2021 Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election

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2021 Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election

← 2017 November 2, 2021 2025 →
Reporting
98%
as of Nov. 3, 02:43 EDT
  x150px x150px
Nominee Winsome Sears Hala Ayala
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,670,238 1,611,717
Percentage 50.9% 49.1%

Lieutenant Governor before election

Justin Fairfax
Democratic

Elected Lieutenant Governor

Winsome Sears
Republican

The 2021 Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election was held to elect the next Lieutenant Governor of Virginia. Incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Justin Fairfax was eligible to run for a second term, but instead unsuccessfully ran for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination.[1] Winsome Sears became the first black woman to be elected lieutenant governor of Virginia.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Hala Ayala Elizabeth Guzman Mark Levine Andria McClellan Sean Perryman Sam Rasoul Xavier Warren Other Undecided
Roanoke College May 24 – June 1, 2021 637 (LV) ± 3.9% 16% 3% 7% 7% 3% 11% 2% 45%
Christopher Newport University April 11–20, 2021 806 (LV) ± 3.9% 2% 4% 2% 2% 1% 12% 2% 1% 64%

Results

File:Virginia Democratic Lieutenant gubernatorial primary results by county, 2021.svg
Results by county and independent city:
Ayala
  •   Ayala—60–70%
  •   Ayala—50–60%
  •   Ayala—40–50%
  •   Ayala—30–40%
Rasoul
  •   Rasoul—<30%
  •   Rasoul—30–40%
  •   Rasoul—40–50%
  •   Rasoul—50–60%
  •   Rasoul—60–70%
  •   Rasoul—70–80%
  •   Rasoul—80–90%
Levine
  •   Levine—30–40%
Warren
  •   Warren—30–40%
  •   Warren—40–50%
Democratic primary results[42]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hala Ayala 181,168 37.64%
Democratic Sam Rasoul 116,816 24.27%
Democratic Mark Levine 53,735 11.16%
Democratic Andria McClellan 51,015 10.60%
Democratic Sean Perryman 38,925 8.09%
Democratic Xavier Warren 19,909 4.13%
Democratic Elizabeth Guzmán (withdrawn) 19,803 4.11%
Total votes 481,365 100.00%

Republican convention

After months of uncertainty, the Republican Party of Virginia State Central Committee decided to hold an "unassembled convention" to select their nominees for governor, lieutenant governor, and attorney general, as opposed to holding a state run primary. The convention was held May 8 using ranked choice voting.[43]

Candidates

Nominated at convention

Defeated at convention

  • Puneet Ahluwalia, business consultant[45]
  • Lance Allen, security company executive[2]
  • Glenn Davis, member of the Virginia House of Delegates and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2017[2]
  • Tim Hugo, former member of the Virginia House of Delegates (2003–2020)[2]
  • Maeve Rigler, business executive[46]

Endorsements

Results

File:Virginia 2021 GOP Lt. Gov. Election RCV Results.gif
Round-by-round result visualization of the Ranked Choice Voting election
Virginia GOP Convention, Lieutenant Governor Nominee [48]
Candidate Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5
Votes  % Votes  % Votes  % Votes  % Votes  %
Winsome Sears 4,075.68 32.5% 4,300.11 34.3% 4,626.70 36.9% 5,425.91 43.2% 6,827.89 54.4%
Tim Hugo 2,824.17 22.5% 2,987.20 23.8% 3,184.76 25.4% 3,816.11 30.4% 5,726.11 45.6%
Glenn Davis 2,536.77 20.2% 2,675.44 21.3% 2,838.05 22.6% 3,311.97 26.4% Eliminated
Lance Allen 1,538.80 12.3% 1701.82 13.6% 1,904.50 15.2% Eliminated
Puneet Ahluwalia 818.95 6.5% 889.43 7.1% Eliminated
Maeve Rigler 759.62 6.1% Eliminated

General election

Endorsements

Polling

Graphical summary

<templatestyles src="Graph:Chart/styles.css"></templatestyles>

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Hala
Ayala (D)
Winsome
Sears (R)
Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 29–31, 2021 1,081 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 1% 2%
Echelon Insights (R) October 27–29, 2021 611 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 48% 6%
Roanoke College October 14–28, 2021 571 (LV) ± 4.7% 46% 44% 0% 10%
Washington Post/Schar School October 20–26, 2021 1,107 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 44% 3%[lower-alpha 2] 3%
918 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 46% 1%[lower-alpha 3] 3%
Christopher Newport University October 17–25, 2021 944 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 48% 3%
Suffolk University October 21–24, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 44% 10%
co/efficient (R)[upper-alpha 1] October 20–21, 2021 785 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 47% 7%
Cygnal (R) October 19–21, 2021 816 (LV) ± 3.4% 47% 47% 6%
Virginia Commonwealth University October 9–21, 2021 722 (LV) ± 6.4% 36% 35% 16% 13%
Data for Progress (D) October 4–15, 2021 1,589 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 42% 3% 8%
Christopher Newport University September 27 – October 6, 2021 802 (LV) ± 4.2% 48% 44% 8%
Roanoke College September 12–26, 2021 603 (LV) ± 4.6% 45% 40% 1% 14%
KAConsulting LLC (R)[upper-alpha 2] September 17–19, 2021 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 34% 24% 3% 40%
Virginia Commonwealth University September 7–15, 2021 731 (LV) ± 6.9% 33% 30% 20% 16%
University of Mary Washington September 7–13, 2021 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 38% 38% 6%[lower-alpha 4] 18%
528 (LV) ± 4.1% 41% 47% 2%[lower-alpha 5] 10%
Monmouth University August 24–29, 2021 802 (RV) ± 3.5% 43% 42% 2% 14%
Christopher Newport University August 15–23, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.6% 52% 42% 1% 6%
Roanoke College August 3–17, 2021 558 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 36% 2% 20%
Virginia Commonwealth University August 4–15, 2021 770 (RV) ± 5.4% 38% 31% 19% 12%
~747 (LV) ± 5.5% 39% 31% 17% 12%
JMC Analytics and Polling (R) June 9–12, 2021 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 36% 22%

Results

Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2021
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Winsome Sears 1,670,238 50.9
Democratic Hala Ayala 1,611,717 49.1
Write-in
Total votes 3,281,955 100.00%
Republican gain from Democratic

See also

Notes

  1. 1.0 1.1 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Neither with 2%, Would not vote with 1%, Other with 0%
  3. Neither with 1%, Other and Would not vote with 0%
  4. None/Would not vote with 4%, other candidate with 2%
  5. None/Would not vote and other candidate with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. This poll was sponsored by Sears's campaign
  2. This poll was sponsored by the Presidential Coalition

References

  1. Regardless of who wins the election, it will be the first time in Virginia history that a female will become Lieutenant Governor. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  50. https://www.princewilliamtimes.com/news/vp-kamala-harris-touts-national-impact-of-va-governors-race-before-a-crowd-of-more/article_dc3c1d22-334a-11ec-80a5-639109ca1523.html
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  55. https://www.mobilize.us/halaforlg/event/423410/
  56. https://www.mobilize.us/terryforvirginia/event/423433/
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  60. https://www.foxnews.com/media/virginia-prediction-glenn-youngkin-win-cuccinelli
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  62. https://delovidenie.com/dan-crenshaw-endorses-winsome-sears-for-lt-governor-of-virginia-forbes-breaking-news/
  63. {{https://vademocrats.org/news/virginia-republicans-nominate-amanda-chases-pick-for-lieutenant-governor/ Archived 2021-05-11 at the Wayback Machine
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  71. https://www.virginiascope.com/national-republican-group-says-they-are-investing-another-100k-in-winsome-sears-for-lieutenant-governor/
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External links

Official campaign websites