United States Senate election in Ohio, 2016
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2016 United States Senate election in Ohio will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Ohio, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The close of registration for electors in the primary election was December 16, 2015, and the primary election took place on March 15, 2016.[1] Portman will face former Ohio Governor Ted Strickland. The race is a pure tossup and will help determine control of the Senate.
Contents
Republican primary
Republican Senator Rob Portman is running for re-election to a second term in office.[2] He considered running for president in 2016,[3][4][5] but ruled out running for two offices at the same time, even though Ohio law does allow it.[3][6] He ultimately declined to run for president, though he is a potential candidate for vice president.[2][7] The National Organization for Marriage and other socially conservative groups, unhappy with Portman's public backing for same-sex marriage, have pledged to back a primary challenger. Tea Party groups, who heavily backed Portman in 2010, have said that they are unlikely to do the same if he runs for re-election.[8][9]
Candidates
Declared
- Rob Portman, incumbent Senator.[2]
- Don Elijah Eckhart, Independent candidate for OH-15 in 2008[10]
Disqualified
Declined
- Josh Mandel, Ohio State Treasurer and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[3][13]
- Steve Stivers, U.S. Representative[3][13]
Endorsements
Don Elijah Eckhart |
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Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Don Elijah Eckhart |
Rob Portman |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 4–6, 2016 | 638 | ± 3.9% | 7% | 60% | 33% |
Hypothetical polling |
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Results
Republican primary results[15] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Rob Portman | 1,314,152 | 82.20 | |
Republican | Don Elijah Eckhart | 284,544 | 17.80 | |
Total votes | 1,598,696 | 100.00 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Kelli Prather, occupational therapist and community organizer[11]
- P.G. Sittenfeld, Cincinnati City Councilman[16][17][18]
- Ted Strickland, former Governor of Ohio and former U.S. Representative[19]
Withdrawn
- Bob Hagan, former member of the Ohio State Board of Education and former State Representative[3][20][21]
Declined
- Joyce Beatty, U.S. Representative[16][22]
- John Boccieri, former U.S. Representative[16][23]
- Jennifer Brunner, Judge on the Ohio Tenth District Court of Appeals, former Ohio Secretary of State and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[16][20][24]
- Michael B. Coleman, Mayor of Columbus[16][25][26]
- Richard Cordray, Director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, former Ohio Attorney General and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2000[16]
- Connie Pillich, former State Representative and nominee for Ohio State Treasurer in 2014[3][27]
- Tim Ryan, U.S. Representative[28]
- Betty Sutton, Administrator of the Saint Lawrence Seaway Development Corporation and former U.S. Representative[16][20]
- Nina Turner, former State Senator and nominee for Ohio Secretary of State in 2014[3][29]
- Nan Whaley, Mayor of Dayton[16][30]
Endorsements
Ted Strickland |
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P.G. Sittenfeld |
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Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kelli Prather |
P.G. Sittenfeld |
Ted Strickland |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 4–6, 2016 | 508 | ± 4.4% | 6% | 16% | 50% | 28% |
Public Policy Polling | January 12–14, 2016 | 1,138 | ± ? | 10% | 10% | 61% | 18% |
Public Policy Polling | June 4–7, 2015 | 360 | ± 5.2% | — | 13% | 65% | 22% |
Results
Democratic primary results[15] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Ted Strickland | 720,333 | 65.00 | |
Democratic | P.G. Sittenfeld | 248,830 | 22.45 | |
Democratic | Kelli Prather | 139,122 | 12.55 | |
Total votes | 1,108,285 | 100.00 |
Green primary
Candidates
Declared
- Joe DeMare, factory worker and environmentalist[52]
Results
Green primary results[15] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Green | Joe DeMare | 3,056 | 100.00 | |
Total votes | 3,056 | 100.00 |
General election
Candidates
- Rob Portman (R), incumbent Senator
- Ted Strickland (D), former Governor of Ohio and former U.S. Representative
- Joe DeMare (G), factory worker and environmentalist
- Scott Rupert (I), truck driver and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[53]
Endorsements
Rob Portman |
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|
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[82] | Tossup | March 25, 2016 |
Daily Kos[83] | Lean R | March 30, 2016 |
Roll Call[84] | Tilt R | March 30, 2016 |
The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report[85] | Tossup/Tilt R | March 4, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[86] | Tossup | April 7, 2016 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rob Portman (R) |
Ted Strickland (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University | April 27–May 8, 2016 | 1,042 | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 1% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | April 26–27, 2016 | 799 | ± 3.2% | 38% | 38% | 1% | 23% |
Hart Research | April 5–7, 2016 | 500 | ± ?% | 47% | 45% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | March 4–6, 2016 | 1,248 | ± 2.8% | 40% | 41% | — | 19% |
Quinnipiac University | February 16–20, 2016 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 42% | 44% | — | 14% |
Baldwin Wallace University | February 11–20, 2016 | 825 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 40% | — | 16% |
Quinnipiac University | September 25 – October 5, 2015 | 1,180 | ± 2.9% | 43% | 46% | 1% | 8% |
Harstad Strategic Research | September 10–16, 2015 | 813 | ± 3.4% | 43% | 46% | — | 11% |
Quinnipiac University | August 7–18, 2015 | 1,096 | ± 3% | 41% | 44% | 1% | 10% |
Quinnipiac University | June 4–15, 2015 | 1,191 | ± 2.8% | 40% | 46% | 1% | 13% |
Vox Populi Polling | June 6–7, 2015 | 474 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 37% | — | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | June 4–7, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 41% | — | 15% |
Quinnipiac University | March 17–28, 2015 | 1,077 | ± 3% | 39% | 48% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling↑ | March 2–3, 2015 | 946 | ± ? | 45% | 45% | — | 10% |
Hypothetical polling |
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- # Poll conducted for Senate Majority PAC, a Democratic-aligned Super PAC.
- ↑ Poll conducted for the Ohio Democratic Party
References
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- ↑ Bernstein, Jonathan (August 26, 2014) "Everybody's Running (Rob Portman Edition)", Bloomberg View. Retrieved August 26, 2014.
- ↑ Torry, Jack (August 26, 2014) "2016 preview?: Ohio Sen. Portman visits New Hampshire", Dayton Daily News. Retrieved August 26, 2014.
- ↑ Conroy, Scott (August 26, 2014) "Portman Won't Run for Two Offices Simultaneously in 2016", RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 26, 2014.
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External links
- Official campaign websites