reportedly to publish far-right columnist's baseless, racially charged claims about "wigger" Obama | Media Matters for America". Retrieved 2009-06-12.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  43. "Extremist Steve Sailer is Source for CNN's 'Black in America' Series | Hatewatch | Southern Poverty Law Center". Retrieved 2009-06-12.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  44. [dead link], The Most Disgusting Sentence Yet Written About Katrina, John Podhoretz, National Review group blog, September 5, "Archived here".<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  45. RAPHAEL SCHWEBER-KOREN (January 23, 2006). "NBC offered far-right columnist Steve Sailer a platform to attack Hollywood". Media Matters. Retrieved May 30, 2017.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  46. 46.0 46.1 Sailer, Steve (October 8, 2005). "Sailer vs. Taylor, Round II – "Citizenism" vs. White Nationalism". Retrieved July 20, 2010.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  47. Heiner Rindermann; Thomas R. Coyle; David Becker (December 14, 2013). "2013 survey of expert opinion on intelligence" (PDF). Retrieved October 2, 2016.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  48. "Yemen". 2010-01-04. Retrieved 2016-09-15.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  49. "Invade the World, Invite the World, Gag the American Public". 2012-09-16. Retrieved 2016-09-15.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  50. Americans First2006-02-13. Retrieved 2016-10-02
  51. Sailer's Law of Female Journalism 2009-07-28. Retrieved 2016-10-02
  52. Steve Sailer (November 21, 2015). "Tragic Dirt". The Unz Review. Retrieved October 9, 2016.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  53. Baby Gap 2004-12-20. Retrieved 2016-10-02
  54. Zeroth Amendment 2015-12-11. Retrieved 2016-10-19
  55. Steve Sailer (November 12, 2012). ""Slippery Six" Mid-West States Doom Romney—Because Of Low White Share". vDare. Retrieved May 1, 2017.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  56. Steve Sailer (August 22, 2019). "The Class War Is Over: American Workers Lost". The Unz Review. Retrieved August 22, 2019.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  57. Steve Sailer (April 17, 2013). "Guns and Whites". Taki's Magazine. Retrieved December 23, 2016.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  58. Steve Sailer (December 20, 2004). "Baby Gap". The American Conservative. Retrieved December 23, 2016.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  59. 59.0 59.1 Steve Sailer (November 28, 2000). "GOP Future Depends on Winning Larger Share of the White Vote". vDare. Retrieved November 9, 2016.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  60. Steve Sailer (November 9, 2016). "Trump's Northern White Working Class Strategy Went Hunting Where the Electoral Votes Were". The Unz Review. Retrieved November 9, 2016.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  61. Aviva Sjhen (March 2, 2016). "The White Nationalist Strategy That Explains Donald Trump's Success With Republicans". Think Progress. Retrieved November 15, 2016.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  62. Jerome Hudson (September 8, 2016). "Rob Reiner: Trump 'Unearthed' Racism of Uneducated White Male Supporters". Breitbart. Retrieved November 9, 2016.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  63. Geoff Mulvihill (November 9, 2016). "White men put Trump over the top in Pennsylvania". The Chicago Tribune. Retrieved November 9, 2016. He did even better among white men without college degrees, getting about 7 in 10 of their votes.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  64. Nicholas Confessore; Nate Cohn (November 9, 2016). "Donald Trump's Victory Was Built on Unique Coalition of White Voters". The New York Times. Retrieved November 9, 2016.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  65. Steve Sailer (May 15, 2014). "Making Sense of the Concept of Race: A Race Is An Extremely Extended Family". The Unz Review. Retrieved December 25, 2016.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  66. Steve Sailer (December 16, 2007). "The Race Faq". VDARE. Retrieved December 25, 2016.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>
  67. Park MacDougald and Jason Willick (April 20, 2017). "The Man Who Invented Identity Politics for the New Right". New York Magazine. Retrieved May 1, 2017.<templatestyles src="Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css"></templatestyles>

External links