2020 New York's 27th congressional district special election

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2020 New York's 27th congressional district special election
← 2018 June 23, 2020 November 2020 →
New York's 27th congressional district
  x150px x150px
Nominee Chris Jacobs Nate McMurray
Party Republican Democratic
Alliance Independence Working Families
Popular vote 81,085 72,998
Percentage 51.8% 46.6%
270px
County results
Jacobs:      50–60%      60–70%
McMurray:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Chris Collins
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Chris Jacobs
Republican

Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. A special election was held to fill the remainder of the term in the United States House of Representatives for New York's 27th congressional district in the 116th United States Congress. Incumbent Republican Representative Chris Collins resigned from the House effective October 1, 2019, following his guilty plea to federal insider trading charges.[1] The election was originally scheduled for April 28, 2020, but was postponed until June 23, 2020, due to the COVID-19 pandemic.[2]

Candidates

Former Grand Island town supervisor and 2018 Democratic congressional nominee Nathan D. McMurray was expected to be the nominee after being endorsed by the Erie County Democratic Party.[3] Fellow Democrat Melodie Baker announced her interest in seeking the nomination, but quickly withdrew when her campaign failed to gain interest.[4] McMurray was formally nominated on February 13, 2020.[5]

On January 25, 2020, the Republican chairs of the eight counties that make up the 27th congressional district met in Wyoming County and voted to endorse state senator Chris Jacobs for the special election.[6]

On February 1, 2020, the Conservative Party of New York State announced that it would not endorse a candidate in the anticipated special election and would instead leave its party line blank. The Party's preferred candidate was Beth Parlato.[7]

Accountant Duane Whitmer was endorsed by the Libertarian Party.[8][9]

Republican Party

Endorsee

Withdrawn

Declined to run

Endorsements

Democratic Party

Endorsee

  • Nate McMurray, former Grand Island supervisor and nominee for New York's 27th congressional district in 2018[16][5]

Withdrawn

  • Melodie Baker, former director of education for the United Way of Buffalo and small business owner[17]

Declined to run

Libertarian Party

Endorsee

Green Party

Endorsee

Per a Facebook Messenger comment from Erie County Greens: "We did endorse him, but the endorsement was withdrawn after he made several posts on social media that many felt were problematic. He is still on the ballot as a Green because there is no way to remove him, but the State Party has stopped assisting/promoting his campaign."

General election

Debate

McMurray and Jacobs participated in a debate on June 9, in which McMurray criticized Jacobs for not standing up to Trump's actions, in particular, Trump's claim that a 75-year-old man injured by police in Buffalo could be an "ANTIFA provocateur". McMurray also accused Jacobs of trying to buy the position, lying, and not supporting the Black Lives Matter movement. He emphasized his continued positive impact on communities in the area, positioning himself as an alternative to former Republican representatives Chris Collins and Chris Lee, both of whom resigned due to scandals. Jacobs criticized McMurray for supporting big government and abortion, which he saw as a poor fit for the conservative values of the district.[23]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe R April 24, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe R April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Likely R April 23, 2020
Politico[27] Likely R April 19, 2020

Results

2020 New York's 27th congressional district special election[28]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Chris Jacobs 74,944 47.85% +7.65%
Independence Chris Jacobs 6,141 3.92% +3.22%
Total Chris Jacobs 81,085 51.77% +2.67%
Democratic Nathan McMurray 68,684 43.85% -1.15%
Working Families Nathan McMurray 4,314 2.75% -0.05%
Total Nathan McMurray 72,998 46.60% -2.20%
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 1,500 0.96% N/A
Green Michael Gammariello 1,045 0.67% N/A
Total votes 156,628 100.0% N/A
Subtotal Results
Part of Erie County Subtotal
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 34,489 45.67
Independence Chris Jacobs 3,421 4.53
Total Chris Jacobs 37,910 50.20
Democratic Nathan McMurray 34,404 45.56
Working Families Nathan McMurray 2,088 2.76
Total Nathan McMurray 36,492 48.32
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 630 0.83
Green Michael Gammariello 488 0.65
Total votes 75,520 100
Genesee County Subtotal
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 5,784 56.67
Independence Chris Jacobs 344 3.37
Total Chris Jacobs 6,128 60.04
Democratic Nathan McMurray 3,600 35.27
Working Families Nathan McMurray 249 2.44
Total Nathan McMurray 3,849 37.71
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 159 1.56
Green Michael Gammariello 71 0.70
Total votes 10,207 100
Livingston County Subtotal
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 5,157 48.61
Independence Chris Jacobs 374 3.52
Total Chris Jacobs 5,531 52.13
Democratic Nathan McMurray 4,529 42.69
Working Families Nathan McMurray 348 3.28
Total Nathan McMurray 4,877 45.97
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 133 1.25
Green Michael Gammariello 69 .65
Total votes 10,610 100
Part of Monroe County Subtotal
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 2,134 42.10
Independence Chris Jacobs 126 2.49
Total Chris Jacobs 2,260 44.58
Democratic Nathan McMurray 2,596 51.21
Working Families Nathan McMurray 132 2.60
Total Nathan McMurray 2,728 53.82
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 54 1.07
Green Michael Gammariello 27 .53
Total votes 5,069 100
Part of Niagara County Subtotal
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 13,230 49.62
Independence Chris Jacobs 909 3.41
Total Chris Jacobs 14,139 53.02
Democratic Nathan McMurray 11,482 43.06
Working Families Nathan McMurray 644 2.42
Total Nathan McMurray 12,126 45.48
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 228 0.86
Green Michael Gammariello 172 0.65
Total votes 26,665 100
Part of Ontario County Subtotal
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 5,684 39.86
Independence Chris Jacobs 280 1.96
Total Chris Jacobs 5,964 41.82
Democratic Nathan McMurray 7,743 54.30
Working Families Nathan McMurray 318 2.23
Total Nathan McMurray 8,061 56.53
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 130 0.91
Green Michael Gammariello 105 0.74
Total votes 14,260 100
Orleans County Subtotal
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 3,929 62.01
Independence Chris Jacobs 162 2.56
Total Chris Jacobs 4,091 64.57
Democratic Nathan McMurray 2,004 31.63
Working Families Nathan McMurray 130 2.05
Total Nathan McMurray 2,134 33.68
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 73 1.15
Green Michael Gammariello 38 .60
Total votes 6,336 100
Wyoming County Subtotal
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 4,537 56.99
Independence Chris Jacobs 525 6.59
Total Chris Jacobs 5,062 63.58
Democratic Nathan McMurray 2,326 29.22
Working Families Nathan McMurray 405 5.09
Total Nathan McMurray 2,731 34.30
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 93 1.17
Green Michael Gammariello 75 0.94
Total votes 7,961 100


See also

References

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External links

Official campaign websites
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