United States Senate election in Maryland, 2016
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2016 United States Senate election in Maryland will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Maryland, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Barbara Mikulski is not running for re-election to a sixth term in office.[1] Primary elections were held on April 26, 2016, in which Chris Van Hollen and Kathy Szeliga were chosen as the Democratic and Republican party nominees, respectively. On May 1, 2016, Margaret Flowers was elected as the Green Party nominee.
Contents
Background
Mikulski first ran for the U.S. Senate in 1974, losing to Republican incumbent Charles Mathias. Mikulski then served in the U.S. House of Representatives from 1977 to 1987 and was elected to the U.S. Senate in 1986, succeeding the retiring Mathias. She was re-elected by large margins in 1992, 1998, 2004 and 2010. Shortly after being sworn in for her fifth term in 2011, she succeeded Margaret Chase Smith as the longest-serving female Senator in U.S. history[2] and on March 17, 2012, she became the longest-serving female member of Congress in U.S. history, surpassing Congresswoman Edith Nourse Rogers of Massachusetts, who served from 1925 to 1960.[3] On March 2, 2015, Mikulski announced that she would not run for re-election to a sixth term in office.[1]
In August 2013, Abby Livingston of Roll Call had predicted that a potential retirement by Mikulski would create "chaos" and "blow open Maryland's political bottleneck" because "the state's teeming political Democratic Party talent is backed up in lower offices."[4]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Chris Van Hollen, U.S. Representative[5]
- Donna Edwards, U.S. Representative[6]
- Freddy Donald Dickson, Jr.[7]
- Ralph Jaffe, perennial candidate[7]
- Theresa Scaldaferri[7]
- Charles U. Smith, perennial candidate[7]
- Violet Staley[7]
- Blaine Taylor[7]
- Ed Tinus, perennial candidate
- Lih Young, perennial candidate[7]
Declined
- Rushern Baker, Prince George's County Executive (endorsed Chris Van Hollen)[8]
- Anthony G. Brown, former Lieutenant Governor of Maryland and nominee for Governor of Maryland in 2014 (running for MD-04)[9]
- Susan L. Burke, attorney[10]
- Elijah Cummings, U.S. Representative[11][12][13]
- John Delaney, U.S. Representative[14]
- Peter Franchot, Comptroller of Maryland[15][16]
- Doug Gansler, former Attorney General of Maryland and candidate for Governor of Maryland in 2014[4][17]
- Steny Hoyer, U.S. Representative and House Minority Whip[18]
- Kevin Kamenetz, Baltimore County Executive[19]
- Kathleen Kennedy Townsend, former Lieutenant Governor of Maryland, nominee for Governor in 2002 and nominee for Maryland's 2nd congressional district in 1986[20][21]
- Barbara Mikulski, incumbent Senator[1]
- Heather Mizeur, former State Delegate and candidate for Governor in 2014[22][23][24]
- Martin O'Malley, former Governor of Maryland (ran for President)[25][26]
- Thomas Perez, United States Secretary of Labor and former Secretary of the Maryland Department of Labor, Licensing and Regulation[11][25][27]
- Jamie Raskin, State Senator (running for MD-08)[28]
- Stephanie Rawlings-Blake, Mayor of Baltimore[29][30][31][32]
- Dutch Ruppersberger, U.S. Representative[33]
- John Sarbanes, U.S. Representative and son of former U.S. Senator Paul Sarbanes[34]
- Kenneth Ulman, former Howard County Executive and nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 2014[17][35]
- Benjamin Jealous, former President and CEO of the NAACP[22][36]
- Frank Kratovil, former U.S. Representative[37]
- Kweisi Mfume, former U.S. Representative, former President and CEO of the NAACP and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2006[29][38]
Endorsements
| Donna Edwards |
|---|
|
| Chris Van Hollen |
|---|
|
| Declined to endorse |
|---|
|
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donna Edwards |
Chris Van Hollen |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monmouth University | April 18–20, 2016 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 36% | 52% | 1% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 15–17, 2016 | 492 | ± 4.4% | 33% | 42% | — | 25% |
| NBC4/Marist | April 5–9, 2016 | 775 | ± 3.5% | 38% | 44% | — | 18% |
| Washington Post - University of Maryland | March 30-April 3, 2016 | 539 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 40% | — | 16% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang | March 28–30, 2016 | 604 | ± 4.9% | 40% | 45% | — | 15% |
| Baltimore Sun - University of Baltimore | March 4–9, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 34% | 28% | — | 31% |
| Gonzales Research | February 29-March 4, 2016 | 411 | ± 5.0% | 41% | 42% | — | 17% |
| Goucher College | February 13–18, 2016 | 307 | ± 5.6% | 39% | 37% | — | 24% |
| Gonzales Research | January 11–16, 2016 | 402 | ± 5% | 36% | 38% | — | 24% |
| Baltimore Sun - University of Baltimore | November 13–17, 2015 | 419 | ± 4.8% | 19% | 28% | 40%[77] | 13% |
| 31% | 45% | — | 24% | ||||
| Washington Post - University of Maryland | October 7–11, 2015 | 1,006 | ± 3.5% | 20% | 20% | 33%[77] | 27% |
| Global Strategy Group** | August 3–9, 2015 | 600 | ± 4% | 42% | 37% | — | 21% |
| The Mellman Group* | March 19–22, 2015 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 23% | 22% | 29%[77] | 27% |
- * Internal poll for Elijah Cummings
- ** Internal poll for Donna Edwards
Results
| Democratic primary results[78][79] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Democratic | Chris Van Hollen | 445,865 | 53.3 | |
| Democratic | Donna Edwards | 327,116 | 38.8 | |
| Democratic | Freddie Dickson | 13,847 | 1.7 | |
| Democratic | Theresa Scaldaferri | 12,405 | 1.5 | |
| Democratic | Violet Staley | 9,471 | 1.1 | |
| Democratic | Lih Young | 7,645 | 0.9 | |
| Democratic | Charles Smith | 7,431 | 0.9 | |
| Democratic | Ralph Jaffe | 6,716 | 0.8 | |
| Democratic | Blaine Taylor | 5,596 | 0.7 | |
| Democratic | Ed Tinus | 2,430 | 0.3 | |
| Total votes | 838,522 | 100.00 | ||
Van Hollen won the April 26, 2016 primary in each of Maryland's counties except Prince George's and Charles, where Donna Edwards received more votes. Democratic voters in Baltimore City also preferred Edwards.[80]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Kathy Szeliga, State Delegate and House Minority Whip[81]
- Chris Chaffee, candidate for MD-05 in 2010 and nominee for MD-05 in 2014[7]
- Sean P. Connor[7]
- Richard Douglas, attorney, former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[82]
- John Graziani, candidate for MD-04 in 2014[83]
- Greg Holmes, candidate for MD-04 in 2012 and 2014 and Democratic State Senate candidate in 2006[83]
- Joseph Hooe, small business owner[84]
- Chrys Kefalas, Vice President of Executive Communications for the National Association of Manufacturers and deputy legal counsel under Governor Bob Ehrlich[85][86][87][88]
- Mark McNicholas[7]
- Lynn Richardson[83]
- Anthony Seda[89]
- Richard Shawver, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2006[83]
- Dave Wallace, businessman and nominee for MD-08 in 2014[83][90]
- Garry Thomas Yarrington[7]
Declined
- Kendel Ehrlich, former First Lady of Maryland[11]
- Jeannie Haddaway-Riccio, former State Delegate and candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2014[91]
- Mary Kane, former Secretary of State of Maryland and nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 2010[90][91]
- Allan Kittleman, Howard County Executive[11]
- Connie Morella, former U.S. Representative and former United States Ambassador to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development[92]
- Laura Neuman, former Anne Arundel County Executive[38][93]
- Boyd Rutherford, Lieutenant Governor of Maryland[11]
- Michael Steele, former Lieutenant Governor of Maryland, former Chairman of the Republican National Committee and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2006[16][94]
- Dan Bongino, former United States Secret Service agent, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012 and nominee for Maryland's 6th congressional district in 2014 (moved to Florida)[11][95][96]
- Ben Carson, author and retired Director of Pediatric Neurosurgery at Johns Hopkins Hospital (running for President)[97][98]
- Robert Ehrlich, former Governor of Maryland[25][99]
- Barry Glassman, Harford County Executive[100]
- Andy Harris, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[101][102]
- Larry Hogan, Governor of Maryland[16]
- Steve Schuh, Anne Arundel County Executive[11][103]
Endorsements
| Chrys Kefalas |
|---|
|
| Kathy Szeliga |
|---|
|
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kathy Szeliga |
Richard Douglas |
Barry Glassman |
Chrys Kefalas |
Anthony Seda |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBC4/Marist | April 5–9, 2016 | 368 | ± 5.1% | 20% | 13% | - | 9% | - | 57% |
| Washington Post - University of Maryland | March 30-April 3, 2016 | 283 | ± 7.5% | 15% | 9% | - | 11% | - | 46% |
| Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore/OpinionWorks | March 4–8, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 6% | 1% | - | 2% | <1% | 79% |
| Baltimore Sun - University of Baltimore | November 13–17, 2015 | 307 | ± 5.6% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 59% |
Results
| Republican primary results[78][79] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Republican | Kathy Szeliga | 130,738 | 36.1 | |
| Republican | Chris Chaffee | 49,462 | 13.6 | |
| Republican | Chrys Kefalas | 34,779 | 9.6 | |
| Republican | Richard Douglas | 27,103 | 7.5 | |
| Republican | Dave Wallace | 22,067 | 6.1 | |
| Republican | Sean Connor | 20,679 | 5.7 | |
| Republican | Lynn Richardson | 19,678 | 5.4 | |
| Republican | John Graziani | 15,921 | 4.4 | |
| Republican | Greg Holmes | 15,187 | 4.2 | |
| Republican | Mark McNicholas | 9,488 | 2.6 | |
| Republican | Joe Hooe | 7,852 | 2.2 | |
| Republican | Anthony Seda | 3,642 | 1.0 | |
| Republican | Richard Shawver | 2,990 | 0.8 | |
| Republican | Garry Yarrington | 2,846 | 0.8 | |
| Total votes | 362,432 | 100.00 | ||
Szeliga won the April 26, 2016 primary in Baltimore City and each of Maryland's counties except Calvert, St. Mary's, Charles, and Prince George's, in which Chris Chaffee received more votes.[80]
Third party and independent candidates
Green Party
Results
| Green Party primary results[121] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Green | Margaret Flowers | 125 | 98 | |
| Green | None of the above | 3 | 2 | |
| Total votes | 128 | 100.00 | ||
Independents
Libertarian Party
General election
Candidates
- Kathy Szeliga, (R) Maryland State Delegate and House Minority Whip
- Chris Van Hollen, (D) U.S. Representative
- Arvin Vohra, (L) nominee for MD-05 in 2012 and for MD-04 in 2014
- Margaret Flowers, (G) former pediatrician, healthcare activist and radio host[120]
Endorsements
| Chris Van Hollen |
|---|
|
| Kathy Szeliga |
|---|
|
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[126] | Safe D | March 25, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[127] | Safe D | April 4, 2016 |
| Roll Call[128] | Safe D | April 4, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[129] | Safe D | March 21, 2016 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Van Hollen (D) |
Kathy Szeliga (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | April 15–17, 2016 | 879 | ± 3.3% | 53% | 25% | — | 22% |
|
Hypothetical polling |
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References
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Marbella, Jean "Mikulski's milestone: the Senate's longest-serving woman" The Baltimore Sun January 5, 2011
- ↑ CNN.com: Mikulski makes history while creating 'zone of civility' for Senate women
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ 57.0 57.1 https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/md-politics/dutch-ruppersberger-endorsing-chris-van-hollen-in-maryland-senate-primary/2016/04/18/8713c16c-0595-11e6-bdcb-0133da18418d_story.html
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ 60.00 60.01 60.02 60.03 60.04 60.05 60.06 60.07 60.08 60.09 60.10 60.11 60.12 60.13 60.14 60.15 60.16 60.17 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 61.0 61.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 62.00 62.01 62.02 62.03 62.04 62.05 62.06 62.07 62.08 62.09 62.10 62.11 62.12 62.13 62.14 62.15 62.16 62.17 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 63.0 63.1 63.2 63.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 64.0 64.1 http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/maryland/politics/blog/bal-kamenetz-to-endorse-van-hollen-for-u-s-senate-20160311-story.html
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- ↑ 71.0 71.1 http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/opinion/editorial/bs-ed-van-hollen-20160420-story.html
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- ↑ 77.0 77.1 77.2 Elijah Cummings
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- ↑ 104.000 104.001 104.002 104.003 104.004 104.005 104.006 104.007 104.008 104.009 104.010 104.011 104.012 104.013 104.014 104.015 104.016 104.017 104.018 104.019 104.020 104.021 104.022 104.023 104.024 104.025 104.026 104.027 104.028 104.029 104.030 104.031 104.032 104.033 104.034 104.035 104.036 104.037 104.038 104.039 104.040 104.041 104.042 104.043 104.044 104.045 104.046 104.047 104.048 104.049 104.050 104.051 104.052 104.053 104.054 104.055 104.056 104.057 104.058 104.059 104.060 104.061 104.062 104.063 104.064 104.065 104.066 104.067 104.068 104.069 104.070 104.071 104.072 104.073 104.074 104.075 104.076 104.077 104.078 104.079 104.080 104.081 104.082 104.083 104.084 104.085 104.086 104.087 104.088 104.089 104.090 104.091 104.092 104.093 104.094 104.095 104.096 104.097 104.098 104.099 104.100 104.101 104.102 104.103 104.104 104.105 104.106 104.107 104.108 104.109 104.110 104.111 104.112 104.113 104.114 104.115 104.116 104.117 104.118 104.119 104.120 104.121 104.122 104.123 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ 120.0 120.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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External links
- Official campaign websites
