West Virginia gubernatorial election, 2016
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November 8, 2016 |
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The 2016 West Virginia gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of West Virginia, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The primaries were held on May 10.
Incumbent Democratic Governor Earl Ray Tomblin is term-limited and cannot run for re-election to a third term in office.
Background
In November 2010, Democratic Governor Joe Manchin resigned after being elected to the U.S. Senate. Earl Ray Tomblin, the President of the West Virginia Senate, became Acting Governor and won a special election held in October 2011. He was re-elected to a full term in the regularly-scheduled 2012 election. Tomblin is ineligible to run for re-election as the Constitution of West Virginia limits Governors to two consecutive terms, regardless of whether they are full or partial terms. However, Governors are re-eligible after four years out of office.[1][2]
After publicly speculating he would run for his former office, Manchin was considered a heavy favorite in the 2016 race. However, he announced on April 19, 2015, that he would be remaining in the Senate instead.[3]
Democratic primary
Results by county. Blue indicates a win by Justice, green a win by Goodwin, and yellow a win by Kessler.
Candidates
Declared
Declined
- Glen Gainer III, West Virginia State Auditor and nominee for West Virginia's 1st congressional district in 2014 (running for re-election)[7][8]
- Joe Manchin, U.S. Senator and former Governor[9][10][11][12]
- John Perdue, West Virginia State Treasurer and candidate for Governor in 2011[13][14]
- Natalie Tennant, West Virginia Secretary of State, candidate for Governor in 2011 and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014 (running for re-election)[1][15]
- Mike Green, former State Senator[16]
- Carte Goodwin, former U.S. Senator[16]
- Walt Helmick, West Virginia Commissioner of Agriculture[7]
- Doug Reynolds, State Delegate[16]
- Doug Skaff, former State Delegate[16]
- Rick Thompson, West Virginia Secretary of Veterans Assistance, former Speaker of the West Virginia House of Delegates and candidate for Governor in 2011[1]
Polling
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Did Not File
- Andrew Utterback, college student and candidate for Mayor of Pineville in 2014[19]
- Edwin Vanover, former Bramwell Police Chief and Democratic candidate for House of Delegates in 2012[19]
Declined
Polling
|
Hypothetical polling
|
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Bill
Cole |
David
McKinley |
Patrick
Morrisey |
Undecided |
| Harper Polling |
April 9–11, 2015 |
242 |
± 6.3% |
15% |
31% |
25% |
29% |
|
Results
| Republican primary results[17] |
| Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
% |
|
Republican |
Bill Cole |
65,812 |
100 |
| Total votes |
65,812 |
100 |
Libertarian Primary
Candidates
Declared
- David Moran, retired engineer and farmer[25]
General election
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Jim
Justice (D) |
Bill
Cole (R) |
Other |
Undecided |
| MetroNews |
April 22–May 2, 2016 |
596 |
± 4.0% |
52% |
34% |
— |
14% |
| Public Policy Polling |
April 29–May 1, 2016 |
1,201 |
± 2.8% |
41% |
35% |
— |
24% |
| Orion Strategies |
February 20–21, 2016 |
306 |
± 5.6% |
37% |
33% |
— |
30% |
| MetroNews |
February 11–16, 2016 |
411 |
± 4.9% |
49% |
39% |
— |
12% |
| Orion Strategies |
August 24–25, 2015 |
406 |
± 4.9% |
34% |
31% |
— |
35% |
|
Hypothetical polling
|
- With Goodwin
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Booth
Goodwin (D) |
David
McKinley (R) |
Undecided |
| Harper Polling |
April 9–11, 2015 |
702 |
± 3.7% |
35% |
40% |
25% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Booth
Goodwin (D) |
Patrick
Morrisey (R) |
Undecided |
| Harper Polling |
April 9–11, 2015 |
702 |
± 3.7% |
36% |
36% |
28% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Booth
Goodwin (D) |
Bill
Cole (R) |
Other |
Undecided |
| MetroNews |
April 22–May 2, 2016 |
596 |
± 4.0% |
47% |
39% |
— |
14% |
| Public Policy Polling |
April 29–May 1, 2016 |
1,201 |
± 2.8% |
33% |
39% |
— |
28% |
| Orion Strategies |
February 20–21, 2016 |
306 |
± 5.6% |
33% |
36% |
— |
31% |
| MetroNews |
February 11–16, 2016 |
411 |
± 4.9% |
43% |
44% |
— |
14% |
| Harper Polling |
April 9–11, 2015 |
702 |
± 3.7% |
35% |
37% |
— |
27% |
- With Kessler
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Jeff
Kessler (D) |
David
McKinley (R) |
Undecided |
| Harper Polling |
April 9–11, 2015 |
702 |
± 3.7% |
32% |
42% |
26% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Jeff
Kessler (D) |
Patrick
Morrisey (R) |
Undecided |
| Harper Polling |
April 9–11, 2015 |
702 |
± 3.7% |
35% |
38% |
27% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Jeff
Kessler (D) |
Bill
Cole (R) |
Other |
Undecided |
| MetroNews |
April 22–May 2, 2016 |
596 |
± 4.0% |
45% |
39% |
— |
16% |
| Public Policy Polling |
April 29–May 1, 2016 |
1,201 |
± 2.8% |
30% |
40% |
— |
30% |
| Orion Strategies |
February 20–21, 2016 |
306 |
± 5.6% |
30% |
40% |
— |
30% |
| MetroNews |
February 11–16, 2016 |
411 |
± 4.9% |
40% |
45% |
— |
15% |
| Orion Strategies |
August 24–25, 2015 |
406 |
± 4.9% |
26% |
37% |
— |
37% |
| Harper Polling |
April 9–11, 2015 |
702 |
± 3.7% |
34% |
38% |
— |
28% |
- With Manchin
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Joe
Manchin (D) |
Bill
Cole (R) |
Undecided |
| Harper Polling |
April 9–11, 2015 |
702 |
± 3.7% |
54% |
32% |
14% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Joe
Manchin (D) |
David
McKinley (R) |
Undecided |
| Harper Polling |
April 9–11, 2015 |
702 |
± 3.7% |
52% |
35% |
12% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Joe
Manchin (D) |
Patrick
Morrisey (R) |
Undecided |
| Harper Polling |
April 9–11, 2015 |
702 |
± 3.7% |
58% |
29% |
13% |
| Global Strategy Group* |
March 15–18, 2015 |
600 |
± 4.0% |
60% |
30% |
10% |
- * Internal poll for Joe Minchin
|
References
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External links
- Official campaign websites
