Ottawa South (provincial electoral district)

Ottawa South

Ontario electoral district
File:Ottawa South locator map.png Ottawa South in relation to other Ottawa electoral districts
Provincial electoral district
Legislature	Legislative Assembly of Ontario
MPP	John Fraser Liberal
District created	1925
First contested	1926
Last contested	2014
Demographics
Population (2011)	121,921
Electors (2013)	86,346
Area (km²)	76
Pop. density (per km²)	1,604.2
Census divisions	Ottawa
Census subdivisions	Ottawa

Ottawa South (fr. Ottawa-Sud) is a provincial electoral district (riding) in the Canadian province of Ontario, in the city of Ottawa.

History

The district was created in 1925 from part of Ottawa West. Prior to the 1999 election, the provincial district did not have the same borders as the federal district.

Prior to the 1967 redistribution, the riding shared no common area with the present riding. Present day Ottawa South could be found in the riding of Russell prior to 1967.

After having been firmly conservative for the first 60 years, the seat of Ottawa South was held for more than 25 years by two generations of McGuinty's under the Liberal banner.

Members of Provincial Parliament

Ottawa South
Assembly	Years	Member		Party
Riding created from Ottawa West
17th	1926–1929		Thomas Birkett	Progressive Conservative
18th	1929–1934		Arthur Ellis
19th	1934–1937
20th	1937–1943		George Dunbar
21st	1943–1945
22nd	1945–1948
23rd	1948–1951
24th	1951–1955
25th	1955–1959
26th	1959–1963		Irwin Haskett
27th	1963–1967
28th	1967–1971
29th	1971–1975		Claude Bennett
30th	1975–1977
31st	1977–1981
32nd	1981–1985
33rd	1985–1987
34th	1987–1990		Dalton McGuinty, Sr.	Liberal
35th	1990–1995		Dalton McGuinty
36th	1995–1999
37th	1999–2003
38th	2003–2007
39th	2007–2011
40th	2011–2013
	2013–2014		John Fraser
41st	2014–Present

Election results

2014 general election

Ontario general election, 2014
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Liberal	John Fraser	23,727	50.03	+7.70
	Progressive Conservative	Matt Young	15,110	31.86	−6.84
	New Democratic	Bronwyn Funiciello	5,867	12.37	−1.93
	Green	Matt Lakatos-Hayward	2,064	4.35	+1.23
	Libertarian	Jean-Serge Brisson	273	0.58	−0.01
	Special Needs	John Redins	244	0.51	+0.22
	Communist	Espoir Manirambona	141	0.30
Total valid votes			47,426	100.0
	Liberal hold		Swing		+7.27
Source(s)

2013 by-election

File:Ottawa South 2013 by-election signs.jpg

Election signs for John Fraser (Liberal), Taylor Howarth (Green), Bronwyn Funiciello (NDP) and Matt Young (PC)

Dalton McGuinty resigned the Premiership of Ontario in February 2013, but decided to stay on as MPP of Ottawa South until the next election. McGuinty changed his mind however, and resigned on June 12 amid the "gas plant scandal".

Opinion polls

Polling Firm	Date of Polling	Link	Liberal	PC	NDP	Green	Other	Type of poll	Margin of error
Forum Research	July 31	PDF	36	52	9	3	0	IVR	4%
Campaign Research	July 30	PDF	35	42	12	6	5	IVR	4.5%
Forum Research	July 24	HTML	34	48	12	5	1	IVR	4%
Campaign Research	July 15	PDF	37	38	17	5	2	IVR	5.1%
Forum Research	July 3	HTML	42	38	17	4	3	IVR	5%
Forum Research	June 13	HTML	34	37	22	4	2	IVR	4%

Results

Ontario provincial by-election, August 1, 2013 Resignation of Dalton McGuinty
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%	Expenditures
	Liberal	John Fraser	14,921	42.33	−6.53	$ 95,351.00
	Progressive Conservative	Matt Young	13,642	38.70	+5.27	89,316.00
	New Democratic	Bronwyn Funiciello	5,042	14.30	+0.91	40,274.11
	Green	Taylor Howarth	1,099	3.12	−0.11	2,212.50
	Libertarian	Jean-Serge Brisson	208	0.59	+0.03	0.00
	Special Needs	John Redins	102	0.29	−0.24	0.00
	Independent	Daniel Post	91	0.26		0.00
	Freedom	Dave McGruer	85	0.24		0.00
	Pauper	John Turmel	58	0.16		0.00
Total valid votes / Expense limit			35,248	100.00	−21.16	$ 104,501.00
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			216	0.61	+0.12
Turnout			35,464	40.38	−10.81
Eligible voters			87,816		+0.06
	Liberal hold		Swing		−5.90
Source(s)

Elections 1926-2011

File:Ottawa South 2011 results by poll map.png

Map showing the winning party in each polling division shaded by vote percentage in the 2011 election

Ontario general election, 2011
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Dalton McGuinty	21,842	48.86	−1.28	$ 74,137.81
	Progressive Conservative	Jason MacDonald	14,945	33.43	+3.77	48,914.10
	New Democratic	Wali Farah	5,988	13.39	+4.07	15,509.77
	Green	James Mihaychuk	1,442	3.23	−4.92	3,566.26
	Libertarian	Jean-Serge Brisson	252	0.56	−0.24	0.00
	Special Needs	John Redins	238	0.53		0.00
Total valid votes			44,707	100.00	−6.67	$ 104,477.24
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			222	0.49	−0.29
Turnout			44,929	51.19	−5.41
Eligible voters			87,766		+2.88
	Liberal hold		Swing		−2.52
Source(s)

Ontario general election, 2007
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Dalton McGuinty	24,015	50.13	−1.30ᴿ	$ 68,501.89
	Progressive Conservative	Richard Raymond	14,206	29.66	−4.24ᴿ	80,475.86
	New Democratic	Edelweiss D'Andrea	4,467	9.33	+0.26ᴿ	19,220.39
	Green	John Ford	3,902	8.15	+4.49	2,069.63
	Family Coalition	David MacDonald	927	1.94	+0.76	2,294.17
	Libertarian	Jean-Serge Brisson	384	0.80		118.38
Total valid votes/Expense limit			47,901	100.0	+1.28	$ 92,129.40
Total rejected ballots			380	0.79	+0.17
Turnout			48,281	56.60	−2.17
Eligible voters			85,305		+4.52
	Liberal hold		Swing		1.47ᴿ
ᴿ Change based in redistributed results.
Source(s)

Ontario general election, 2003
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Dalton McGuinty	24,647	51.70	+2.11	$ 70,963.18
	Progressive Conservative	Richard Raymond	16,413	34.43	−7.80	75,453.48
	New Democratic	James McLaren	4,306	9.03	+3.23	12,014.97
	Green	David Chernushenko	1,741	3.65	+2.07	2,884.13
	Family Coalition	John Pacheco	562	1.18		9,388.75
Total valid votes/Expense limit			47,669	100.0	+4.11	$ 78,349.44
Total rejected ballots			296	0.62	−0.16
Turnout			47,965	58.77	+1.03
Eligible voters			81,614		+2.12
	Liberal hold		Swing		+4.96
Source(s)

Ontario general election, 1999
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Dalton McGuinty	22,707	49.59	−3.76	$ 62,090.51
	Progressive Conservative	Mike Nicholson	19,337	42.23	+12.41	20,397.04
	New Democratic	James McLaren	2,655	5.80	−8.86	14,683.16
	Green	George Brown	724	1.58	+0.26	0.00
	Independent	Meg Carson	243	0.53		8.09
	Natural Law	James Hea	121	0.26	−0.58	0.00
Total valid votes/Expense limit			45,787	100.0	+58.44	$ 76,725.12
Total rejected ballots			360	0.78	−0.01
Turnout			46,147	57.74	−8.77
Eligible voters			79,922		+82.50
	Liberal hold		Swing		−8.09
Note: Boundaries significantly adjusted.  Percentage change not adjusted to reflected redistribution.
Source(s)

File:Ottawasouth1986.PNG

Map of the Ottawa South provincial electoral district for the 1987, 1990 and 1995 elections.

Ontario general election, 1995
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Dalton McGuinty	15,418	53.35	+7.48	$ 38,581.00
	Progressive Conservative	Linda Thom	8,618	29.82	+5.31	28,456.94
	New Democratic	Margaret Armstrong	4,235	14.65	−11.27	16,082.17
	Green	Karen Fyson	383	1.33	−0.70	0.00
	Natural Law	Wayne Foster	245	0.85		0.00
Total valid votes/Expense limit			28,899	100.0	−4.26	$ 44,698.00
Total rejected ballots			229	0.79
Turnout			29,128	66.51
Eligible voters			43,793
Source(s)

Ontario general election, 1990
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Liberal	Dalton McGuinty	13,845	45.87	−5.01
	New Democratic	Margaret Armstrong	7,826	25.93	+6.67
	Progressive Conservative	Darrel Kent	7,399	24.51	−5.36
	Green	Stephen Johns	612	2.03
	Family Coalition	David Fitzpatrick	503	1.67
Total valid votes			30,185	100.0	−3.73

Ontario general election, 1987
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Liberal	Dalton McGuinty, Sr.	15,952	50.88	+15.53
	Progressive Conservative	Michael McSweeney	9,365	29.87	−9.54
	New Democratic	Penina Coopersmith	6,038	19.26	−5.99
Total valid votes			31,355	100.0	−4.74

Ontario general election, 1985
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Progressive Conservative	Claude Bennett	12,971	39.41	−10.56
	Liberal	Andrew Caddell	11,634	35.34	+6.34
	New Democratic	John Smart	8,311	25.25	+5.07
Total valid votes			32,916	100.0	+8.08

Ontario general election, 1981
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Progressive Conservative	Claude Bennett	15,218	49.97	+0.60
	Liberal	Robert Dyck	8,832	29.00	+3.05
	New Democratic	Chris Chilton	6,146	20.18	−2.80
	Independent	Ray Turmel	259	0.85
Total valid votes			30,455	100.0	−9.76

Ontario general election, 1977
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Progressive Conservative	Claude Bennett	16,662	49.37	+6.22
	New Democratic	Eileen Scotton	8,759	25.95	−6.48
	Liberal	Patricia Thorpe	7,754	22.98	−1.45
	Independent	Michael Holton	574	1.70
Total valid votes			33,749	100.0	−1.39

File:Ottawasouth1966.PNG

Map of the Ottawa South provincial electoral district for the 1967, 1971 and 1975 elections

Ontario general election, 1975
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Progressive Conservative	Claude Bennett	14,767	43.15	−8.52
	New Democratic	Eileen Scotton	11,099	32.43	+7.88
	Liberal	Patricia Thorpe	8,360	24.43	+0.64
Total valid votes			34,226	100.0	−21.02

Ontario general election, 1971
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Progressive Conservative	Claude Bennett	22,392	51.67	+4.16
	New Democratic	Don Francis	10,638	24.55	+15.62
	Liberal	Ian Kimmerly	10,307	23.78	−19.78
Total valid votes			43,337	100.0	+52.84

Ontario general election, 1967
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Progressive Conservative	Irwin Haskett	13,472	47.51	−6.99
	Liberal	Joseph McDonald	12,351	43.56	+3.40
	New Democratic	William Hardy	2,531	8.93	+3.59
Total valid votes			28,354	100.0	+21.95

1954-1966: Ward 5 (Old Ottawa South, the Glebe) and that part of Wards 4 (Centretown) and 6 (Dalhousie Ward) south of Sparks Street and Wellington Street (West).

Ontario general election, 1963
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Progressive Conservative	Irwin Haskett	12,671	54.50	+2.84
	Liberal	Joseph McDonald	9,338	40.16	−4.06
	New Democratic	Peter Hopwood	1,241	5.34	+1.22
Total valid votes			23,250	100.0	−7.54

Ontario general election, 1959
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Progressive Conservative	Irwin Haskett	12,989	51.66	−2.28
	Liberal	Archibald M. Laidlaw	11,119	44.22	+2.35
	Co-operative Commonwealth	John Fisher	1,037	4.12	+0.97
Total valid votes			25,145	100.0	−4.15

Ontario general election, 1955
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Progressive Conservative	George H. Dunbar	14,151	53.94	−2.04
	Liberal	Kenneth Fogarty	10,984	41.87	+6.88
	Co-operative Commonwealth	Allen Schroeder	826	3.15	−5.88
	Labor–Progressive	Daniel Nerenberg	273	1.04
Total valid votes			26,234	100.0	−26.23

1933-1954: Capital Ward, Dalhousie Ward, Central Ward, Wellington Ward, that part of Riverdale Ward west of Main Street and that part of Elmdale Ward east of Parkdale Avenue.

Ontario general election, 1951
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Progressive Conservative	George H. Dunbar	19,908	55.98	+0.85
	Liberal	Kenneth Fogarty	12,444	34.99	+6.45
	Co-operative Commonwealth	Melville Fleming	3,212	9.03	−5.95
Total valid votes			35,564	100.0	+3.43

Ontario general election, 1948
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Progressive Conservative	George H. Dunbar	18,955	55.13	−5.79
	Liberal	William R. Burnett	9,813	28.54	+3.23
	Co-operative Commonwealth	Milton C. Anderson	5,151	14.98	+1.69
	Union of Electors	Terrence O'Reilly	279	0.81
	Socialist Labour	William Leckie	185	0.54	+0.06
Total valid votes			34,383	100.0	−11.30

Ontario general election, 1945
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Progressive Conservative	George H. Dunbar	23,616	60.92	+16.87
	Liberal	G. Pushman	9,813	25.31	−9.24
	Co-operative Commonwealth	Eugene Forsey	5,151	13.29	−7.42
	Socialist Labour	E. Irving	185	0.48	−0.21
Total valid votes			38,765	100.0	+43.87

Ontario general election, 1943
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Progressive Conservative	George H. Dunbar	11,870	44.05	−6.15
	Liberal	Leonard L. Coulter	9,311	34.56	−13.08
	Co-operative Commonwealth	Walter B. Mann	5,579	20.71
	Socialist Labour	Edward A. Irving	185	0.69	−0.11
Total valid votes			26,945	100.0	−22.45

Ontario general election, 1937
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	∆%
	Conservative	George H. Dunbar	17,443	50.20	+2.64
	Liberal	John H. Putnam	16,550	47.63	+0.76
	Communist	Harry Binder	408	1.17	+0.64
	Socialist Labour	Peter Leckie	276	0.79
	Independent	James C. Sidey	69	0.20
Total valid votes			34,746	100.0	−2.69

Ontario general election, 1934
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Conservative	Arthur Ellis	16,983	47.56
	Liberal	Percy O. Wilson	16,737	46.87
	Co-operative Commonwealth	William Henry Chapman	1,531	4.29
	Communist	John Lyons	192	0.54
	Independent	Joseph B. O'Reilly	165	0.46
	Independent	Duncan McNaughton	100	0.28
Total valid votes			35,708	100.0

1925-1933: Dalhousie Ward and Capital Ward

Ontario general election, 1929
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Conservative	Arthur Ellis	Acclaimed

Ontario general election, 1926
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Conservative	Thomas Miles Birkett	9,171	62.27
	Liberal	Robert R. Sparks	5,556	37.73
Total valid votes			14,727	100.0

2007 electoral reform referendum

Ontario electoral reform referendum, 2007
Side		Votes	%
	First Past the Post	30,718	65.84
	Mixed Member Proportional	15,941	34.16
Total valid votes		46,659	100.0
Source

Riding associations

Riding associations are the local branches of the provincial political parties: [1]

Party		Association Name	CEO	HQ Address	Neighbourhood
	Green	Green Party of Ontario Ottawa South	Unknown	Unknown	Unknown
	Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario	Ottawa South Progressive Conservative Association	Alan Wilde	10 The Masters Drive, Ottawa, ON.	Uplands
	Liberal Party of Ontario	Ottawa South Provincial Liberal Association	John Fraser	Unknown	Unknown
	Ontario New Democratic Party	Ontario New Democrat Party Ottawa South	Unknown	Unknown	Unknown

Sources

• James Mihaychuk wins GPO nomination in Ottawa South
• Espoir Manirambona is the communist candidate in Ottawa South