2018 California gubernatorial election
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Newsom: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% |
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2018 California gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the next Governor of California. Incumbent Democratic Governor Jerry Brown was ineligible to run for re-election for a third consecutive (and fifth non-consecutive) term due to term limits from the Constitution of California.
The race was between the incumbent Lieutenant Governor Gavin Newsom, a Democrat, and businessman John H. Cox, a Republican. Newsom easily won a landslide victory with 62% of the vote, the biggest victory in a gubernatorial race in California since Earl Warren won re-election in 1950, the first time Orange County has voted for the Democratic candidate since Jerry Brown won it in 1978, and the first time Democrats have won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in the state's history.[1] Newsom assumed office on January 7, 2019.
Contents
Candidates
A primary election was held on June 5, 2018. Under California's non-partisan blanket primary law, all candidates appeared on the same ballot, regardless of party. Voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers – regardless of party – advance to the general election in November, regardless of whether a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election.
Democratic Party
Declared
- Akinyemi Agbede, mathematician[2]
- Juan M. Bribiesca, retired physician[3]
- Thomas Jefferson Cares, blockchain startup CEO[4]
- John Chiang, California State Treasurer[5]
- Delaine Eastin, former California State Superintendent of Public Instruction[6]
- Robert Davidson Griffis[4]
- Albert Caesar Mezzetti, former Manteca City Councilman[4]
- Gavin Newsom, Lieutenant Governor of California[7]
- Amanda Renteria, national political director for Hillary Clinton's 2016 presidential campaign and candidate for CA-21 in 2014[8]
- Michael Shellenberger, founder of the Breakthrough Institute[9][10][4]
- Klement Tinaj, actor, martial artist, stuntman, and producer[11]
- Antonio Villaraigosa, former Mayor of Los Angeles[12][13][14][15]
Declined
- Xavier Becerra, Attorney General of California (running for election)[16][17]
- George Clooney, actor and activist[18][19]
- Kevin de León, President pro tempore of the California State Senate (running for U.S. Senate)[20][21][22]
- Eric Garcetti, Mayor of Los Angeles[23]
- Bob Iger, CEO of The Walt Disney Company[24][25]
- Sheryl Sandberg, Facebook COO[26]
- Libby Schaaf, Mayor of Oakland (running for re-election)[20][27]
- Jackie Speier, U.S. Representative[28]
- Tom Steyer, hedge fund manager, philanthropist, and environmentalist[29][30][31]
Republican Party
Declared
- Travis Allen, State Assemblyman[32]
- John H. Cox, businessman[33][34]
- Yvonne Girard[4]
- Peter Y. Liu[4]
- Robert C. Newman II[4]
- K. Pearce (write-in)[35]
Withdrawn
- Rosey Grier, minister and retired NFL player[36][37][38]
- David Hadley, former state assemblyman[39][40]
- Allen Ishida, former Tulare County Supervisor[41][42][43][44]
- Doug Ose, former U.S. Representative[45]
Declined
- Tim Donnelly, former state assemblyman, candidate for governor in 2014, and candidate for CA-08 in 2016[46] (running for CA-08)
- Kevin Faulconer, Mayor of San Diego[47]
- Ashley Swearengin, former mayor of Fresno[48][7]
- Peter Thiel, venture capitalist[49][50][51][52]
Libertarian Party
Declared
- Zoltan Istvan, Transhumanist Party nominee for President of the United States in 2016[53][54]
- Nickolas Wildstar, political activist, rapper, and write-in candidate for governor in 2014[55][56]
Green Party
Declared
- Christopher Carlson, puppeteer[4]
- Veronika Fimbres (write-in)[35]
- Josh Jones, author, geologist, solar electric designer[4]
Peace and Freedom Party
Declared
- Gloria La Riva, activist and nominee for President of the United States in 2016[57]
American Solidarity Party
Declared
- Desmond Silveira, engineer and former national committee member of the American Solidarity Party[4][lower-alpha 1]
No party preference
Declared
- Armando M. Arreola (write-in)[35]
- Shubham Goel[59]
- Hakan "Hawk" Mikado[4]
- Arman Soltani (write-in)[35]
- Jeffrey Edward Taylor[4]
- Peter Crawford Valentino (write-in)[35]
- Johnny Wattenburg[4]
Notes
Primary election
Endorsements
Travis Allen (R) |
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John Chiang (D) |
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Delaine Eastin (D) |
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Josh Jones (G) |
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Desmond Silveira (ASP) |
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Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
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Nickolas Wildstar (L) |
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Zoltan Istvan (L) |
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Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Travis Allen (R) |
John Chiang (D) |
John Cox (R) |
Delaine Eastin (D) |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
Other | Undecided |
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Competitive Edge Research & Communication | May 29–30, 2018 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 10% | 4% | 23% | 5% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 10% |
UC Berkeley | May 22−28, 2018 | 2,106 | ± 3.5% | 12% | 7% | 20% | 4% | 33% | 13% | 4% | 7% |
Emerson College | May 21–24, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.2% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 4% | 24% | 12% | 4% | 19% |
YouGov | May 12–24, 2018 | 1,113 | ± 4.0% | 10% | 8% | 17% | 4% | 33% | 9% | 3%[189] | 13% |
Competitive Edge Research & Communication | May 20–22, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 9% | 7% | 22% | 8% | 26% | 12% | 4% | 13% |
SurveyUSA | May 21, 2018 | 678 | ± 6.1% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 3%[190] | 13% |
Public Policy Institute of California | May 11–20, 2018 | 901 | ± 4.1% | 11% | 9% | 19% | 6% | 25% | 15% | 1% | 15% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times | April 18 – May 18, 2018 | 517 | ± 4.0% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 3% | 21% | 11% | 4%[191] | 39% |
Gravis Marketing | May 4–5, 2018 | 525 | ± 4.3% | 8% | 9% | 23% | 4% | 22% | 19% | 2%[192] | 13% |
SmithJohnson Research (R-Cox) | April 26–27, 2018 | 533 | ± 4.2% | 13% | 4% | 20% | 4% | 36% | 8% | 0%[193] | 16% |
SurveyUSA | April 19–23, 2018 | 520 | ± 5.5% | 10% | 9% | 15% | 1% | 21% | 18% | 8%[194] | 17% |
UC Berkeley | April 16−22, 2018 | 1,738 | ± 3.5% | 16% | 7% | 18% | 4% | 30% | 9% | 3% | 13% |
J. Wallin Opinion Research/Tulchin Research | March 30 – April 4, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.7% | 9% | 9% | 16% | 5% | 26% | 7% | – | 28% |
Public Policy Institute of California | March 25 – April 3, 2018 | 867 | ± 4.4% | 10% | 7% | 15% | 6% | 26% | 13% | 1% | 22% |
SurveyUSA | March 22–25, 2018 | 517 | ± 5.0% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 3% | 22% | 14% | 13%[195] | 21% |
David Binder Research (D-Newsom) | March 16–21, 2018 | 1,750 | – | 13% | 9% | 16% | 2% | 29% | 7% | 8%[196] | 16% |
Public Policy Institute of California | March 7–13, 2018 | 1,706 | ± 3.4% | 10% | 6% | 14% | 5% | 28% | 12% | 1% | 24% |
David Binder Research (D-Newsom) | March 1–5, 2018 | 1,000 | – | 10% | 13% | 16% | 7% | 26% | 12% | 4%[197] | 12% |
David Binder Research (D-Newsom) | January 31 – February 4, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 30% | 11% | 4%[198] | 29% |
Global Strategy Group (D-Chiang) | January 27 – February 1, 2018 | 500 | – | 7% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 28% | 14% | 3%[199] | – |
Public Policy Institute of California | January 21–30, 2018 | 1,705 | ± 3.2% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 23% | 21% | 4%[200] | 24% |
Tulchin Research/Moore Information | January 21–28, 2018 | 2,500 | ± 2.0% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 6% | 29% | 11% | 8%[201] | 18% |
SurveyUSA | January 7–9, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.4% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 19% | 10% | 24%[202] | 29% |
UC Berkeley | December 7–16, 2017 | 672 | ± 3.8% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 26% | 17% | 1% | 28% |
Public Policy Institute of California | November 10–19, 2017 | 1,070 | ± 4.3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 23% | 18% | 1% | 30% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times | October 27 – November 6, 2017 | 1,070[203] | ± 4.0% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 4% | 31% | 21% | 6% | – |
UC Berkeley | August 27 – September 5, 2017 | 1,000 | ± 4.0% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 26% | 10% | – | 33% |
SmithJohnson Research (R-Cox) | July 27–30, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 10% | 7% | 14% | 3% | 25% | 12% | – | 28% |
GSSR (D-Chiang) | May 30 – June 5, 2017 | 602 | – | – | 10% | 11% | – | 26% | 12% | – | – |
UC Berkeley | May 4–29, 2017 | 1,628 | ± 3.3% | – | 5% | 9% | 3% | 22% | 17% | 7%[204] | 37% |
The Feldman Group (D-Villaraigosa) | March 2017 | – | – | – | – | 22% | – | 26% | 20% | – | – |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
Non-partisan blanket primary results[209] | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Gavin Newsom | 2,343,792 | 33.7 | |
Republican | John H. Cox | 1,766,488 | 25.4 | |
Democratic | Antonio Villaraigosa | 926,394 | 13.3 | |
Republican | Travis Allen | 658,798 | 9.5 | |
Democratic | John Chiang | 655,920 | 9.4 | |
Democratic | Delaine Eastin | 234,869 | 3.4 | |
Democratic | Amanda Renteria | 93,446 | 1.3 | |
Republican | Robert C. Newman II | 44,674 | 0.6 | |
Democratic | Michael Shellenberger | 31,692 | 0.5 | |
Republican | Peter Y. Liu | 27,336 | 0.4 | |
Republican | Yvonne Girard | 21,840 | 0.3 | |
Peace and Freedom | Gloria La Riva | 19,075 | 0.3 | |
Democratic | J. Bribiesca | 18,586 | 0.3 | |
Green | Josh Jones | 16,131 | 0.2 | |
Libertarian | Zoltan Istvan | 14,462 | 0.2 | |
Democratic | Albert Caesar Mezzetti | 12,026 | 0.2 | |
Libertarian | Nickolas Wildstar | 11,566 | 0.2 | |
Democratic | Robert Davidson Griffis | 11,103 | 0.2 | |
Democratic | Akinyemi Agbede | 9,380 | 0.1 | |
Democratic | Thomas Jefferson Cares | 8,937 | 0.1 | |
Green | Christopher N. Carlson | 7,302 | 0.1 | |
Democratic | Klement Tinaj | 5,368 | 0.1 | |
style="background-color: Template:No party preference (United States)/meta/color; width: 2px;" | | [[No party preference (United States)|Template:No party preference (United States)/meta/shortname]] | Hakan "Hawk" Mikado | 5,346 | 0.1 |
style="background-color: Template:No party preference (United States)/meta/color; width: 2px;" | | [[No party preference (United States)|Template:No party preference (United States)/meta/shortname]] | Johnny Wattenburg | 4,973 | 0.1 |
No party preference | Desmond Silveira | 4,633 | 0.1 | |
style="background-color: Template:No party preference (United States)/meta/color; width: 2px;" | | [[No party preference (United States)|Template:No party preference (United States)/meta/shortname]] | Shubham Goel | 4,020 | 0.1 |
style="background-color: Template:No party preference (United States)/meta/color; width: 2px;" | | [[No party preference (United States)|Template:No party preference (United States)/meta/shortname]] | Jeffrey Edward Taylor | 3,973 | 0.1 |
Green | Veronika Fimbres (write-in) | 62 | 0.0 | |
style="background-color: Template:No party preference (United States)/meta/color; width: 2px;" | | [[No party preference (United States)|Template:No party preference (United States)/meta/shortname]] | Arman Soltani (write-in) | 32 | 0.0 |
style="background-color: Template:No party preference (United States)/meta/color; width: 2px;" | | [[No party preference (United States)|Template:No party preference (United States)/meta/shortname]] | Peter Crawford Valentino (write-in) | 21 | 0.0 |
Republican | K. Pearce (write-in) | 8 | 0.0 | |
style="background-color: Template:No party preference (United States)/meta/color; width: 2px;" | | [[No party preference (United States)|Template:No party preference (United States)/meta/shortname]] | Armando M. Arreola (write-in) | 1 | 0.0 |
Total votes | 6,862,254 | 100.0 |
Results by county
Red represents counties won by Cox. Blue represents counties won by Newsom. Green represents counties won by Villaraigosa.[210]
County | Newsom % | Cox % | Villaraigosa % | Allen % | Chiang % | Others % |
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Alameda | 53.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% |
Alpine | 38.5% | 24.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% |
Amador | 21.5% | 41.8% | 5.8% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
Butte | 25.6% | 34.4% | 5.5% | 14.5% | 6.1% | 13.9% |
Calaveras | 23.3% | 38.2% | 5.3% | 18.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% |
Colusa | 13.0% | 43.3% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 3.6% | 7.8% |
Contra Costa | 49.9% | 19.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% |
Del Norte | 23.4% | 27.0% | 3.5% | 24.8% | 7.7% | 13.6% |
El Dorado | 24.5% | 40.7% | 5.8% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
Fresno | 16.8% | 33.7% | 20.2% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% |
Glenn | 12.4% | 48.1% | 7.9% | 18.2% | 3.3% | 10.1% |
Humboldt | 37.9% | 22.3% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 18.8% |
Imperial | 11.8% | 22.7% | 31.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 16.6% |
Inyo | 22.6% | 30.7% | 8.6% | 15.9% | 8.7% | 13.5% |
Kern | 12.1% | 40.6% | 13.9% | 19.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% |
Kings | 9.4% | 36.7% | 17.0% | 23.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
Lake | 37.5% | 28.4% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 10.5% |
Lassen | 13.1% | 41.7% | 2.1% | 26.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% |
Los Angeles | 32.7% | 19.6% | 21.7% | 5.8% | 13.2% | 7.0% |
Madera | 12.8% | 40.2% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% |
Marin | 64.1% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% |
Mariposa | 19.1% | 34.9% | 8.2% | 23.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% |
Mendocino | 45.2% | 17.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 14.9% |
Merced | 18.2% | 29.7% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 7.3% | 10.8% |
Modoc | 11.4% | 49.9% | 3.0% | 18.0% | 3.1% | 14.6% |
Mono | 31.6% | 26.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 13.1% |
Monterey | 37.8% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% |
Napa | 46.1% | 19.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 9.3% |
Nevada | 34.1% | 25.7% | 5.9% | 17.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% |
Orange | 24.3% | 36.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
Placer | 25.7% | 40.2% | 5.8% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
Plumas | 26.9% | 38.5% | 3.8% | 15.5% | 5.7% | 9.6% |
Riverside | 22.3% | 34.4% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
Sacramento | 29.7% | 26.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 8.7% |
San Benito | 33.6% | 23.4% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 4.8% | 8.9% |
San Bernardino | 19.7% | 33.9% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% |
San Diego | 30.5% | 32.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
San Francisco | 57.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 8.9% | 15.7% |
San Joaquin | 26.3% | 31.4% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% |
San Luis Obispo | 33.2% | 29.4% | 6.8% | 14.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% |
San Mateo | 55.0% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% |
Santa Barbara | 33.8% | 26.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% |
Santa Clara | 48.5% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% |
Santa Cruz | 52.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 12.8% |
Shasta | 16.9% | 44.3% | 3.9% | 19.9% | 4.5% | 10.5% |
Sierra | 22.9% | 35.1% | 3.7% | 17.6% | 7.1% | 13.6% |
Siskiyou | 23.3% | 34.5% | 3.4% | 18.5% | 5.0% | 15.3% |
Solano | 41.6% | 23.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% |
Sonoma | 54.6% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 9.7% |
Stanislaus | 23.2% | 31.6% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% |
Sutter | 16.4% | 40.0% | 8.3% | 17.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% |
Tehama | 13.2% | 45.4% | 4.5% | 21.6% | 4.7% | 10.6% |
Trinity | 23.6% | 31.4% | 4.7% | 17.9% | 5.4% | 17.0% |
Tulare | 13.9% | 36.5% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% |
Tuolumne | 26.8% | 37.6% | 5.7% | 15.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% |
Ventura | 26.7% | 32.6% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 7.2% |
Yolo | 31.6% | 19.9% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 14.6% | 13.2% |
Yuba | 16.3% | 39.6% | 7.6% | 21.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% |
Totals | 33.6% | 25.5% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% |
General election
Endorsements
John H. Cox (R) |
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Gavin Newsom (D) |
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Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[308] | Solid D | October 5, 2018 |
The Washington Post[309] | Likely D | October 16, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[310] | Solid D | October 17, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report[311] | Solid D | September 28, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[312] | Solid D | October 11, 2018 |
Real Clear Politics[313] | Likely D | October 11, 2018 |
Daily Kos[314] | Safe D | October 5, 2018 |
Fox News[315][lower-alpha 1] | Likely D | October 9, 2018 |
Politico[316] | Solid D | October 9, 2018 |
Governing[317] | Safe D | October 2, 2018 |
- Notes
- ↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
John Cox (R) |
None | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 1,108 | – | 53% | 41% | – | – | – |
Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 38% | – | – | 4% |
SurveyUSA | November 1–2, 2018 | 924 | ± 4.6% | 53% | 38% | – | – | 9% |
Probolsky Research | October 25–30, 2018 | 900 | ± 3.3% | 47% | 37% | – | – | 16% |
Thomas Partners Strategies | October 25–27, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 55% | 42% | – | – | 3% |
Gravis Marketing | October 25–26, 2018 | 743 | ± 3.6% | 55% | 35% | – | – | 9% |
UC Berkeley | October 19–25, 2018 | 1,339 | ± 4.0% | 58% | 40% | – | – | 2% |
YouGov | October 10–24, 2018 | 2,178 | ± 3.1% | 53% | 34% | 3% | – | 10% |
Public Policy Institute of California | October 12–21, 2018 | 989 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 38% | 2% | – | 10% |
Thomas Partners Strategies | October 18–20, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 41% | – | – | 5% |
Emerson College | October 17–19, 2018 | 671 | ± 4.1% | 52% | 32% | – | – | 16% |
SurveyUSA | October 12–14, 2018 | 762 | ± 4.9% | 52% | 35% | – | – | 14% |
Thomas Partners Strategies | October 12–14, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 43% | – | – | 6% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times | September 17 – October 14, 2018 | 794 LV | ± 4.0% | 54% | 31% | – | – | 15% |
980 RV | ± 4.0% | 51% | 30% | – | – | 19% | ||
Thomas Partners Strategies | October 5–7, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 42% | – | – | 4% |
Thomas Partners Strategies | September 28–30, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
Thomas Partners Strategies | September 21–23, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 53% | 42% | – | – | 5% |
Vox Populi Polling | September 16–18, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 60% | 40% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Institute of California | September 9–18, 2018 | 964 | ± 4.8% | 51% | 39% | 3% | – | 7% |
Thomas Partners Strategies | September 14–16, 2018 | 1,040 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 41% | – | – | 14% |
Ipsos | September 5–14, 2018 | 1,021 | ± 4.0% | 52% | 40% | – | 3% | 6% |
Thomas Partners Strategies | September 7–9, 2018 | 1,227 | ± 3.3% | 48% | 40% | – | – | 12% |
Probolsky Research | August 29 – September 2, 2018 | 900 | ± 5.8% | 44% | 39% | – | – | 17% |
Public Policy Institute of California | July 8–17, 2018 | 1,020 | ± 4.3% | 55% | 31% | 5% | – | 9% |
SurveyUSA | June 26–27, 2018 | 559 | ± 5.9% | 58% | 29% | – | – | 13% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times | June 6–17, 2018 | 767 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 28% | – | – | 27% |
J. Wallin Opinion Research/Tulchin Research | March 30 – April 4, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 32% | – | – | 26% |
Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
Newsom won the general election by the largest margin of any California gubernatorial candidate since Earl Warren's re-election in 1950. In addition to winning the traditional Democratic strongholds of the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles County, Sacramento, and North Coast, Newsom performed well in the traditionally swing Central Coast, San Bernardino County, and San Diego County, as well as narrowly winning traditionally Republican Orange County - the latter voting for a Democrat for the first time in a gubernatorial election since Jerry Brown's first re-election in 1978. Cox did well in the more rural areas of the state, even flipping Stanislaus County; Stanislaus is the only county that voted for Brown in 2014 but flipped to Cox in 2018. Cox also narrowly won Fresno County and handily won traditionally Republican Kern County in the Central Valley, and narrowly won Riverside County in the Inland Empire.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gavin Newsom | 7,721,410 | 61.95% | +1.98% | |
Republican | John H. Cox | 4,742,825 | 38.05% | -1.98% | |
Total votes | 12,464,235 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
Results by county
Here are the results of the election by county.[319]
Gavin Newsom
Democratic |
John Cox
Republican |
Total Votes | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | # | % | # | % | # |
Alameda | 462,558 | 80.6% | 111,677 | 19.4% | 574,235 |
Alpine | 386 | 62.8% | 229 | 37.2% | 615 |
Amador | 6,237 | 35.5% | 11,356 | 64.5% | 17,593 |
Butte | 41,500 | 46.8% | 47,226 | 53.2% | 88,726 |
Calaveras | 7,765 | 35.9% | 13,845 | 64.1% | 21,610 |
Colusa | 1,999 | 34.7% | 3,764 | 65.3% | 5,763 |
Contra Costa | 283,805 | 68.2% | 132,345 | 31.8% | 416,150 |
Del Norte | 3,441 | 41.3% | 4,887 | 58.7% | 8,328 |
El Dorado | 36,297 | 40.6% | 53,140 | 59.4% | 89,437 |
Fresno | 124,332 | 49.1% | 128,974 | 50.9% | 253,306 |
Glenn | 2,424 | 29.1% | 5,908 | 70.9% | 8,332 |
Humboldt | 33,455 | 64.5% | 18,418 | 35.5% | 51,873 |
Imperial | 20,573 | 61.7% | 12,785 | 38.3% | 33,358 |
Inyo | 3,244 | 44.7% | 4,018 | 55.3% | 7,262 |
Kern | 83,507 | 41.1% | 119,870 | 58.9% | 203,377 |
Kings | 12,275 | 40.6% | 17,976 | 59.4% | 30,251 |
Lake | 10,869 | 51.4% | 10,280 | 48.6% | 21,149 |
Lassen | 2,043 | 22.7% | 6,973 | 77.3% | 9,016 |
Los Angeles | 2,114,699 | 71.9% | 826,402 | 28.1% | 2,941,101 |
Madera | 15,037 | 39.0% | 23,488 | 61.0% | 38,525 |
Marin | 103,671 | 79.5% | 26,750 | 20.5% | 130,421 |
Mariposa | 3,183 | 38.7% | 5,043 | 61.3% | 8,226 |
Mendocino | 22,152 | 66.3% | 11,255 | 33.7% | 33,407 |
Merced | 30,783 | 52.0% | 28,424 | 48.0% | 59,207 |
Modoc | 820 | 23.8% | 2,628 | 76.2% | 3,448 |
Mono | 2,706 | 55.8% | 2,147 | 44.2% | 4,853 |
Monterey | 76,648 | 66.0% | 39,516 | 34.0% | 116,164 |
Napa | 36,513 | 64.8% | 19,834 | 35.2% | 56,347 |
Nevada | 27,985 | 52.9% | 24,882 | 47.1% | 52,867 |
Orange | 543,047 | 50.1% | 539,951 | 49.9% | 1,082,998 |
Placer | 72,270 | 41.2% | 103,157 | 58.8% | 175,427 |
Plumas | 3,433 | 37.2% | 5,807 | 62.8% | 9,240 |
Riverside | 319,845 | 49.8% | 322,243 | 50.2% | 642,088 |
Sacramento | 302,696 | 58.8% | 212,010 | 41.2% | 514,706 |
San Benito | 11,274 | 56.1% | 8,815 | 43.9% | 20,089 |
San Bernardino | 276,874 | 51.5% | 260,379 | 48.5% | 537,253 |
San Diego | 658,346 | 56.9% | 499,532 | 43.1% | 1,157,878 |
San Francisco | 312,181 | 86.4% | 49,181 | 13.6% | 361,362 |
San Joaquin | 101,474 | 52.2% | 92,966 | 47.8% | 194,440 |
San Luis Obispo | 65,117 | 51.6% | 61,137 | 48.4% | 126,254 |
San Mateo | 213,282 | 75.2% | 70,242 | 24.8% | 283,524 |
Santa Barbara | 93,841 | 60.5% | 61,300 | 39.5% | 155,141 |
Santa Clara | 438,758 | 71.4% | 175,791 | 28.6% | 614,549 |
Santa Cruz | 91,523 | 76.8% | 27,665 | 23.2% | 119,188 |
Shasta | 20,256 | 28.9% | 49,825 | 71.1% | 70,081 |
Sierra | 599 | 35.9% | 1,068 | 64.1% | 1,667 |
Siskiyou | 7,218 | 39.7% | 10,946 | 60.3% | 18,164 |
Solano | 89,694 | 61.3% | 56,627 | 38.7% | 146,321 |
Sonoma | 152,040 | 72.3% | 58,338 | 27.7% | 210,378 |
Stanislaus | 77,220 | 49.2% | 79,751 | 50.8% | 156,971 |
Sutter | 11,122 | 37.0% | 18,935 | 63.0% | 30,057 |
Tehama | 5,756 | 27.5% | 15,137 | 72.5% | 20,893 |
Trinity | 2,250 | 42.3% | 3,075 | 57.7% | 5,325 |
Tulare | 42,702 | 42.8% | 57,012 | 57.2% | 99,714 |
Tuolumne | 9,294 | 38.9% | 14,580 | 61.1% | 23,874 |
Ventura | 171,729 | 55.6% | 137,393 | 44.4% | 309,122 |
Yolo | 49,759 | 67.8% | 23,611 | 32.2% | 73,370 |
Yuba | 6,903 | 36.0% | 12,293 | 64.0% | 19,196 |
Totals | 7,721,410 | 61.9% | 4,742,825 | 38.1% | 12,464,235 |
Voter demographics
Demographic subgroup | Newsom | Cox | No answer | % of total vote |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ideology | ||||
Liberals | 90 | 10 | n/a | 34 |
Moderates | 62 | 37 | 1 | 37 |
Conservatives | 20 | 77 | 3 | 29 |
Party | ||||
Democrats | 91 | 6 | 3 | 46 |
Republicans | 7 | 93 | n/a | 23 |
Independents | 53 | 46 | 1 | 31 |
Party by gender | ||||
Democratic men | 90 | 5 | 5 | 18 |
Democratic women | 92 | 6 | 2 | 28 |
Republican men | 6 | 94 | n/a | 12 |
Republican women | 9 | 91 | n/a | 10 |
Independent men | 53 | 46 | 1 | 18 |
Independent women | 53 | 46 | 1 | 13 |
Gender | ||||
Men | 55 | 44 | 1 | 48 |
Women | 64 | 34 | 2 | 52 |
Marital status | ||||
Married | 57 | 43 | n/a | 57 |
Unmarried | 64 | 35 | 1 | 43 |
Gender by marital status | ||||
Married men | 53 | 47 | n/a | 35 |
Married women | 64 | 36 | n/a | 22 |
Unmarried men | n/a | n/a | n/a | 19 |
Unmarried women | 67 | 32 | 1 | 24 |
Race and ethnicity | ||||
White | 57 | 43 | n/a | 63 |
Black | 84 | 15 | 1 | 6 |
Latino | 64 | 36 | n/a | 19 |
Asian | n/a | n/a | n/a | 8 |
Other | n/a | n/a | n/a | 3 |
Gender by race and ethnicity | ||||
White men | 54 | 45 | 1 | 31 |
White women | 59 | 41 | n/a | 32 |
Black men | n/a | n/a | n/a | 2 |
Black women | n/a | n/a | n/a | 4 |
Latino men | 61 | 39 | n/a | 9 |
Latino women | 67 | 32 | 1 | 10 |
Others | 64 | 29 | 7 | 11 |
Religion | ||||
Protestant, Other Christian | 46 | 54 | n/a | 34 |
Catholic | 56 | 44 | n/a | 21 |
Jewish | n/a | n/a | n/a | 4 |
Other religion | n/a | n/a | n/a | 10 |
No religion | 79 | 21 | n/a | 31 |
Religious service attendance | ||||
Weekly or more | 46 | 54 | n/a | 21 |
A few times a month | n/a | n/a | n/a | 13 |
A few times a year | 71 | 29 | n/a | 23 |
Never | 69 | 31 | n/a | 43 |
White evangelical or born-again Christian | ||||
Yes | n/a | n/a | n/a | 11 |
No | 65 | 35 | n/a | 89 |
Age | ||||
18–24 years old | 72 | 28 | n/a | 8 |
25–29 years old | 65 | 33 | 2 | 7 |
30–39 years old | 65 | 34 | 1 | 15 |
40–49 years old | 58 | 41 | 1 | 14 |
50–64 years old | 56 | 43 | 1 | 29 |
65 and older | 56 | 41 | 3 | 27 |
Sexual orientation | ||||
LGBT | n/a | n/a | n/a | 5 |
Heterosexual | 57 | 42 | 1 | 95 |
First time voter | ||||
First time voter | n/a | n/a | n/a | 18 |
Everyone else | 55 | 40 | 5 | 82 |
Education | ||||
High school or less | 55 | 39 | 6 | 19 |
Some college education | 56 | 44 | n/a | 29 |
Associate degree | 60 | 39 | 1 | 13 |
Bachelor's degree | 65 | 35 | n/a | 24 |
Advanced degree | 62 | 37 | 1 | 16 |
Education by race and ethnicity | ||||
White college graduates | 59 | 40 | 1 | 28 |
White no college degree | 54 | 45 | 1 | 35 |
Non-white college graduates | 78 | 21 | 1 | 11 |
Non-white no college degree | 62 | 35 | 3 | 25 |
Education by race, ethnicity, and sex | ||||
White women with college degrees | 62 | 37 | 1 | 13 |
White women without college degrees | 56 | 43 | 1 | 19 |
White men with college degrees | 56 | 44 | n/a | 15 |
White men without college degrees | 52 | 47 | 1 | 17 |
Non-whites | 67 | 31 | 2 | 36 |
Family income | ||||
Under $30,000 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 17 |
$30,000–49,999 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 21 |
$50,000–99,999 | 55 | 45 | n/a | 22 |
$100,000–199,999 | 45 | 54 | 1 | 27 |
Over $200,000 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 13 |
Military service | ||||
Veterans | n/a | n/a | n/a | 14 |
Non-veterans | 61 | 34 | 5 | 86 |
Issue regarded as most important | ||||
Health care | 85 | 15 | n/a | 43 |
Immigration | 35 | 64 | 1 | 18 |
Economy | 35 | 64 | 1 | 21 |
Gun policy | 66 | 34 | n/a | 15 |
See also
References
- ↑ It's Newsom's Race to Win, Whether California Likes It or Not. RealClearPolitics.
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- ↑ |url=https://travisallenvolunteers.org/endorsements%7Ctitle=voted that Travis Allen for Governor meets the MAGA Agenda in CA|work=Travis Allen Volunteers
- ↑ |url=https://travisallenvolunteers.org/endorsements%7Ctitle=on-going live poll has Travis Allen steady at over 95%|work=Travis Allen Volunteers
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- ↑ Amanda Renteria (D), Robert C. Newman (R), Shubham Goel (NPP) with 1%, all other candidates 0%
- ↑ Thomas Jefferson Cares (D), Robert C. Newman (R), Klement Tinaj (D) with 1%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), Christopher Carlson (G), Yvonne Girard (R), Shubham Goel (NPP), Robert Davidson Griffis (D), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Gloria La Riva (PFP), Peter Yuan Liu (R), Albert Caesar Mezzetti (D), Hakan "Hawk" Mikado (NPP), Amanda Renteria (D), Michael Shellenberger (D), Desmond Silveira (ASP), Jeffrey Edward Taylor (NPP), Johnny Wattenburg (NPP), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 0%
- ↑ Akinyemi Agbede (D), Robert Davidson Griffis (D), Amanda Renteria (D), and Gloria La Riva (PFP) with 1%; Juan Bribiesca (D), Thomas Jefferson Cares (D), Albert Caesar Mezzetti (D), Michael Shellenberger (D), Klement Tinaj (D), Christopher Carlson (G), Josh Jones (G), Zoltan Istvan (L), Nickolas Wildstar (L), Yvonne Girard (R), Robert C. Newman (R), Shubham Goel (NPP), Hakan "Hawk" Mikado (NPP), Desmond Silveira (ASP), Jeffrey Edward Taylor (NPP), Johnny Wattenburg (NPP) with 0%; Other 0%; Not voting 0%
- ↑ Albert Mezzetti (D) 2%
- ↑ Amanda Renteria (D) 0%
- ↑ Robert Newman (R) 4%, Amanda Renteria (D) 3%, Other 1%
- ↑ Robert Newman (R) 3%; Yvonne Girard (R) and Robert Kleinberger* (NPP) with 2%; Daniel Amare* (R), Brian Domingo* (R), Peter Yuan Liu (R), Michael Bracamontes* (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 1%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Harmesh Kumar* (D), and James Tran* (NPP) with 0%; Other 0%. *Withdrawn.
- ↑ Amanda Renteria (D) 2%, Other 8%
- ↑ Amanda Renteria (D) 4%
- ↑ Doug Ose* (R) 4%. *Withdrawn.
- ↑ Doug Ose* (R) 3%. *Withdrawn.
- ↑ Doug Ose* (R) 3%, Someone else 1%. *Withdrawn.
- ↑ Doug Ose* (R) 4%, Someone else 4%. *Withdrawn.
- ↑ Robert Newman (R), Doug Ose* (R), Tom Steyer† (D), Peter Thiel† (R), and Steve Westly† (D) with 2%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Daniel Amare* (R), Stasyi Barth* (R), Michael Bracamontes* (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), Brian Domingo* (R), Yvonne Girard (R), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Robert Kleinberger* (NPP), Harmesh Kumar* (D), Peter Yuan Liu (R), James Tran* (NPP), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 1%; Michael Bilger* (NPP), Andy Blanch* (NPP), Scooter Braun† (D), John-Leslie Brown* (R), David Bush* (NPP), Christopher Carlson (G), Peter Crawford-Valentino* (NPP), Ted Crisell* (D), Grant Handzlik* (NPP), Analila Joya* (NPP), Joshua Laine* (AIP), Chad Mayes† (R), Jacob Morris* (R), Timothy Richardson* (NPP), Boris Romanowsky* (NPP), Michael Shellenberger (D), H. Fuji Shioura* (NPP), Laura Smith* (R), Scot Sturtevant* (NPP), Ashley Swearengin† (R), Klement Tinaj (D), and Frédéric Prinz von Anhalt* (NPP) with 0%. *Withdrawn. †Hypothetical candidate.
- ↑ 1,070 likely primary voters out of 1,504. MoE out of 1,504: ± 3.0. 22% out of 1,504 not voting.
- ↑ David Hadley* (R) 7%. *Withdrawn.
- ↑ Delaine Eastin (D) and Steve Westly with 2%
- ↑ Alex Padilla (D) 3%
- ↑ Alex Padilla (D) 4%, Steve Westly (D) 1%
- ↑ Alex Padilla (D) 4%
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 215.0 215.1 215.2 215.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 222.0 222.1 222.2 222.3 222.4 222.5 222.6 222.7 222.8 https://johncoxforgovernor.com/endorsements/
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 226.00 226.01 226.02 226.03 226.04 226.05 226.06 226.07 226.08 226.09 226.10 226.11 226.12 226.13 226.14 226.15 226.16 226.17 226.18 226.19 226.20 226.21 226.22 226.23 226.24 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 269.0 269.1 269.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 275.0 275.1 275.2 275.3 275.4 275.5 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 283.00 283.01 283.02 283.03 283.04 283.05 283.06 283.07 283.08 283.09 283.10 283.11 283.12 https://capitolmr.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/Gavin-Newsom.pdf
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found., Governor Jerry Brown Governor Jerry Brown
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 306.0 306.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
External links
- Official campaign websites