United States Senate election in North Carolina, 2016

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United States Senate election in North Carolina, 2016
← 2010 November 8, 2016 2022 →
  Richard Burr official portrait crop.jpg Deborah K Ross.jpg
Nominee Richard Burr Deborah Ross
Party Republican Democratic
North Carolina Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
Incumbent U.S. senator

Richard Burr
Republican


Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2016 United States Senate election in North Carolina will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held March 15.[1]

Incumbent Republican Senator Richard Burr is running for re-election to a third term in office.

Republican primary

There had been speculation that Burr might retire,[2] but he said in September 2014 that he was "planning" on running[3] and reaffirmed this in January 2015.[4] If Burr had retired, the seat was expected to draw significant interest, with potential Republican candidates including U.S. Representatives George Holding, Mark Meadows, and Robert Pittenger, Labor Commissioner Cherie K. Berry, Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest, Agriculture Commissioner Steve Troxler, State Senator Philip E. Berger, and former Ambassador to Denmark James P. Cain.[2][3]

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Richard
Burr		 Greg
Brannon		 Paul
Wright		 Larry
Holmquist		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 11-13, 2016 749 ±3.6% 48% 20% 4% 3% 24%
High Point University March 9-10, 2016 734 ±2.5% 56% 20% 5% 3% 17%
SurveyUSA March 4-7, 2016 688 ±3.8% 45% 17% 7% 4% 27%
SurveyUSA February 14-16, 2016 437 ±2.8% 45% 14% 6% 6% 30%
Public Policy Polling February 14-16, 2016 597 ±4.0% 56% 13% 4% 3% 24%
High Point University January 30-February 4, 2016 477 ±4.5% 46% 10% 5% 2% 37%
Public Policy Polling January 18-19, 2016 433 ±3.2% 55% 10% 6% 5% 24%

Results

Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Richard Burr 622,074 61.4%
Republican Greg Brannon 255,030 25.2%
Republican Paul Wright 85,944 8.5%
Republican Larry Holmquist 50,010 4.9%
Total votes 1,013,058 100%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Kevin
Griffin		 Ernest
Reeves		 Chris
Rey		 Deborah
Ross		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 11-13, 2016 746 ±3.6% 4% 8% 8% 40% 41%
High Point University March 9-10, 2016 669 ±2.5% 9% 5% 7% 52% 27%
SurveyUSA March 4-7, 2016 687 ±3.8% 7% 6% 9% 34% 44%
SurveyUSA February 14-16, 2016 449 ±2.8% 7% 3% 5% 30% 55%
Public Policy Polling February 14-16, 2016 575 ±4.1% 10% 2% 10% 22% 55%
High Point University January 30-February 4, 2016 478 ±4.5% 6% 4% 5% 19% 66%
Public Policy Polling January 18-19, 2016 461 ±3.2% 14% 3% 10% 19% 55%
Public Policy Polling December 5-7, 2015 555 ± 2.8% 15% - 5% 41% 39%
Public Policy Polling October 23-25, 2015 421 ± 4.8% 16% - 6% 33% 45%

Results

Democratic primary results[51]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Deborah Ross 607,915 62.4%
Democratic Chris Rey 160,715 16.5%
Democratic Kevin Griffin 114,250 11.7%
Democratic Ernest Reeves 91,763 9.4%
Total votes 974,643 100%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Sean Haugh, pizza delivery man and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2002 and 2014[52]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[53] Lean R March 25, 2016
Daily Kos[54] Likely R April 3, 2016
Roll Call[55] Lean R April 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[56] Lean R April 7, 2016

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Richard
Burr (R)		 Deborah
Ross (D)		 Sean
Haugh (L)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 20–22, 2016 928 ±3.2% 39% 36% 8% 18%
Civitas Institute April 23–25, 2016 600 ±4.0% 39% 38% 7% 16%
Public Policy Polling April 22–24, 2016 960 ±3.2% 40% 36% 7% 17%
Elon University Poll April 10–15, 2016 621 ±3.9% 37% 33% – 30%
Public Policy Polling March 18–20, 2016 843 ±3.4% 40% 35% 7% 18%
High Point University March 9–10, 2016 1,576 ±2.5% 48% 41% – 11%
SurveyUSA February 14–16, 2016 1,250 ±2.8% 45% 37% – 18%
Public Policy Polling February 14–16, 2016 1,291 ±2.7% 43% 37% – 20%
Public Policy Polling January 18–19, 2016 948 ±3.2% 43% 33% – 23%
Public Policy Polling December 5–7, 2015 1,214 ±2.8% 46% 35% – 19%
Public Policy Polling October 23–25, 2015 893 ±3.3% 43% 39% – 18%
Public Policy Polling September 24–27, 2015 1,268 ±2.8% 45% 34% – 21%
Public Policy Polling Aug 12–16, 2015 957 ±3.2% 43% 36% – 21%

See also

References

  1. ↑ WRAL: North Carolina primaries officially on March 15 with signing
  2. ↑ 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  16. ↑ NC State Board of Elections
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  51. ↑ NC State Board of Elections
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External links

Official campaign websites
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