2020 Ohio Democratic primary
![]() |
||
|
||
|
||
153 delegates (136 pledged, 17 unpledged) to the Democratic National Convention |
||
---|---|---|
|
Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
In person voting for the 2020 Ohio Democratic primary, originally scheduled for March 17 as part of the Democratic Party presidential primaries for the 2020 presidential election, was cancelled. A decision by the legislature and governor was made to run an all-mail primary, with no in-person voting, allowing votes to be received through April 28.[1]
The Ohio primary is a semi-open primary. The state awards 153 delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 136 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.
Contents
Cancellation and Delay
The primary was originally scheduled for March 17, 2020. On March 16, Republican Governor of Ohio Mike DeWine recommended moving the primary election to June amid concerns over the 2020 coronavirus pandemic in the United States.[2] The governor does not have the power to unilaterally make this decision, but went to court to support a lawsuit requesting the delay.[3] However, a judge rejected the lawsuit.[4] Later in the day, the Health Director ordered the polls closed as a health emergency.[5] Early on March 17, the Ohio Supreme Court denied the challenge to the state and allowed the primary's delay to proceed.[6]
The governor had proposed to the state legislature that June 2 would be the replacement day,[7] but the final decision by the legislature and governor was to run an all-mail primary, with voting through April 28.[1][8]
Procedure
The primary, originally scheduled for March 17, 2020, has been postponed. The Ohio General Assembly, and not the governor, has the authority to schedule a new election day.[9]
In the semi-open primary, candidates must meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 136 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention will be allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 136 pledged delegates, between three and nine are allocated to each of the state's 16 congressional districts and another 18 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 29 at-large pledged delegates. Bonus delegates will be allocated as Ohio shares a primary date with numerous other states holding contests the week after Super Tuesday; these numbers do not yet account for these delegates.[10]
During the post-primary caucuses on Thursday, April 16, 2020, congressional district delegates were be elected; should candidates receive more delegates based on the results of the primary than delegate candidates presented at the time, then additional delegates will be nominated during the caucuses. The state executive committee will subsequently meet on Saturday, May 9, 2020, to vote on the 29 pledged at-large and 18 PLEO delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention. The 136 pledged delegates Ohio sends to the national convention will be joined by 17 unpledged PLEO delegates (11 members of the Democratic National Committee; five members of Congress, including one Senator and four U.S. Representatives, notably Tim Ryan; and former DNC chair David Wilhelm).[10]
Polling
Polling Aggregation | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
|
270 to Win | Mar 16, 2020 | Mar 10–13, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.0% | 7.5% | |
RealClear Politics | Mar 16, 2020 | Mar 10–13, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.0% | 7.5% | |
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 16, 2020 | until Mar 13, 2020 [lower-alpha 2] | 58.7% | 32.3% | 9.0% | |
Average | 57.9% | 34.1% | 8.0% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Ohio Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 3] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |||
Swayable | Mar 16, 2020 | 2,027 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 66% | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | – | 10%[lower-alpha 4] | – | |||
Marist/NBC News | Mar 10–13, 2020 | 486 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 58% | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | 4%[lower-alpha 5] | 4% | |||
830 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 56% | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | – | 4%[lower-alpha 6] | 4% | |||||
Emerson College/Nexstar | Mar 11–12, 2020 | 464 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 57% | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | 1%[lower-alpha 7] | 7% | |||
ROI Rocket | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 880 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 61% | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | – | –[lower-alpha 8] | –[lower-alpha 8] | |||
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race: NYT Story | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race: NYT Story | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race: NYT Story | ||||||||||||||||
South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
New Hampshire primary; Yang and Bennet withdraw from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
Iowa Caucuses | ||||||||||||||||
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University |
Jan 8–20, 2020 | 428 (RV) | – | 32.1% | 10.1% | – | 6.1% | – | 20.8% | 10.7% | 2.1% | 5.7%[lower-alpha 9] | 9.8% | |||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Williamson withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Castro withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Ryan withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Climate Nexus | Oct 1–7, 2019 | 443 (LV) | – | 32% | – | 3% | 5% | 6% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 17%[lower-alpha 10] | –[Note 1] | |||
Emerson | Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 | 353 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 29% | – | 0% | 5% | 7% | 27% | 21% | 3% | 5%[lower-alpha 11] | 2% | |||
Quinnipiac | Jul 17–22, 2019 | 556 | ± 5.1% | 31% | – | 1% | 6% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 1% | 6%[lower-alpha 12] | 11% | |||
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 222 | ± 6.6% | 29% | – | 3% | 6% | 5% | 19% | 12% | 3% | 6%[lower-alpha 13] | – |
Results
Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | |||
Bernie Sanders | |||
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) | |||
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) | |||
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | |||
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) | |||
Cory Booker (withdrawn) | |||
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | |||
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | |||
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | |||
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | |||
Andrew Yang (write-in; withdrawn) | |||
Total |
See also
Notes
- Additional candidates
- ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- ↑ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ↑ Gabbard with 6%; "Other" with 4%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 Not yet released
- ↑ Steyer with 2.2%; Klobuchar with 1.5%; Bennet with 0.8%; Gabbard with 0.5%; Delaney with 0.4%; Patrick with 0.3%
- ↑ Ryan with 2%; Castro, Delaney, O'Rourke, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Messam and Sestak with 0%; Other/Unsure with 10%
- ↑ O'Rourke with 2%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Bullock with 1%; Ryan, Bennett, Klobuchar, Sestak, Steyer, Castro, and Messam with 0%
- ↑ Castro, Gabbard, Klobuchar, O'Rourke, Ryan, and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Sestak with 0%
- ↑ O'Rourke with 2%; Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro and Inslee with 0%
References
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 Andrew J. Tobias, "Ohio lawmakers sets all-mail primary election through April 28; legal challenge still possible", Cleveland Plain Dealer/cleveland.com, Mar 25, 2020. Retrieved 26 March 2020.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Li Zhou, "The chaotic delay of the Ohio primary, explained," Vox, Mar 17, 2020. Retrieved 26 March 2020.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ "Ohio Primary: State legislature OKs mail-in ballots, eliminates in-person voting", WHIO, March 25, 2020.
- ↑ Brandon Brown, "Ohio Democratic chairs issue letter on Ohio primary election," WFMJ News March 23 2020; updated March 24th 2020. Retrieved 26 March 2020.
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
External links
- The Green Papers delegate allocation summary
- Ohio Democratic Party delegate selection plan
- FiveThirtyEight Ohio primary poll tracker
Cite error: <ref>
tags exist for a group named "Note", but no corresponding <references group="Note"/>
tag was found, or a closing </ref>
is missing