2019 Canarian regional election
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All 70 seats in the Parliament of the Canary Islands 36 seats needed for a majority |
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Opinion polls | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Registered | Island: 1,719,596 3.5% Regional: 1,720,724 |
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Turnout | Island: 904,369 (52.6%) 3.5 pp Regional: 904.093 (52.5%) |
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400px Constituency results map for the Parliament of the Canary Islands
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The 2019 Canarian regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of the Canary Islands. All 70 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.
Contents
Overview
Electoral system
The Parliament of the Canary Islands was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Canary Islands, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Canarian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]
Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Canary Islands and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Canarians abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] The 70 members of the Parliament of the Canary Islands were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of 15 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Alternatively, parties could also enter the seat distribution as long as they reached four percent regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the islands of El Hierro, Fuerteventura, Gran Canaria, La Gomera, La Palma, Lanzarote and Tenerife, as well as an additional constituency comprising the whole archipelago, with each being allocated a fixed number of seats.[1]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each constituency was entitled the following seats for the 2019 regional election:
250px | |
Constituency | Seats |
---|---|
El Hierro | 3 |
Fuerteventura | 8 |
Gran Canaria | 15 |
La Gomera | 4 |
La Palma | 8 |
Lanzarote | 8 |
Tenerife | 15 |
Regional | 9 |
Election date
The term of the Parliament of the Canary Islands expired four years after the date of its previous election, with elections to the Parliament being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, setting the election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 26 May 2019.[1][3][4]
After legal amendments in 2018, the president was granted the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of the Canary Islands and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1]
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[4]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
Opinion polls
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 36 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of the Canary Islands (31 until 6 November 2018).
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PSOE | PP | CCa | Sí Podemos Canarias | Cs | UxGC | IUC | ASG | Vox | 28px | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | N/A | 52.6 | 28.9 25 |
15.2 11 |
21.9 20 |
8.8 4 |
9.0 5 |
7.4 2 |
[lower-alpha 3] | 1.0 0 |
0.7 3 |
2.5 0 |
– | 7.0 |
GfK/FORTA[p 1][p 2][p 3][p 4] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 29.5 23/26 |
13.8 10/12 |
19.7 16/18 |
12.4 6/7 |
7.8 4/5 |
7.9 3/4 |
[lower-alpha 3] | – | 0.7 2/3 |
? 0 |
– | 9.8 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 5] | 22–23 May 2019 | ? | ? | 24.6 22 |
13.5 9 |
17.5 15 |
12.6 7 |
11.3 6 |
12.9 8 |
[lower-alpha 3] | – | 0.4 3 |
3.6 0 |
– | 7.1 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 6] | 21–22 May 2019 | ? | ? | 24.8 23 |
13.6 9 |
17.7 15 |
12.4 7 |
11.2 6 |
12.6 8 |
[lower-alpha 3] | – | 0.4 2 |
3.5 0 |
– | 7.1 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 7] | 20–21 May 2019 | ? | ? | 24.9 23 |
13.5 9 |
17.6 15 |
12.5 7 |
11.0 6 |
12.5 8 |
[lower-alpha 3] | – | 0.4 2 |
3.6 0 |
– | 7.3 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 8] | 19–20 May 2019 | ? | ? | 24.9 24 |
13.8 10 |
17.7 15 |
12.3 7 |
10.9 4 |
12.6 8 |
[lower-alpha 3] | – | 0.4 2 |
3.5 0 |
– | 7.2 |
NC Report/La Razón[p 9][p 10][p 11] | 19 May 2019 | ? | ? | 26.2 20/24 |
13.1 9/12 |
? 12/16 |
? 6/9 |
? 4/7 |
? 6/9 |
[lower-alpha 3] | – | ? 2/3 |
? 0 |
– | ? |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 12] | 16–19 May 2019 | ? | ? | 24.7 23 |
14.0 10 |
17.9 15 |
12.1 7 |
10.5 4 |
12.9 8 |
[lower-alpha 3] | – | 0.4 3 |
3.5 0 |
– | 6.8 |
Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia[15] | 5–17 May 2019 | 2,400 | ? | 25.3 19/25 |
13.9 8/9 |
18.3 14/19 |
13.5 6/8 |
9.9 4/7 |
10.6 4/8 |
[lower-alpha 3] | – | 0.3 2/3 |
4.7 0/4 |
– | 7.0 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 13] | 13–16 May 2019 | ? | ? | 24.8 24 |
15.1 11 |
18.6 16 |
11.1 6 |
9.7 4 |
13.5 7 |
[lower-alpha 3] | – | 0.4 2 |
3.9 0 |
– | 6.2 |
TSA/Canarias7[p 14] | 29 Apr–14 May 2019 | 2,659 | ? | 25.7 21/27 |
11.8 7/11 |
16.7 13/18 |
13.8 7/9 |
11.1 6/9 |
10.6 7 |
[lower-alpha 3] | – | 0.4 2/3 |
3.2 0 |
– | 9.0 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 15] | 10–13 May 2019 | ? | ? | 23.7 23 |
15.2 11 |
18.3 16 |
11.2 6 |
9.0 3 |
14.4 8 |
[lower-alpha 3] | – | 0.3 3 |
4.0 0 |
– | 5.4 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 16] | 7–10 May 2019 | ? | ? | 23.6 22 |
14.9 11 |
18.7 16 |
11.2 6 |
8.6 3 |
14.7 9 |
[lower-alpha 3] | – | 0.4 3 |
4.1 0 |
– | 4.9 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 17] | 4–7 May 2019 | ? | ? | 24.1 22 |
14.7 10 |
18.9 16 |
10.9 6 |
8.5 3 |
15.0 8 |
[lower-alpha 3] | – | 0.4 3 |
4.5 2 |
– | 5.2 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 18] | 29 Apr–4 May 2019 | ? | ? | 24.3 22 |
14.3 9 |
18.3 16 |
11.0 6 |
8.8 3 |
15.3 9 |
[lower-alpha 3] | – | 0.4 3 |
4.4 2 |
– | 6.0 |
April 2019 general election | 28 Apr 2019 | N/A | 62.5 | 27.8 (23) |
15.5 (13) |
13.0 (9) |
[lower-alpha 4] | 3.4 (0) |
14.7 (9) |
– | [lower-alpha 4] | – | 6.6 (3) |
15.7 (13) |
12.1 |
CIS[p 19] | 21 Mar–23 Apr 2019 | 924 | ? | 27.8 20/23 |
15.9 9/11 |
16.5 12/15 |
11.6 6/8 |
8.2 4/7 |
11.9 6/8 |
[lower-alpha 3] | – | ? 2/3 |
3.6 0/1 |
– | 11.3 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 20] | 31 Mar–7 Apr 2019 | ? | ? | 22.8 19 |
16.3 13 |
17.4 16 |
[lower-alpha 4] | 13.3 7 |
10.0 5 |
[lower-alpha 3] | [lower-alpha 4] | 0.4 3 |
6.6 2 |
8.9 5 |
5.4 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 21] | 24–31 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 23.0 19 |
15.9 12 |
17.3 16 |
[lower-alpha 4] | 13.5 7 |
10.3 6 |
[lower-alpha 3] | [lower-alpha 4] | 0.4 3 |
6.7 2 |
8.8 5 |
5.7 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 22] | 17–24 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 23.2 20 |
16.3 12 |
17.5 16 |
[lower-alpha 4] | 13.4 7 |
9.9 5 |
[lower-alpha 3] | [lower-alpha 4] | 0.4 3 |
6.6 2 |
8.7 5 |
5.7 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 23] | 10–17 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 22.4 19 |
16.7 13 |
18.0 16 |
[lower-alpha 4] | 13.1 7 |
9.0 4 |
[lower-alpha 3] | [lower-alpha 4] | 0.5 3 |
7.6 2 |
9.0 6 |
4.4 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 24] | 3–10 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 22.1 20 |
16.4 12 |
18.0 16 |
[lower-alpha 4] | 13.1 7 |
9.3 4 |
[lower-alpha 3] | [lower-alpha 4] | 0.5 3 |
7.4 2 |
9.1 6 |
4.1 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 25] | 22 Feb–3 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 21.9 20 |
16.5 12 |
17.9 16 |
[lower-alpha 4] | 13.1 7 |
9.5 4 |
[lower-alpha 3] | [lower-alpha 4] | 0.5 3 |
7.1 2 |
9.2 6 |
4.0 |
SyM Consulting[p 26][p 27] | 3–6 May 2018 | 4,400 | 55.9 | 22.3 14/17 |
7.1 6/9 |
14.8 10/13 |
12.7 6/7 |
11.4 4/5 |
18.5 11/13 |
3.1 0 |
1.6 0 |
0.6 2/3 |
– | – | 3.8 |
PSOE[p 28] | 29 Apr 2018 | ? | ? | ? 10 |
? 10 |
Template:Party shading/CC|? 13 |
? 8 |
? 6 |
? 10 |
– | – | ? 3 |
– | – | ? |
TSA/Canarias7[p 29][p 30] | 28 Feb–31 Mar 2018 | 2,995 | ? | 22.6 16/17 |
15.3 7/10 |
15.8 12/14 |
11.9 6 |
13.2 6/7 |
12.6 6/7 |
– | – | 0.5 3 |
– | – | 6.8 |
Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia[p 31] | 10–25 Aug 2017 | 1,980 | ? | 23.8 18/19 |
20.2 11 |
17.3 15/16 |
14.2 6 |
9.8 4 |
7.0 2 |
– | – | ? 3 |
– | – | 3.6 |
2016 general election | 26 Jun 2016 | N/A | 59.1 | 22.5 (15) |
34.1 (23) |
8.0 (5) |
[lower-alpha 4] | [lower-alpha 5] | 12.0 (6) |
– | [lower-alpha 4] | – | 0.1 (0) |
20.3 (11) |
11.6 |
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | N/A | 60.3 | 22.0 (16) |
28.5 (19) |
8.2 (6) |
23.3 (12) |
[lower-alpha 5] | 11.4 (7) |
– | 3.1 (0) |
– | 0.2 (0) |
– | 6.5 |
2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | N/A | 56.1 | 19.9 15 |
18.6 12 |
18.2 18 |
14.5 7 |
10.2 5 |
5.9 0 |
3.6 0 |
2.2 0 |
0.6 3 |
0.2 0 |
– | 1.3 |
Results
Overall
Parties and alliances | Island constituencies | Regional constituency |
Seats | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | ±pp | Votes | % | Total | +/− | ||
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 258,255 | 28.88 | +8.99 | 264,221 | 29.53 | 25 | +10 | |
Canarian Coalition–Canarian Nationalist Party–United (CCa–PNC)1 | 196,080 | 21.93 | +0.09 | 209,150 | 23.37 | 20 | +2 | |
People's Party (PP) | 135,722 | 15.18 | –3.41 | 130,617 | 14.60 | 11 | –1 | |
New Canaries (NCa)2 | 80,891 | 9.05 | –1.34 | 82,980 | 9.27 | 5 | ±0 | |
Yes We Can Canaries (Podemos–SSP–Equo)3 | 78,532 | 8.78 | –5.76 | 76,433 | 8.54 | 4 | –3 | |
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) | 65,854 | 7.36 | +1.42 | 62,115 | 6.94 | 2 | +2 | |
Vox (Vox) | 22,078 | 2.47 | +2.27 | 22,178 | 2.48 | 0 | ±0 | |
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) | 10,029 | 1.12 | –0.11 | 12,166 | 1.36 | 0 | ±0 | |
Canarian United Left (IUC)4 | 9,115 | 1.02 | –1.18 | 8,598 | 0.96 | 0 | ±0 | |
Gomera Socialist Group (ASG) | 6,222 | 0.70 | +0.14 | — | — | 3 | ±0 | |
The Greens–Green Group (LV–GV) | 5,058 | 0.57 | New | 6,263 | 0.70 | 0 | ±0 | |
Canaries Now (ANC–UP)5 | 2,515 | 0.28 | –0.34 | 3,163 | 0.35 | 0 | ±0 | |
More for Telde (+xT) | 1,985 | 0.22 | –0.15 | — | — | 0 | ±0 | |
Tenerife Socialist Group (ASTf) | 1,512 | 0.17 | New | — | — | 0 | ±0 | |
Santa Cruz Common Sense (SCSC) | 1,379 | 0.15 | New | — | — | 0 | ±0 | |
Nivaria (Nivaria) | 1,153 | 0.13 | New | — | — | 0 | ±0 | |
Communist Party of the Canarian People (PCPC) | 989 | 0.11 | –0.09 | 1,200 | 0.13 | 0 | ±0 | |
With You, We Are Democracy (Contigo) | 970 | 0.11 | New | 794 | 0.09 | 0 | ±0 | |
Fuerteventura Party (PF) | 954 | 0.11 | New | — | — | 0 | ±0 | |
Seniors in Action (3e en acción) | 911 | 0.10 | New | — | — | 0 | ±0 | |
United for Lanzarote (UPLanzarote) | 657 | 0.07 | New | — | — | 0 | ±0 | |
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | 575 | 0.06 | –0.14 | 979 | 0.11 | 0 | ±0 | |
Democratic Union of the Canary Islands (UDC) | 522 | 0.06 | New | 1,248 | 0.14 | 0 | ±0 | |
Let's Vote Fuerteventura (Votemos) | 387 | 0.04 | New | — | — | 0 | ±0 | |
Humanist Party (PH) | 337 | 0.04 | New | — | — | 0 | ±0 | |
Canaries for Progress (Ci–Progreso) | 263 | 0.03 | New | — | — | 0 | ±0 | |
Federation Free Socialist Party (PSLF) | 224 | 0.03 | New | — | — | 0 | ±0 | |
Movement for the Unity of the Canarian People (MUPC) | — | — | –0.19 | 782 | 0.09 | 0 | ±0 | |
Union of Independent Citizens (UCIN) | — | — | New | 450 | 0.05 | 0 | ±0 | |
Libertarian Party (P–LIB) | — | — | New | 436 | 0.05 | 0 | ±0 | |
Blank ballots | 11,111 | 1.24 | –0.59 | 11,089 | 1.24 | |||
Total | 894,280 | 894,862 | 70 | +10 | ||||
Valid votes | 894,280 | 98.88 | +0.68 | 894,862 | 98.98 | |||
Invalid votes | 10,089 | 1.12 | –0.68 | 9,231 | 1.02 | |||
Votes cast / turnout | 904,369 | 52.59 | –3.50 | 904,093 | 52.54 | |||
Abstentions | 815,227 | 47.41 | +3.50 | 816,631 | 47.46 | |||
Registered voters | 1,719,596 | 1,720,724 | ||||||
Sources[16][17] | ||||||||
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Footnotes:
|
Distribution by constituency
Constituency | PSOE | CC–PNC | PP | NCa | SPC | Cs | ASG | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |
El Hierro | 31.5 | 1 | 35.4 | 1 | 18.2 | 1 | 5.0 | − | 3.7 | − | ||||
Fuerteventura | 26.0 | 3 | 25.1 | 3 | 13.8 | 1 | 11.2 | 1 | 7.0 | − | 5.7 | − | ||
Gran Canaria | 28.3 | 5 | 11.7 | 2 | 16.5 | 3 | 17.7 | 3 | 8.9 | 1 | 8.9 | 1 | ||
La Gomera | 20.7 | 1 | 9.1 | − | 4.4 | − | 4.0 | − | 6.6 | − | 1.7 | − | 52.1 | 3 |
La Palma | 27.2 | 3 | 30.9 | 3 | 25.0 | 2 | 3.7 | − | 4.2 | − | 3.2 | − | ||
Lanzarote | 28.4 | 3 | 32.0 | 3 | 12.7 | 1 | 5.3 | − | 8.1 | 1 | 5.6 | − | ||
Tenerife | 30.2 | 6 | 29.2 | 5 | 13.5 | 2 | 2.0 | − | 9.6 | 1 | 7.0 | 1 | ||
Regional | 29.5 | 3 | 23.4 | 3 | 14.6 | 1 | 9.3 | 1 | 8.5 | 1 | 6.9 | − | ||
Total | 28.9 | 25 | 21.9 | 20 | 15.2 | 11 | 9.0 | 5 | 8.8 | 4 | 7.4 | 2 | 0.7 | 3 |
Aftermath
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Investiture Ángel Víctor Torres (PSOE) |
||
Ballot → | 12 July 2019 | |
---|---|---|
Required majority → | 36 out of 70 | |
Yes
|
37 / 70
|
|
33 / 70
|
||
Abstentions |
0 / 70
|
|
Absentees |
0 / 70
|
|
Sources[18] |
Notes
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 Results for CCa–PNC (18.25%, 18 seats) and Unidos (3.59%, 0 seats) in the 2015 election.
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 Results for NCa (10.23%, 5 seats) and AMF (0.16%, 0 seats) in the 2015 election.
- ↑ 3.00 3.01 3.02 3.03 3.04 3.05 3.06 3.07 3.08 3.09 3.10 3.11 3.12 3.13 3.14 3.15 3.16 3.17 3.18 3.19 3.20 3.21 Within CCa.
- ↑ 4.00 4.01 4.02 4.03 4.04 4.05 4.06 4.07 4.08 4.09 4.10 4.11 4.12 4.13 4.14 4.15 Within Unidas Podemos.
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 Within PSOE.
References
- Opinion poll sources
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- Other
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 Ley Orgánica 1/2018, de 5 de noviembre, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de Canarias, Organic Law No. 1 of 5 November 2018 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Ley 7/2003, de 20 de marzo, de Elecciones al Parlamento de Canarias, Law No. 7 of 20 March 2003 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General, Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- 2019 in the Canary Islands
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