United States Senate election in North Carolina, 2010
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2010 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 2, 2010. The filing deadline for the primaries was February 26; the primaries were held on May 4, with a Democratic primary runoff held on June 22.[1] Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Richard Burr won re-election to a second term. Burr is the first incumbent to win re-election for this seat since Sam Ervin's last re-election in 1968.[2] Burr's 54.8% also represented the highest vote share a North Carolina Republican has received since the state began directly electing its Senators.
Contents
Background
Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. This Senate seat has been notoriously unfavorable to incumbents over the past several decades. No person elected to this seat has been re-elected since Sam Ervin in 1968. His successor, Democrat Robert Burren Morgan, was defeated for re-election in 1980, along with many other incumbents from his party. His Republican successor, John Porter East, committed suicide in 1986. East's appointed successor, Jim Broyhill, served for just four months, resigning upon his November 1986 election loss to former Democratic Governor Terry Sanford. In 1992, the seat changed hands yet again, as Sanford was defeated by wealthy GOP businessman Lauch Faircloth, who himself lost in his bid for a second term six years later by John Edwards. In 2004, no incumbent was defeated, as Edwards was running for vice president and was not allowed to be on the ballot in both races. However, that year the seat did change parties for the fifth time in a row, with Richard Burr defeating Bill Clinton's onetime Chief of Staff Erskine Bowles.
Democratic primary
Candidates
From the North Carolina State Board of Elections:[3]
- Elaine Marshall, North Carolina Secretary of State[4][5]
- Cal Cunningham, former State Senator[6][7]
- Susan Harris, retired accountant[8]
- Ken Lewis, attorney[9]
- Marcus Williams, attorney
- Ann Worthy, former Gaston County Board of Education member
Polling
Poll source | Dates administered | Elaine Marshall | Cal Cunningham | Kenneth Lewis |
---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 8–10, 2010 | 36% | 36% | –– |
Rasmussen Reports | May 4, 2010 | 42% | 37% | –– |
Public Policy Polling | May 1–2, 2010 | 28% | 21% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling | April 27, 2010 | 26% | 23% | 7% |
WRAL-TV/SurveyUSA | April 25, 2010 | 23% | 19% | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | April 8–11, 2010 | 23% | 17% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling | March 12–15, 2010 | 20% | 16% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | February 15, 2010 | 29% | 12% | 5% |
Marshall | December 1, 2009 | 42% | 5% | 7% |
Results
Democratic primary results - May 4, 2010*[10] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Elaine Marshall | 154,605 | 36.4 | |
Democratic | Cal Cunningham | 115,851 | 27.3 | |
Democratic | Ken Lewis | 72,510 | 17.1 | |
Democratic | Marcus W. Williams | 35,984 | 8.5 | |
Democratic | Susan Harris | 29,738 | 7.0 | |
Democratic | Ann Worthy | 16,655 | 3.9 | |
Total votes | 425,343 | 100 |
* Note: Since no candidate received 40% of the vote on May 4, state law allowed a runoff (or "second primary") election if requested by the second-place finisher. Cunningham requested such a runoff.[11]
Democratic primary runoff results - June 22, 2010[10] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Elaine Marshall | 95,390 | 60.0 | |
Democratic | Cal Cunningham | 63,691 | 40.0 | |
Total votes | 159,081 | 100 |
Republican primary
Candidates
- Richard Burr, incumbent U.S. Senator
- Eddie Burks, Asheboro City Councilman[12]
- Brad Jones, businessman[13]
- Larry Linney, former State Representative[3][14]
Polling
Poll source | Dates administered | Richard Burr | Brad Jones | Eddie Burks |
---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | April 26, 2010 | 59% | 6% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling | April 8–11, 2010 | 67% | 7% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling | March 12–15, 2010 | 58% | 5% | 4% |
Public Policy Polling | February 15, 2010 | 55% | 10% | 3% |
Results
Republican primary results - May 4, 2010[10] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Richard Burr | 297,993 | 80.1 | |
Republican | Brad Jones | 37,616 | 10.1 | |
Republican | Eddie Burks | 22,111 | 5.9 | |
Republican | Larry Linney | 14,248 | 3.8 | |
Total votes | 371,968 | 100 |
General election
Candidates
- Michael Beitler (L), lecturer of Bryan School of Business and Economics at the University of North Carolina at Greensboro[15]
- Richard Burr (R), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Elaine Marshall (D), North Carolina Secretary of State
Campaign
Marshall has been endorsed by The Charlotte Observer, The Wilmington Star-News, the Elizabeth City Daily Advance and The Southern Pines Pilot.[16] Burr has been endorsed by Greensboro News & Record,[17] and the Asheville Citizen-Times.[18]
Debates
- October 11: Sponsored by the North Carolina Association of Broadcasters Education Foundation and moderated by the Carl Kasell. It was televised by UNC-TV in Raleigh.[19]
- October 14: In Raleigh[20]
- October 21: Sponsored by N.C. Association of Broadcasters and was moderated by Judy Woodruff in Durham.[21]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report | Likely R[22] | October 23, 2010 |
Rothenberg | R favored[23] | October 22, 2010 |
Swing State Project | Likely R[citation needed] | |
RealClearPolitics | Likely R[24] | October 23, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely R[25] | October 21, 2010 |
CQ Politics | Likely R[26] | October 23, 2010 |
Polling
Poll source | Dates administered | MoE | Richard Burr (R) | Elaine Marshall (D) | Michael Beitler (L) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | October 29–31, 2010 | ± 3.4% | 52% | 40% | 2% |
SurveyUSA | October 22–25, 2010 | ± 4.1% | 53% | 38% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | October 15–17, 2010 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 40% | 3% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 12, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 52% | 38% | –– |
High Point University | September 25–30, 2010 | ± 5.0% | 45% | 31% | 4% |
Public Polling Policy | September 23–26, 2010 | ± 3.8% | 49% | 36% | 4% |
Civitas | September 15–17, 2010 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 29% | 3% |
SurveyUSA | September 14, 2010 | ± 4.1% | 58% | 32% | 6% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 8, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 54% | 38% | –– |
Public Policy Polling | August 27–29, 2010 | ± 3.6% | 43% | 38% | 6% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 3, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 49% | 40% | –– |
Public Policy Polling | July 27–31, 2010 | ± 3.9% | 39% | 37% | 7% |
Lake Research | July 15–19, 2010 | ± 4.0% | 35% | 37% | 5% |
Survey USA | July 8–11, 2010 | ± 4.2% | 46% | 36% | 6% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 6, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 52% | 37% | –– |
Public Policy Polling | June 26–27, 2010 | ± 4.4% | 38% | 33% | 10% |
SurveyUSA | June 23–24, 2010 | ± 4.0% | 50% | 40% | 6% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 23, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 43% | –– |
Public Policy Polling | June 4–6, 2010 | ± 3.9% | 46% | 39% | –– |
Rasmussen Reports | June 3, 2010 | ± 3.0% | 50% | 36% | –– |
Public Policy Polling | May 8–10, 2010 | ± 3.9% | 43% | 42% | –– |
Rasmussen Reports | May 5, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 48% | 40% | –– |
Rasmussen Reports | April 19, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 50% | 32% | –– |
Rasmussen Reports | March 22, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 51% | 35% | –– |
Rasmussen Reports | February 23, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 50% | 34% | –– |
Public Policy Polling | February 12–15, 2010 | ± 3.5% | 43% | 33% | –– |
Rasmussen Reports | January 27, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 37% | –– |
Public Policy Polling | January 15–18, 2010 | ± 3.8% | 44% | 37% | –– |
Public Policy Polling | December 11–13, 2009 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 37% | –– |
Public Policy Polling | November 9–11, 2009 | ± 3.7% | 45% | 34% | –– |
Public Policy Polling | October 2–4, 2009 | ± 3.8% | 44% | 32% | –– |
Rasmussen Reports | September 15, 2009 | ± 4.5% | 48% | 38% | –– |
Public Policy Polling | September 2–8, 2009 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 31% | –– |
Public Policy Polling | August 4–10, 2009 | ± 3.6% | 43% | 31% | –– |
Public Policy Polling | March 12–15, 2009 | ± 3.1% | 43% | 35% | –– |
Fundraising
Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|
Richard Burr (R) | $8,444,115 | $8,735,725 | $1,600,695 | $0 |
Elaine Marshall (D) | $2,561,900 | $2,229,840 | $329,886 | $71,500 |
Michael Beitler (L) | $16,302 | $9,951 | $6,350 | $11,906 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[27] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Richard Burr (incumbent) | 1,458,046 | 54.81% | +3.21% | |
Democratic | Elaine Marshall | 1,145,074 | 43.05% | -3.97% | |
Libertarian | Mike Beitler | 55,682 | 2.09% | +0.72% | |
Majority | 312,972 | 11.76% | |||
Total votes | 2,660,079 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold | Swing |
See also
- North Carolina elections, 2010
- United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina, 2010
References
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- ↑ Election 2010: North Carolina Senate, Rasmussen Reports, March 24, 2010.
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- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.[dead link]
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.[dead link]
- ↑ Bryan School directory
- ↑ Marshall Nabs Key Newspaper Endorsements | Elaine Marshall for U.S. Senate
- ↑ Editorial: Burr for Senate : News-Record.com : Greensboro & the Triad's most trusted source for local news and analysis
- ↑ Tar Heels need a senator who can say yes | The Asheville Citizen-Times | citizen-times.com
- ↑ News | The Asheville Citizen-Times | citizen-times.com
- ↑ http://www.miamiherald.com/2010/10/14/1872917/nc-senate-candidates-burr-marshall.html
- ↑ http://www.kentucky.com/2010/10/21/1490193/burr-marshall-hold-testy-debate.html#ixzz1406x6Vat
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- ↑ NC - Election Results
External links
- North Carolina State Board of Elections
- U.S. Congress candidates for North Carolina at Project Vote Smart
- North Carolina U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- 2010 North Carolina Senate General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: North Carolina Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 North Carolina Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 North Carolina Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile from The New York Times
- Debates
- North Carolina Democratic Senate Primary Runoff Debate, C-SPAN, June 15, 2010
- Official campaign sites