2015 Canarian regional election

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2015 Canarian regional election
← 2011 24 May 2015 2019 →
All 60 seats in the Parliament of the Canary Islands
31 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered 1,661,272 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg5.1%
Turnout 931,876 (56.1%)
Red Arrow Down.svg2.8 pp
  First party Second party Third party
  170x170px 170x170px 170x170px
Leader Fernando Clavijo Patricia Hernández Australia Navarro
Party CCa–PNC Socialist Party of the Canaries People's Party of the Canary Islands
Leader since 12 September 2014 19 October 2014 6 March 2015
Leader's seat Tenerife Tenerife Gran Canaria
Last election 21 seats, 24.9% 15 seats, 21.0% 21 seats, 31.9%
Seats won 18 15 12
Seat change Red Arrow Down.svg3 Arrow Blue Right 001.svg0 Red Arrow Down.svg9
Popular vote 166,979 182,006 170,129
Percentage 18.2% 19.9% 18.6%
Swing Red Arrow Down.svg6.7 pp Red Arrow Down.svg1.1 pp Red Arrow Down.svg13.3 pp
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  170x170px 170x170px 170x170px
Leader Noemí Santana Román Rodríguez Casimiro Curbelo
Party [[Podemos (Spanish political party)|Template:Podemos (Spanish political party)/meta/shortname]] New Canaries Gomera Socialist Group
Leader since 1 April 2015 26 February 2005 6 March 2015
Leader's seat Gran Canaria Gran Canaria La Gomera
Last election Did not contest 2 seats, 8.4% Did not contest
Seats won 7 5 3
Seat change Green Arrow Up Darker.svg7 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg3 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg3
Popular vote 133,044 93,634 5,090
Percentage 14.5% 10.2% 0.6%
Swing New party Green Arrow Up Darker.svg1.8 pp New party
400px
Constituency results map for the Parliament of the Canary Islands
President before election

Paulino Rivero
CCa

 Elected President

Fernando Clavijo
CCa

The 2015 Canarian regional election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of the Canary Islands. All 60 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of the Canary Islands was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Canary Islands, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Canarian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Canary Islands and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Canarians abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] The 60 members of the Parliament of the Canary Islands were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of 30 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Alternatively, parties could also enter the seat distribution as long as they reached six percent regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the islands of El Hierro, Fuerteventura, Gran Canaria, La Gomera, La Palma, Lanzarote and Tenerife, with each being allocated a fixed number of seats.[1]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each constituency was entitled the following seats for the 2015 regional election:

Constituency Seats
El Hierro 3
Fuerteventura 7
Gran Canaria 15
La Gomera 4
La Palma 8
Lanzarote 8
Tenerife 15

Election date

The term of the Parliament of the Canary Islands expired four years after the date of its previous election, with elections to the Parliament being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 22 May 2011, setting the election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 24 May 2015.[1][3][4]

The Parliament of the Canary Islands could not be dissolved before the date of expiry of parliament except in the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot. In such a case, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[4]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances		 Candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
PP
List
 50px Australia Navarro Conservatism
Christian democracy		 31.94% 21 N [5]
CCa–PNC
List
 50px Fernando Clavijo Regionalism
Canarian nationalism
Centrism		 24.94% 21 YesY [6]
PSOE
List
 50px Patricia Hernández Social democracy 20.98% 15 YesY [7]
NCa
List
 50px Román Rodríguez Canarian nationalism
Social democracy		 9.07% 3 N [8]
[9]
[10]
Podemos
List
 50px Noemí Santana Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism		 New party N [11]
Cs
List
 50px Melisa Rodríguez Liberalism New party N [12]
ASG
List
 50px Casimiro Curbelo Insularism
Social democracy		 New party N [13]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 31 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of the Canary Islands.

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 24 May 2015 Parliament of the Canary Islands election results →
325px
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes  % ±pp Total +/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 182,006 19.89 –1.09 15 ±0
People's Party (PP) 170,129 18.59 –13.35 12 –9
Canarian Coalition–Canarian Nationalist Party (CCa–PNC) 166,979 18.25 –6.69 18 –3
We Can (Podemos) 133,044 14.54 New 7 +7
New Canaries (NCa) 93,634 10.23 +1.81 5 +3
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 54,375 5.94 New 0 ±0
United (Unidos)1 32,868 3.59 +1.66 0 –1
Canaries Decides (IUC–LV–UP–ALTER)2 20,155 2.20 –0.76 0 ±0
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 11,296 1.23 +0.93 0 ±0
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 7,819 0.85 –0.15 0 ±0
Canarian Nationalist Alternative (ANC) 5,635 0.62 –0.12 0 ±0
Gomera Socialist Group (ASG) 5,090 0.56 New 3 +3
More for Telde (+xT) 3,390 0.37 New 0 ±0
Communist Party of the Canarian People (PCPC) 1,861 0.20 –0.06 0 ±0
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) 1,827 0.20 +0.04 0 ±0
Vox (Vox) 1,814 0.20 New 0 ±0
Movement for the Unity of the Canarian People (MUPC) 1,777 0.19 +0.05 0 ±0
Zero Cuts (Recortes Cero) 1,498 0.16 New 0 ±0
Municipal Assemblies of Fuerteventura (AMF) 1,447 0.16 New 0 ±0
Blank Seats (EB) 1,363 0.15 New 0 ±0
Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) 330 0.04 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 16,769 1.83 –0.93
Total 915,106 60 ±0
Valid votes 915,106 98.20 +0.89
Invalid votes 16,770 1.80 –0.89
Votes cast / turnout 931,876 56.09 –2.82
Abstentions 729,396 43.91 +2.82
Registered voters 1,661,272
Sources[14][15]
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Footnotes:
Popular vote
PSOE
  
 19.89%
PP
  
 18.59%
CCa–PNC
  
 18.25%
Podemos
  
 14.54%
NCa
  
 10.23%
C's
  
 5.94%
Unidos
  
 3.59%
Canarias Decide
  
 2.20%
PACMA
  
 1.23%
ASG
  
 0.56%
Others
  
 3.14%
Blank ballots
  
 1.83%
Seats
CCa–PNC
  
 30.00%
PSOE
  
 25.00%
PP
  
 20.00%
Podemos
  
 11.67%
NCa
  
 8.33%
ASG
  
 5.00%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PSOE PP CC–PNC Podemos NCa ASG
 % S  % S  % S  % S  % S  % S
El Hierro 22.1 1 17.1 − 41.8 2 6.7 − 6.5 −
Fuerteventura 17.4 2 13.6 1 28.1 3 12.2 1 6.7 −
Gran Canaria 17.5 3 20.4 4 6.2 1 17.0 3 18.4 4
La Gomera 16.4 1 10.3 − 10.5 − 8.8 − 5.9 − 43.0 3
La Palma 24.6 2 24.7 3 30.3 3 6.5 − 2.8 −
Lanzarote 21.0 2 13.0 1 22.2 3 14.7 1 8.3 1
Tenerife 22.0 4 17.5 3 27.6 6 13.4 2 3.4 −
Total 19.9 15 18.6 12 18.2 18 14.5 7 10.2 5 0.6 3

Notes

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 Within IUC.
  2. ↑ 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 Within Unidos.
  3. ↑ Within Podemos.
  4. ↑ Within CC.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  34. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  35. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
Other
  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 Ley Orgánica 10/1982, de 10 de agosto, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Canarias, Organic Law No. 10 of 10 August 1982 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
  2. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  3. ↑ Ley 7/2003, de 20 de marzo, de Elecciones al Parlamento de Canarias, Law No. 7 of 20 March 2003 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
  4. ↑ 4.0 4.1 Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General, Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
  5. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  11. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  12. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  13. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  14. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  15. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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