2020 United States Senate election in Kansas
From Infogalactic: the planetary knowledge core
|
|||||||||||
|
|||||||||||
|
|||||||||||
|
|||||||||||
The 2020 United States Senate election in Kansas will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
On January 4, 2019, incumbent Republican Senator Pat Roberts announced he would not run for a fifth term.[1] Candidates had until June 1, 2020 to file to run for the open seat or to drop out if they already filed.[2] The U.S. Senate primaries were held on August 4, 2020.[3][4] Republican U.S. Representative Roger Marshall and Democratic state senator Barbara Bollier are their respective parties' nominees.
Contents
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Roger Marshall, incumbent U.S. Representative for Kansas's 1st congressional district[5]
Eliminated in primary
- Kris Kobach, former Secretary of State of Kansas and Republican nominee for Governor of Kansas in 2018[6]
- Bob Hamilton, businessman[7]
- Lance Berland[8]
- John L. Berman[8]
- Derek Ellis[8]
- Dave Lindstrom, board chairman for the Kansas Turnpike Authority, former Kansas City Chiefs player, Republican nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Kansas in 2002[9]
- Brian Matlock, economics graduate student[10]
- John Miller[8]
- Steve Roberts, member of the Kansas Board of Education[11]
- Gabriel Mark Robles[8]
Withdrawn
- Jake LaTurner, Kansas State Treasurer (running for U.S. House in District 2)[12]
- Bryan Pruitt, conservative commentator[13]
- Susan Wagle, President of the Kansas Senate[14][15]
Declined
- Alan Cobb, president of the Kansas Chamber of Commerce[16]
- Jeff Colyer, former Governor of Kansas and Lieutenant Governor of Kansas[17][18][19][20][21] (endorsed Roger Marshall)[22]
- Ron Estes, incumbent U.S. Representative for Kansas's 4th congressional district and former Kansas State Treasurer[23] (running for reelection)
- Wink Hartman, oilman and restaurant owner, nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Kansas in 2018[17][18][19]
- Ajit Pai, chairman of the Federal Communications Commission[24]
- Mike Pompeo, United States Secretary of State, former Director of the Central Intelligence Agency, and former U.S. Representative for Kansas's 4th congressional district[25][26][27][28]
- Pat Roberts, incumbent U.S. Senator[1] (endorsed Roger Marshall)[29][30]
- Matt Schlapp, incumbent chairman of the American Conservative Union and former director of the Office of Political Affairs[17][31]
- Derek Schmidt, Kansas Attorney General[32]
- Scott Schwab, Kansas Secretary of State[33][34]
Primary Debate
In a live-streamed debate on May 22, 2020, in a ballroom devoid of spectators due to the COVID-19 pandemic, all five major candidates praised president Donald Trump. Kobach took on his opponents who all agreed that he could not win the general election against presumptive Democratic nominee, Bollier.[35] Marshall said, "We cannot afford to send a failed candidate back this fall who will lose to Barbara Bollier and hand the Senate majority over to Chuck Schumer." "Instead, we need to send a tried and trusted friend of President Trump." Referring to Marshall, Kobach replied, "Do you want a go-along-to-get-along kind of senator, a gutless wonder who never takes a stand, or, do you want someone who poses a threat?" Hamilton said voters didn't have to choose between Kobach, who couldn't win, and a moderate Marshall,[35] in whose behest the state party leaders had urged Senator Wagle and Lindstrom, to drop out of the race.[35] Objecting to the party pressure, Lindstrom characterized his opponents as "shortsighted, self-serving...career politicians who are divisive, controversial," and, "have a record of losing elections."[35] Wagle touted her own candidacy, saying, "It’s very, very important that we send a leader to the U.S. Senate who is articulate, who is persuasive, who other people respect." "I'm the one who's already debated Barbara Bollier." "I win on the Senate floor. I've beat (sic) her numerous times," "...the conservative voice that can beat that liberal voice in the U.S. Senate," she said.[35] In response to a claim that he would not prioritize the issue of agriculture, Marshall said, "Fake news and another lie by Kris Kobach."[35]
Endorsements
| Kris Kobach |
|---|
|
| Roger Marshall |
|---|
|
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Bob Hamilton |
Kris Kobach |
Dave Lindstrom |
Roger Marshall |
Susan Wagle |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 30 – June 1, 2020 | 419 (LV) | – | 15% | 35% | 4% | 26% | – | 4%[lower-alpha 2] | 16% |
| Wagle withdraws from the race | ||||||||||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 1] | May 10–12, 2020 | 600 (V) | ± 4% | 6% | 26% | 4% | 33% | 7% | – | 24% |
| Hamilton announces his candidacy | ||||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[upper-alpha 2] | February 12–16, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 2% | 40% | 5% | 23% | 8% | – | 21% |
| co/efficient (R) | January 19–20, 2020 | 1,246 LV | ± 3.2% | – | 29% | – | 29% | 6% | 9%[lower-alpha 3] | 28% |
| The Tarrance Group (R)[upper-alpha 3] | October 21–23, 2019 | 607 (LV) | ± 4.1% | – | 43% | 3% | 24% | 8% | 5%[lower-alpha 4] | 16% |
|
Hypothetical polling
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Results
File:Kansas Republican Senate primary, 2020.png
Primary results by county
Marshall
-
Marshall—60%-70%
-
Marshall—50%-60%
-
Marshall—40%-50%
-
Marshall—30%-40%
Kobach
-
Kobach—40%-50%
-
Kobach—30%-40%
Hamilton
-
Hamilton—40%-50%
-
Hamilton—30%-40%
| Republican primary results[55] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Republican | Roger Marshall | 167,800 | 40.28% | |
| Republican | Kris Kobach | 108,726 | 26.10% | |
| Republican | Bob Hamilton | 77,952 | 18.71% | |
| Republican | Dave Lindstrom | 27,451 | 6.59% | |
| Republican | Steve Roberts | 8,141 | 1.95% | |
| Republican | Brian Matlock | 7,083 | 1.70% | |
| Republican | Lance Berland | 6,404 | 1.54% | |
| Republican | John Miller | 4,431 | 1.06% | |
| Republican | Derek Ellis | 3,970 | 0.95% | |
| Republican | Gabriel Robles | 3,744 | 0.90% | |
| Republican | John Berman | 861 | 0.21% | |
| Total votes | 416,563 | 100.0% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Barbara Bollier, physician and state senator[56]
Eliminated in primary
- Robert Tillman, Kansas National Guard veteran and perennial candidate[57][8]
Withdrawn
- Elliot Adams, database developer[58]
- Nancy Boyda, former U.S. Representative from Kansas's 2nd congressional district[16]
- Corbie Crow, certified public accountant[59]
- Barry Grissom, former United States Attorney for the District of Kansas (endorsed Bollier)[60]
- Usha Reddi, mayor of Manhattan[61][62]
- Adam Smith[57][63][8]
Declined
- Paul Davis, former minority leader of the Kansas House of Representatives and nominee for governor in 2014[23]
- Kathleen Sebelius, former Secretary of Health and Human Services, former Governor of Kansas, and former Kansas Insurance Commissioner[64]
- Sarah Smarsh, author[65]
- Josh Svaty, former Kansas Secretary of Agriculture, former state representative, and candidate for Governor of Kansas in 2018[66]
- Brent Welder, candidate for Kansas's 3rd congressional district in 2018[67]
Endorsements
| Barbara Bollier |
|---|
|
Results
File:Kansas Democratic Senate primary, 2020.png
Primary results by county
Bollier
-
Bollier—90%-100%
-
Bollier—80%-90%
-
Bollier—70%-80%
-
Bollier—60%-70%
-
Bollier—50%-60%
Tillman
-
Tillman—50%-60%
| Democratic primary results[55] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Democratic | Barbara Bollier | 168,759 | 85.34% | |
| Democratic | Robert Tillman | 28,997 | 14.66% | |
| Total votes | 197,756 | 100.0% | ||
Other candidates
Libertarian Party
Nominee
- Jason Buckley, U.S. Navy veteran[82]
Independents
Withdrawn
General election
Endorsements
| Roger Marshall (R) |
|---|
|
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[87] | Lean R | August 17, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[88] | Lean R | September 18, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[89] | Likely R | August 5, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[90] | Likely R | August 31, 2020 |
| Politico[91] | Lean R | September 9, 2020 |
| RCP[92] | Lean R | September 17, 2020 |
| Niskanen[93] | Likely R | September 15, 2020 |
| DDHQ[94] | Lean R | September 16, 2020 |
| 538[95] | Likely R | September 18, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Roger Marshall (R) |
Barbara Bollier (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data For Progress (D) | September 14–19, 2020 | 883 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 40% | 40% | 5%[lower-alpha 6] | 15% |
| SurveyUSA | August 8–9, 2020 | 1,202 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 44% | – | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 4] | August 5–6, 2020 | 864 (V) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 42% | – | 15% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 30 – June 1, 2020 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 41% | 9%[lower-alpha 7] | 8% |
| NMB Research (R)[upper-alpha 1] | May 17–19, 2020 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 35% | – | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 10–11, 2020 | 1,567 (V) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 37% | – | – |
|
Hypothetical polling
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Roger Marshall | {{{change}}} | |||
| Democratic | Barbara Bollier | {{{change}}} | |||
| Libertarian | Jason Buckley | {{{change}}} | |||
| Total votes | 100.00% | ||||
Notes
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ↑ "someone else" with 4%
- ↑ "Someone else" with 9%
- ↑ Hartman with 5%
- ↑ Wagle with 4%; Hartman with 2%; Lindstrom with 1%
- ↑ Buckley (L) with 5%
- ↑ "Someone else" with 9%
- ↑ "Someone else" with 11%
- ↑ "Someone else" with 11%
- ↑ Figures for other Republicans tested against Grissom in this poll have not been released, but all others led him by at least 8%
- Partisan clients
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 Poll conducted for the Marshall campaign.
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 This poll was sponsored by Kris Kobach's campaign
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 This poll was conducted by the National Republican Senatorial Committee.
- ↑ Poll for EMILY's List, a Democratic PAC which seeks to elect pro-choice Democratic women to office
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 Poll sponsored by 314 Action
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 The SMART Transportation Division is an AFL-CIO affiliated PAC promoting employee assistance programs for retired railroad, bus, and mass transit workers
See also
References
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.7 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Steve Roberts files for U.S. Senate to replace Pat Roberts, Capital Journal, Tim Carpenter, November 12, 2020. Retrieved November 13, 2020.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 16.0 16.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 17.0 17.1 17.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 18.0 18.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 19.0 19.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ https://twitter.com/RogerMarshallMD/status/1232435604064858112
- ↑ 23.0 23.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ https://twitter.com/BryanLowry3/status/1285661947271221248?s=20
- ↑ https://twitter.com/PatRoberts/status/1285666115176345603?s=20
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 35.0 35.1 35.2 35.3 35.4 35.5 Five GOP candidates for U.S. Senate spar on electability, threat of Democrat victory, Capital Journal, Tim Carpenter, May 23, 2020. Retrieved May 25, 2020.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 41.0 41.1 41.2 https://www.kansas.com/news/politics-government/article243035151.html
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 43.0 43.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 44.0 44.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 45.0 45.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 47.0 47.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 48.0 48.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 49.0 49.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 50.0 50.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 51.0 51.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 52.0 52.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 53.0 53.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 54.0 54.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 55.0 55.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 57.0 57.1 57.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 68.0 68.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 69.0 69.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 70.0 70.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 71.0 71.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 72.0 72.1 72.2 72.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 73.0 73.1 73.2 73.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 74.0 74.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 75.0 75.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 76.0 76.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 77.0 77.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 78.0 78.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 79.0 79.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 80.0 80.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 81.0 81.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 85.00 85.01 85.02 85.03 85.04 85.05 85.06 85.07 85.08 85.09 85.10 85.11 85.12 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
External links
- Official campaign websites
.jpg){kind=link}
