2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary
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The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary was held on February 24, 2024,[1] as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 50 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a selection basis.[2]
Held following the Iowa caucuses, the New Hampshire primary, the Nevada primary and caucuses, and the United States Virgin Islands caucuses, the South Carolina primary was the fifth Republican contest in which delegates were awarded to take place this election.[3] South Carolina holds the "first in the South" presidential primary for both major parties.[4]
Nikki Haley, who served as Governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, announced her presidential candidacy in February 2023. Tim Scott, who has represented South Carolina in the U.S. Senate since 2013, entered the race with a campaign announcement in May 2023.[5] He suspended his campaign on November 12, 2023[6] and endorsed Trump on January 19, 2024.[7]
Immediately after polls closed at 7:00pm EST, multiple media outlets called the primary for Trump.[8][9] Trump received the highest number of votes of any candidate for either party in the history of the South Carolina primaries, breaking the record previously held by George W. Bush in 2000.[8][9]
Contents
Background
The Republican electorate in South Carolina is noted for having a high proportion of evangelical voters.[10] Socially conservative candidates have performed well in the South Carolina primary in past contests. In the 2012 Republican primary, Newt Gingrich beat eventual nominee Mitt Romney in the state with support from evangelical voters.[11]
In the 2016 South Carolina Republican primary, Donald Trump won with 32.51% of the vote, with the nearest opponent Marco Rubio taking 22.48%. Trump reportedly won 34% of the evangelical vote in the primary, with Ted Cruz taking 26%, and Rubio taking 21%.[12]
Procedure
29 at-large delegates are awarded to the candidate with the highest statewide vote total. Each of the state's seven congressional districts are awarded three delegates. The candidate with the highest vote total in each congressional district are awarded that district's delegates.
Candidates
The following 10 candidates had filed by the end of the filing period on October 31, 2023 and secured ballot access.[13]
- Ryan Binkley
- Nikki Haley
- David Stuckenberg
- Donald Trump
- John Anthony Castro (disqualified due to the check for his registration fee bouncing)[14]
- Tim Scott (withdrawn on November 12, 2023)[15]
- Doug Burgum (withdrawn on December 4, 2023)[16]
- Chris Christie (withdrawn on January 10, 2024)[17]
- Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn on January 15, 2024)
- Ron DeSantis (withdrawn on January 21, 2024)[18]
Endorsements
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| Nikki Haley |
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| Donald Trump |
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Withdrawn candidates
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) |
|---|
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| Tim Scott (withdrawn) |
|---|
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Maps
File:2024 United States presidential election Republican primary South Carolina House endorsements.svg
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the South Carolina House of Representatives.
Endorsed Donald Trump (61)
Endorsed Ron DeSantis (4) (withdrawn)
Endorsed Nikki Haley (4)
Endorsed Tim Scott (2) (withdrawn)
No endorsement (17)
Non-Republicans (36)
File:2024 United States presidential election Republican primary South Carolina Senate endorsements (2).svg
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the South Carolina Senate.
Endorsed Donald Trump (7)
Endorsed Nikki Haley (5)
Endorsed Tim Scott (4) (withdrawn)
Endorsed Ron DeSantis (1) (withdrawn)
No endorsement (13)
Non-Republicans (16)
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin | February 16–20, 2024 | February 21, 2024 | 34.6% | 61.6% | 3.8% | Trump +27.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight | through February 23, 2024 | February 24, 2024 | 34.0% | 61.6% | 4.4% | Trump +27.6 |
| RealClearPolling | February 14, 2024 – February 23, 2024 | February 23, 2024 | 37.5% | 60.8% | 1.7% | Trump +23.3 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trafalgar Group | Feb 21–23, 2024 | 1093 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | – | 37.5% | – | – | – | – | 58.9% | – | 3.6%[lower-alpha 3] |
| Suffolk University/USA Today | Feb 15–18, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | – | – | 63% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 4] |
| Emerson College/The Hill | Feb 15–17, 2024 | 1197 (LV) | ± 2.8% | – | – | – | 35.4% | – | – | – | – | 57.9% | – | 6.7% |
| Insider Advantage | Feb 14–15, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | 60% | 1% | 1% |
| Trafalgar Group | Feb 13–15, 2024 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | – | 33.6% | – | – | – | – | 63.3% | – | 3% |
| The Citadel | Feb 5–11, 2024 | 505 (LV) | ± 5.7% | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | 64% | 3% | 2% |
| Winthrop University | Feb 2–10, 2024 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | – | – | – | 28.7% | – | – | – | – | 64.9% | 3.3% | 2% |
| Washington Post/Monmouth University | Jan 26–30, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | 58% | 2% | 8% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Jan 28–29, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | 66% | – | 4% |
| The Tyson Group/The American Promise | Jan 24–26, 2024 | 543 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | 58% | – | 11% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Jan 17–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 28% | – | – | – | – | 68% | – | 4% |
| Emerson College | Jan 2–3, 2024 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 4.8% | 6.6% | 25.1% | 0.2% | – | 3.1% | – | 54.4% | – | 1.9% |
| Trafalgar Group | Dec 6–8, 2023 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | 5.8% | 14.4% | 22.8% | 0.3% | – | 6.1% | – | 48.7% | – | 1.9% |
| Morning Consult | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 856 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 13% | 19% | – | – | 3% | 7% | 57% | – | – |
| Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research | Nov 4–12, 2023 | 780 (RV) | ± 3.51% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 0.4% | – | 3.4% | 10.6% | 47.6% | 2.1%[lower-alpha 5] | 2.7% |
| Morning Consult | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 927 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 11% | 15% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 58% | – | – |
| CNN/SSRS | Oct 18–25, 2023 | 738 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 0% | 2% | 11% | 22% | 0%[lower-alpha 6] | 2% | 1% | 6% | 53% | 0%[lower-alpha 7] | 1% |
| Morning Consult | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 854 (LV) | – | – | 1% | 10% | 13% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 59% | 0%[lower-alpha 8] | 1% |
| Fox Business | Sep 14–18, 2023 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.5% | <0.5% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 46% | 1%[lower-alpha 9] | 3% |
| Washington Post/Monmouth University | Sep 6–11, 2023 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 46% | 1%[lower-alpha 10] | 4% |
| Morning Consult | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 910 (LV) | – | – | 1% | 14% | 11% | 0% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 55% | 0%[lower-alpha 8] | – |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | Aug 17–19, 2023 | 1,054 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 0% | 2% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 48% | 0%[lower-alpha 11] | 1% |
| Morning Consult | July 1–31, 2023 | 907 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 15% | 12% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 54% | 0%[lower-alpha 12] | 1% |
| Fox Business | Jul 15–19, 2023 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.5% | <0.5% | 2% | 13% | 14% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 48% | –[lower-alpha 13] | 4% |
| Morning Consult | June 1–30, 2023 | 907 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 20% | 12% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 48% | 1%[lower-alpha 14] | 1% |
| National Public Affairs | Jun 20–21, 2023 | 809 (LV) | – | 1% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 41% | – | 6% |
| Morning Consult | May 1–31, 2023 | 875 (LV) | – | – | – | 19% | 13% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 52% | 1%[lower-alpha 15] | 1% |
| National Research[upper-alpha 1] | May 24–25, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | – | – | 18% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 43% | 1%[lower-alpha 16] | 13% |
| National Public Affairs | May 15–17, 2023 | 590 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 23% | 15% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 38% | – | 8% |
| Morning Consult | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 810 (LV) | – | – | – | 17% | 17% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 52% | 3%[lower-alpha 17] | 1% |
| National Public Affairs | Apr 11–14, 2023 | 588 (LV) | ± 4.2% | – | – | 21% | 19% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 43% | 1%[lower-alpha 18] | 6% |
| Winthrop University | Mar 25 – April 1, 2023 | 485 (RV) | ± 4.6% | – | – | 20% | 18% | 0% | 5% | – | 7% | 41% | 5%[lower-alpha 19] | 4% |
| Morning Consult | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 806 (LV) | – | – | – | 22% | 15% | – | 5% | 0% | 4% | 49% | 3%[lower-alpha 20] | 2% |
| Morning Consult | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 689 (LV) | – | – | – | 24% | 18% | – | 5% | – | 7% | 43% | 4%[lower-alpha 21] | – |
| Neighbourhood Research and Media[upper-alpha 2] | Feb 7–14, 2023 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.9% | – | – | 22% | 16% | – | 2% | – | 2% | 35% | – | 23% |
| Morning Consult | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 974 (LV) | – | – | – | 31% | 14% | – | 2% | – | 5% | 45% | 2%[lower-alpha 22] | 1% |
| Trafalgar Group | Jan 24–26, 2023 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | – | 33% | – | 6% | – | – | 52% | 9%[lower-alpha 23] | – |
| – | – | – | 21% | – | 3% | – | 23% | 48% | 5%[lower-alpha 24] | – | ||||
| – | – | 29% | 22% | – | 4% | – | – | 43% | 2%[lower-alpha 25] | – | ||||
| – | – | 28% | 12% | – | 2% | – | 14% | 43% | 1%[lower-alpha 26] | – | ||||
| Moore Information | Jan 18–24, 2023 | 450 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 31% | 12% | – | 4% | – | 5% | 41% | – | 7% |
| – | – | – | 29% | – | – | – | – | 62% | – | 9% | ||||
| – | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | – | 49% | – | 15% | ||||
| Spry Strategies | Jan 17–19, 2023 | 386 (LV) | – | – | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | 15% |
| Morning Consult | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 530 (LV) | – | – | – | 28% | 13% | – | 4% | – | 5% | 44% | 6%[lower-alpha 27] | – |
| Winthrop University | Oct 22 – November 5, 2022 | 1,298 (A) | ± 2.8% | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 19% |
| Echelon Insights | Aug 31 – September 7, 2022 | 294 (LV) | ± 5.1% | – | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | – | 9% |
| Trafalgar Group | Mar 25–29, 2021 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 64% | 11%[lower-alpha 28] | 25%[lower-alpha 29] |
Results
Results by congressional district
Trump won 6 of the 7 congressional districts.
| District | Trump | Haley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 46.8% | 52.5% | |||
| 2nd | 55.5% | 43.8% | |||
| 3rd | 67.5% | 31.8% | |||
| 4th | 59.6% | 39.5% | |||
| 5th | 65.5% | 33.9% | |||
| 6th | 53.7% | 45.6% | |||
| 7th | 67.8% | 31.7% | |||
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See also
- 2024 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
- ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ↑ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ↑ Listed as undecided and other
- ↑ Listed as undecided/other
- ↑ Someone Else with 1.5%; Refused with 0.6%
- ↑ No voters
- ↑ Perry Johnson & Someone Else with 0%; Larry Elder with no voters
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 Will Hurd with 0%
- ↑ Will Hurd with 1%; Larry Elder & Perry Johnson with less than 0.5%
- ↑ "Someone else" with 1%
- ↑ Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Pery Johnson, Francis Suarez and Ryan Binkley with 0%
- ↑ Francis Suarez with 0%
- ↑ Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Francis Suarez, "Other" and "None of the above" with <0.5%
- ↑ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Will Hurd, and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ↑ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ↑ Chris Sununu with 1%
- ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 0%
- ↑ Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ↑ Mike Pompeo with 2%, Chris Sununu with 1% Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 2%
- ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Ted Cruz with 1%
- ↑ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ↑ Mike Pompeo with 9%
- ↑ Mike Pompeo with 5%
- ↑ Mike Pompeo with 2%
- ↑ Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ↑ "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 9%; would not vote with 2%
- ↑ "Would consider voting for Trump" with 20%; Undecided with 6%
- Partisan clients
- ↑ Poll sponsored by American Greatness, which supports Trump
- ↑ Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC
References
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External links
- Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
Categories:
- Articles with short description
- Use mdy dates from February 2024
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- 2024 South Carolina elections
- 2024 United States Republican presidential primaries by state
- February 2024 events in the United States
- South Carolina Republican primaries
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