2018 Oregon gubernatorial election

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Oregon gubernatorial election, 2018
← 2016 (special) November 6, 2018 2022 →
  x150px x150px
Nominee Kate Brown Knute Buehler
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 934,498 814,988
Percentage 50.1% 43.7%
250px
County Results
Brown:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Buehler:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
     70–80%
Governor before election

Kate Brown
Democratic

 Elected Governor

Kate Brown
Democratic

Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2018 Oregon gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018 to elect the Governor of Oregon who would serve a full four-year term, after the 2016 special election, where Governor Kate Brown was elected to serve the last two years of a four-year term.[1]

Incumbent Democratic Governor Kate Brown ran for a full term. The Republican Party nominated Knute Buehler to run against Brown; the Independent Party of Oregon nominated Patrick Starnes. Kate Brown was re-elected as governor.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Results

File:2018 OR gubernatorial Democratic primary.svg
Results by county:
  Brown—80–90%
  Brown—70–80%
  Brown—60–70%
  Brown—50–60%
  Brown—40–50%
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kate Brown (incumbent) 324,541 81.9
Democratic Ed Jones 33,464 8.4
Democratic Candace Neville 29,110 7.4
Democratic Write-ins 8,912 2.3
Total votes 396,027 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Bruce Cuff, real estate broker and candidate for governor in 2014 and 2016 (endorsed Greg Wooldridge)[3][17]

Declined

Endorsements

Debates

Host
network		 Date Link(s) Participants
Knute
Buehler		 Sam
Carpenter		 Greg
Wooldridge
KXL-FM May 11, 2018 [51] Invited Invited Invited

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Knute
Buehler		 Sam
Carpenter		 Lori
Chavez-DeRemer		 Greg
Wooldridge		 Other Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D) May 3–6, 2018 438 ± 4.7% 33% 25% – 8% – 33%
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter) April 19–22, 2018 1,013 ± 3.1% 39% 24% – 12% 6%[lower-alpha 1] 20%
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter) March 19–25, 2018 628 – 23% 23% – 4% – 50%
iCitizen September 13–28, 2017 168 ± 3.9% 28% – 8% 31% 6% 26%

Results

File:2018 OR gubernatorial Republican primary.svg
Results by county:
  Buehler—60–70%
  Buehler—50–60%
  Buehler—40–50%
  Buehler—<40%
  Carpenter—<40%
  Carpenter—40–50%
  Carpenter—50–60%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Knute Buehler 144,103 45.9
Republican Sam Carpenter 90,572 28.8
Republican Greg C. Wooldridge 63,049 20.1
Republican Bruce Cuff 4,857 1.5
Republican Jeff Smith 4,691 1.5
Republican David Stauffer 2,096 0.7
Republican Write-ins 1,701 0.5
Republican Jonathan Edwards III 861 0.3
Republican Keenan Bohach 787 0.3
Republican Brett Hyland 755 0.2
Republican Jack W. Tacy 512 0.2
Total votes 313,984 100

Independent primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Skye Allen[3]
  • Dan Pistoresi[3]
  • Patrick Starnes[3]

Results

Independent primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Independent Write-ins 13,497 56.8
Independent Patrick Starnes 6,030 25.4
Independent Skye J. Allen 2,405 10.6
Independent Dan Pistoresi 1,846 7.8
Total votes 23,778 100.0

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Governing[52] Tossup November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] Lean D November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[54] Tilt D November 1, 2018
The Cook Political Report[55] Tossup October 26, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[56] Likely D October 17, 2018
Daily Kos[57] Lean D October 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[58] Tossup September 26, 2018
Fox News[59][lower-alpha 2] Lean D September 14, 2018

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Kate
Brown (D)		 Knute
Buehler (R)		 Patrick
Starnes (IPO)		 Other Undecided
Hoffman Research Group October 29–30, 2018 694 ± 3.7% 45% 42% 4% 2%[60] 7%
Emerson College October 26–28, 2018 747 ± 3.7% 47% 42% – 7% 4%
DHM Research October 4–11, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 40% 35% 4% 3%[61] 17%
Riley Research Associates September 24 – October 7, 2018 356 ± 5.0% 49% 45% 4% 3%[62] –
Clout Research (R) September 20–23, 2018 679 ± 3.8% 42% 41% – – –
Hoffman Research Group September 12–13, 2018 680 ± 3.8% 46% 36% 4% 2%[60] 12%
Causeway Solutions (R-No Supermajorities PAC) September 6–11, 2018 2,831 ± 2.0% 41% 43% – – –
Clout Research (R) July 30–31, 2018 559 ± 4.1% 42% 43% – – 15%
Gravis Marketing July 16–17, 2018 770 ± 3.5% 45% 45% – – 10%
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter) March 19–25, 2018 2,067 ± 2.2% 41% 46% – – 14%
DHM Research January 25–31, 2018 604 ± 4.0% 46% 29% – – 25%
Zogby Analytics November 10–12, 2017 508 ± 4.4% 39% 36% – – 25%
iCitizen September 13–28, 2017 645 ± 3.9% 41% 40% – 11% 8%

Results

Oregon gubernatorial election, 2018[63]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Kate Brown (incumbent) 934,498 50.05% -0.57%
Republican Knute Buehler 814,988 43.65% +0.20%
Independent Patrick Starnes 53,392 2.86% +0.42%
Libertarian Nick Chen 28,927 1.55% -0.77%
Constitution (Oregon) Aaron Auer 21,145 1.13% +0.13%
Progressive Chris Henry 11,013 0.59% N/A
n/a Write-ins 3,034 0.16% -0.01%
Total votes 1,866,997 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

Notes

  1. ↑ Bruce Cuff and Jeff Smith with 3%
  2. ↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

References

  1. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  9. ↑ 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.4 9.5 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  11. ↑ 11.0 11.1 11.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  20. ↑ 20.0 20.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  26. ↑ 26.0 26.1 26.2 26.3 26.4 26.5 26.6 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  49. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  51. ↑ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5WFU27n266k
  52. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  58. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  59. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  60. ↑ 60.0 60.1 Aaron Auer (C) and Nick Chen (L) with 1%
  61. ↑ Nick Chen (L) and Chris Henry (P) with 1%, Aaron Auer (C) with <1%, somebody else with 1%
  62. ↑ Nick Chen (L) with 2%, Aaron Aauer (C) with 1%
  63. ↑ https://sos.oregon.gov/elections/Documents/results/november-2018-official-results.pdf

External links

Official campaign websites
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