Crewe and Nantwich by-election, 2008

Crewe and Nantwich by-election

22 May 2008

Candidate Edward Timpson Tamsin Dunwoody Elizabeth Shenton Party Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat Popular vote 20,539 12,679 6,040 Percentage 49.5% 30.6% 14.6%

MP before election Gwyneth Dunwoody Labour Subsequent MP Edward Timpson Conservative

The Crewe and Nantwich by-election, 2008 was a parliamentary by-election held on 22 May 2008, for the British House of Commons constituency of Crewe and Nantwich, in Cheshire, England. The election was won by the Conservative party candidate Edward Timpson, who defeated the Labour party candidate Tamsin Dunwoody, on a swing from Labour to Conservative of 17.6%, a swing that in a general election would see nine Labour cabinet ministers lose their seats. At the time of the by-election, a swing of 7% in a general election would have seen the Conservatives gain an overall majority over Labour. This was the first seat gained by the Conservatives in a by-election since the Mitcham and Morden by-election, 1982.

Overview

The by-election was called following the death on 17 April 2008 of the sitting MP Gwyneth Dunwoody. The timing of the election caused controversy as, by convention, by-elections are not moved until after the funeral of the deceased Member of Parliament, which drew protests from Conservative and Liberal Democrat members in the House of Commons. However the writ was moved with the approval of the Dunwoody family.

The election had attracted high media and public interest following heavy defeats for the incumbent Labour party in the local elections held earlier that same month, and the fact it followed the controversial removal by the Labour government of the 10 pence national income tax band, which had seen a backbench rebellion against the prime minister Gordon Brown, causing an announcement in the same month of a recovery package to help the people left worse off by the move.

Immediately following the announcement of the result following the speeches, the defeated Tamsin Dunwoody speaking live to the BBC blamed the swing on a higher turn-out than usual due to the high interest in the election, despite both the turnout and winning vote being lower than the 2005 general election result for this seat. Telling the BBC the Labour vote "held up" in a "democratic decision", defeated Labour candidate Tasmin Dunwoody called herself a "fighter". New MP Edward Timpson said in his victory speech that he would "not let you down". The Prime Minister Gordon Brown attributed the defeat to rising petrol prices, and the recent increases in the cost of living.

Result

Crewe and Nantwich by-election, 2008

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Edward Timpson	20,539	49.5	+16.9
	Labour	Tamsin Dunwoody	12,679	30.6	–18.2
	Liberal Democrat	Elizabeth Shenton	6,040	14.6	–4.0
	UKIP	Mike Nattrass	922	2.2	n/a
	Green	Robert Smith	359	0.9	n/a
	English Democrats	David Roberts	275	0.7	n/a
	Monster Raving Loony	The Flying Brick	236	0.6	n/a
	Independent	Mark Walklate	217	0.5	n/a
	Cut Tax on Diesel and Petrol	Paul Thorogood	118	0.3	n/a
	Independent	Gemma Garrett	113	0.3	n/a
Majority			7,860	18.9	+35.2
Turnout			41,856	58.2	–1.8
Rejected ballots			67	0.2	{{{change}}}
	Conservative gain from Labour		Swing	17.6%

Opinion polling

An ICM poll from mid-May gave the Conservative candidate 43% to Labour's 39% and the Lib Dems' 16%; a second ICM poll from a week after gave the Conservatives 45% to Labour's 37%.

Candidates

On 3 May 2008, incumbent Gwyneth Dunwoody's daughter Tamsin, a former Welsh assembly member, was selected as the Labour candidate. Prior to Dunwoody's death, the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats had already selected candidates to contest the seat at the general election. The Conservative Party candidate Edward Timpson was a barrister practising in Chester. Since 2006, he had been the Conservative Party's campaigns co-ordinator for the Eddisbury constituency. The Liberal Democrat candidate Elizabeth Shenton had worked as a senior manager for the RBS and Natwest, where she was an active member of the trade union. At the time of the election she was also a councillor in Newcastle-under-Lyme.

The UK Independence Party candidate was Mike Nattrass, MEP for the nearby West Midlands and a former deputy party leader. Robert Smith, a 23-year-old town planner (and transport planning specialist) educated at the University of Liverpool stood for the Green Party of England and Wales and particularly campaigned to reverse the privatisation of British Rail (and associated fare increases).

The Official Monster Raving Loony Party stood "The Flying Brick" (his legal name, although he was formerly known as Nick Delves), the party's treasurer and Shadow Minister for the Abolition of Gravity (see Official Monster Raving Loony Party#Crewe and Nantwich By-Election). Independent candidate Mark Walklate is a locally educated salesperson (with a business degree) who stood for the Conservatives in the 2006 and 2007 council elections. Paul Thorogood's party, Cut Tax on Petrol and Diesel, was registered with the Electoral Commission on 23 March 2008, with Thorogood as its Leader, Nominating Officer and Treasurer, although his party is listed on the nomination paper as "Cut Tax on Diesel and Petrol" (the fourth and sixth words reversed). The newly formed Beauties for Britain Party fielded Gemma Garrett, the then-Miss Great Britain, as a candidate in what was their first election campaign, announcing that they wanted to "help make Westminster as glamorous a place as its fellow European legislatures, where beautiful women abound in the higher echelons of government". The party was not, however, registered with the Electoral Commission, so she had to stand as an independent. Garrett and fellow independent Mark Walklate are recorded as having no party name or description at all on the official record of candidates as opposed to having the word, 'Independent' by their names on the ballot paper.

Campaign

The Labour Party ran a personal class-based campaign against the Conservative candidate, calling him "the Tarporley Toff", "Lord Snooty", "Tory Boy Timpson". Labour supporters donned top hats to mock Timpson, whose family own Timpson, a national shoe repair and key-cutting business. This has been viewed by some social commentators as a form of reverse snobbery. Dunwoody, who arrived for the campaign from her 6-acre (24,000 m²) holding in Wales, was termed "One of us", as she was daughter of the deceased Labour MP. The campaign was criticised by a number of national newspapers, including the left-leaning Guardian as well as The Times, while Dunwoody herself was confronted by Jeremy Paxman on Newsnight over the fact that she has an entry in Burke's Peerage and Baronetage.

On the last day of the campaign, the accidental communication by a Conservative party worker of voting intention data of 8,000 people to a radio station sparked an investigation by the Information Commissioner into possible breaches of data protection laws.

History

Main article: Crewe and Nantwich (UK Parliament constituency)

The constituency was held by Gwyneth Dunwoody for Labour since its creation in 1983. Just three parties contested the seat at the 2005 UK general election. Dunwoody held the seat with a reduced majority, while both the Conservative Party and Liberal Democrats enjoyed an increase in their vote share.

General Election 2005: Crewe and Nantwich

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Gwyneth Dunwoody	21,240	48.8	–5.5
	Conservative	Eveleigh Moore-Dutton	14,162	32.6	+2.2
	Liberal Democrat	Paul Roberts	8,083	18.6	+5.1
Majority			7,078	16.3
Turnout			43,485	60.0	–0.2
	Labour hold		Swing	3.8

External links

• Nick The Flying Brick candidate's website including manifesto
• Tamsin Dunwoody official campaign page
• Mike Nattrass official website
• David Roberts English Democrats announcement of candidacy
• Elizabeth Shenton official campaign page
• Robert Smith Green Party announcement of candidacy
• Paul Thorogood Cut Tax on Petrol and Diesel by-election page
• Edward Timpson campaign website
• Election leaflets from the by-election campaign