2015 Balearic regional election

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2015 Balearic regional election
← 2011 24 May 2015 2019 →
All 59 seats in the Parliament of the Balearic Islands
30 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered 766,383 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg5.5%
Turnout 437,838 (57.1%)
Red Arrow Down.svg1.7 pp
  First party Second party Third party
  170x170px 170x170px 170x170px
Leader José Ramón Bauzá Francina Armengol Alberto Jarabo
Party People's Party of the Balearic Islands PSIB–PSOE Podemos/Podem
Leader since 11 September 2009 25 February 2012 14 February 2015
Leader's seat Mallorca Mallorca Mallorca
Last election 35 seats, 46.7%[lower-alpha 1] 18 seats, 24.4% Did not contest
Seats won 20 14 10
Seat change Red Arrow Down.svg15 Red Arrow Down.svg4 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg10
Popular vote 123,183 81,798 63,489
Percentage 28.5% 18.9% 14.7%
Swing Red Arrow Down.svg18.2 pp Red Arrow Down.svg5.5 pp New party
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  170x170px 170x170px 170x170px
Leader Biel Barceló Jaume Font Nel Martí
Party MÉS PI Més per Menorca
Leader since 27 May 2006 2 November 2012 19 February 2011
Leader's seat Mallorca Mallorca Menorca
Last election 4 seats, 8.6%[lower-alpha 3] 0 seats, 6.0%[lower-alpha 4] 1 seat, 1.0%[lower-alpha 2]
Seats won 6 3 3
Seat change Green Arrow Up Darker.svg2 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg3 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg2
Popular vote 59,617 34,237 6,582
Percentage 13.8% 7.9% 1.5%
Swing Green Arrow Up Darker.svg5.2 pp Green Arrow Up Darker.svg1.9 pp Green Arrow Up Darker.svg0.6 pp
  Seventh party Eighth party
  170x170px 170x170px
Leader Xavier Pericay Sílvia Tur
Party C's GxF+PSOE
Leader since 13 April 2015 10 April 2015
Leader's seat Mallorca Formentera
Last election 0 seats, 0.2% 1 seat, 0.5%
Seats won 2 1
Seat change Green Arrow Up Darker.svg2 Arrow Blue Right 001.svg0
Popular vote 25,651 2,006
Percentage 5.9% 0.5%
Swing Green Arrow Up Darker.svg5.7 pp Arrow Blue Right 001.svg0.0 pp
350px
Constituency results map for the Parliament of the Balearic Islands
President before election

José Ramón Bauzá
People's Party of the Balearic Islands

 Elected President

Francina Armengol
Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands

The 2015 Balearic regional election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Parliament of the autonomous community of the Balearic Islands. All 59 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

All in all, the election resulted in the loss of the parliamentary majority by the People's Party (PP), together with its worst election result ever in the islands. The Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands (PSIB) also saw losses, but could form a coalition government, led by socialist Francina Armengol, together with More for Mallorca (Més) and More for Menorca (MpM), obtaining confidence and supply support from We Can (Podemos/Podem) and the People for Formentera (GxF) deputy. It was the first time that left-wing parties had a majority of seats in the Balearic parliament, with previous PSIB-led governments having required the support of centrist Majorcan Union (UM) to rule in 1999 and 2007. Opposition, aside from PP, was formed by Proposta per les Illes (El Pi) and Citizens (C's), both obtaining their whole representation in Mallorca, but being close to winning seats in Ibiza and Menorca, respectively—in the latter, Ciutadella de Menorca People's Union represented the C's Menorcan branch.

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of the Balearic Islands was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Balearic Islands, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Balearic Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Balearic Islands and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Balearic people abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] The 59 members of the Parliament of the Balearic Islands were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the islands of Mallorca, Menorca, Ibiza and Formentera, with each being allocated a fixed number of seats: 33 for Mallorca, 13 for Menorca, 12 for Ibiza and 1 for Formentera.[1][3]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of the Balearic Islands expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Balearic Islands (BOIB), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 22 May 2011, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 22 May 2015. The election decree was required to be published in the BOIB no later than 28 April 2015, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 21 June 2015.[1][3][4]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of the Balearic Islands and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a sixty-day period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]

Background

File:Manifestació vaga indefinida TIL.jpg
29 September 2013 demonstration.

In the 2011 election, the People's Party (PP), led by José Ramón Bauzá, regained an absolute majority, and Bauzá was elected president on 15 June 2011. A series of controversial and unpopular decrees and laws followed, the most discussed involving the language of the Balearic Islands—Catalan in its island dialects—and the education. These generated record-attendance demonstrations, the most important one on 29 September 2013, when more than 70,000 people demonstrated in Palma protesting, amongst other things, against the changes in the language decree. It established more school hours in Spanish and English, however the majority of public schools and their teachers were not prepared to carry it out.[5]

The main opposition party, the Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands (PSIB), elected Francina Armengol as its new leader in February 2012 in substitution of former President of the Balearic Islands Francesc Antich.[6]

During the 2011–2015 legislature, Agreement for Mallorca (ExM) joined the coalition between the Socialist Party of Mallorca (PSM) and InitiativeGreens (IV) in 2013. It was renamed as More for Mallorca (Més) in October 2013, with PSM leader Biel Barceló as its Secretary General.[7] Its sister party Socialist Party of Menorca formed the coalition More for Menorca (MpM) with the Greens of Menorca and Equo Menorca in July 2014.[8]

The disbanded Majorcan Union (UM) had resulted in two parties with similar political views in the 2011 election: Convergence for the Isles (CxI)—the political heir of UM—and Regionalist League of the Balearic Islands (IB–Lliga). None of them obtained representation in the Parliament. In November 2012, they both united with other local parties to create a new party called Proposal for the Isles (El Pi) to contest in the 2015 election not only in Mallorca, but also in Menorca and Ibiza. Jaume Font, former PP member and IB–Lliga leader, was elected as its president.[9]

In addition, the Spanish politics were observing the growth of new parties like We Can (Podemos/Podem) in the left and young parties like Citizens (C's) in the center-right. In their regional branches, Alberto Jarabo was elected as the Secretary General of Podemos in February 2015,[10] while Xavier Pericay was elected as C's candidate in April 2015.[11]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[3][4]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Parties and coalitions Ideology Candidate
People's Party (PP) Conservatism, Christian democracy José Ramón Bauzá
Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands (PSIB–PSOE)[lower-alpha 5] Social democracy Francina Armengol
More for Mallorca–More for Menorca (Més–MpM) Democratic socialism, Left-wing nationalism Biel Barceló
Republican Left–Ibiza Yes (ER–Eivissa Sí) Democratic socialism, Left-wing nationalism Josep Antoni Prats
Proposal for the Isles (El Pi) Liberalism, Balearic regionalism Jaume Font
Let's Win the Balearic Islands (Guanyem) Socialism, Communism Manel Carmona
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) Social liberalism, Radical centrism Natalia Prieto
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) Liberalism Xavier Pericay
We Can (Podemos/Podem) Democratic socialism, Left-wing populism Alberto Jarabo

Election debates

2015 Balearic regional election debates
Date Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present[lower-alpha 6]    S  Surrogate[lower-alpha 7]    NI  Non-invitee   A  Absent invitee 
PP PSIB Més El Pi Guanyem UPyD C's PREF Podem RC Audience Ref.
12 May Deacorde Marketing P
Bauzá		 P
Armengol		 P
Barceló		 S
Melià		 P
Carmona		 P
Prieto		 P
Pericay		 NI P
Jarabo		 NI — [12]
18 May Student Council of the UIB[lower-alpha 8] Àlvar Moreno S
Ferrer		 S
Negueruela		 S
Apesteguia		 S
Cabrera		 S
Martín		 S
Nieto		 S
Ballester		 A S
Palmer		 P
González		 — [13]
20 May Student Council of the UIB[lower-alpha 9] Neus Albis S
Alcover		 S
March		 S
Capellà		 S
Serra		 S
Martín		 A S
Ballester		 NI S
Camargo		 NI — [13]
20 May IB3 Cristina Bugallo P
Bauzá		 P
Armengol		 NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI 7.4%
(89,000)		 [14]
[15]
21 May Diario de Mallorca Miguel Borrás S
Prohens		 P
Armengol		 P
Barceló		 P
Font		 P
Carmona		 NI P
Pericay		 NI P
Jarabo		 NI — [16]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 30 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of the Balearic Islands.

Color key:

      Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 24 May 2015 Parliament of the Balearic Islands election results →
325px
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes  % ±pp Total +/−
People's Party (PP)1 123,183 28.52 –18.16 20 –15
Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands (PSIB–PSOE)2 81,798 18.94 –5.50 14 –4
We Can (Podemos/Podem) 63,489 14.70 New 10 +10
More for Mallorca (Més)3 59,617 13.80 +5.19 6 +2
El Pi–Proposal for the Isles (El Pi)4 34,237 7.93 +1.95 3 +3
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 25,651 5.94 +5.74 2 +2
Let's Win the Balearic Islands (Guanyem) 8,740 2.02 –1.49 0 ±0
Let's Win the Balearic Islands (Guanyem)5 7,303 1.69 –1.45 0 ±0
Left of Menorca–United Left (EM–EU) 1,437 0.33 –0.04 0 ±0
More for Menorca (MpM)6 6,582 1.52 +0.48 3 +2
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 3,896 0.90 –1.18 0 ±0
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 3,476 0.80 +0.41 0 ±0
People for Formentera+PSOE (GxF+PSOE) 2,006 0.46 +0.01 1 ±0
Citizens of Menorca–Ciutadella de Menorca People's Union (CMe–UPCM) 1,938 0.45 +0.33 0 ±0
People for Ibiza (GxE) 1,680 0.39 New 0 ±0
More Ibiza–Democratic Corsairs (MEC) 1,042 0.24 New 0 ±0
EPIC Ibiza Citizen Movement (mcEPIC) 1,000 0.23 New 0 ±0
Independent Social Group (ASI) 953 0.22 –0.04 0 ±0
Zero Cuts (Recortes Cero) 819 0.19 New 0 ±0
Family and Life Party (PFyV) 802 0.19 +0.08 0 ±0
Island Alternative (AL–in)7 794 0.18 –0.24 0 ±0
Republican Left–Ibiza Yes (ER–Eivissa Sí) 766 0.18 –1.09 0 ±0
Spanish Liberal Project (PLIE) 531 0.12 –0.01 0 ±0
Renewal Party of Ibiza and Formentera (PREF) 396 0.09 +0.06 0 ±0
Commitment to Formentera (CompromísFormentera) 383 0.09 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 8,080 1.87 –1.05
Total 431,859 59 ±0
Valid votes 431,859 98.63 +0.22
Invalid votes 5,979 1.37 –0.22
Votes cast / turnout 437,838 57.13 –1.67
Abstentions 328,545 42.87 +1.67
Registered voters 766,383
Sources[17][18]
<templatestyles src="Template:Hidden begin/styles.css"/>
Footnotes:
Popular vote
PP
  
 28.52%
PSIB–PSOE
  
 18.94%
Podemos/Podem
  
 14.70%
Més
  
 13.80%
El Pi
  
 7.93%
C's
  
 5.94%
Guanyem
  
 2.02%
MpM
  
 1.52%
GxF+PSOE
  
 0.46%
Others
  
 4.28%
Blank ballots
  
 1.87%
Seats
PP
  
 33.90%
PSIB–PSOE
  
 23.73%
Podemos/Podem
  
 16.95%
Més
  
 10.17%
El Pi
  
 5.08%
MpM
  
 5.08%
C's
  
 3.39%
GxF+PSOE
  
 1.69%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PP PSIB Podemos Més El Pi C's MpM GxF
 % S  % S  % S  % S  % S  % S  % S  % S
Formentera 26.7 − 59.3 1
Ibiza 32.9 5 23.7 4 17.3 3 5.7 −
Mallorca 27.8 10 18.1 7 14.6 5 17.2 6 8.8 3 7.4 2
Menorca 30.7 5 22.5 3 13.9 2 3.3 − 17.5 3
Total 28.5 20 18.9 14 14.7 10 13.8 6 7.9 3 5.9 2 1.5 3 0.5 1
Sources[17][18]

Aftermath

<templatestyles src="Module:Hatnote/styles.css"></templatestyles>

Further information: First government of Francina Armengol
Investiture
Francina Armengol (PSIB)
Ballot → 30 June 2015
Required majority → 30 out of 59 YesY
Yes
34 / 59
No
  • • PP (20)
  • • C's (2)
22 / 59
Abstentions
3 / 59
Absentees
0 / 59
Sources[18]

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Aggregated data for PP and PP–GUIF–Sa Unió in the 2015 election.
  2. ↑ Aggregated data for PSM–EN and EV–Me in the 2011 election.
  3. ↑ Data for PSM–IV–ExM in the 2011 election.
  4. ↑ Aggregated data for IB–Lliga, CxI and UMe in the 2011 election.
  5. ↑ Includes Gent per Formentera in Formentera.
  6. ↑ Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  7. ↑ Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
  8. ↑ University and employment debate.
  9. ↑ Education and university debate.
  10. ↑ 10.00 10.01 10.02 10.03 10.04 10.05 10.06 10.07 10.08 10.09 10.10 10.11 10.12 10.13 10.14 10.15 10.16 10.17 10.18 10.19 10.20 10.21 10.22 10.23 10.24 10.25 10.26 10.27 10.28 10.29 Within El Pi.
  11. ↑ 11.0 11.1 11.2 11.3 11.4 11.5 Within PSIB–PSOE.
  12. ↑ Within C's.
  13. ↑ 13.0 13.1 13.2 Within Més.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  2. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  5. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  6. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  7. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  8. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  9. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  10. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  11. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  12. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  13. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  14. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  15. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  16. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  17. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  18. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  19. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  20. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  21. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  22. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  23. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  24. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  25. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  26. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  27. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  28. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  29. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  30. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  31. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  32. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  33. ↑ 33.0 33.1 33.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  34. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  35. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  36. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  37. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  38. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  39. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  40. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  41. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  42. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  43. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  44. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  45. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
Other
  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 Ley Orgánica 1/2007, de 28 de febrero, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de las Illes Balears, Organic Law No. 1 of 28 February 2007 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
  2. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  3. ↑ 3.0 3.1 3.2 Ley 8/1986, de 26 de noviembre, Electoral de la Comunidad Autónoma de las Islas Baleares, Law No. 8 of 26 November 1986 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
  4. ↑ 4.0 4.1 Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General, Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
  5. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  6. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  7. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  8. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  9. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  10. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  11. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  12. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  13. ↑ 13.0 13.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  14. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  15. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  16. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  17. ↑ 17.0 17.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  18. ↑ 18.0 18.1 18.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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