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Arizona gubernatorial election, 2014
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← 2010 |
November 4, 2014 |
2018 → |
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County results
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2014 Arizona gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Arizona, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Governor Jan Brewer was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a second full term in office. After a bitter six-candidate primary, Republicans nominated Arizona State Treasurer Doug Ducey; Democrat Fred DuVal, the former Chairman of the Arizona Board of Regents, won his party's nomination unopposed. Ducey won the election with 53% of the vote.
Background
Candidates for Governor speaking at a forum hosted by the
Arizona Chamber of Commerce and Industry. From left to right: Al Melvin, Scott Smith, Christine Jones, Fred DuVal, Frank Riggs, Doug Ducey and Ken Bennett.
Democratic Governor Janet Napolitano resigned on January 21, 2009, to be sworn-in as Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security. Since Arizona does not have a Lieutenant Governor, Secretary of State Jan Brewer was first in the state's gubernatorial line of succession and was sworn in as Governor on the same day. She was elected to a full term in 2010, defeating Democrat Terry Goddard, the Arizona Attorney General, by 54% to 42%.
Brewer was term-limited in 2014, despite only serving one full term. This is because Arizona state law limits office holders to two consecutive terms regardless of whether they serve full or partial terms. In November 2012, Brewer declared she was looking into what she called "ambiguity" in Arizona's term-limit law to seek a third term.[1] In February 2014, Brewer reiterated that she was considering running for re-election,[2] but on March 12, 2014, she announced that she would not attempt to seek another term in office, which would have required what The Arizona Republic called a "long-shot court challenge".[3]
Republican primary
The Republican primary campaign was widely characterised as being a "bitter" and "nasty"[4][5][6][7] and the $16.2 million spent by the six Republican candidates means that the 2014 election has already broken the record for most expensive gubernatorial race in state history, exceeding the 2002 election in which $9.2 million was spent during the primary and general election campaigns combined.[8]
Candidates
Declared
Withdrew
Declined
Endorsements
Doug Ducey |
- Individuals
- Joe Arpaio, Sheriff of Maricopa County[32]
- Steve Chucri, Maricopa County Supervisor and President/CEO of the Arizona Restaurant Association[33]
- Jerry Colangelo, businessman and former owner of the Phoenix Suns and Arizona Diamondbacks[34]
- Sal DiCiccio, Phoenix City Councilman[35]
- Trent Franks, U.S. Representative[35]
- Barry Goldwater, Jr., former U.S. Representative[36]
- Hugh Hewitt, talk radio host[37]
- Jon Kyl, former U.S. Senator[11]
- Bill Montgomery, Maricopa County Attorney[11]
- John Shadegg, former U.S. Representative[11]
- Fife Symington, former Governor of Arizona[38]
- Organizations
- Arizona Free Enterprise Club[39]
- Arizona Right to Life[40]
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Frank Riggs |
- Individuals
- Organizations
- Arizonans Against Common Core[43]
|
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Ken
Bennett |
Doug
Ducey |
Christine
Jones |
Al
Melvin |
John
Molina |
Frank
Riggs |
Scott
Smith |
Andrew
Thomas |
Undecided |
Magellan Strategies |
August 17–21, 2014 |
1,281 |
± 2.74% |
12% |
32% |
18% |
— |
— |
2% |
21% |
8% |
7% |
Harper Polling |
August 19–20, 2014 |
812 |
± 3.44% |
14% |
32% |
16% |
— |
— |
2% |
19% |
7% |
10% |
Remington |
August 17–19, 2014 |
502 |
± 4.37% |
10% |
33% |
18% |
— |
— |
1% |
22% |
11% |
5% |
Magellan Strategies |
August 15–18, 2014 |
1,322 |
± ? |
12% |
31% |
17% |
— |
— |
3% |
22% |
8% |
7% |
Magellan Strategies |
August 12–15, 2014 |
1,300 |
± ? |
10% |
31% |
16% |
— |
— |
3% |
23% |
7% |
10% |
Magellan Strategies |
August 5–7, 2014 |
1,289 |
± 2.73% |
11% |
29% |
13% |
— |
— |
4% |
22% |
9% |
12% |
Magellan Strategies |
July 28–31, 2014 |
1,644 |
± ? |
12% |
23% |
13% |
— |
— |
5% |
21% |
10% |
16% |
Undisclosed |
Late July 2014 |
? |
± ? |
10% |
23% |
20% |
— |
— |
2% |
15% |
9% |
21% |
Harper Polling |
July 16–17, 2014 |
885 |
± 3.29% |
12% |
23% |
21% |
— |
— |
1% |
13% |
7% |
22% |
Behavior Research Center |
July 10–17, 2014 |
459 |
± 4.7% |
10% |
13% |
17% |
— |
— |
2% |
8% |
0% |
50% |
Gravis Marketing |
July 14, 2014 |
691 |
± 4% |
7% |
28% |
19% |
— |
— |
1% |
14% |
8% |
24% |
Highground |
July 10–12, 2014 |
400 |
± 4.9% |
3.5% |
17.3% |
15.3% |
— |
— |
1.5% |
9.8% |
3% |
49.8% |
Magellan Strategies |
July 9–10, 2014 |
593 |
± 4.02% |
11% |
26% |
22% |
— |
— |
2% |
14% |
6% |
19% |
Harper Polling |
June 25–26, 2014 |
791 |
± 3.48% |
12% |
33% |
15% |
— |
— |
2% |
14% |
3% |
22% |
McLaughlin & Associates |
June 10, 2014 |
400 |
± 3.48% |
8% |
22.8% |
6.2% |
— |
— |
— |
6.5% |
— |
56.5% |
Magellan Strategies |
June 3–4, 2014 |
630 |
± 3.9% |
12% |
28% |
12% |
2% |
— |
2% |
16% |
5% |
23% |
Magellan Strategies |
May 13–14, 2014 |
760 |
± 3.6% |
12.7% |
27.3% |
11.9% |
1.3% |
0.2% |
0.7% |
11.5% |
5.6% |
28.8% |
Undisclosed |
April 29, 2014 |
1,367 |
± 3.5% |
7% |
4% |
10% |
— |
— |
— |
9% |
5% |
65% |
Magellan Strategies |
April 8–9, 2014 |
? |
± ? |
15% |
9% |
14% |
— |
— |
1% |
6% |
6% |
45% |
Public Policy Polling |
Feb. 28–Mar. 2, 2014 |
403 |
± 4.9% |
20% |
6% |
16% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
12% |
9% |
34% |
Behavior Research Center |
January 16–26, 2014 |
701 |
± 3.8% |
6% |
2% |
8% |
1% |
— |
— |
7% |
7% |
69% |
Susquehanna |
Nov. 27–Dec. 4 2013 |
245 |
± ? |
20% |
8% |
4% |
2% |
— |
— |
6% |
4% |
56% |
Results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Withdrew
Declined
- Chad Campbell, Minority Leader of the Arizona House of Representatives[48]
- Richard Carmona, former Surgeon General and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[49]
- Neil Giuliano, former Mayor of Tempe[50][51]
- Terry Goddard, former Attorney General of Arizona, candidate for Governor in 1994 and nominee for Governor in 1990 and 2010 (running for Secretary of State)[52][53]
- Marco Lopez, former Chief of Staff for the U.S. Customs and Border Protection and former Mayor of Nogales[54]
- Janet Napolitano, President of the University of California, former Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security and former Governor of Arizona[55]
- Felecia Rotellini, attorney and nominee for Arizona Attorney General in 2010 (running for Attorney General)[56]
- Greg Stanton, Mayor of Phoenix[25][57]
Endorsements
Fred DuVal |
- Bruce Babbitt, former Governor of Arizona and former United States Secretary of the Interior[58]
- Raúl Héctor Castro, former Governor of Arizona and former United States Ambassador to El Salvador, Bolivia and Argentina[58]
- Sam Coppersmith, former U.S. Representative and former Chairman of the Arizona Democratic Party[59]
- Karan English, former U.S. Representative[59]
- Gabrielle Giffords, former U.S. Representative[60]
- Raúl Grijalva, U.S. Representative[61]
- Neil Giuliano, former Mayor of Tempe[62]
- Phil Gordon, former Mayor of Phoenix[62]
- Mark Kelly, astronaut[60]
- Harry Mitchell, former U.S. Representative, former Chair of the Arizona Democratic Party and former Mayor of Tempe[59]
- Rose Mofford, former Governor of Arizona[58]
- Ed Pastor, U.S. Representative[63]
- Jim Pederson, businessman, former Chairman of the Arizona Democratic Party and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2006[64]
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Polling
Hypothetical polling
|
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Ron
Cavanaugh |
Fred
DuVal |
Undecided |
Behavior Research Center |
January 16–26, 2014 |
? |
± ? |
12% |
18% |
72% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Chad
Campbell |
Fred
DuVal |
Undecided |
Myers Research |
May 22–June 13, 2012 |
? |
± ? |
31% |
18% |
51% |
|
Results
Democratic primary results[45] |
Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
% |
|
Democratic |
Fred Duval |
271,276 |
96.93 |
|
Democratic |
Write-in |
8,578 |
3.07 |
Total votes |
279,854 |
100 |
Third parties
Candidates
Declared
Results
Libertarian primary results[45] |
Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
% |
|
Libertarian |
Barry Hess |
3,979 |
74.74 |
|
Libertarian |
Write-in |
1,345 |
25.26 |
Total votes |
5,324 |
100 |
General election
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Doug
Ducey (R) |
Fred
DuVal (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov |
October 16–23, 2014 |
2,621 |
± 4% |
50% |
40% |
1% |
9% |
The Polling Company |
October 20–22, 2014 |
601 |
± 4% |
42% |
35% |
7%[67] |
15% |
Rasmussen Reports |
October 14–16, 2014 |
1,056 |
± 3% |
47% |
42% |
3% |
7% |
Tarrance Group |
October 13–16, 2014 |
500 |
± 4.5% |
43% |
36% |
5%[67] |
16% |
McLaughlin & Associates |
October 12–14, 2014 |
500 |
± 4.5% |
37% |
35.8% |
5.4%[68] |
21.8% |
Adrian Gray Consulting |
October 8–9, 2014 |
600 |
± 4% |
43% |
35% |
8%[69] |
14% |
Moore Information |
October 7–8, 2014 |
400 |
± ~4.9% |
36% |
39% |
4%[70] |
21% |
The Polling Company |
October 6–8, 2014 |
600 |
± 4% |
46% |
37% |
5%[67] |
11% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov |
September 20–October 1, 2014 |
2,808 |
± 3% |
50% |
39% |
2% |
9% |
Keating Research |
September 17–19, 2014 |
600 |
± 4% |
41% |
39% |
7%[71] |
13% |
Tarrance Group |
September 15–17, 2014 |
505 |
± 4.5% |
44% |
38% |
7%[72] |
11% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov |
August 18–September 2, 2014 |
3,289 |
± 3% |
39% |
38% |
15% |
9% |
Rasmussen Reports |
August 27–28, 2014 |
850 |
± 3% |
40% |
40% |
— |
20% |
Public Policy Polling |
August 24–25, 2014 |
588 |
± 4% |
35% |
35% |
12%[67] |
18% |
Public Policy Polling |
February 28–March 2, 2014 |
870 |
± 3.3% |
35% |
36% |
— |
29% |
Undisclosed |
February 2014 |
500 |
± ? |
32% |
32% |
6%[67] |
30% |
Behavior Research Center |
January 16–26, 2014 |
701 |
± 3.8% |
21% |
23% |
— |
56% |
Susquehanna |
November 27–December 4, 2013 |
600 |
± 4% |
36% |
33% |
— |
31% |
Hypothetical polling
|
- With Bennett
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Ken
Bennett (R) |
Fred
DuVal (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
February 28–March 2, 2014 |
870 |
± 3.3% |
37% |
33% |
— |
30% |
Behavior Research Center |
January 16–26, 2014 |
701 |
± 3.8% |
26% |
22% |
— |
52% |
Susquehanna |
November 27–December 4, 2013 |
600 |
± 4% |
38% |
33% |
— |
28% |
- With Jones
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Christine
Jones (R) |
Fred
DuVal (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov |
July 5–24, 2014 |
3,778 |
± ? |
45% |
34% |
13% |
7% |
Public Policy Polling |
February 28–March 2, 2014 |
870 |
± 3.3% |
33% |
37% |
— |
30% |
- With Melvin
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Al
Melvin (R) |
Fred
DuVal (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
February 28–March 2, 2014 |
870 |
± 3.3% |
32% |
37% |
— |
31% |
- With Molina
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
John
Molina (R) |
Fred
DuVal (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
February 28–March 2, 2014 |
870 |
± 3.3% |
32% |
35% |
— |
33% |
- With Riggs
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Frank
Riggs (R) |
Fred
DuVal (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
February 28–March 2, 2014 |
870 |
± 3.3% |
32% |
36% |
— |
31% |
- With Smith
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Scott
Smith (R) |
Fred
DuVal (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
February 28–March 2, 2014 |
870 |
± 3.3% |
39% |
33% |
— |
28% |
Behavior Research Center |
January 16–26, 2014 |
701 |
± 3.8% |
20% |
23% |
— |
57% |
- With Thomas
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Andrew
Thomas (R) |
Fred
DuVal (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
February 28–March 2, 2014 |
870 |
± 3.3% |
35% |
40% |
— |
25% |
|
Results
General election results[73] |
Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
% |
|
Republican |
Doug Ducey |
805,062 |
53.35 |
|
Democratic |
Fred DuVal |
626,921 |
41.55 |
|
Libertarian |
Barry Hess |
57,337 |
3.8 |
|
Americans Elect |
John Lewis Mealer |
15,432 |
1.02 |
|
Write-ins |
Other |
4,167 |
0.28 |
Total votes |
1,508,919 |
100 |
References
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- ↑ 67.0 67.1 67.2 67.3 67.4 Barry Hess (L)
- ↑ Barry Hess (L) 2.8%, John Lewis Mealer (AE) 2.6%
- ↑ Barry Hess (L) 5%, John Lewis Mealer (AE) 3%
- ↑ Barry Hess (L) 3%, John Lewis Mealer (AE) 1%
- ↑ Barry Hess (L)
- ↑ Barry Hess (L) 6%, John Lewis Mealer (AE) 1%
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
External links
- Official campaign websites
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