2022 Quebec general election

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2022 Québec general election
← 2018 October 3, 2022 (2022-10-03) Next →
← 42nd Quebec Legislature
43rd Quebec Legislature →
125 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec
63 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout 66.05%[1] (Decrease0.40pp)
  Majority party Minority party Third party
  120px 120px
Leader François Legault Dominique Anglade Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois[lower-alpha 1]
Party Coalition Avenir Québec Liberal Québec solidaire
Leader since November 4, 2011 May 11, 2020 May 21, 2017
Leader's seat L'Assomption Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Gouin
Last election 74 seats, 37.42% 31 seats, 24.82% 10 seats, 16.10%
Seats before 76 27 10
Seats won 90 21 11
Seat change Increase14 Decrease6 Increase1
Popular vote 1,685,509 591,066 634,525
Percentage 40.98% 14.37% 15.43%
Swing Increase3.56pp Decrease10.45pp Decrease0.67pp
  Fourth party Fifth party
  120px 120px
Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon Éric Duhaime
Party Parti Québécois Conservative
Leader since October 9, 2020 April 17, 2021
Leader's seat Camille-Laurin Ran in Chauveau (lost)
Last election 10 seats, 17.06% 0 seats, 1.46%
Seats before 7 1
Seats won 3 0
Seat change Decrease4 Decrease1
Popular vote 600,691 530,768
Percentage 14.61% 12.91%
Swing Decrease2.45pp Increase11.45pp
400px
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead by the result in each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom.
Premier before election

François Legault
Coalition Avenir Québec

 Premier after election

François Legault
Coalition Avenir Québec

The 2022 Quebec general election was held on October 3, 2022, to elect the members of the National Assembly of Quebec.[4] Under the province's fixed election date law, passed in 2013, "the general election following the end of a Legislature shall be held on the first Monday of October of the fourth calendar year following the year that includes the last day of the previous Legislature",[5] setting the date for October 3, 2022.

The Coalition Avenir Québec increased its parliamentary majority in the election. The Liberals lost some seats but were expected to remain the official opposition.[6] The Parti Québecois had its worst general election result in history, losing most of their remaining seats but nevertheless managed to elect its previously seatless leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon.[7] The Liberals finished fourth in the popular vote, but because their votes are concentrated on the Island of Montreal, they received more seats than both the Parti Québécois and Québec solidaire and remained the official opposition despite PQ and QS each finishing with a higher percentage than the Liberals. The Conservatives increased their share of the vote to 13%; however, as their support was more spread out throughout Quebec, they did not gain any seats.[8]

Background

The 2018 general election resulted in a landslide victory for the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) led by François Legault, which won 74 of 125 seats, giving the party a majority and unseating Philippe Couillard's Liberal Party after a single term in office. Couillard subsequently resigned as Liberal leader and was replaced on an interim basis by Pierre Arcand until his successor was chosen.[9][10]

Both the Parti Québécois and Québec solidaire won ten seats each, fewer than the twelve needed for official party status; Parti Québécois leader Jean-François Lisée, defeated in his bid for re-election, resigned as party leader, replaced on an interim basis by Pascal Bérubé until his successor was chosen.[11][12] Adrien D. Pouliot, leader of the Conservative Party of Quebec, announced that he was stepping down as leader on October 16, 2020.

Following Couillard's resignation, the Quebec Liberal Party held a leadership race. Dominique Anglade, former Deputy Premier of Quebec, was acclaimed leader of the party after her only rival, former mayor of Drummondville, Alexandre Cusson, stepped down. Following a leadership race, Paul St-Pierre Plamondon was elected leader of the sovereignist party by the members and supporters of the Parti Québécois. Following Pouliot's resignation, the Conservative Party of Quebec held a leadership race. Éric Duhaime, a radio host and former political advisor, was elected as leader with just under 96% of the vote.

Political parties and standings

The table below lists parties represented and seats held in the National Assembly after the 2018 provincial election and at dissolution.

Name Ideology Position Leader 2018 Result Seats at
Dissolution
Votes (%) Seats
Coalition Avenir
Québec		 Quebec nationalism
Quebec autonomism
Conservatism		 Centre-right François Legault
37.42%
74 / 125
76 / 125
Liberal Quebec federalism
Economic liberalism
Liberalism		 Centre Dominique Anglade
24.82%
31 / 125
27 / 125
Québec solidaire Quebec sovereigntism
Social democracy
Environmentalism		 Left-wing Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
16.10%
10 / 125
10 / 125
Parti Québécois Quebec sovereigntism
Quebec nationalism
Social democracy
Economic nationalism		 Centre-left Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
17.06%
10 / 125
7 / 125
Conservative Conservatism
Quebec federalism
Fiscal conservatism		 Centre-right
to right-wing		 Éric Duhaime
1.46%
0 / 125
1 / 125
Independents N/A
0.16%
0 / 125
4 / 125
Vacant seats N/A –
0 / 125
0 / 125

Timeline

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Graph of Quebec general election results by share of votes, 1993–2022; omitted are minor parties consistently registering less than 2% of the vote as well as those who campaigned intermittently.
<templatestyles src="Graph:Chart/styles.css"></templatestyles>
Graph of Quebec general election results by seats won, 1993–2022; those of independent MNAs are omitted.
Changes in seats held (2018–Present)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Roberval October 4, 2018[9] Philippe Couillard █ Liberal Resignation[a 1] December 10, 2018[13] Nancy Guillemette █ CAQ
Chomedey October 5, 2018[14][15] Guy Ouellette █ Liberal Expelled from caucus[a 2] █ Independent
Marie-Victorin March 11, 2019[16] Catherine Fournier █ Parti Québécois Resigned from caucus[a 3] █ Independent
Jean-Talon August 30, 2019[17] Sébastien Proulx █ Liberal Resignation[a 4] December 2, 2019[18] Joëlle Boutin █ CAQ
Rimouski December 15, 2020[19] Harold LeBel █ Parti Québécois Expelled from caucus[a 5] █ Independent
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata December 17, 2020[20] Denis Tardif █ CAQ Expelled from caucus[a 6] █ Independent
April 12, 2021[21] █ Independent Reinstated █ CAQ
Rousseau March 30, 2021[22] Louis-Charles Thouin █ CAQ Withdrew from caucus[a 7] █ Independent
Bonaventure June 4, 2021[23] Sylvain Roy █ Parti Québécois Withdrew from caucus[a 8] █ Independent
Iberville June 15, 2021[24] Claire Samson █ CAQ Expelled from caucus[a 9] █ Conservative
Maurice-Richard November 1, 2021[25] Marie Montpetit █ Liberal Expelled from caucus[a 10] █ Independent
Marie-Victorin November 1, 2021[26] Catherine Fournier █ Independent Resignation[a 11] April 12, 2022[27] Shirley Dorismond █ CAQ
  1. ↑ from positions of Liberal Party leader and MNA
  2. ↑ for allegedly leaking confidential information to the CAQ in 2016
  3. ↑ claiming that the party had lost its way ideologically
  4. ↑ to spend more time with family
  5. ↑ amid further investigations relating to sexual assault allegations
  6. ↑ for breaking COVID-19 restrictions
  7. ↑ amid an ethics probe
  8. ↑ amid disagreements with party leadership
  9. ↑ after giving a donation to the Conservative Party of Quebec
  10. ↑ after allegations of workplace harassment
  11. ↑ after winning the election for Mayor of Longueuil

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

Campaign

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Timeline

  • August 28, 2022: Campaign period officially begins with the calling of an October 3 election.
  • September 1, 2022: PQ Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon stages an event in Ottawa.[32]
  • September 4, 2022: Radio-Canada's Five leaders, one election.
  • September 7, 2022: (CAQ) Coalition Avenir Québec Premier François Legault apologizes for comments linking immigration and 'extremism,' and 'violence'.[33]
  • September 11, 2022: In a speech in Drummondville (CAQ) Coalition Avenir Québec Premier François Legault, Says that non-French speaking immigration threatens Quebec cohesion. He was criticized by the leaders of Quebec solidaire, Quebec Liberal and Parti Québécois.[34]
  • September 12, 2022: (CAQ) Coalition Avenir Québec Premier François Legault defends the comments he said the day before about immigration.[35]
  • September 15, 2022: First leaders debate TVA Leaders' Debate.[36][37]
  • September 22, 2022: Radio Canada's Leaders' Debate.
  • September 28, 2022: (CAQ) Coalition Avenir Québec Premier François Legault says during a speech, that having higher immigration numbers would be suicidal for Quebec and the French language. Legault was criticized by the other party leaders.[38][39][40][41]
    • CAQ Immigration and labour minister Jean Boulet walks back from his past comments during a debate a few days before. Saying that 80% of immigrants go to Montreal, don't work, don't speak French and don't adhere to the values of Quebec.[42]

Party slogans

Party French English (translation)
█ CAQ "Continuons."[43] "Now. Our record." ("Maintenant. Notre bilan.")[44]
█ Liberal "Votez vrai. Vrais enjeux. Vraies solutions."[45] "Vote for Real. Real issues. Real solutions." (identical to French slogan)[46]
█ Québec solidaire "Changer d'ère."[47] "Let's clear the air"
(This is a rhyming pun, "Let's clear the era", in French – the play on words being between "ère", which means "era", and "air", which means the same as it does in English.)[48]
█ Parti Québécois "Le Québec qui s’assume. Pour vrai." N/A (unofficial translation: "The Quebec that takes it on. For real.")
█ Conservative "Libres chez nous."[49] "Freedom to choose." ("Libre de choisir.")

Issues

2022 Quebec election – issues and respective party platforms
Issue CAQ QLP PQ QS PCQ/CPQ
Identity, diversity, language, and secularism
  • PQ would remove the bilingual status of municipalities where Anglophones make up less than 33% of residents.[50][51]
  • PQ would apply Bill 101 to CEGEPs, which would mean restrictions to access to English-language colleges.
  • PQ would create “an office for the promotion of Quebec cultural content.”[52]
  • QS would alter the province’s secularism law to let public sector workers affected by the legislation wear religious symbols at work, as long as their faces are uncovered.[53]
Immigration[54][55][56]
  • CAQ would maintain immigration at around 50,000 per year which they said would be best matches the province’s “integration capacity.”
  • CAQ wants more control of immigration powers from Canada such as family reunification.[57][58]
  • Liberals would increase immigration target to 70,000 a year.
  • PQ would reduce the annual number of immigrants to 35,000 from roughly 50,000.
  • A PQ government would also ensure that all economic immigrants have knowledge of French before they arrive
Sovereignty
Economy and public finance
  • QS has proposed to introduce wealth and inheritance taxes on the wealthiest 5% of Quebecers, which it states would raise $2.65 billion a year. This includes a wealth tax rate of 0.1% for those with net assets of $1 million to $10 million and a tax rate of 1% for those with assets worth $10 million to $99 million.[59]
  • The PCQ has proposed to lower gasoline tax and end tax on second-hand goods.[60]
Health care
Education
Child care and families
Environment
  • Included within QS' climate plan is to create an intercity transport network that would make it possible to reach all cities by train and bus.[61]
  • QS wants to support farmers in transitioning towards organic farming.[61]
  • QS has plans to create an air quality auditor position in government, which would be given to an independent scientist who would enjoy powers similar to those of the Auditor General in the National Assembly.[62]
Transport
  • QS has planned for an eight-year, $47-billion infrastructure investment in the Montreal region’s public transit network, which would include subway expansion, a new tramway and reserved bus lanes.[63]
Housing
  • QS wants to buy 10,000 homes to resell at a discount.[63]
  • QS wants to build 25,000 social housing units within the next four years if it forms a government, with a long term aim of increasing this figure to 50,000.[64]

Role of disinformation during the campaign

During the campaign, the issue of online political disinformation misleading voters has been raised by outlets including the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation (CBC). In September 2022, the CBC reported that opponents of COVID-19 pandemic restrictions used Facebook to spread a false rumor that Legault was booed out of a restaurant. According to CBC, "The post is one of many on social media that are misleading or outright false, with real-world consequences to both those who read it and to those involved in the event".[65]

According to the Centre for Media, Technology and Democracy (MTD) at McGill University, false allegations that polling outlets are unfairly biased against certain parties have spread on social media. Some online supporters of the Conservative Party of Quebec alleged collusion between the governing Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) and polling firm Léger. In response, a citizens' initiative emerged on Facebook urging individuals to file complaints over Léger, despite the fact that Élections Québec has no power to regulate the polling industry.[66]

Candidates

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Main article: Candidates of the 2022 Quebec general election

Incumbents not running for reelection

Electoral district Date announced Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee New MNA
Anjou–Louis-Riel August 30, 2021[67]   Lise Thériault Chantal Gagnon[68]   Karine Boivin Roy
La Pinière November 14, 2021[69]   Gaétan Barrette Linda Caron  
Mille-Îles December 17, 2021[70]   Francine Charbonneau Virginie Dufour  
Iberville January 13, 2022[71]   Claire Samson Anne Casabonne[72]  
Duplessis January 19, 2022[73]   Lorraine Richard Marilou Vanier  
Jonquière March 1, 2022[74]   Sylvain Gaudreault Caroline Dubé  
Rimouski March 3, 2022[75]   Harold LeBel –  
Acadie March 21, 2022[76]   Christine St-Pierre André A. Morin  
Fabre March 26, 2022[77]   Monique Sauvé Sonia Baudelot  
Verchères March 31, 2022[78]   Suzanne Dansereau Suzanne Roy[79]  
Taschereau April 1, 2022[80]   Catherine Dorion Étienne Grandmont  
Marguerite-Bourgeoys April 2, 2022[80]   Hélène David Frédéric Beauchemin  
Laporte April 2, 2022[80]   Nicole Ménard Mathieu Gratton  
Vimont April 2, 2022[80]   Jean Rousselle Anabela Monteiro  
Sanguinet April 8, 2022[81]   Danielle McCann Christine Fréchette  
Prévost April 8, 2022[81]   Marguerite Blais Sonia Bélanger  
D'Arcy-McGee April 11, 2022[82]   David Birnbaum Elisabeth Prass[83]  
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata April 15, 2022[84]   Denis Tardif Amélie Dionne[85]  
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré April 19, 2022[86]   Émilie Foster Kariane Bourassa  
Joliette April 21, 2022[87]   Véronique Hivon Véronique Venne  
Huntingdon April 29, 2022   Claire IsaBelle Carole Mallette  
Bourassa-Sauvé May 6, 2022   Paule Robitaille Madwa-Nika Cadet  
Mont-Royal–Outremont May 8, 2022   Pierre Arcand Michelle Setlakwe  
Châteauguay May 20, 2022   MarieChantal Chassé Marie-Belle Gendron  
Maurice-Richard May 24, 2022   Marie Montpetit –  
Lévis June 3, 2022[88]   François Paradis Bernard Drainville[89]  
Robert-Baldwin June 4, 2022[90]   Carlos Leitão Brigitte Garceau  
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce June 6, 2022[91]   Kathleen Weil Désirée McGraw  
René-Lévesque June 14, 2022   Martin Ouellet Jeff Dufour-Tremblay  
Bonaventure July 4, 2022   Sylvain Roy –  
Repentigny July 5, 2022   Lise Lavallée Pascale Déry  
Bertrand July 12, 2022   Nadine Girault France-Élaine Duranceau  
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière August 3, 2022   Marc Picard Martine Biron  
Côte-du-Sud August 22, 2022   Marie-Eve Proulx Mathieu Rivest  
Chomedey August 29, 2022   Guy Ouellette –  

Candidate controversies

Parti Québécois

  • Pierre Vanier, the party's candidate in Rousseau, for past social media posts emerged where Vanier expressed Anti-Islam views. He was suspended as a candidate.[92]
  • Catherine Provost, the party's candidate in L’Assomption, for past social media posts emerged where Provost expressed Anti-Islam views.[93]
  • Lyne Jubinville, the party's candidate in Sainte-Rose, for past social media posts emerged where Jubinville expressed Anti-Islam views.[94][95]
  • Andréanne Fiola, candidate for Laval-des-Rapides, previously made porn. Party leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon defended Fiola and condemned the individuals who outed her.[96]
  • Paul St-Pierre Plamondon's use of the N-word during a televised debate. [97]

Québec Solidaire

  • Marie-Eve Rancourt, the party's candidate in Camille-Laurin, withdrew from the race after she was caught removing PQ leaflets.[98]
  • Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois' use of the N-word during a televised debate.[97]

Opinion polls

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This chart depicts opinion polls conducted since the 2018 election, using a local regression. The table below provides a list of scientific, public opinion polls that were conducted from the 2018 Quebec general election leading up to the 2022 Quebec general election, which is scheduled to take place on October 3, 2022.

File:Chart of opinion polls for the 2022 Québec general election.svg
Evolution of voting intentions since the 2018 Quebec general election campaign. Plot generated in R from data in the table below. Trendlines are local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time.
Polling organisation Last date of polling Source Sample size MoE CAQ PLQ PQ QS PCQ Other Lead
2022 election October 3, 2022 TBD 41.0 14.4 14.6 15.4 12.9 1.7 25.6
Forum October 2, 2022 PDF 981 ±3% 36.8 15.4 17.2 14.3 14.4 1.9 19.6
Research Co. October 2, 2022 HTML 708 ±3.7% 41 16 12 14 16 1 25
Mainstreet October 2, 2022 PDF 1,508 ±2.5% 41.4 14.8 14.0 12.0 16.7 1.2 24.7
Mainstreet October 1, 2022 PDF 1,445 ±2.6% 41.7 14.9 13.1 11.6 17.8 1.1 23.9
Mainstreet September 30, 2022 PDF 1,463 ±2.6% 41.3 15.4 12.8 11.2 18.4 1.0 22.9
Léger September 30, 2022 URL 950 ±3.1% 38 17 15 15 14 2 21
Mainstreet September 29, 2022 PDF 1,516 ±2.5% 40.3 17.7 12.9 12.5 14.9 1.9 22.6
Mainstreet September 28, 2022 PDF 1,523 ±2.5% 40.3 15.7 11.9 13.5 16.4 2.3 23.9
Mainstreet September 27, 2022 PDF 1,533 ±2.5% 39.1 16.8 12.4 12.8 16.5 2.4 22.6
Mainstreet September 26, 2022 PDF 1,555 ±2.5% 42.1 16.0 10.7 11.3 17.3 2.6 24.8
Main party leaders attend "Tout le monde en parle." (September 25, 2022)
Léger September 25, 2022 URL 1,023 ±3.1% 37 16 15 17 15 0 20
Mainstreet September 25, 2022 PDF 1,529 ±2.5% 41.8 16.5 10.0 9.9 18.7 3.1 23.1
Mainstreet September 24, 2022 PDF 1,209 ±2.8% 43.5 15.5 7.8 11.0 19.1 3.1 24.4
Mainstreet September 23, 2022 PDF 1,114 ±2.8% 38.8 16.8 9.4 14.1 19.3 2.6 19.5
EKOS September 23, 2022 PDF 589 ±4.0% 34.6 14.3 14.9 20.6 12.3 3.6 14.0
Radio Canada's Leaders' Debate. (September 22, 2022)
Angus Reid September 22, 2022 PDF 1,221 ±2.5% 34 16 12 16 19 2[lower-alpha 2] 15
Mainstreet September 22, 2022 PDF 1,192 ±2.8% 39.2 15.4 9.7 14.4 19.2 2.9 20.0
Research Co. September 21, 2022 HTML 700 ±3.7% 40 17 10 14 18 1 22
Mainstreet September 21, 2022 PDF 1,472 ±2.6% 39.3 15.1 10.3 14.2 18.3 2.7 21.0
Mainstreet September 20, 2022 PDF 1,467 ±2.6% 39.2 14.3 10.6 14.0 19.0 2.9 20.3
Segma September 20, 2022 HTML 1,080 ±3% 40 14 14 16 14 1 26
Mainstreet September 19, 2022 PDF 1,538 ±2.5% 38.7 15.6 9.9 12.9 19.8 3.1 18.9
Léger September 18, 2022 URL 1,046 ±3.0% 38 16 13 16 16 1 22
Mainstreet September 18, 2022 PDF 1,538 ±2.5% 39.5 16.5 9.9 11.9 19.7 2.5 19.8
Mainstreet September 17, 2022 PDF 1,846 ±2.5% 41.8 17.7 8.1 11.2 17.8 3.3 24.0
Mainstreet September 16, 2022 PDF 1,641 ±2.5% 41.0 17.5 8.1 11.0 18.7 3.7 22.3
TVA Leaders' Debate. (September 15, 2022)
Mainstreet September 15, 2022 PDF 1,523 ±2.5% 42.4 17.6 7.0 10.8 18.3 3.9 24.1
Mainstreet September 14, 2022 PDF 1,530 ±2.5% 41.8 17.3 7.4 10.8 18.9 3.8 22.9
Mainstreet September 13, 2022 PDF 1,529 ±2.5% 41.4 17.8 7.5 10.5 19.3 3.5 22.1
Léger September 12, 2022 PDF 3,100 ±1.8% 38 18 11 17 15 2 20
Mainstreet September 12, 2022 PDF 1,525 ±2.5% 43.0 17.6 7.1 10.6 18.5 3.2 24.5
Mainstreet September 11, 2022 PDF 1,499 ±2.5% 40.8 18.4 8.0 10.9 18.5 3.5 22.3
Mainstreet September 10, 2022 PDF 1,489 ±2.5% 40.9 17.6 7.5 10.6 19.7 3.7 21.2
Mainstreet September 9, 2022 PDF 1,500 ±2.5% 40.6 18.1 8.8 9.7 19.2 3.7 21.4
Mainstreet September 8, 2022 PDF 1,534 ±2.5% 38.3 18.4 9.2 10.4 19.2 4.5 19.1
Mainstreet September 7, 2022 PDF 1,548 ±2.5% 37.5 18.1 10.2 11.4 18.6 4.3 18.9
Mainstreet September 6, 2022 PDF 1,569 ±2.5% 37.9 17.6 11.4 11.0 17.5 4.7 20.3
Mainstreet September 5, 2022 PDF 1,537 ±2.5% 37.6 18.4 10.6 12.0 16.3 5.1 19.2
Radio-Canada's Five leaders, one election. (September 4, 2022)
Mainstreet September 4, 2022 PDF 1,511 ±2.6% 38.5 18.1 10.5 11.8 17.5 3.6 20.4
Mainstreet September 3, 2022 PDF 1,497 ±2.6% 37.5 18.3 9.4 12.5 18.3 4.1 19.2
Mainstreet September 2, 2022 PDF 1,462 ±2.6% 37.4 18.1 7.6 12.8 20.3 3.9 17.1
Mainstreet September 1, 2022 PDF 1,417 ±2.6% 38.2 17.6 7.5 13.4 19.9 3.4 18.3
Mainstreet August 31, 2022 PDF 1,210 ±2.8% 38.9 19.7 6.6 13.3 16.8 4.7 19.2
Mainstreet August 30, 2022 PDF 1,676 ±2.4% 40.9 17.7 6.9 12.0 18.2 4.3 22.7
Mainstreet August 29, 2022 PDF 1,386 ±2.6% 40.4 18.7 7.8 11.6 17.7 3.7 21.7
Mainstreet August 28, 2022 PDF 1,067 ±3% 38.1 17.4 7.0 12.1 21.5 3.9 16.6
Campaign period officially begins with the calling of an October 3 election. (August 28, 2022)
Léger August 26, 2022 PDF 1,000 ±3.1% 42 17 9 15 14 3 25
Léger July 31, 2022 PDF 985 ±3.1% 44 18 10 15 13 1 26
Léger June 22, 2022 PDF 1,019 ±3.1% 41 18 9 14 15 3 23
Angus Reid June 13, 2022 PDF 1,211 ±2.5% 35 18 10 14 19 4[lower-alpha 3] 16
Mainstreet June 10, 2022 PDF 1,404 ±3% 39.9 20.8 8.3 12.3 16.6 2 19.1
Léger May 22, 2022 PDF 1,019 ±3.1% 46 18 8 13 14 2 28
CAQ passes Bill 96, strengthening Bill 101, the French language law. (May 24, 2022)
Léger April 17, 2022 PDF 1,020 ±3.1% 44 17 9 15 13 2 27
Synopsis Recherche March 17, 2022 PDF 1,000 N/A 44 15 8 15 16 2 28
Angus Reid March 15, 2022 URL 761 ±3% 33 19 9 16 19 4[lower-alpha 4] 14
Mainstreet March 15, 2022 PDF 1,200 ±3% 36.2 16.1 6.8 17.3 23.6 N/A 12.6
Léger March 6, 2022 HTML 1,017 ±3.1% 41 18 10 14 14 3 23
Léger February 13, 2022 PDF 1,017 ±3.1% 41 20 11 12 14 2 21
Léger January 16, 2022 HTML 1,032 ±3.1% 42 20 11 14 11 3 22
Angus Reid January 12, 2022 PDF 760 ±3% 37 20 12 16 9 5[lower-alpha 5] 17
Mainstreet January 8, 2022 HTML 1,024 N/A 38 20 10 19 13 N/A 16
Léger November 28, 2021 PDF 1,024 ±3.1% 46 20 13 13 5 3 26
Angus Reid October 3, 2021 HTML 716 N/A 37 21 10 15 11 6[lower-alpha 6] 16
Léger September 29, 2021 PDF 1,008 ±3.1% 47 20 11 11 8 3 27
Synopsis Recherche August 30, 2021 HTML 1,500 N/A 49 16 9 14 9 3 33
Angus Reid June 8, 2021 PDF 679 ±3% 41 21 11 14 8 4[lower-alpha 7] 20
CAQ announce Bill 96 which will be strengthening Bill 101, the French language law. (May 12, 2021)
Leger May 1, 2021 HTML 1,015 ±3.1% 46 20 12 14 6 3 26
Éric Duhaime is elected as leader of the Conservative Party of Quebec (April 17, 2021)
Mainstreet February 9, 2021 PDF 1,012 ±3.08% 48 21 11 12 N/A 8 27
Leger December 13, 2020 PDF 1,004 ±3.1% 49 22 14 11 N/A 5 27
Angus Reid November 30, 2020 PDF 768 N/A 38 23 15 10 9 3[lower-alpha 8] 13
Leger November 25, 2020 HTML 1,000 ±3.1% 44 23 14 12 N/A 7 21
Leger October 18, 2020 PDF 1,011 ±3.1% 50 18 16 13 N/A 3 32
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is elected as leader of the Parti Québécois (October 9, 2020)
Leger September 3, 2020 PDF 1,000 ±3.1% 48 22 17 11 N/A 3 26
EKOS August 28, 2020 HTML 5,039 ±1.53% 57 17 11 9 N/A 6 40
Innovative Research Group July 20, 2020 PDF 565 N/A 38 29 17 9 N/A 8 11
EKOS July 3, 2020 HTML 1,870 ±2.5% 59 19 8 9 N/A 5 40
Innovative Research Group June 23, 2020 PDF 263 N/A 39 29 21 5 N/A 7 10
Leger June 21, 2020 PDF 1,002 ±3.0% 51 22 14 10 N/A 4 29
Innovative Research Group June 1, 2020 PDF 257 N/A 38 28 16 9 N/A 9 10
Leger May 25, 2020 HTML 1,203 N/A 54 22 11 8 N/A 5 32
Angus Reid May 24, 2020 HTML 739 N/A 50 22 11 10 3 4 28
Dominique Anglade is elected as leader of the Quebec Liberal Party (May 11, 2020)
Innovative Research Group May 5, 2020 PDF 257 N/A 35 32 17 8 N/A 6 3
EKOS March 26, 2020 HTML 578 ±4.1% 51.9 19.2 14.4 10.4 N/A 4 32.7
Leger March 16, 2020 PDF 1,006 ±3.1% 46 22 18 10 N/A 3 24
State of emergency declared due to the COVID-19 pandemic (March 13, 2020)
Angus Reid February 28, 2020 PDF 638 ±3.7% 36 22 17 16 3 6 14
Leger February 17, 2020 PDF 1,017 ±3.1% 40 28 18 15 N/A N/A 12
Leger January 15, 2020 HTML 1,202 ±2.8% 42 23 19 11 N/A 5 19
CAQ wins the by-election in Jean-Talon (December 2, 2019)
Leger November 25, 2019 HTML 1,000 ±3.1% 38 27 19 10 N/A 6 11
Forum July 24, 2019 PDF 977 ±3% 42 22 12 15 N/A 10 20
Mainstreet July 2, 2019 HTML 871 ±3.32% 47.8 21.7 10.5 14.5 N/A 5.6 26.1
CAQ passes Bill 21 "An Act respecting the laicity of the State" (June 16, 2019)
Forum June 12, 2019 PDF 1,407–71 ±2.5% 46 16 13 19 N/A 6 24
Leger May 21, 2019 HTML 979 ±3% 46 23 14 13 N/A 4 23
Mainstreet March 21, 2019 PDF 940 ±3.20% 45.3 22.3 10.4 14.7 N/A 7.2 23.0
Leger March 11, 2019 PDF[lower-alpha 9] 1,014 ±3.08% 44 21 15 15 N/A 5 23
Leger January 28, 2019 PDF[lower-alpha 10] 1,007 ±3.09% 42 22 18 15 N/A 3 20
Mainstreet January 18, 2019 PDF 979 ±3.13% 44.5 26.1 8.9 15.8 N/A 4.8 18.4
CAQ wins the by-election in Roberval (December 10, 2018)
Mainstreet November 7, 2018 HTML 896 ±3.27% 39.4 22.8 14.1 19.0 N/A 4.7 16.6
2018 election October 1, 2018 4,033,538 37.4 24.8 17.1 16.1 1.5 3.1 12.6

Cancelled electoral reform referendum

Québec's 2022 Electoral reform Referendum
(government proposal)
Do you agree with replacing the first-past-the-post electoral system by the mixed electoral system with regional compensation set out in the Act to establish a new electoral system?
French: Êtes-vous en accord avec le remplacement du mode de scrutin majoritaire uninominal à un tour par le mode de scrutin mixte avec compensation régionale prévu par la Loi établissant un nouveau mode de scrutin?
Date October 3, 2022 (2022-10-03)

François Legault was elected on a promise to reform the electoral system within a year of his victory. On September 25, 2019, Minister of Justice Sonia LeBel presented Bill 39, An Act to establish a new electoral system which aims to replace the First-past-the-post electoral system in favour of a mixed-member proportional representation system. According to the bill, the National Assembly would have kept 125 members. Of the 125 members, 80 would have been elected by receiving a plurality of votes in single-member districts matching the 78 federal ridings with the addition of 2 unique districts: Îles-de-la-Madeleine and Ungava). The remaining 45 members would have been chosen according to their order in a regional party list. All 17 regions of Québec would have been guaranteed at least one MNA.[99]

The proposed system was as such:

Federal region Provincial region District seats Regional seats  % of
electors		  % of
MNAs
Eastern Quebec Gaspésie–Îles-de-la-Madeleine 2 1 1.2% 2.4%
Bas-Saint-Laurent 2 1 2.6% 2.4%
Quebec City Capitale-Nationale 7 4 9.2% 8.8%
Chaudière-Appalaches 4 3 5.4% 5.4%
Eastern Townships Centre-du-Québec 3 2 3.1% 4.0%
Estrie 3 2 4.0% 4.0%
Montérégie Montérégie 14 8 18.9% 17.6%
Hochelaga (East Montreal, West
Montreal, North Montreal & Laval)		 Montreal 16 8 21.5% 19.2%
Laval 4 2 5.0% 4.8%
Côte-Nord and Saguenay Saguenay–Lac-Saint-Jean 3 2 3.6% 4.0%
Côte-Nord 1 1 1.1% 1.6%
Central Quebec Mauricie 3 2 3.5 % 4.0%
Lanaudière 5 3 6.3 % 6.4%
The Laurentides, Outaouais
and Northern Quebec		 Laurentides 6 3 7.6 % 7.2%
Outaouais 4 2 4.6 % 4.8%
Abitibi-Témiscamingue 2 1 1.9% 2.4%
Nord-du-Québec 1 0 0.5% 0.8%
TOTAL 80 45

Bill 39 was intended to be debated in the legislature before June 2021. The bill's implementation would have been contingent on popular support expressed in a referendum held on the same day as the general election.[100] Had this referendum been successful, then the first legislature to be elected under mixed-member proportional would have been the 44th, in October 2026 at the latest. On April 28, 2021, Justice Minister LeBel informed a legislative committee hearing that the government would not move forward with a referendum on electoral reform in 2022. LeBel blamed the COVID-19 pandemic for altering the government's timeline and could not commit to providing an alternate date for the referendum, effectively ending discussions about electoral reform in Quebec.[101]

Results

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Party Votes Seats
Coalition Avenir Québec 1,685,509
40.98%
 Increase 3.56%
90 / 125 (72%)
Liberal 591,066
14.37%
 Decrease 10.45%
21 / 125 (17%)
Québec solidaire 634,525
15.43%
 Decrease 0.67%
11 / 125 (9%)
Parti Québécois 600,691
14.61%
 Decrease 2.45%
3 / 125 (2%)
Conservative 530,768
12.91%
 Increase 11.45%
0 / 125 (0%)
Other 70,141
1.70%
 Decrease 2.90%
0 / 125 (0%)
Source: Élections Québec (Preliminary results)

Notes

  1. ↑ Québec solidaire designates Nadeau-Dubois and Manon Massé as co-spokespeople. Nadeau-Dubois will be the party's candidate for premier during the next general election.[2] The party's power is held by the general meetings of the members and a board of 16 directors; the de jure leader recognized by the Chief Electoral Officer of Quebec (DGE) is Gaétan Châteauneuf.[3]
  2. ↑ Including PVQ at 1%
  3. ↑ Including PVQ at 2%
  4. ↑ Including PVQ at 2%
  5. ↑ Including PVQ at 3%
  6. ↑ Including PVQ at 3%
  7. ↑ Including PVQ at 3%
  8. ↑ Including PVQat 2%
  9. ↑ Archived August 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
  10. ↑ Archived November 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

References

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  5. ↑ An Act to amend the Election Act for the purpose of establishing fixed-date elections, L.Q. 2013, c. 13, s. 3
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See also

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