2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

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Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin
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Turnout %
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg 160x160px
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican


Elections in Wisconsin
Seal of Wisconsin.svg
This box:

The 2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Wisconsin voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

The Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee won its bid to host the 2020 Democratic National Convention.[3][4] The other finalist cities were Houston and Miami.

As of March 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump is the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. Wisconsin Republican politicians Paul Ryan and Scott Walker both declined to run against Trump. Vice President Joe Biden is the Democratic Party's presidential nominee.

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Princeton Electoral Consortium[5] Safe D (flip) September 27, 2020
The Cook Political Report[6] Lean D (flip) September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Lean D (flip) September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Tossup July 14, 2020
Politico[9] Tossup September 8, 2020
RCP[10] Tossup August 3, 2020
Niskanen[11] Likely D (flip) July 26, 2020
CNN[12] Tossup August 3, 2020
The Economist[13] Lean D (flip) September 2, 2020
CBS News[14] Lean D (flip) August 16, 2020
270towin[15] Lean D (flip) August 2, 2020
ABC News[16] Lean D (flip) July 31, 2020
NPR[17] Tossup August 3, 2020
NBC News[18] Lean D (flip) August 6, 2020
538[19] Lean D (flip) September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

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Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Other/
Undecided
[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
270 to Win September 8-20, 2020 September 23, 2020 42.8% 50.0% 7.2% Biden +7.2
Real Clear Politics September 2-20, 2020 September 23, 2020 43.4% 50.3% 6.3% Biden +6.9
FiveThirtyEight until September 20, 2020 September 23, 2020 43.6% 50.2% 6.2% Biden +6.6
Average 43.3% 50.2% 6.5% Biden +6.9

2020 polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian		 Howie
Hawkins
Green		 Other Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University Sep 9–22 863 (LV) – 41% 50% 2% 0% – –
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research
Center/Wisconsin State Journal		 Sep 10–21 664 (LV) – 46%[lower-alpha 3] 50% - - – –
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Sep 1–21 2,270 (RV) – 46% 51% - - – 3%
Change Research/CNBC Sep 18–20 571 (LV) – 42% 51% - - – –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 12–16 636 (LV) ± 3.89% 41% 47% 1% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 4] 10%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 11–16 609 (LV) – 43% 48% - - 2%[lower-alpha 5] 6%
Morning Consult Sep 7–16 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42%[lower-alpha 6] 51% - - – –
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[upper-alpha 1] Sep 11–15 549 (RV) ± 3.9% 44%[lower-alpha 7] 51% - - 2%[lower-alpha 8] 2%
Morning Consult Sep 6–15 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 51% - - – –
CNN/SSRS Sep 9–13 816 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 52% 3% - 1%[lower-alpha 9] 1%
ABC/Washington Post Sep 8–13 605 (LV) ± 4.5% 46% 52% - - 1%[lower-alpha 10] 1%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Sep 8–10 760 (LV) ± 4.7% 43% 48% 2% 0% 2%[lower-alpha 11] 6%[lower-alpha 12]
Emerson College Sep 6–8 823 (LV) ± 3.4% 45%[lower-alpha 13] 52% - - 4%[lower-alpha 14] –
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Group/AARP Aug 28 – Sep 8 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 45% 50% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Sep 4–6 501 (LV) – 44% 50% - - 6%[lower-alpha 15] –
Morning Consult Aug 27 – Sep 5 763 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 50% - - – –
YouGov/CBS Sep 2–4 978 (LV) ± 3.7% 44% 50% - - 2%[lower-alpha 16] 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Aug 30 – Sep 4 670 (LV) ± 3.78% 41% 50% 2% 0% 0%[lower-alpha 17] 6%
Marquette Law School Aug 30 – Sep 3 688 (LV) – 44% 48% 4% - 2%[lower-alpha 18] 2%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Sep 1–2 1,000 (LV) ± 3% 43% 51% - - 3%[lower-alpha 19] 2%
Fox News Aug 29 – Sep 1 801 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 50% 2% – 1%[lower-alpha 20] 5%
853 (RV) ± 3% 41% 49% 2% – 2%[lower-alpha 21] 5%
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Aug 1–31 1,193 (RV) – 49% 48% - - – 3%
Opinium/The Guardian[1] Aug 21–28 700 (LV) – 40% 53% - - 1% 5%
Morning Consult Aug 17–26 797 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 52% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Aug 21–23 925 (LV) – 44% 49% - - – –
Trafalgar Group Aug 14–23 1,011 (LV) ± 2.99% 46% 45% 4% - 2%[lower-alpha 22] 3%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 2] Aug 17–20 600 (LV) – 44% 52% - - – 4%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies Aug 13–17 672 (LV) ± 3.9% 40% 49% 1% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 23] 7%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[upper-alpha 3] Aug 13–17 753 (RV) – 45% 51% - - 2%[lower-alpha 24] 2%
Morning Consult Aug 7–16 788 (LV) ± 3.5% 43%[lower-alpha 25] 49% - - 2%[lower-alpha 26] 5%
Morning Consult Aug 4–13 797 (LV) ± 3.5% 43% 50% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Aug 6–9 384 (LV) – 43% 47% - - – –
Marquette Law School Aug 4–9 694 (LV) ± 3.8% 46% 50% - - 3%[lower-alpha 27] 1%
YouGov/CBS Aug 4–7 994 (LV) ± 3.8% 42% 48% - - 3%[lower-alpha 28] 7%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/AGPAC[upper-alpha 4] Aug 5–6 750 (LV) – 43% 55% - - 1% 1%
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison Jul 27 – Aug 6 734 (RV) ± 4.9% 43% 49% - - 4%[lower-alpha 29] 4%
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action[upper-alpha 5] Aug 2–4 400 (LV) ± 4.7% 47% 47% - - – 6%
Morning Consult Jul 25 – Aug 3 797 (LV) ± 3.5% 41% 51% - - – –
David Binder Research Jul 30–31 200 (LV) – 42% 53% - - – –
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 6] Jul 22–27 600 (LV) – 38% 52% - - – 10%
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Jul 1–31 2,173 (RV) – 47% 50% - - – 3%
Change Research/CNBC[2] Jul 24–26 392 (LV) – 43% 48% - - – –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jul 19–24 742 (RV) – 35% 45% 2% 0% 3%[lower-alpha 30] 15%
Morning Consult Jul 15–24 797 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 49% - - – –
Gravis Marketing Jul 22 796 (RV) ± 3.5% 42% 50% - - – 7%
Global Strategy Group (D) Jul 11–17 600 (V) ± 4.0% 42% 51% - - 2%[lower-alpha 31] 4%[lower-alpha 32]
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[upper-alpha 7] Jul 11–16 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 46% - - – 8%
Morning Consult Jul 5–14 797 (LV) ± 3.5% 41% 50% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Jul 10–12 601 (LV) – 42% 48% - - – –
Morning Consult Jun 25 – Jul 4 797 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 50% - - – –
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Jun 8–30 813 (RV) – 46% 52% - - – 3%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 26–28 502 (LV)[lower-alpha 33] – 43% 51% - - – –
Trafalgar Group Jun 25–26 1,021 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 45% - - 8%[lower-alpha 34] 2%
Ogden & Fry Jun 20–24 825 (LV) ± 3.48% 44% 45% - - – 10%
Morning Consult Jun 15–24 797 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 50% - - – –
Redfield & Whilton Strategies Jun 14–19 846 (LV) ± 3.37% 36% 45% 1% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 35] 15%
Marquette Law School Jun 14–18 686 (LV) – 44% 52% - - 3%[lower-alpha 36] 1%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Jun 12–16 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 55% - - – 6%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Jun 8–15 655 (RV) ± 4.3% 38% 49% - - 5%[lower-alpha 37] 8%
Morning Consult Jun 5–14 797 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 49% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Jun 12–14 231 (LV)[lower-alpha 38] – 44% 48% - - 5%[lower-alpha 39] –
Morning Consult May 26 – Jun 4 797 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 48% - - – –
Fox News May 30 – Jun 2 801 (RV) ± 3.5% 40% 49% - - 6%[lower-alpha 40] 5%
Change Research/CNBC May 29–31 382 (LV)[lower-alpha 41] – 45% 45% - - 5% 6%
Morning Consult May 16–25 797 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 48% - - – –
Morning Consult May 6–15 797 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 49% - - – –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies May 10–14 875 (LV) ± 3.3% 38% 48% - - 3%[lower-alpha 42] 10%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) May 6–8 600 (LV) ± 3% 42% 51% - - – 8%
Marquette Law School May 3–7 650 (LV) – 45% 49% - - 4%[lower-alpha 43] 2%
Morning Consult Apr 26 – May 5 797 (LV) ± 3.5% 43% 49% - - – –
Public Policy Polling[upper-alpha 8] Apr 20–21 1,415 (RV) – 45% 50% - - – 4%
Ipsos Apr 15–20 645 (RV) ± 5.0% 40% 43% - - – –
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Apr 13–15 600 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 50% - - – 4%
Hart Research/CAP Action[upper-alpha 9] Apr 6–8 303 (RV) – 47% 48% - - 2% 3%
Marquette Law School Mar 24–29 813 (RV) – 45% 48% - - 4%[lower-alpha 44] 3%
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes Mar 17–25 822 (RV) ± 3.8% 45% 45% - - – 10%
Change Research Mar 21–23 510 (LV) – 49% 45% - - – 6%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Mar 17–19 600 (RV) – 49% 45% - - – –
Public Policy Polling Mar 10–11 1,727 (RV) – 45% 48% - - – 6%
YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 6–8 459 (RV) – 42% 44% - - 6%[lower-alpha 45] 7%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 5–7 502 (LV) ± 4.7% 45% 43% - - – –
Marquette Law School Feb 19–23 1,000 (RV) – 46% 46% - - 5%[lower-alpha 46] 3%
YouGov Feb 11–20 936 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 45% - - – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18 823 (RV) ± 3.4% 49% 42% - - 4%[lower-alpha 47] 4%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18 500 (RV) – 44% 42% - - – 13%
Tarrance Group/Wisconsin Manufacturers and Commerce Jan 14–16 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 46% 47% - - – 6%
Marquette Law School[3][4] Jan 8–12 701 (LV) – 47% 48% - - 4%[lower-alpha 48] 2%
Fox News Jan 5–8 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 41% 46% - - 8%[lower-alpha 49] 4%

2019 polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Other Undecided
Marquette Law School[5] Dec 3–8 652 (LV) – 47% 49% 2%[lower-alpha 50] 1%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5 610 (LV) ± 4.1% 48% 39% 8%[lower-alpha 51] 5%[lower-alpha 52]
Marquette Law School[6][7] Nov 13–17 685 (LV) – 48% 45% 5%[lower-alpha 53] 2%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–26 651 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 46% – –
Marquette Law School[8][9] Oct 13–17 657 (LV) – 44% 51% 3%[lower-alpha 54] 1%
Fox News Sep 29 – Oct 2 1,512 (RV) ± 2.5% 39% 48% 5% 6%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9 534 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 44% 14% –
Marquette Law School[10] Aug 25–29 672 (LV) – 44% 51% 3%[lower-alpha 55] 2%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13 535 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% 46% 14% –
WPA Intelligence Apr 27–30 200 (LV) ± 6.9% 46% 42% – 9%
Zogby Analytics Apr 15–18 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 50% – 11%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21 616 (LV) ± 4.1% 40% 53% 5% –
Emerson College Mar 15–17 775 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 54% – –

Former candidates and hypothetical polling

Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michael
Bloomberg (D)		 Other Undecided
Marquette Law School Feb 19–23, 2020 1,000 (RV) – 45% 44% 5%[lower-alpha 56] 5%
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 823 (RV) ± 3.4% 49% 41% 5%[lower-alpha 57] 5%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 44% 43% – 12%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 610 (LV) ± 4.1% 49% 37% 10%[lower-alpha 58] 4%[lower-alpha 59]

Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Cory
Booker (D)		 Other Undecided
Marquette Law School[11] Dec 3–8, 2019 652 (LV) – 47% 45% 4%[lower-alpha 60] 4%
Marquette Law School[12][13] Nov 13–17, 2019 685 (LV) – 45% 45% 5%[lower-alpha 61] 4%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Other Undecided
Marquette Law School Feb 19–23, 2020 1,000 (RV) – 45% 45% 5%[lower-alpha 62] 5%
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 936 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 45% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 823 (RV) ± 3.4% 49% 41% 5%[lower-alpha 63] 5%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 43% 44% – 13%
Marquette Law School[14][15] Jan 8–12, 2020 701 (LV) – 47% 45% 5%[lower-alpha 64] 4%
Fox News Jan 5–8, 2020 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 41% 42% 10[lower-alpha 65] 7%
Marquette Law School[16] Dec 3–8, 2019 652 (LV) – 47% 44% 4%[lower-alpha 66] 4%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 610 (LV) ± 4.1% 49% 38% 8%[lower-alpha 67] 5%[lower-alpha 68]
Marquette Law School[17][18] Nov 13–17, 2019 685 (LV) – 48% 40% 7%[lower-alpha 69] 6%
Marquette Law School[19][20] Oct 13–17, 2019 657 (LV) – 44% 46% 5%[lower-alpha 70] 4%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 535 (LV) ± 4.3% 41% 39% 20% –
Zogby Analytics Apr 15–18, 2019 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 41% 44% – 16%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Kamala
Harris (D)		 Other Undecided
Marquette Law School[21] Aug 25–29, 2019 672 (LV) – 46% 46% 5%[lower-alpha 71] 4%
Zogby Analytics Apr 15–18, 2019 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 43% – 14%
Emerson College Mar 15–17, 2019 775 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 50% – –

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Amy
Klobuchar (D)		 Other Undecided
Marquette Law School Feb 19–23, 2020 1,000 (RV) – 46% 46% 4%[lower-alpha 72] 4%
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 936 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 44% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 823 (RV) ± 3.4% 50% 39% 5%[lower-alpha 73] 6%
Marquette Law School[22][23] Nov 13–17, 2019 685 (LV) – 53% 36% 6%[lower-alpha 74] 4%
Emerson College Mar 15–17, 2019 775 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 50% – –

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Other Undecided
Zogby Analytics Apr 15–18, 2019 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 41% 44% – 15%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 616 (LV) ± 4.1% 42% 45% 9% –
Emerson College Mar 15–17, 2019 775 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 51% – –

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Other Undecided
Marquette Law School Mar 24–29, 2020 813 (RV) – 47% 45% 6%[lower-alpha 75] 2%
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes Mar 17–25, 2020 822 (RV) ± 3.8% 46% 42% – 12%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Mar 17–19, 2020 600 (RV) – 50% 43% – –
Public Policy Polling Mar 10–11, 2020 1,727 (V) – 46% 48% – 7%
YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 6–8, 2020 459 (RV) – 40% 46% 9%[lower-alpha 76] 5%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 5–7, 2020 502 (LV) ± 4.7% 48% 42% – –
Marquette Law School Feb 19–23, 2020 1,000 (RV) – 46% 48% 3%[lower-alpha 77] 3%
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 936 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 46% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 823 (RV) ± 3.4% 50% 43% 4%[lower-alpha 78] 4%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 46% 45% – 9%
Tarrance Group/Wisconsin Manufacturers and Commerce Jan 14–16, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 47% 47% – 7%
Marquette Law School[24][25] Jan 8–12, 2020 701 (LV) – 47% 47% 3%[lower-alpha 79] 1%
Fox News Jan 5–8, 2020 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 42% 46% 8%[lower-alpha 80] 4%
Marquette Law School[26] Dec 3–8, 2019 652 (LV) – 48% 46% 4%[lower-alpha 81] 1%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 610 (LV) ± 4.1% 51% 38% 7%[lower-alpha 82] 4%[lower-alpha 83]
Marquette Law School[27][28] Nov 13–17, 2019 685 (LV) – 49% 45% 5%[lower-alpha 84] 1%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–26, 2019 651 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 47% – –
Marquette Law School[29][30] Oct 13–17, 2019 657 (LV) – 45% 48% 4%[lower-alpha 85] 2%
Fox News Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 1,512 (RV) ± 2.5% 40% 45% 5% 6%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 534 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 49% 8% –
Marquette Law School[31] Aug 25–29, 2019 672 (LV) – 46% 48% 4%[lower-alpha 86] 1%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 535 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% 47% 13% –
Zogby Analytics Apr 15–18, 2019 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 49% – 9%
Tulchin Research (D)[upper-alpha 10] Apr 14–18, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 42% 52% – –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 616 (LV) ± 4.1% 41% 48% 7% –
Emerson College Mar 15–17, 2019 775 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 52% – –

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Other Undecided
Marquette Law School Feb 19–23, 2020 1,000 (RV) – 47% 44% 4%[lower-alpha 87] 4%
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 936 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 46% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 823 (RV) ± 3.4% 51% 41% 4%[lower-alpha 88] 4%
Marquette Law School[32][33] Jan 8–12, 2020 701 (LV) – 49% 45% 5%[lower-alpha 89] 2%
Fox News Jan 5–8, 2020 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 41% 44% 9%[lower-alpha 90] 5%
Marquette Law School[34] Dec 3–8, 2019 652 (LV) – 48% 46% 5%[lower-alpha 91] 2%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 610 (LV) ± 4.1% 50% 37% 8%[lower-alpha 92] 5%[lower-alpha 93]
Marquette Law School[35][36] Nov 13–17, 2019 685 (LV) – 50% 43% 4%[lower-alpha 94] 2%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–26, 2019 651 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 45% – –
Marquette Law School[37][38] Oct 13–17, 2019 657 (LV) – 45% 50% 3%[lower-alpha 95] 1%
Fox News Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 1,512 (RV) ± 2.5% 41% 45% 5% 7%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 534 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 43% 15% –
Marquette Law School[39] Aug 25–29, 2019 672 (LV) – 46% 48% 4%[lower-alpha 96] 3%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 535 (LV) ± 4.3% 41% 41% 18% –
Zogby Analytics Apr 15–18, 2019 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 41% 47% – 12%
Emerson College Mar 15–17, 2019 775 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 52% – –
Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 603 (LV) ± 4.0% 37% 48% – 15%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Howard Schultz

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Howard
Schultz (I)		 Undecided
Emerson College Mar 15–17, 2019 775 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 51% 4% –

with Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Schultz

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Howard
Schultz (I)		 Undecided
Emerson College Mar 15–17, 2019 775 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 48% 5% –

with Donald Trump and generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Generic
Democrat		 Other Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University Mar 17–25, 2020 997 (RV) ± 3.7% 46.8%[lower-alpha 97] 50.4% – 2.8%[lower-alpha 98]
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 41% 49% – 11%
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University Jan 8–20, 2020 1,038 (RV) ± 3.3% 36.7%[lower-alpha 99] 51.2% – 12%
KFF/Cook Political Report Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 745 (RV) ± 4% 28% 41% – 21%
Change Research/Crooked Media Aug 9–11, 2019 1,966 (V) ± 2.2% 45% 46% 3%[lower-alpha 100] 6%
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 11] Apr 23–24, 2019 762 (V) ± 3.6% 44% 53% – 4%

with Donald Trump and generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Generic
Opponent		 Other Undecided
Marquette University Released Apr 7, 2019 800 (RV) – 42% 57%[lower-alpha 101] 0%[lower-alpha 102] 4%
Emerson College Mar 15–17, 2019 775 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 55%[lower-alpha 103] – –
Marquette University Jan 16–20, 2019 800 (RV) – 39% 57%[lower-alpha 104] 0%[lower-alpha 105] 4%

Green Party and Kanye West ballot access lawsuits

In August of 2020, the bipartisan Wisconsin Elections Commission voted to keep Howie Hawkins, the Green Party presidential candidate, and rapper Kanye West, an independent presidential candidate, off of the 2020 general election ballot on the basis that the Hawkins did not have the required signatures to be on the ballot and West's application arrive too late—arriving in person seconds after the deadline.[20]. Hawkins gathered 3,623 signatures; however, forms with 1,834 signatures included Hawkins TV road address while the remaining had his home address. The board voted only to certify the 1,789 with his home address, putting him below the 2,000 signatures required to be on the ballot.[21]

Walker subsequently filed a legal petition to be included on the ballot. On September 10, 2020, the Wisconsin Supreme Court ruled that that election officials had to wait to mail absentee ballots until the court decided whether or not to include the Green Party on the ballot. Some municipal election commissions had already mailed out absentee ballots while others were concerned that they would miss the September 17th deadline by which Wisconsin state law required absentee ballots to mailed out to those who requested them.[22] On September 14, 2020 the court ruled that the ballots would remain as-is without Hawkins or West on the ballot stating, "given their delay in asserting their rights, we would be unable to provide meaningful relief without completely upsetting the election."[23]

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin[24]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Democratic Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Constitution Don Blankenship and William Mohr
style="background-color: Template:American Solidarity Party/meta/color; width: 5px;" | [[American Solidarity Party|Template:American Solidarity Party/meta/shortname]] Brian Carroll and Amar Patel
Total votes

Primary elections

Effects of the 2019–20 coronavirus pandemic

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This section is transcluded from 2020 Wisconsin Democratic primary. (edit | history)


Democratic primary

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This section is transcluded from 2020 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary. (edit | history)

2020 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus received all of Wisconsin's 52 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[25]

2020 Wisconsin Republican primary
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Donald Trump 616,782 97.87% 52
Adam Nicholas Paul (write-in) 246 0.04%
Uninstructed 11,246 1.78%
Scattering 1,924 0.31%
Total 630,198 100% 52

See also

Notes

Voter samples and additional candidates
  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ↑ 2.00 2.01 2.02 2.03 2.04 2.05 2.06 2.07 2.08 2.09 2.10 2.11 2.12 2.13 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  4. ↑ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
  5. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
  6. ↑ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sampling period
  7. ↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  8. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  9. ↑ "None of these" with 1%; "Other" with 0%
  10. ↑ "Neither" with 1%; "Other" and would not vote with 0%
  11. ↑ "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%
  12. ↑ Includes "Refused"
  13. ↑ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  14. ↑ "Someone else" with 4%
  15. ↑ "Other/not sure" with 6%
  16. ↑ "Someone else/third party" with 2%
  17. ↑ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 0%
  18. ↑ "Refused" with 2%; "None/other" with 0%
  19. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%
  20. ↑ "Other" with 1%
  21. ↑ "Other" and would not vote with 1%
  22. ↑ "Another Party Candidate"
  23. ↑ "Another Third Party/Write-in" and West (B) with 1%
  24. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  25. ↑ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding third party and undecided voters
  26. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  27. ↑ "Neither" with 2%; "refused" with 1%
  28. ↑ "Someone else/third party" with 3%
  29. ↑ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
  30. ↑ West (B) with 2%; "Another Third Party/Write-In" 1%
  31. ↑ "Other candidate" with 2%
  32. ↑ Includes "refused"
  33. ↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  34. ↑ "Other party candidate" with 8%
  35. ↑ "Other" with 2%
  36. ↑ "Neither" with 2%; "refused" with 1%
  37. ↑ "Another candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  38. ↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  39. ↑ "Libertarian Party candidate/Green Party candidate" with 5%
  40. ↑ "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  41. ↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  42. ↑ "Third party/write-in" with 3%
  43. ↑ "Neither" with 3%; "Refused" with 1%
  44. ↑ "Neither" with 3%; "refused" with 1%
  45. ↑ "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 1%
  46. ↑ "Neither" with 4%; "Refused" with 0%
  47. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 3%
  48. ↑ "Neither" with 3%; "Refused" with 1%
  49. ↑ Other with 6%; wouldn't vote with 2%
  50. ↑ Neither with 1%; refused with 1%
  51. ↑ A third party candidate with 6%; would not vote with 2%
  52. ↑ Includes "refused"
  53. ↑ Neither with 4%; refused with 1%
  54. ↑ Neither with 3%; refused with 0%
  55. ↑ "Neither" with 2%; "refused" with 1%
  56. ↑ "Neither" with 5%; "refused" with 1%
  57. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 3%
  58. ↑ A third party candidate with 8%; would not vote with 2%
  59. ↑ Includes "refused"
  60. ↑ Neither with 3%; refused with 1%
  61. ↑ Neither with 3%; refused with 2%
  62. ↑ "Neither" with 5%; "refused" with 1%
  63. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 4%
  64. ↑ "Neither" with 4%; refused with 1%
  65. ↑ Other with 7%; wouldn't vote with 3%
  66. ↑ Neither with 2%; refused with 2%
  67. ↑ A third party candidate with 6%; would not vote with 2%
  68. ↑ Includes "refused"
  69. ↑ Neither with 5%; refused with 2%
  70. ↑ Neither with 5%; refused with 0%
  71. ↑ "Neither" with 4%; "refused" with 1%
  72. ↑ "Neither" with 4%; "refused" with 0%
  73. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 4%
  74. ↑ Neither with 5%; refused with 1%
  75. ↑ "Neither" with 5%; "refused" with 1%
  76. ↑ "Other" with 7%; would not vote with 2%
  77. ↑ "Neither" with 3%; "refused" with 1%
  78. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 3%
  79. ↑ "Neither" with 3%; refused with 0%
  80. ↑ Other with 6%; wouldn't vote with 2%
  81. ↑ Neither with 3%; refused with 1%
  82. ↑ A third party candidate with 6%; would not vote with 2%
  83. ↑ Includes "refused"
  84. ↑ Neither with 4%; refused with 1%
  85. ↑ Neither with 4%; refused with 0%
  86. ↑ "Neither" with 3%; "refused" with 1%
  87. ↑ "Neither" with 4%; "refused" with 1%
  88. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 3%
  89. ↑ "Neither" with 4%; refused with 1%
  90. ↑ Other with 6%; wouldn't vote with 3%
  91. ↑ Neither with 3%; refused with 2%
  92. ↑ A third party candidate with 6%; would not vote with 2%
  93. ↑ Includes "refused"
  94. ↑ Neither with 3%; refused with 1%
  95. ↑ Neither with 3%; refused with 0%
  96. ↑ "Neither" with 3%; "refused" with 1%
  97. ↑ Figures for each candidate in this poll include undecided voters who were reported to lean towards that candidate at the time of polling.
  98. ↑ "It depends on who the Democrats nominate" with 1.9%; "unsure" with 0.9%
  99. ↑ Figures for each candidate in this poll include undecided voters who were reported to lean towards that candidate at the time of polling.
  100. ↑ "Third-party candidate" with 3%
  101. ↑ "Would probably or definitely vote for someone other than Trump" with 57%
  102. ↑ "Refused" with 0%
  103. ↑ Listed as "unlikely to vote for Trump" as opposed to "likely to vote for Trump"
  104. ↑ "Would probably or definitely vote for someone other than Trump" with 57%
  105. ↑ "Refused" with 0%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ Rust Belt Rising is affiliated with the Democratic Party
  2. ↑ The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
  3. ↑ Rust Belt Rising campaigns exclusively for Democratic candidates
  4. ↑ This poll's sponsor, the American Greatness PAC, is pro-Trump
  5. ↑ Heritage Action is the sister organisation of the Heritage Foundation, which exclusively endorses Republican candidates
  6. ↑ The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
  7. ↑ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
  8. ↑ Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  9. ↑ CAP Action is a political advocacy group that exclusively supports Democratic candidates
  10. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Sanders campaign
  11. ↑ Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care

References

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  9. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  10. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  11. ↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  12. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  13. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  23. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  24. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  25. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

Further reading

  • Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  • Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  • Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

External links

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