2015 Murcian regional election

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2015 Murcian regional election
← 2011 24 May 2015 2019 →
All 45 seats in the Regional Assembly of Murcia
23 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered 1,027,213 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg5.4%
Turnout 652,979 (63.6%)
Red Arrow Down.svg4.3 pp
  First party Second party Third party
  170x170px 170x170px 170x170px
Leader Pedro Antonio Sánchez Rafael González Tovar Óscar Urralburu
Party People's Party of the Region of Murcia Socialist Party of the Region of Murcia Podemos
Leader since 5 March 2015 23 March 2012 1 April 2015
Leader's seat Three Three Three
Last election 33 seats, 58.8% 11 seats, 23.9% Did not contest
Seats won 22 13 6
Seat change Red Arrow Down.svg11 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg2 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg6
Popular vote 239,011 153,231 84,577
Percentage 37.4% 23.9% 13.2%
Swing Red Arrow Down.svg21.4 pp Arrow Blue Right 001.svg0.0 pp New party
  Fourth party Fifth party
  170x170px 170x170px
Leader Miguel Sánchez José Antonio Pujante
Party C's Ganar la Región de Murcia
Leader since 16 March 2015 April 2005
Leader's seat Three Three
Last election Did not contest 1 seat, 7.8%[lower-alpha 1]
Seats won 4 0
Seat change Green Arrow Up Darker.svg4 Red Arrow Down.svg1
Popular vote 80,459 30,761
Percentage 12.6% 4.8%
Swing New party Red Arrow Down.svg3.0 pp
350px
Constituency results map for the Regional Assembly of Murcia
President before election

Alberto Garre
People's Party of the Region of Murcia

 Elected President

Pedro Antonio Sánchez
People's Party of the Region of Murcia

The 2015 Murcian regional election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Regional Assembly of the autonomous community of the Region of Murcia. All 45 seats in the Regional Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Overview

Electoral system

The Regional Assembly of Murcia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Murcia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Murcian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting for the Regional Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Region of Murcia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Murcians abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] The 45 members of the Regional Assembly of Murcia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, which were established by law as follows:

Each constituency was entitled to an initial minimum of one seat, with the remaining 40 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations.[3]

Election date

The term of the Regional Assembly of Murcia expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Regional Assembly were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 22 May 2011, setting the election date for the Regional Assembly on Sunday, 24 May 2015.[1][3][4]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Regional Assembly of Murcia and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Regional Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the Region of Murcia, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[3][4]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances		 Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
PP
List
 50px Pedro Antonio Sánchez Conservatism
Christian democracy		 58.79% 33 YesY [5]
PSOE
List
 50px Rafael González Tovar Social democracy 23.88% 11 N [6]
Ganar.IP
List
 50px José Antonio Pujante Socialism
Communism
Eco-socialism		 7.83%[lower-alpha 1] 1 N [7]
[8]
Podemos
List
 50px Óscar Urralburu Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism		 New party N [9]
C's
List
 50px Miguel Sánchez Liberalism New party N [10]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 23 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Regional Assembly of Murcia.

Color key:

      Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 24 May 2015 Regional Assembly of Murcia election results →
325px
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes  % ±pp Total +/−
People's Party (PP) 239,011 37.35 –21.44 22 –11
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 153,231 23.95 +0.07 13 +2
We Can (Podemos) 84,577 13.22 New 6 +6
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 80,459 12.57 New 4 +4
Winning the Region of Murcia.Plural Left (IU–V–RM–CLI–AS)1 30,761 4.81 –3.02 0 –1
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 10,422 1.63 –2.87 0 ±0
Citizens' Movement of Cartagena (MCC) 8,793 1.37 New 0 ±0
Citizens of Democratic Centre (CCD) 6,772 1.06 New 0 ±0
Vox (Vox) 5,427 0.85 New 0 ±0
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 4,663 0.73 New 0 ±0
Blank Seats (EB) 2,002 0.31 New 0 ±0
Zero Cuts (Recortes Cero) 1,422 0.22 New 0 ±0
Citizens' Democratic Renewal Movement (RED) 912 0.14 New 0 ±0
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) 763 0.12 New 0 ±0
Centre and Democracy Forum (CyD) 532 0.08 –0.05 0 ±0
Spain on the Move (LEM) 88 0.01 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 10,057 1.57 –0.59
Total 639,892 45 ±0
Valid votes 639,892 98.00 –0.37
Invalid votes 13,087 2.00 +0.37
Votes cast / turnout 652,979 63.57 –4.34
Abstentions 374,234 36.43 +4.34
Registered voters 1,027,213
Sources[11][12][13]
<templatestyles src="Template:Hidden begin/styles.css"/>
Footnotes:
Popular vote
PP
  
 37.35%
PSOE
  
 23.95%
Podemos
  
 13.22%
C's
  
 12.57%
Ganar.IP
  
 4.81%
UPyD
  
 1.63%
MCC
  
 1.37%
CCD
  
 1.06%
Others
  
 2.47%
Blank ballots
  
 1.57%
Seats
PP
  
 48.89%
PSOE
  
 28.89%
Podemos
  
 13.33%
C's
  
 8.89%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PP PSOE Podemos C's
 % S  % S  % S  % S
One 41.6 4 28.1 2 10.1 1 7.4 −
Two 35.2 5 21.0 3 14.7 2 13.4 1
Three 37.1 10 21.5 5 14.6 3 14.4 3
Four 34.5 2 38.9 2 8.3 − 9.4 −
Five 41.7 1 26.1 1 8.6 − 9.7 −
Total 37.4 22 23.9 13 13.2 6 12.6 4
Sources[11][12][13]

Aftermath

Government formation

Investiture
Pedro Antonio Sánchez (PP)
Ballot → 30 June 2015
Required majority → 23 out of 45 YesY
Yes
  • • PP (22)
  • • C's (4)
26 / 45
No
19 / 45
Abstentions
0 / 45
Absentees
0 / 45
Sources[13]

2017 investiture

Investiture
Fernando López Miras (PP)
Ballot → 27 April 2017 29 April 2017
Required majority → 23 out of 45 N Simple YesY
Yes
  • • PP (22)
22 / 45
22 / 45
No
23 / 45
19 / 45
Abstentions
  • • C's (4) (on 29 Apr)
0 / 45
4 / 45
Absentees
0 / 45
0 / 45
Sources[13]

Notes

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 Results for IU–V–RM in the 2011 election.
  2. ↑ Within Podemos.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  40. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
Other
  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 Ley Orgánica 4/1982, de 9 de junio, de Estatuto de Autonomía para la Región de Murcia, Organic Law No. 4 of 9 June 1982 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
  2. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  3. ↑ 3.0 3.1 3.2 Ley 2/1987, de 24 de febrero, Electoral de la Región de Murcia, Law No. 2 of 24 February 1987 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
  4. ↑ 4.0 4.1 Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General, Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
  5. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  10. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  11. ↑ 11.0 11.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  12. ↑ 12.0 12.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  13. ↑ 13.0 13.1 13.2 13.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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